Mt An 4 (6-03) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 27, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 3 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2003, was 58.7 million head. This was 3 percent below June 1, 2002, and 1 percent above March 1, 2003. Breeding inventory, at 5.94 million head, was down 4 percent from June 1, 2002, and slightly below last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 52.8 million head, was 2 percent below last year and 1 percent above last quarter. The March-May 2003 U.S. pig crop, at 25.1 million head, was 3 percent less than 2002, and 2 percent less than 2001. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.82 million head, 4 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 47 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.88 pigs saved per litter for the March-May 2003 period, compared to 8.82 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.83 million sows farrow during the June-August 2003 quarter, 2 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in both 2002 and 2001. Intended farrowings for September-November 2003, at 2.79 million sows, are 1 percent below the same period in 2002, and 3 percent below 2001. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 35 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 32 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2002 through March 2003 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, a slight adjustment of less than one-half percent was made to the March 1, 2003 inventory. This report was approved on June 27, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Bill Hawks Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,524 59,248 58,187 101 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,232 6,236 5,956 96 96 Market : 51,292 53,011 52,231 102 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,737 19,487 19,110 102 98 60-119 Pounds : 12,417 12,975 12,655 102 98 120-179 Pounds : 10,805 11,172 10,944 101 98 180 Pounds and Over : 9,334 9,377 9,522 102 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,603 60,288 58,736 100 97 Kept for Breeding : 6,186 6,209 5,940 96 96 Market : 52,417 54,078 52,796 101 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,923 20,186 19,617 98 97 60-119 Pounds : 12,992 13,588 13,113 101 97 120-179 Pounds : 10,536 10,884 10,697 102 98 180 Pounds and Over : 8,967 9,420 9,369 104 99 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,777 60,725 Kept for Breeding : 6,158 6,054 Market : 53,619 54,670 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,911 20,070 60-119 Pounds : 13,438 13,655 120-179 Pounds : 10,854 11,019 180 Pounds and Over : 9,417 9,926 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,804 59,513 Kept for Breeding : 6,209 6,012 Market : 53,594 53,501 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,908 19,461 60-119 Pounds : 12,924 13,054 120-179 Pounds : 10,744 10,881 180 Pounds and Over : 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2003 as % of Item : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 :--------------- : : : : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,748 2,836 2,767 101 98 Mar-May : 2,870 2,943 2,821 98 96 Dec-May 2/ : 5,619 5,779 5,589 99 97 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,878 2,887 2,827 98 98 Sep-Nov 3/ : 2,889 2,817 2,794 97 99 Jun-Nov 3/ : 5,767 5,704 5,621 97 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,963 24,794 24,374 102 98 Mar-May : 25,509 25,959 25,053 98 97 Dec-May 2/ : 49,472 50,752 49,427 100 97 : Jun-Aug : 25,539 25,700 Sep-Nov : 25,492 24,892 Jun-Nov : 51,031 50,592 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.72 8.74 8.81 101 101 Mar-May : 8.89 8.82 8.88 100 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.78 8.84 100 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.87 8.90 Sep-Nov : 8.82 8.83 Jun-Nov : 8.85 8.87 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2003. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.30 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.70 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 8.90 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.80 8.40 8.70 8.80 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 923 908 8.66 8.75 7,994 7,943 Jan : 946 931 8.73 8.82 8,257 8,211 Feb : 967 928 8.83 8.86 8,543 8,220 Mar : 978 938 8.80 8.85 8,608 8,301 Apr : 983 942 8.85 8.88 8,700 8,365 May : 982 941 8.81 8.91 8,651 8,387 Jun : 960 8.89 8,537 Jul : 968 8.89 8,609 Aug : 959 8.92 8,554 Sep : 951 8.85 8,416 Oct : 940 8.83 8,300 Nov : 926 8.83 8,176 : Total : 11,483 8.83 101,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Inventory 1st of Month : Bred during Month :-----------------------------------:----------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 Month : :-----------------------: :----------------------- : 2002 : : as % of : 2002 : : as % of : : Number : 2002 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- Percent --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : Dec 1/ : 6,031 5,850 97 1,194 1,165 98 Jan : 6,022 5,835 97 1,190 1,150 97 Feb : 6,020 5,810 97 1,156 1,125 97 Mar : 6,075 5,830 96 1,181 1,135 96 Apr : 5,980 5,765 96 1,173 1,145 98 May : 5,985 5,770 96 1,170 1,140 97 Jun : 6,030 5,815 96 1,168 Jul : 5,975 1,145 Aug : 5,940 1,120 Sep : 5,890 1,145 Oct : 5,870 1,160 Nov : 5,860 1,170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 105 75 71 485 200 41 590 275 47 CO : 180 120 67 610 590 97 790 710 90 IL : 450 420 93 3,750 3,530 94 4,200 3,950 94 IN : 340 320 94 2,860 2,780 97 3,200 3,100 97 IA : 1,120 1,040 93 13,980 13,960 100 15,100 15,000 99 KS : 170 160 94 1,430 1,310 92 1,600 1,470 92 MI : 120 100 83 840 770 92 960 870 91 MN : 570 590 104 5,230 5,510 105 5,800 6,100 105 MO : 370 360 97 2,580 2,590 100 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 390 375 96 2,610 2,525 97 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,600 98 9,800 9,600 98 OH : 165 160 97 1,305 1,280 98 1,470 1,440 98 OK : 330 330 100 1,960 2,030 104 2,290 2,360 103 PA : 130 120 92 960 950 99 1,090 1,070 98 SD : 150 145 97 1,120 1,155 103 1,270 1,300 102 TX : 100 100 100 810 790 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 60 100 440 440 100 500 500 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 486 481 99 3,241 3,221 99 3,728 3,702 99 : US : 6,236 5,956 96 53,011 52,231 99 59,248 58,187 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 130 65 20 80 20 90 30 CO : 330 305 95 85 70 85 115 115 IL : 1,330 1,270 940 860 820 780 660 620 IN : 1,040 1,040 720 660 580 560 520 520 IA : 4,360 4,300 3,800 3,810 3,220 3,150 2,600 2,700 KS : 490 430 270 250 290 250 380 380 MI : 310 270 215 190 165 165 150 145 MN : 2,070 2,120 1,330 1,320 1,060 1,190 770 880 MO : 1,120 1,230 630 570 520 480 310 310 NE : 1,070 1,000 680 640 500 490 360 395 NC : 3,450 3,350 2,000 2,000 1,850 1,800 1,500 1,450 OH : 545 525 310 305 290 280 160 170 OK : 860 880 310 350 280 290 510 510 PA : 345 340 255 245 200 180 160 185 SD : 375 380 295 295 265 270 185 210 TX : 265 220 175 210 165 160 205 200 WI : 165 165 105 100 90 90 80 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,112 1,155 780 745 727 704 622 617 : US : 19,487 19,110 12,975 12,655 11,172 10,944 9,377 9,522 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 75 75 495 185 37 595 260 44 CO : 150 120 80 600 600 100 750 720 96 IL : 450 420 93 3,800 3,580 94 4,250 4,000 94 IN : 330 310 94 2,870 2,690 94 3,200 3,000 94 IA : 1,130 1,040 92 14,470 14,460 100 15,600 15,500 99 KS : 165 165 100 1,385 1,325 96 1,550 1,490 96 MI : 110 100 91 810 800 99 920 900 98 MN : 580 590 102 5,320 5,610 105 5,900 6,200 105 MO : 380 340 89 2,670 2,560 96 3,050 2,900 95 NE : 395 375 95 2,555 2,575 101 2,950 2,950 100 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 8,600 97 9,900 9,600 97 OH : 170 155 91 1,330 1,295 97 1,500 1,450 97 OK : 320 350 109 2,120 1,940 92 2,440 2,290 94 PA : 130 120 92 940 930 99 1,070 1,050 98 SD : 140 145 104 1,130 1,175 104 1,270 1,320 104 TX : 105 110 105 885 800 90 990 910 92 WI : 65 55 85 465 425 91 530 480 91 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 489 470 96 3,333 3,246 97 3,823 3,716 97 : US : 6,209 5,940 96 54,078 52,796 98 60,288 58,736 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 255 110 65 25 80 25 95 25 CO : 305 310 95 90 90 85 110 115 IL : 1,400 1,300 970 900 780 750 650 630 IN : 1,040 960 740 650 570 560 520 520 IA : 4,570 4,610 4,050 3,960 3,250 3,190 2,600 2,700 KS : 510 435 310 295 245 240 320 355 MI : 310 290 205 210 155 160 140 140 MN : 2,080 2,170 1,380 1,430 1,100 1,180 760 830 MO : 1,180 1,240 640 540 510 470 340 310 NE : 1,050 1,020 660 690 470 480 375 385 NC : 3,600 3,550 2,150 2,100 1,700 1,650 1,450 1,300 OH : 530 540 335 315 290 270 175 170 OK : 920 850 300 300 290 260 610 530 PA : 345 340 245 230 180 175 170 185 SD : 405 370 300 305 250 280 175 220 TX : 290 265 235 160 160 135 200 240 WI : 165 170 120 95 95 85 85 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,231 1,087 788 818 669 702 645 639 : US : 20,186 19,617 13,588 13,113 10,884 10,697 9,420 9,369 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 90 90 555 455 82 655 545 83 CO : 175 145 83 605 615 102 780 760 97 IL : 420 430 102 3,780 3,820 101 4,200 4,250 101 IN : 330 330 100 2,820 2,870 102 3,150 3,200 102 IA : 1,120 1,100 98 13,980 14,500 104 15,100 15,600 103 KS : 165 160 97 1,435 1,400 98 1,600 1,560 98 MI : 110 120 109 860 820 95 970 940 97 MN : 590 580 98 5,310 5,520 104 5,900 6,100 103 MO : 380 350 92 2,670 2,600 97 3,050 2,950 97 NE : 360 360 100 2,590 2,540 98 2,950 2,900 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 9,200 103 9,900 10,200 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,310 1,330 102 1,470 1,490 101 OK : 330 330 100 2,040 2,150 105 2,370 2,480 105 PA : 125 125 100 955 945 99 1,080 1,070 99 SD : 140 140 100 1,140 1,180 104 1,280 1,320 103 TX : 95 100 105 795 900 113 890 1,000 112 WI : 75 55 73 485 425 88 560 480 86 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 483 479 99 3,389 3,400 100 3,872 3,880 100 : US : 6,158 6,054 98 53,619 54,670 102 59,777 60,725 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 245 225 110 65 100 75 100 90 CO : 340 310 80 95 75 90 110 120 IL : 1,380 1,390 930 960 790 790 680 680 IN : 1,050 1,050 700 720 550 570 520 530 IA : 4,370 4,490 3,910 4,040 3,100 3,160 2,600 2,810 KS : 470 485 290 260 275 240 400 415 MI : 330 315 225 210 175 160 130 135 MN : 2,190 2,170 1,320 1,410 1,060 1,140 740 800 MO : 1,140 1,190 630 550 520 470 380 390 NE : 1,030 1,000 670 650 510 500 380 390 NC : 3,500 3,600 2,200 2,300 1,800 1,800 1,400 1,500 OH : 545 540 325 320 270 280 170 190 OK : 880 890 340 370 235 340 585 550 PA : 375 340 250 250 180 180 150 175 SD : 395 400 290 320 260 270 195 190 TX : 295 265 180 240 145 195 175 200 WI : 195 160 110 100 90 75 90 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,181 1,250 878 795 719 684 612 671 : US : 19,911 20,070 13,438 13,655 10,854 11,019 9,417 9,926 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : : 2002 : : 2002 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of: 2001 : :as % of : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 100 80 80 480 225 47 580 305 53 CO : 175 160 91 625 630 101 800 790 99 IL : 450 430 96 3,800 3,720 98 4,250 4,150 98 IN : 340 330 97 2,860 2,870 100 3,200 3,200 100 IA : 1,130 1,050 93 14,270 14,550 102 15,400 15,600 101 KS : 170 160 94 1,400 1,370 98 1,570 1,530 97 MI : 110 100 91 850 760 89 960 860 90 MN : 570 580 102 5,230 5,420 104 5,800 6,000 103 MO : 380 360 95 2,620 2,590 99 3,000 2,950 98 NE : 370 365 99 2,530 2,585 102 2,900 2,950 102 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 8,700 99 9,800 9,700 99 OH : 160 155 97 1,270 1,285 101 1,430 1,440 101 OK : 340 330 97 2,140 2,010 94 2,480 2,340 94 PA : 130 125 96 930 955 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 145 140 97 1,145 1,170 102 1,290 1,310 102 TX : 100 105 105 800 825 103 900 930 103 WI : 65 60 92 475 460 97 540 520 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 482 102 3,369 3,376 100 3,844 3,858 100 : US : 6,209 6,012 97 53,594 53,501 100 59,804 59,513 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 230 115 75 40 75 35 100 35 CO : 350 350 90 90 75 80 110 110 IL : 1,380 1,320 920 920 830 800 670 680 IN : 1,040 1,010 710 690 580 620 530 550 IA : 4,510 4,400 3,900 3,950 3,060 3,250 2,800 2,950 KS : 480 440 290 320 250 290 380 320 MI : 315 285 205 180 170 145 160 150 MN : 2,130 2,110 1,250 1,330 1,030 1,080 820 900 MO : 1,140 1,190 600 530 510 480 370 390 NE : 1,030 1,010 610 670 500 500 390 405 NC : 3,500 3,450 2,020 2,050 1,730 1,700 1,550 1,500 OH : 520 525 310 310 265 275 175 175 OK : 860 910 350 280 300 200 630 620 PA : 365 340 235 250 180 185 150 180 SD : 410 370 290 310 250 265 195 225 TX : 260 240 140 240 165 180 235 165 WI : 180 165 105 110 100 95 90 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,208 1,231 824 784 674 701 663 660 : US : 19,908 19,461 12,924 13,054 10,744 10,881 10,018 10,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2002-2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 41 79 9.20 9.70 478 398 83 CO : 79 75 95 8.40 8.35 664 626 94 IL : 210 200 95 8.55 8.85 1,796 1,770 99 IN : 155 150 97 8.70 8.85 1,349 1,328 98 IA : 420 410 98 8.60 8.50 3,612 3,485 96 KS : 79 76 96 8.40 8.50 664 646 97 MI : 50 43 86 9.00 8.80 450 378 84 MN : 260 265 102 8.80 8.80 2,288 2,332 102 MO : 170 170 100 8.85 8.85 1,505 1,505 100 NE : 170 175 103 8.80 8.75 1,496 1,531 102 NC : 540 530 98 8.95 9.00 4,833 4,770 99 OH : 74 73 99 8.95 8.90 662 650 98 OK : 170 170 100 8.75 8.80 1,488 1,496 101 PA : 53 49 92 8.80 9.30 466 456 98 SD : 70 64 91 8.90 9.05 623 579 93 TX : 43 43 100 9.00 8.75 387 376 97 WI : 28 29 104 8.45 8.60 237 249 105 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 204 96 8.43 8.80 1,796 1,799 100 : US : 2,836 2,767 98 8.74 8.81 24,794 24,374 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2003 : per Litter : : 2003 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2002 : :as % of : : : 2002 : :as % of : : Number : 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : : Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 35 67 9.60 9.70 499 340 68 CO : 76 65 86 8.50 8.50 646 553 86 IL : 225 205 91 8.60 8.90 1,935 1,825 94 IN : 155 140 90 8.80 8.95 1,364 1,253 92 IA : 470 460 98 8.55 8.70 4,019 4,002 100 KS : 82 81 99 8.75 8.50 718 689 96 MI : 50 44 88 8.85 9.00 443 396 89 MN : 270 270 100 8.95 8.95 2,417 2,417 100 MO : 180 170 94 8.95 8.70 1,611 1,479 92 NE : 175 175 100 9.00 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 550 540 98 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,860 98 OH : 75 71 95 8.95 9.00 671 639 95 OK : 165 170 103 8.85 8.90 1,460 1,513 104 PA : 54 49 91 8.70 9.30 470 456 97 SD : 70 66 94 8.80 9.10 616 601 98 TX : 45 47 104 8.90 9.00 401 423 105 WI : 29 27 93 8.55 8.75 248 236 95 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 220 206 94 8.69 8.78 1,916 1,813 95 : US : 2,943 2,821 96 8.82 8.88 25,959 25,053 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2003 3/ : per Litter : : 2002 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2001 : 2002 : :as % of: : : 2001 : :as % of : : :Number : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 57 52 33 63 9.30 9.55 530 497 94 CO : 79 75 66 88 8.45 8.35 668 626 94 IL : 210 210 205 98 8.65 8.75 1,817 1,838 101 IN : 150 155 135 87 8.90 8.70 1,335 1,349 101 IA : 440 430 450 105 8.60 8.80 3,784 3,784 100 KS : 78 82 82 100 8.70 8.75 679 718 106 MI : 52 55 46 84 9.10 9.05 473 498 105 MN : 265 265 270 102 9.00 8.85 2,385 2,345 98 MO : 180 175 165 94 8.90 8.90 1,602 1,558 97 NE : 155 165 175 106 8.70 9.00 1,349 1,485 110 NC : 550 560 540 96 9.10 9.10 5,005 5,096 102 OH : 75 78 73 94 8.90 8.90 668 694 104 OK : 175 170 180 106 9.40 9.05 1,645 1,539 94 PA : 54 53 51 96 8.80 9.00 475 477 100 SD : 66 69 69 100 8.85 9.05 584 624 107 TX : 44 50 55 110 8.70 8.95 383 448 117 WI : 36 26 26 100 8.15 8.35 293 217 74 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 212 217 206 95 8.79 8.80 1,864 1,907 102 : US : 2,878 2,887 2,827 98 8.87 8.90 25,539 25,700 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2003 3/ : per Litter : : 2002 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2001 : 2002 : :as % of: : : 2001 : :as % of : : :Number : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : :Number : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 51 44 30 68 9.50 9.80 485 431 89 CO : 82 75 62 83 8.50 8.60 697 645 93 IL : 220 210 205 98 8.60 8.65 1,892 1,817 96 IN : 155 150 130 87 8.70 8.75 1,349 1,313 97 IA : 460 430 450 105 8.70 8.50 4,002 3,655 91 KS : 81 79 84 106 8.55 8.70 693 687 99 MI : 46 42 42 100 9.15 9.10 421 382 91 MN : 265 270 270 100 9.00 8.90 2,385 2,403 101 MO : 180 175 160 91 8.80 8.80 1,584 1,540 97 NE : 165 170 175 103 8.70 9.05 1,436 1,539 107 NC : 530 530 540 102 9.00 9.00 4,770 4,770 100 OH : 74 73 71 97 8.80 8.85 651 646 99 OK : 170 165 175 106 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,502 97 PA : 55 53 51 96 8.80 9.00 484 477 99 SD : 71 61 70 115 8.95 9.00 635 549 86 TX : 41 46 50 109 8.90 8.85 365 407 112 WI : 30 28 26 93 8.45 8.70 254 244 96 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 216 203 94 8.66 8.71 1,842 1,885 102 : US : 2,889 2,817 2,794 99 8.82 8.83 25,492 24,892 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 12,100 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,700 operations, 80 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of June by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 58.7 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.8 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.8 1,057 506 40 1,230 7 13 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.4 2.4 601 240 0 933 12 8 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.1 88 35 1 158 12 8 : Following : Quarter : 2.2 3.8 106 50 1 146 13 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February. . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . 18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November . . . 19 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . 14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . 10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . .8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . 12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . 15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . .9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . 13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . .6 Monthly Sows and Gilts: Inventory and Number Bred, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . .6 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 20 The next "Monthly Hogs and Pigs" report will released at 3 p.m. ET on July 25, 2003. The next "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on September 26, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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