Mt An 4 (3-03) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Rodger Ott at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2003, was 58.1 million head. This was 2 percent below March 1, 2002, and 2 percent below December 1, 2002. Breeding inventory, at 5.96 million head, was down 4 percent from March 1, 2002, and down 1 percent from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 52.2 million head, was 2 percent below last year and 3 percent below last quarter. The December 2002-February 2003 U.S. pig crop, at 24.4 million head, was 2 percent less than 2002, and 2 percent more than 2001. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.77 million head, 2 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.81 pigs saved per litter for the December 2002-February 2003 period, compared to 8.74 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 8.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.84 million sows farrow during the March-May 2003 quarter, 3 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 2002, and 1 percent below 2001. Intended farrowings for June-August 2003, at 2.79 million sows, are 3 percent below the same period in both 2002 and 2001. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 35 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 31 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2002 through December 2002 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of one percent were made to the September 1, 2002 inventory, two percent to the June-August 2002 pig crop, and one percent to the December 1, 2002 inventory. This report was approved on March 28, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Bill Hawks Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,524 59,248 58,107 101 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,232 6,236 5,956 96 96 Market : 51,292 53,011 52,151 102 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,737 19,487 19,110 102 98 60-119 Pounds : 12,417 12,975 12,655 102 98 120-179 Pounds : 10,805 11,172 10,894 101 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,334 9,377 9,492 102 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,603 60,288 Kept for Breeding : 6,186 6,209 Market : 52,417 54,078 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,923 20,186 60-119 Pounds : 12,992 13,588 120-179 Pounds : 10,536 10,884 180 Pounds and Over : 8,967 9,420 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,777 60,725 Kept for Breeding : 6,158 6,054 Market : 53,619 54,670 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,911 20,070 60-119 Pounds : 13,438 13,655 120-179 Pounds : 10,854 11,019 180 Pounds and Over : 9,417 9,926 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,804 59,513 Kept for Breeding : 6,209 6,012 Market : 53,594 53,501 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,908 19,461 60-119 Pounds : 12,924 13,054 120-179 Pounds : 10,744 10,881 180 Pounds and Over : 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :--------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,748 2,836 2,767 101 98 Mar-May 3/ : 2,870 2,943 2,842 99 97 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,619 5,779 5,610 100 97 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,878 2,887 2,792 97 97 Sep-Nov : 2,889 2,817 Jun-Nov : 5,767 5,704 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,963 24,794 24,374 102 98 Mar-May : 25,509 25,959 Dec-May 2/ : 49,472 50,752 : Jun-Aug : 25,539 25,700 Sep-Nov : 25,492 24,892 Jun-Nov : 51,031 50,592 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.72 8.74 8.81 101 101 Mar-May : 8.89 8.82 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.78 : Jun-Aug : 8.87 8.90 Sep-Nov : 8.82 8.83 Jun-Nov : 8.85 8.87 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2003. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2002-February 2003 plus intentions for March-May 2003. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.30 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.70 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 8.90 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.80 8.40 8.70 8.80 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 923 908 8.66 8.75 7,994 7,943 Jan : 946 931 8.73 8.82 8,257 8,211 Feb : 967 928 8.83 8.86 8,543 8,220 Mar : 978 8.80 8,608 Apr : 983 8.85 8,700 May : 982 8.81 8,651 Jun : 960 8.89 8,537 Jul : 968 8.89 8,609 Aug : 959 8.92 8,554 Sep : 951 8.85 8,416 Oct : 940 8.83 8,300 Nov : 926 8.83 8,176 : Total : 11,483 8.83 101,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Inventory 1st of Month : Bred during Month :-----------------------------------:----------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 Month : :-----------------------: :----------------------- : 2002 : : as % of : 2002 : : as % of : : Number : 2002 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- Percent --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : Dec 1/ : 6,031 5,850 97 1,194 1,165 98 Jan : 6,022 5,835 97 1,190 1,150 97 Feb : 6,020 5,810 97 1,156 1,125 97 Mar : 6,075 5,830 96 1,181 Apr : 5,980 1,173 May : 5,985 1,170 Jun : 6,030 1,168 Jul : 5,975 1,145 Aug : 5,940 1,120 Sep : 5,890 1,145 Oct : 5,870 1,160 Nov : 5,860 1,170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 75 71 485 200 41 590 275 47 CO : 180 120 67 610 590 97 790 710 90 IL : 450 420 93 3,750 3,530 94 4,200 3,950 94 IN : 340 320 94 2,860 2,780 97 3,200 3,100 97 IA : 1,120 1,040 93 13,980 13,860 99 15,100 14,900 99 KS : 170 160 94 1,430 1,300 91 1,600 1,460 91 MI : 120 100 83 840 770 92 960 870 91 MN : 570 590 104 5,230 5,510 105 5,800 6,100 105 MO : 370 360 97 2,580 2,590 100 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 390 375 96 2,610 2,475 95 3,000 2,850 95 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,600 98 9,800 9,600 98 OH : 165 160 97 1,305 1,270 97 1,470 1,430 97 OK : 330 330 100 1,960 2,130 109 2,290 2,460 107 PA : 130 120 92 960 950 99 1,090 1,070 98 SD : 150 145 97 1,120 1,145 102 1,270 1,290 102 TX : 100 100 100 810 790 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 60 100 440 440 100 500 500 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 486 481 99 3,241 3,221 99 3,728 3,702 99 : US : 6,236 5,956 96 53,011 52,151 98 59,248 58,107 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 130 65 20 80 20 90 30 CO : 330 305 95 85 70 85 115 115 IL : 1,330 1,270 940 860 820 780 660 620 IN : 1,040 1,040 720 660 580 560 520 520 IA : 4,360 4,300 3,800 3,810 3,220 3,100 2,600 2,650 KS : 490 430 270 250 290 250 380 370 MI : 310 270 215 190 165 165 150 145 MN : 2,070 2,120 1,330 1,320 1,060 1,190 770 880 MO : 1,120 1,230 630 570 520 480 310 310 NE : 1,070 1,000 680 610 500 470 360 395 NC : 3,450 3,350 2,000 2,000 1,850 1,800 1,500 1,450 OH : 545 525 310 305 290 280 160 160 OK : 860 880 310 380 280 310 510 560 PA : 345 340 255 245 200 180 160 185 SD : 375 380 295 295 265 270 185 200 TX : 265 220 175 210 165 160 205 200 WI : 165 165 105 100 90 90 80 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,112 1,155 780 745 727 704 622 617 : US : 19,487 19,110 12,975 12,655 11,172 10,894 9,377 9,492 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 100 95 545 495 91 650 595 92 CO : 170 150 88 590 600 102 760 750 99 IL : 420 450 107 3,680 3,800 103 4,100 4,250 104 IN : 350 330 94 2,800 2,870 103 3,150 3,200 102 IA : 1,120 1,130 101 13,780 14,470 105 14,900 15,600 105 KS : 165 165 100 1,365 1,385 101 1,530 1,550 101 MI : 110 110 100 810 810 100 920 920 100 MN : 590 580 98 5,210 5,320 102 5,800 5,900 102 MO : 390 380 97 2,660 2,670 100 3,050 3,050 100 NE : 360 395 110 2,540 2,555 101 2,900 2,950 102 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 8,900 102 9,700 9,900 102 OH : 160 170 106 1,300 1,330 102 1,460 1,500 103 OK : 330 320 97 1,860 2,120 114 2,190 2,440 111 PA : 120 130 108 910 940 103 1,030 1,070 104 SD : 140 140 100 1,130 1,130 100 1,270 1,270 100 TX : 95 105 111 765 885 116 860 990 115 WI : 75 65 87 495 465 94 570 530 93 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 486 489 101 3,277 3,333 102 3,763 3,823 102 : US : 6,186 6,209 100 52,417 54,078 103 58,603 60,288 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 190 255 140 65 115 80 100 95 CO : 335 305 65 95 75 90 115 110 IL : 1,320 1,400 950 970 760 780 650 650 IN : 1,040 1,040 680 740 540 570 540 520 IA : 4,350 4,570 3,800 4,050 3,080 3,250 2,550 2,600 KS : 475 510 295 310 240 245 355 320 MI : 315 310 215 205 155 155 125 140 MN : 2,140 2,080 1,300 1,380 1,050 1,100 720 760 MO : 1,320 1,180 560 640 480 510 300 340 NE : 1,050 1,050 650 660 490 470 350 375 NC : 3,600 3,600 2,110 2,150 1,620 1,700 1,370 1,450 OH : 530 530 325 335 280 290 165 175 OK : 850 920 310 300 270 290 430 610 PA : 360 345 235 245 175 180 140 170 SD : 430 405 280 300 245 250 175 175 TX : 270 290 150 235 150 160 195 200 WI : 195 165 115 120 100 95 85 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,153 1,231 812 788 711 669 602 645 : US : 19,923 20,186 12,992 13,588 10,536 10,884 8,967 9,420 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 90 90 555 455 82 655 545 83 CO : 175 145 83 605 615 102 780 760 97 IL : 420 430 102 3,780 3,820 101 4,200 4,250 101 IN : 330 330 100 2,820 2,870 102 3,150 3,200 102 IA : 1,120 1,100 98 13,980 14,500 104 15,100 15,600 103 KS : 165 160 97 1,435 1,400 98 1,600 1,560 98 MI : 110 120 109 860 820 95 970 940 97 MN : 590 580 98 5,310 5,520 104 5,900 6,100 103 MO : 380 350 92 2,670 2,600 97 3,050 2,950 97 NE : 360 360 100 2,590 2,540 98 2,950 2,900 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 9,200 103 9,900 10,200 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,310 1,330 102 1,470 1,490 101 OK : 330 330 100 2,040 2,150 105 2,370 2,480 105 PA : 125 125 100 955 945 99 1,080 1,070 99 SD : 140 140 100 1,140 1,180 104 1,280 1,320 103 TX : 95 100 105 795 900 113 890 1,000 112 WI : 75 55 73 485 425 88 560 480 86 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 483 479 99 3,389 3,400 100 3,872 3,880 100 : US : 6,158 6,054 98 53,619 54,670 102 59,777 60,725 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 245 225 110 65 100 75 100 90 CO : 340 310 80 95 75 90 110 120 IL : 1,380 1,390 930 960 790 790 680 680 IN : 1,050 1,050 700 720 550 570 520 530 IA : 4,370 4,490 3,910 4,040 3,100 3,160 2,600 2,810 KS : 470 485 290 260 275 240 400 415 MI : 330 315 225 210 175 160 130 135 MN : 2,190 2,170 1,320 1,410 1,060 1,140 740 800 MO : 1,140 1,190 630 550 520 470 380 390 NE : 1,030 1,000 670 650 510 500 380 390 NC : 3,500 3,600 2,200 2,300 1,800 1,800 1,400 1,500 OH : 545 540 325 320 270 280 170 190 OK : 880 890 340 370 235 340 585 550 PA : 375 340 250 250 180 180 150 175 SD : 395 400 290 320 260 270 195 190 TX : 295 265 180 240 145 195 175 200 WI : 195 160 110 100 90 75 90 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,181 1,250 878 795 719 684 612 671 : US : 19,911 20,070 13,438 13,655 10,854 11,019 9,417 9,926 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 80 80 480 225 47 580 305 53 CO : 175 160 91 625 630 101 800 790 99 IL : 450 430 96 3,800 3,670 97 4,250 4,100 96 IN : 340 330 97 2,860 2,870 100 3,200 3,200 100 IA : 1,130 1,050 93 14,270 14,450 101 15,400 15,500 101 KS : 170 160 94 1,400 1,370 98 1,570 1,530 97 MI : 110 100 91 850 760 89 960 860 90 MN : 570 580 102 5,230 5,420 104 5,800 6,000 103 MO : 380 360 95 2,620 2,590 99 3,000 2,950 98 NE : 370 365 99 2,530 2,585 102 2,900 2,950 102 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,700 99 9,800 9,700 99 OH : 160 155 97 1,270 1,285 101 1,430 1,440 101 OK : 340 330 97 2,140 2,160 101 2,480 2,490 100 PA : 130 125 96 930 955 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 145 140 97 1,145 1,170 102 1,290 1,310 102 TX : 100 105 105 800 825 103 900 930 103 WI : 65 60 92 475 460 97 540 520 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 482 102 3,369 3,376 100 3,844 3,858 100 : US : 6,209 6,012 97 53,594 53,501 100 59,804 59,513 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 230 115 75 40 75 35 100 35 CO : 350 350 90 90 75 80 110 110 IL : 1,380 1,320 920 890 830 800 670 660 IN : 1,040 1,010 710 690 580 620 530 550 IA : 4,510 4,400 3,900 3,950 3,060 3,200 2,800 2,900 KS : 480 440 290 310 250 290 380 330 MI : 315 285 205 180 170 145 160 150 MN : 2,130 2,110 1,250 1,330 1,030 1,080 820 900 MO : 1,140 1,190 600 530 510 480 370 390 NE : 1,030 1,010 610 670 500 500 390 405 NC : 3,500 3,450 2,020 2,050 1,730 1,700 1,550 1,500 OH : 520 525 310 310 265 275 175 175 OK : 860 910 350 330 300 250 630 670 PA : 365 340 235 250 180 185 150 180 SD : 410 370 290 310 250 265 195 225 TX : 260 240 140 230 165 180 235 175 WI : 180 165 105 110 100 95 90 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,208 1,231 824 784 674 701 663 660 : US : 19,908 19,461 12,924 13,054 10,744 10,881 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 41 79 9.20 9.70 478 398 83 CO : 79 75 95 8.40 8.35 664 626 94 IL : 210 200 95 8.55 8.85 1,796 1,770 99 IN : 155 150 97 8.70 8.85 1,349 1,328 98 IA : 420 410 98 8.60 8.50 3,612 3,485 96 KS : 79 76 96 8.40 8.50 664 646 97 MI : 50 43 86 9.00 8.80 450 378 84 MN : 260 265 102 8.80 8.80 2,288 2,332 102 MO : 170 170 100 8.85 8.85 1,505 1,505 100 NE : 170 175 103 8.80 8.75 1,496 1,531 102 NC : 540 530 98 8.95 9.00 4,833 4,770 99 OH : 74 73 99 8.95 8.90 662 650 98 OK : 170 170 100 8.75 8.80 1,488 1,496 101 PA : 53 49 92 8.80 9.30 466 456 98 SD : 70 64 91 8.90 9.05 623 579 93 TX : 43 43 100 9.00 8.75 387 376 97 WI : 28 29 104 8.45 8.60 237 249 105 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 204 96 8.43 8.80 1,796 1,799 100 : US : 2,836 2,767 98 8.74 8.81 24,794 24,374 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2003 3/ : per Litter : : 2002 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2001 : 2002 : :as % of: : : 2001 : :as % of : : :Number : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 54 52 33 63 9.00 9.60 486 499 103 CO : 79 76 69 91 8.30 8.50 656 646 98 IL : 210 225 205 91 8.85 8.60 1,859 1,935 104 IN : 155 155 145 94 8.90 8.80 1,380 1,364 99 IA : 450 470 450 96 8.75 8.55 3,938 4,019 102 KS : 77 82 80 98 8.65 8.75 666 718 108 MI : 50 50 46 92 8.90 8.85 445 443 100 MN : 270 270 270 100 9.05 8.95 2,444 2,417 99 MO : 185 180 170 94 8.90 8.95 1,647 1,611 98 NE : 160 175 175 100 8.80 9.00 1,408 1,575 112 NC : 540 550 550 100 9.00 9.00 4,860 4,950 102 OH : 73 75 73 97 8.70 8.95 635 671 106 OK : 165 165 170 103 9.35 8.85 1,543 1,460 95 PA : 52 54 52 96 8.90 8.70 463 470 102 SD : 66 70 69 99 8.90 8.80 587 616 105 TX : 40 45 50 111 8.80 8.90 352 401 114 WI : 33 29 27 93 8.60 8.55 284 248 87 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 211 220 208 95 8.78 8.69 1,856 1,916 103 : US : 2,870 2,943 2,842 97 8.89 8.82 25,509 25,959 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2003 3/ : per Litter : : 2002 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2001 : 2002 : :as % of: : : 2001 : :as % of : : :Number : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 57 52 30 58 9.30 9.55 530 497 94 CO : 79 75 65 87 8.45 8.35 668 626 94 IL : 210 210 200 95 8.65 8.75 1,817 1,838 101 IN : 150 155 145 94 8.90 8.70 1,335 1,349 101 IA : 440 430 440 102 8.60 8.80 3,784 3,784 100 KS : 78 82 80 98 8.70 8.75 679 718 106 MI : 52 55 42 76 9.10 9.05 473 498 105 MN : 265 265 270 102 9.00 8.85 2,385 2,345 98 MO : 180 175 160 91 8.90 8.90 1,602 1,558 97 NE : 155 165 175 106 8.70 9.00 1,349 1,485 110 NC : 550 560 550 98 9.10 9.10 5,005 5,096 102 OH : 75 78 73 94 8.90 8.90 668 694 104 OK : 175 170 170 100 9.40 9.05 1,645 1,539 94 PA : 54 53 51 96 8.80 9.00 475 477 100 SD : 66 69 64 93 8.85 9.05 584 624 107 TX : 44 50 48 96 8.70 8.95 383 448 117 WI : 36 26 26 100 8.15 8.35 293 217 74 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 212 217 203 94 8.79 8.80 1,864 1,907 102 : US : 2,878 2,887 2,792 97 8.87 8.90 25,539 25,700 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2002 : per Litter : : 2002 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2001 : :as % of : : : 2001 : :as % of : : Number : 2001 : 2001 : 2002 : : Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 51 44 86 9.50 9.80 485 431 89 CO : 82 75 91 8.50 8.60 697 645 93 IL : 220 210 95 8.60 8.65 1,892 1,817 96 IN : 155 150 97 8.70 8.75 1,349 1,313 97 IA : 460 430 93 8.70 8.50 4,002 3,655 91 KS : 81 79 98 8.55 8.70 693 687 99 MI : 46 42 91 9.15 9.10 421 382 91 MN : 265 270 102 9.00 8.90 2,385 2,403 101 MO : 180 175 97 8.80 8.80 1,584 1,540 97 NE : 165 170 103 8.70 9.05 1,436 1,539 107 NC : 530 530 100 9.00 9.00 4,770 4,770 100 OH : 74 73 99 8.80 8.85 651 646 99 OK : 170 165 97 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,502 97 PA : 55 53 96 8.80 9.00 484 477 99 SD : 71 61 86 8.95 9.00 635 549 86 TX : 41 46 112 8.90 8.85 365 407 112 WI : 30 28 93 8.45 8.70 254 244 96 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 213 216 102 8.66 8.71 1,842 1,885 102 : US : 2,889 2,817 98 8.82 8.83 25,492 24,892 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 12,100 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,800 operations, 81 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of March by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 58.1 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.8 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.8 1,046 507 40 1,230 7 13 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.4 2.4 585 255 0 933 11 9 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.1 88 34 1 158 11 9 : Following : Quarter : 2.2 3.8 106 50 1 146 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States. . 5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February. . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 The next "Monthly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on April 25, 2003. The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on June 27, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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