Mt An 4 (9-01) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 28, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Rodger Ott at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2001, was 58.6 million head. This was 1 percent below September 2000, but 1 percent above June 1, 2001. Breeding inventory, at 6.16 million head, was down 1 percent from September 1, 2000, and down slightly from June 1, 2001. Market hog inventory, at 52.5 million head, was 1 percent below last year, but 1 percent above last quarter. The June-August 2001 U.S. pig crop, at 25.0 million head, was 2 percent less than 2000, and 3 percent less than 1999. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.84 million head, 2 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.82 pigs saved per litter for the June-August 2001 period, compared to 8.84 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 8.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.88 million sows farrow during the September-November 2001 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 2000, and 1 percent above 1999. Intended farrowings for December 2001-February 2002, at 2.84 million sows, are 3 percent above the same period in 2001, and up1 percent from 2000. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 35 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 33 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2000 through June 2001 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of less than two percent were made to the inventory level for March 1, 2001 and June 1, 2001. Adjustments of less than one half percent were made to the September-November 2000 pig crop, slightly over three percent to the December 2000-February 2001 pig crop, and less than two percent to the March-May 2001 pig crop. This report was approved on September 28, 2001. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2001 as % of Item : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 :------------- : : : : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,191 57,782 57,524 96 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,527 6,190 6,232 95 101 Market : 53,663 51,593 51,292 96 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,978 19,217 18,732 94 97 60-119 Pounds : 12,899 12,409 12,417 96 100 120-179 Pounds : 10,995 10,552 10,810 98 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,792 9,414 9,334 95 99 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,896 59,117 58,223 96 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,515 6,234 6,186 95 99 Market : 54,380 52,884 52,037 96 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,532 19,907 19,568 95 98 60-119 Pounds : 13,501 13,247 12,992 96 98 120-179 Pounds : 11,076 10,710 10,521 95 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,272 9,019 8,957 97 99 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,776 59,495 58,642 96 99 Kept for Breeding : 6,301 6,246 6,158 98 99 Market : 54,474 53,250 52,484 96 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,243 19,955 19,514 96 98 60-119 Pounds : 13,414 13,055 12,840 96 98 120-179 Pounds : 11,129 10,817 10,714 96 99 180 Pounds and Over : 9,689 9,422 9,417 97 100 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,342 59,138 Kept for Breeding : 6,234 6,270 Market : 53,109 52,868 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,241 19,421 60-119 Pounds : 13,107 12,933 120-179 Pounds : 11,073 10,846 180 Pounds and Over : 9,687 9,669 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 1999-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2001 as % of : 2002 Item : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,891 2,798 2,749 2,838 95 98 103 Mar-May : 2,986 2,885 2,844 95 99 Dec-May 2/ : 5,877 5,683 5,593 95 98 : Jun-Aug : 2,920 2,889 2,838 97 98 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,844 2,838 2,877 101 101 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,764 5,727 5,716 99 100 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,247 24,522 23,969 95 98 Mar-May : 26,272 25,565 25,170 96 98 Dec-May 2/ : 51,519 50,087 49,140 95 98 : Jun-Aug : 25,862 25,548 25,028 97 98 Sep-Nov : 24,973 25,119 Jun-Nov : 50,835 50,667 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.73 8.76 8.72 100 100 Mar-May : 8.80 8.86 8.85 101 100 Dec-May 2/ : 8.77 8.81 8.79 100 100 : Jun-Aug : 8.86 8.84 8.82 100 100 Sep-Nov : 8.78 8.85 Jun-Nov : 8.82 8.85 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2002. 4/ Intentions for 2001. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2000 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.90 8.20 8.50 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.80 7.90 8.30 8.60 8.80 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.40 7.90 8.30 8.60 8.80 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.60 8.10 8.40 8.70 8.80 9.00 : 2001 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.80 8.10 8.50 8.60 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.10 8.40 8.60 8.90 8.90 Jun-Aug : 7.40 7.80 8.10 8.70 8.80 8.90 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States December-November 2000-2001 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 922 901 8.77 8.66 8,091 7,803 Jan : 911 906 8.76 8.71 7,977 7,887 Feb : 965 943 8.76 8.78 8,454 8,279 Mar : 974 963 8.87 8.83 8,639 8,497 Apr : 956 930 8.85 8.83 8,461 8,207 May : 955 952 8.86 8.90 8,465 8,466 Jun : 960 953 8.83 8.79 8,479 8,369 Jul : 970 932 8.85 8.81 8,580 8,204 Aug : 959 954 8.85 8.86 8,489 8,455 Sep : 970 8.84 8,578 Oct : 940 8.85 8,319 Nov : 928 8.86 8,222 : Total : 11,410 8.83 100,754 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States December-November 2000-2001 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Inventory 1st of Month : Bred during Month :-----------------------------------:----------------------------------- : : 2001 : : 2001 Month : :-----------------------: :----------------------- : 2000 : : as % of : 2000 : : as % of : : Number : 2000 : : Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- Percent --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : Dec 2/ : 6,090 1,185 Jan : 6,030 1,169 Feb : 6,031 1,142 Mar : 6,053 1,200 Apr : 5,987 1,170 May : 5,974 1,165 Jun : 6,001 1,197 Jul : 5,955 1,155 Aug : 5,955 1,133 Sep : 5,975 1,234 Oct : 6,072 1,183 Nov : 6,055 1,168 : Total : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data series beginning October 2000. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : : 2001 : : 2001 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 105 95 580 545 94 690 650 94 CO : 205 180 88 645 580 90 850 760 89 IL : 430 440 102 3,620 3,610 100 4,050 4,050 100 IN : 350 360 103 2,800 2,790 100 3,150 3,150 100 IA : 1,160 1,120 97 13,640 13,280 97 14,800 14,400 97 KS : 145 160 110 1,255 1,350 108 1,400 1,510 108 MI : 120 120 100 840 780 93 960 900 94 MN : 570 590 104 4,830 5,210 108 5,400 5,800 107 MO : 380 380 100 2,620 2,520 96 3,000 2,900 97 NE : 380 360 95 2,620 2,540 97 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,400 8,300 99 9,400 9,300 99 OH : 160 165 103 1,270 1,285 101 1,430 1,450 101 OK : 310 340 110 1,880 1,900 101 2,190 2,240 102 PA : 120 120 100 870 910 105 990 1,030 104 SD : 125 135 108 1,105 1,135 103 1,230 1,270 103 TX : 80 90 113 780 810 104 860 900 105 WI : 65 80 123 505 510 101 570 590 104 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 480 487 101 3,333 3,237 97 3,812 3,724 98 : US : 6,190 6,232 101 51,593 51,292 99 57,782 57,524 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 195 135 130 125 120 100 100 CO : 370 310 90 75 90 85 95 110 IL : 1,260 1,280 880 870 820 830 660 630 IN : 1,100 1,010 650 670 550 560 500 550 IA : 4,310 3,980 3,590 3,600 2,970 3,070 2,770 2,630 KS : 510 460 245 275 230 245 270 370 MI : 295 310 215 185 170 160 160 125 MN : 1,910 2,040 1,150 1,310 960 1,090 810 770 MO : 1,140 1,110 680 610 510 500 290 300 NE : 1,030 990 630 650 550 510 410 390 NC : 3,400 3,350 1,950 1,800 1,650 1,700 1,400 1,450 OH : 535 540 290 305 270 280 175 160 OK : 840 840 300 320 250 260 490 480 PA : 325 330 225 240 180 190 140 150 SD : 370 390 280 300 250 245 205 200 TX : 245 265 165 170 170 160 200 215 WI : 195 190 110 110 100 110 100 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,162 1,142 824 797 707 695 639 604 : US : 19,217 18,732 12,409 12,417 10,552 10,810 9,414 9,334 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : : 2001 : : 2001 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 105 95 580 545 94 690 650 94 CO : 210 170 81 680 580 85 890 750 84 IL : 430 420 98 3,720 3,680 99 4,150 4,100 99 IN : 350 350 100 2,900 2,750 95 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,160 1,120 97 14,240 13,680 96 15,400 14,800 96 KS : 150 165 110 1,240 1,345 108 1,390 1,510 109 MI : 110 110 100 880 810 92 990 920 93 MN : 580 590 102 5,120 5,210 102 5,700 5,800 102 MO : 380 390 103 2,620 2,610 100 3,000 3,000 100 NE : 370 360 97 2,530 2,490 98 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,600 100 9,600 9,600 100 OH : 160 160 100 1,240 1,300 105 1,400 1,460 104 OK : 340 330 97 1,930 1,860 96 2,270 2,190 96 PA : 125 120 96 925 910 98 1,050 1,030 98 SD : 125 140 112 1,105 1,130 102 1,230 1,270 103 TX : 85 95 112 785 765 97 870 860 99 WI : 65 75 115 515 495 96 580 570 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 484 486 100 3,274 3,277 100 3,757 3,763 100 : US : 6,234 6,186 99 52,884 52,037 98 59,117 58,223 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 210 190 135 140 130 115 105 100 CO : 390 325 90 65 90 75 110 115 IL : 1,360 1,320 920 950 820 760 620 650 IN : 1,140 990 670 680 570 540 520 540 IA : 4,480 4,250 4,060 3,800 3,080 3,080 2,620 2,550 KS : 500 470 245 295 235 235 260 345 MI : 390 315 200 215 160 155 130 125 MN : 2,060 2,140 1,250 1,300 1,020 1,050 790 720 MO : 1,150 1,280 660 560 510 470 300 300 NE : 1,010 1,000 640 650 500 490 380 350 NC : 3,500 3,500 2,000 2,110 1,700 1,620 1,400 1,370 OH : 520 530 290 325 270 280 160 165 OK : 840 850 400 310 230 270 460 430 PA : 340 360 250 235 195 175 140 140 SD : 390 430 310 280 240 245 165 175 TX : 230 270 200 150 160 150 195 195 WI : 195 195 120 115 110 100 90 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,202 1,153 807 812 690 711 574 602 : US : 19,907 19,568 13,247 12,992 10,710 10,521 9,019 8,957 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : : 2001 : : 2001 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of: 2000 : :as % of : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 : :Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 100 95 575 605 105 680 705 104 CO : 205 175 85 685 595 87 890 770 87 IL : 420 420 100 3,630 3,730 103 4,050 4,150 102 IN : 360 330 92 2,940 2,720 93 3,300 3,050 92 IA : 1,160 1,120 97 14,140 13,580 96 15,300 14,700 96 KS : 155 165 106 1,375 1,435 104 1,530 1,600 105 MI : 110 110 100 910 850 93 1,020 960 94 MN : 580 590 102 5,020 5,210 104 5,600 5,800 104 MO : 380 380 100 2,620 2,620 100 3,000 3,000 100 NE : 380 360 95 2,620 2,490 95 3,000 2,850 95 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 8,700 100 9,700 9,700 100 OH : 160 160 100 1,260 1,300 103 1,420 1,460 103 OK : 340 330 97 1,990 1,970 99 2,330 2,300 99 PA : 115 125 109 925 935 101 1,040 1,060 102 SD : 130 140 108 1,150 1,130 98 1,280 1,270 99 TX : 85 95 112 845 775 92 930 870 94 WI : 65 75 115 525 485 92 590 560 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 496 483 97 3,340 3,354 100 3,835 3,837 100 : US : 6,246 6,158 99 53,250 52,484 99 59,495 58,642 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 250 135 125 120 115 100 115 CO : 400 335 80 75 80 75 125 110 IL : 1,260 1,360 900 890 820 800 650 680 IN : 1,130 1,020 710 660 570 520 530 520 IA : 4,420 4,200 3,900 3,710 3,140 3,070 2,680 2,600 KS : 540 480 280 280 255 275 300 400 MI : 360 320 230 225 180 175 140 130 MN : 2,080 2,140 1,220 1,260 950 1,070 770 740 MO : 1,120 1,150 690 590 520 500 290 380 NE : 1,100 990 650 640 490 480 380 380 NC : 3,450 3,450 2,000 2,100 1,750 1,750 1,500 1,400 OH : 550 540 285 320 255 270 170 170 OK : 925 870 325 310 245 220 495 570 PA : 345 360 240 245 190 180 150 150 SD : 420 390 290 285 255 260 185 195 TX : 240 290 175 165 180 145 250 175 WI : 195 195 120 110 110 90 100 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,200 1,174 825 850 707 719 607 612 : US : 19,955 19,514 13,055 12,840 10,817 10,714 9,422 9,417 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : : 2000 : : 2000 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 600 575 96 710 685 96 CO : 210 190 90 700 650 93 910 840 92 IL : 420 450 107 3,630 3,700 102 4,050 4,150 102 IN : 370 375 101 2,880 2,975 103 3,250 3,350 103 IA : 1,160 1,120 97 14,240 13,980 98 15,400 15,100 98 KS : 150 160 107 1,310 1,360 104 1,460 1,520 104 MI : 120 110 92 860 840 98 980 950 97 MN : 560 600 107 4,940 5,200 105 5,500 5,800 105 MO : 410 380 93 2,740 2,520 92 3,150 2,900 92 NE : 380 360 95 2,620 2,690 103 3,000 3,050 102 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,500 8,300 98 9,500 9,300 98 OH : 170 170 100 1,310 1,320 101 1,480 1,490 101 OK : 310 340 110 1,950 1,970 101 2,260 2,310 102 PA : 120 120 100 930 910 98 1,050 1,030 98 SD : 120 140 117 1,140 1,180 104 1,260 1,320 105 TX : 80 85 106 790 835 106 870 920 106 WI : 65 75 115 505 535 106 570 610 107 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 479 485 101 3,464 3,328 96 3,942 3,813 97 : US : 6,234 6,270 101 53,109 52,868 100 59,342 59,138 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 210 210 140 135 140 125 110 105 CO : 350 370 115 80 110 85 125 115 IL : 1,270 1,310 900 920 800 810 660 660 IN : 1,090 1,110 740 725 580 590 470 550 IA : 4,360 4,360 3,770 3,790 3,210 3,090 2,900 2,740 KS : 520 495 310 285 230 210 250 370 MI : 330 320 205 200 170 170 155 150 MN : 1,940 2,110 1,190 1,270 1,030 1,040 780 780 MO : 1,140 1,010 770 680 520 510 310 320 NE : 990 1,010 650 700 550 550 430 430 NC : 3,350 3,400 1,950 1,800 1,750 1,650 1,450 1,450 OH : 530 540 320 320 285 280 175 180 OK : 820 880 310 355 270 245 550 490 PA : 330 330 250 235 195 190 155 155 SD : 370 430 290 290 270 260 210 200 TX : 280 215 190 175 160 200 160 245 WI : 165 190 135 125 105 110 100 110 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,196 1,131 872 848 698 731 697 619 : US : 19,241 19,421 13,107 12,933 11,073 10,846 9,687 9,669 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2000-2002 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2002 4/ : Per Litter : : 2001 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2000 : 2001 : :as % of: : : 2000 : :as % of : : :Number : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : :Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 53 50 94 8.55 8.90 479 472 99 CO : 86 76 80 105 8.50 8.50 731 646 88 IL : 205 195 205 105 8.70 8.50 1,784 1,658 93 IN : 145 155 145 94 8.70 8.80 1,262 1,364 108 IA : 455 430 450 105 8.85 8.40 4,027 3,612 90 KS : 74 73 75 103 8.70 8.55 644 624 97 MI : 44 46 54 117 8.80 8.75 387 403 104 MN : 245 260 265 102 8.80 8.95 2,156 2,327 108 MO : 175 170 175 103 8.85 8.75 1,549 1,488 96 NE : 160 140 160 114 8.75 8.80 1,400 1,232 88 NC : 530 530 530 100 8.75 8.85 4,638 4,691 101 OH : 75 73 73 100 8.70 8.50 653 621 95 OK : 165 165 165 100 8.85 9.25 1,460 1,526 105 PA : 46 51 56 110 8.70 8.80 400 449 112 SD : 58 62 65 105 8.90 8.80 516 546 106 TX : 36 37 41 111 9.50 8.90 342 329 96 WI : 31 34 33 97 8.75 8.25 271 281 104 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 212 199 216 108 8.60 8.53 1,823 1,700 93 : US : 2,798 2,749 2,838 103 8.76 8.72 24,522 23,969 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2001 : per Litter : : 2001 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2000 : :as % of : : : 2000 : :as % of : : Number : 2000 : 2000 : 2001 : : Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 54 98 8.50 9.00 468 486 104 CO : 88 78 89 8.40 8.30 739 647 88 IL : 210 210 100 8.75 8.80 1,838 1,848 101 IN : 145 150 103 8.85 8.85 1,283 1,328 104 IA : 490 440 90 8.90 8.70 4,361 3,828 88 KS : 76 76 100 8.90 8.60 676 654 97 MI : 50 50 100 9.00 8.90 450 445 99 MN : 260 265 102 9.00 9.05 2,340 2,398 102 MO : 180 185 103 8.80 8.85 1,584 1,637 103 NE : 155 160 103 8.85 8.80 1,372 1,408 103 NC : 540 540 100 8.90 8.95 4,806 4,833 101 OH : 75 73 97 8.90 8.70 668 635 95 OK : 165 165 100 8.90 9.25 1,469 1,526 104 PA : 48 52 108 8.80 8.90 422 463 110 SD : 62 66 106 8.90 8.90 552 587 106 TX : 37 39 105 9.50 8.80 352 343 97 WI : 30 33 110 8.85 8.60 266 284 107 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 219 208 95 8.77 8.76 1,919 1,820 95 : US : 2,885 2,844 99 8.86 8.85 25,565 25,170 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2001 : per Litter : : 2001 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2000 : :as % of : : : 2000 : :as % of : : Number : 2000 : 2000 : 2001 : : Number : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 56 102 9.25 9.20 509 515 101 CO : 90 79 88 8.40 8.45 756 668 88 IL : 200 205 103 8.70 8.60 1,740 1,763 101 IN : 155 145 94 8.75 8.85 1,356 1,283 95 IA : 470 430 91 8.80 8.50 4,136 3,655 88 KS : 84 76 90 8.80 8.70 739 661 89 MI : 50 51 102 8.90 9.05 445 462 104 MN : 260 265 102 9.10 8.95 2,366 2,372 100 MO : 180 175 97 8.80 8.90 1,584 1,558 98 NE : 160 150 94 9.00 8.65 1,440 1,298 90 NC : 540 550 102 8.80 9.00 4,752 4,950 104 OH : 75 74 99 8.85 8.90 664 659 99 OK : 170 175 103 8.90 9.35 1,513 1,636 108 PA : 49 54 110 8.70 8.80 426 475 112 SD : 62 65 105 9.00 8.80 558 572 103 TX : 43 44 102 9.40 8.70 404 383 95 WI : 30 34 113 8.90 8.10 267 275 103 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 216 210 97 8.76 8.77 1,893 1,843 97 : US : 2,889 2,838 98 8.84 8.82 25,548 25,028 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2001 3/ : per Litter : : 2000 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1999 : 2000 : :as % of: : : 1999 : :as % of : : :Number : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 55 54 98 8.50 9.00 468 495 106 CO : 87 86 80 93 8.30 8.50 722 731 101 IL : 200 210 210 100 8.60 8.70 1,720 1,827 106 IN : 155 165 140 85 8.65 8.90 1,341 1,469 110 IA : 490 440 450 102 8.90 8.85 4,361 3,894 89 KS : 78 81 77 95 8.70 8.60 679 697 103 MI : 49 48 53 110 9.00 9.05 441 434 98 MN : 245 270 270 100 9.00 8.90 2,205 2,403 109 MO : 190 175 175 100 8.70 8.75 1,653 1,531 93 NE : 160 150 165 110 8.75 8.75 1,400 1,313 94 NC : 520 530 550 104 8.75 8.85 4,550 4,691 103 OH : 74 74 73 99 8.70 8.80 644 651 101 OK : 155 165 170 103 9.00 9.35 1,395 1,543 111 PA : 46 51 55 108 8.70 8.70 400 444 111 SD : 57 65 66 102 8.90 8.90 507 579 114 TX : 38 38 41 108 9.40 9.40 357 357 100 WI : 31 33 32 97 8.70 8.55 270 282 104 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 214 202 216 107 8.68 8.82 1,860 1,778 96 : US : 2,844 2,838 2,877 101 8.78 8.85 24,973 25,119 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of 13,000 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 10,900 operations, 84 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of September by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds to it estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 58.6 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.1 2.0 1,173 532 40 1,240 11 9 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.4 2.4 601 265 3 927 12 8 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : 2.2 3.8 109 44 1 157 11 9 Quarter : : Following : 3.6 6.2 176 76 6 300 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States. . . 5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February. . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 The next "Monthly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on October 26, 2001. The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on December 28, 2001. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and to seek comments and input from data users. The other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau and the National Weather Service will also be included in the meeting. For registration details for the Data User's meeting, see the NASS home page at http://www.usda.gov/nass/ Or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Public Forum precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 16, 2001. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from the various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register for it contact Terry Francl at (847) 685-8769 or at terry@fb.org.