Mt An 4 (6-04) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 25, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2004 was 60.1 million head. This was 1 percent above both June 1, 2003 and March 1, 2004. Breeding inventory, at 5.91 million head, was down 2 percent from June 1, 2003, and down slightly from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.2 million head, was 1 percent above both last year and last quarter. The March - May 2004 U.S. pig crop, at 25.5 million head, was down less than one-half of one percent from 2003, and down 2 percent from 2002. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.86 million head, 1 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 8.93 for the March - May 2004 period, compared to 8.88 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.87 million sows farrow during the June-August 2004 quarter, 1 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in both 2003 and 2002. Intended farrowings for September-November 2004, at 2.84 million sows, are down slightly from the same period in 2003, but up slightly from the same period in 2002. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 38 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 35 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2003 through March 2004 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review small adjustments were made within inventory components for March 2004. No adjustment was made to March 2004 total inventory. This report was approved on June 25, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2002-20041 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2002-20042 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2002-2004 March 1.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 December 1 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2002-2004 December-February.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 March-May.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 June-August.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 September-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2003-2004. . . 17 Reliability Statement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,256 58,183 59,315 100 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,230 6,017 5,917 95 98 Market : 53,026 52,166 53,397 101 102 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,560 19,086 19,684 101 103 60-119 Pounds : 12,938 12,649 12,990 100 103 120-179 Pounds : 11,148 10,915 11,146 100 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,380 9,516 9,579 102 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,391 59,602 60,083 99 101 Kept for Breeding : 6,208 6,006 5,913 95 98 Market : 54,183 53,596 54,169 100 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,226 20,433 20,308 100 99 60-119 Pounds : 13,539 12,972 13,251 98 102 120-179 Pounds : 10,906 10,828 11,077 102 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,512 9,363 9,535 100 102 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,753 60,829 Kept for Breeding : 6,051 5,898 Market : 54,702 54,931 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,038 20,358 60-119 Pounds : 13,632 13,729 120-179 Pounds : 11,113 11,334 180 Pounds and Over : 9,919 9,510 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,554 60,389 Kept for Breeding : 6,058 5,965 Market : 53,496 54,423 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,485 19,744 60-119 Pounds : 13,033 13,259 120-179 Pounds : 10,875 11,110 180 Pounds and Over : 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,835 2,769 2,814 99 102 Mar-May : 2,941 2,885 2,857 97 99 Dec-May 2/ : 5,776 5,655 5,671 98 100 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,883 2,906 2,867 99 99 Sep-Nov 3/ : 2,833 2,841 2,837 100 100 Jun-Nov 3/ : 5,716 5,746 5,703 100 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,857 24,399 24,895 100 102 Mar-May : 26,001 25,627 25,520 98 100 Dec-May 2/ : 50,858 50,027 50,414 99 101 : Jun-Aug : 25,725 25,869 Sep-Nov : 25,094 25,359 Jun-Nov : 50,820 51,227 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.77 8.81 8.85 101 100 Mar-May : 8.84 8.88 8.93 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.85 8.89 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 8.92 8.90 Sep-Nov : 8.86 8.93 Jun-Nov : 8.89 8.91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2004. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.40 7.90 8.30 8.60 8.70 9.10 : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : 7.70 7.90 8.30 8.70 8.90 9.00 Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 200 230 115 275 315 115 CO : 130 115 88 590 525 89 720 640 89 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,440 97 3,950 3,850 97 IN : 320 300 94 2,780 2,800 101 3,100 3,100 100 IA : 1,060 1,040 98 13,940 14,460 104 15,000 15,500 103 KS : 160 170 106 1,310 1,550 118 1,470 1,720 117 MI : 100 100 100 770 830 108 870 930 107 MN : 600 600 100 5,500 5,800 105 6,100 6,400 105 MO : 360 330 92 2,590 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 380 360 95 2,520 2,490 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,900 103 9,600 9,900 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,280 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 340 350 103 2,030 2,000 99 2,370 2,350 99 PA : 125 120 96 945 910 96 1,070 1,030 96 SD : 145 145 100 1,155 1,095 95 1,300 1,240 95 TX : 105 110 105 785 810 103 890 920 103 WI : 60 55 92 440 395 90 500 450 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 467 98 3,201 3,232 101 3,678 3,700 101 : US : 6,017 5,917 98 52,166 53,397 102 58,183 59,315 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 135 20 30 20 30 30 35 CO : 305 290 85 60 85 65 115 110 IL : 1,270 1,260 860 820 780 750 620 610 IN : 1,040 1,010 660 660 560 620 520 510 IA : 4,290 4,510 3,810 4,000 3,140 3,250 2,700 2,700 KS : 430 530 250 285 250 310 380 425 MI : 270 300 190 205 165 175 145 150 MN : 2,110 2,200 1,320 1,420 1,190 1,220 880 960 MO : 1,230 1,270 570 510 480 470 310 320 NE : 1,000 980 640 640 485 470 395 400 NC : 3,350 3,500 2,000 2,200 1,800 1,800 1,450 1,400 OH : 525 550 305 320 280 290 170 200 OK : 880 940 350 310 290 250 510 500 PA : 340 300 245 240 175 210 185 160 SD : 380 375 295 245 270 265 210 210 TX : 220 265 210 180 155 195 200 170 WI : 165 155 100 90 90 80 85 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,151 1,114 739 775 700 696 611 649 : US : 19,086 19,684 12,649 12,990 10,915 11,146 9,516 9,579 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 195 250 128 270 335 124 CO : 125 125 100 605 585 97 730 710 97 IL : 420 420 100 3,630 3,530 97 4,050 3,950 98 IN : 310 290 94 2,740 2,810 103 3,050 3,100 102 IA : 1,070 1,060 99 14,730 14,840 101 15,800 15,900 101 KS : 165 165 100 1,345 1,565 116 1,510 1,730 115 MI : 100 95 95 830 815 98 930 910 98 MN : 600 600 100 5,700 5,900 104 6,300 6,500 103 MO : 340 320 94 2,560 2,580 101 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 380 360 95 2,570 2,490 97 2,950 2,850 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 9,100 103 9,800 10,100 103 OH : 160 155 97 1,300 1,295 100 1,460 1,450 99 OK : 360 350 97 1,940 2,100 108 2,300 2,450 107 PA : 120 110 92 940 870 93 1,060 980 92 SD : 145 145 100 1,185 1,085 92 1,330 1,230 92 TX : 110 110 100 800 760 95 910 870 96 WI : 60 50 83 420 390 93 480 440 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 473 102 3,306 3,204 97 3,772 3,678 97 : US : 6,006 5,913 98 53,596 54,169 101 59,602 60,083 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 145 25 40 25 30 25 35 CO : 315 310 90 95 85 80 115 100 IL : 1,330 1,350 890 850 780 750 630 580 IN : 990 1,020 650 630 570 600 530 560 IA : 4,890 4,540 3,950 4,200 3,190 3,300 2,700 2,800 KS : 445 540 285 320 255 275 360 430 MI : 310 310 210 190 165 170 145 145 MN : 2,300 2,360 1,390 1,420 1,180 1,230 830 890 MO : 1,250 1,280 530 520 470 480 310 300 NE : 1,020 980 680 660 495 460 375 390 NC : 3,750 3,750 2,100 2,150 1,650 1,750 1,300 1,450 OH : 535 535 315 310 275 270 175 180 OK : 860 980 280 330 280 310 520 480 PA : 350 310 220 230 190 180 180 150 SD : 380 370 305 290 280 250 220 175 TX : 275 255 150 165 135 175 240 165 WI : 170 150 90 85 85 80 75 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,123 812 766 718 687 633 630 : US : 20,433 20,308 12,972 13,251 10,828 11,077 9,363 9,535 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 80 89 455 200 44 545 280 51 CO : 145 110 76 615 630 102 760 740 97 IL : 430 420 98 3,820 3,530 92 4,250 3,950 93 IN : 330 300 91 2,870 2,750 96 3,200 3,050 95 IA : 1,100 1,030 94 14,500 15,070 104 15,600 16,100 103 KS : 160 165 103 1,410 1,505 107 1,570 1,670 106 MI : 120 100 83 820 820 100 940 920 98 MN : 580 600 103 5,620 5,900 105 6,200 6,500 105 MO : 350 330 94 2,550 2,570 101 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 360 375 104 2,540 2,675 105 2,900 3,050 105 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 9,200 9,200 100 10,200 10,200 100 OH : 160 155 97 1,340 1,325 99 1,500 1,480 99 OK : 330 360 109 2,160 2,070 96 2,490 2,430 98 PA : 125 120 96 955 1,010 106 1,080 1,130 105 SD : 140 135 96 1,180 1,155 98 1,320 1,290 98 TX : 100 95 95 900 825 92 1,000 920 92 WI : 55 60 109 425 440 104 480 500 104 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 476 463 97 3,342 3,256 97 3,818 3,719 97 : US : 6,051 5,898 97 54,702 54,931 100 60,753 60,829 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 225 110 65 35 75 30 90 25 CO : 310 325 95 95 90 90 120 120 IL : 1,390 1,310 960 870 790 770 680 580 IN : 1,050 1,030 720 690 570 550 530 480 IA : 4,490 4,760 4,040 4,100 3,160 3,400 2,810 2,810 KS : 485 500 260 350 250 235 415 420 MI : 315 300 210 210 160 165 135 145 MN : 2,170 2,300 1,450 1,510 1,200 1,260 800 830 MO : 1,180 1,220 510 550 470 480 390 320 NE : 1,000 1,060 650 700 500 510 390 405 NC : 3,600 3,650 2,300 2,350 1,800 1,850 1,500 1,350 OH : 540 545 320 345 290 280 190 155 OK : 890 950 370 300 350 290 550 530 PA : 340 360 250 240 190 200 175 210 SD : 400 380 320 310 270 275 190 190 TX : 265 290 240 160 195 150 200 225 WI : 160 175 100 100 75 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,228 1,093 772 814 678 714 664 635 : US : 20,038 20,358 13,632 13,729 11,113 11,334 9,919 9,510 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 85 106 225 225 100 305 310 102 CO : 160 110 69 630 580 92 790 690 87 IL : 430 410 95 3,720 3,590 97 4,150 4,000 96 IN : 330 300 91 2,920 2,800 96 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,100 1,060 96 14,400 14,840 103 15,500 15,900 103 KS : 160 160 100 1,370 1,490 109 1,530 1,650 108 MI : 100 110 110 770 840 109 870 950 109 MN : 580 600 103 5,520 5,900 107 6,100 6,500 107 MO : 360 340 94 2,590 2,610 101 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 365 370 101 2,635 2,530 96 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 9,000 103 9,700 10,000 103 OH : 155 160 103 1,285 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 330 360 109 1,910 2,020 106 2,240 2,380 106 PA : 130 120 92 1,000 990 99 1,130 1,110 98 SD : 140 145 104 1,190 1,135 95 1,330 1,280 96 TX : 105 105 100 825 825 100 930 930 100 WI : 60 55 92 460 425 92 520 480 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 473 475 100 3,346 3,263 98 3,819 3,739 98 : US : 6,058 5,965 98 53,496 54,423 102 59,554 60,389 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 115 120 40 30 35 30 35 45 CO : 350 305 90 70 80 70 110 135 IL : 1,320 1,280 920 860 800 770 680 680 IN : 1,040 990 710 670 620 580 550 560 IA : 4,350 4,510 3,900 4,130 3,200 3,200 2,950 3,000 KS : 440 510 320 285 290 280 320 415 MI : 285 300 180 205 155 175 150 160 MN : 2,110 2,210 1,350 1,420 1,130 1,250 930 1,020 MO : 1,190 1,280 530 530 480 460 390 340 NE : 1,040 960 690 650 500 490 405 430 NC : 3,450 3,550 2,050 2,200 1,700 1,750 1,500 1,500 OH : 525 540 310 330 275 280 175 210 OK : 910 920 260 320 160 320 580 460 PA : 355 350 250 235 200 195 195 210 SD : 370 385 310 250 280 280 230 220 TX : 240 245 240 195 180 200 165 185 WI : 165 165 110 95 95 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,230 1,124 773 784 695 695 648 662 : US : 19,485 19,744 13,033 13,259 10,875 11,110 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 38 93 9.70 9.60 398 365 92 CO : 75 60 80 8.35 8.00 626 480 77 IL : 200 205 103 8.85 8.85 1,770 1,814 102 IN : 150 145 97 8.85 8.85 1,328 1,283 97 IA : 410 400 98 8.50 8.70 3,485 3,480 100 KS : 76 84 111 8.50 8.70 646 731 113 MI : 43 45 105 8.80 8.90 378 401 106 MN : 265 285 108 8.80 9.05 2,332 2,579 111 MO : 170 170 100 8.85 9.00 1,505 1,530 102 NE : 180 175 97 8.75 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 530 550 104 9.00 8.95 4,770 4,923 103 OH : 73 74 101 8.90 8.80 650 651 100 OK : 170 185 109 8.80 8.60 1,496 1,591 106 PA : 49 53 108 9.30 8.50 456 451 99 SD : 64 70 109 9.05 9.20 579 644 111 TX : 43 46 107 8.75 8.40 376 386 103 WI : 29 24 83 8.60 8.80 249 211 85 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 201 205 102 8.84 8.86 1,780 1,817 102 : US : 2,769 2,814 102 8.81 8.85 24,399 24,895 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1 or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 36 41 114 9.70 9.70 349 398 114 CO : 67 59 88 8.50 8.00 570 472 83 IL : 215 215 100 8.90 8.90 1,914 1,914 100 IN : 145 135 93 8.95 8.90 1,298 1,202 93 IA : 470 430 91 8.70 8.75 4,089 3,763 92 KS : 83 84 101 8.50 8.80 706 739 105 MI : 46 44 96 9.00 9.10 414 400 97 MN : 280 290 104 8.95 8.95 2,506 2,596 104 MO : 170 170 100 8.70 9.00 1,479 1,530 103 NE : 185 175 95 8.90 8.90 1,647 1,558 95 NC : 540 550 102 9.00 9.10 4,860 5,005 103 OH : 73 73 100 9.00 8.90 657 650 99 OK : 175 190 109 8.90 8.80 1,558 1,672 107 PA : 49 50 102 9.30 8.75 456 438 96 SD : 68 70 103 9.10 9.40 619 658 106 TX : 49 47 96 9.00 8.60 441 404 92 WI : 28 26 93 8.75 8.75 245 228 93 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 208 101 8.82 9.10 1,819 1,893 104 : US : 2,885 2,857 99 8.88 8.93 25,627 25,520 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 52 37 46 124 9.55 9.60 497 355 71 CO : 75 68 58 85 8.35 8.70 626 592 95 IL : 210 215 210 98 8.90 8.85 1,869 1,903 102 IN : 150 150 135 90 8.70 8.95 1,305 1,343 103 IA : 430 450 440 98 8.80 8.70 3,784 3,915 103 KS : 82 80 84 105 8.75 8.75 718 700 97 MI : 54 47 42 89 9.05 9.00 489 423 87 MN : 265 275 290 105 8.85 8.90 2,345 2,448 104 MO : 170 170 160 94 9.05 8.95 1,539 1,522 99 NE : 175 185 170 92 9.00 8.80 1,575 1,628 103 NC : 560 560 560 100 9.10 9.00 5,096 5,040 99 OH : 78 76 75 99 8.90 8.90 694 676 97 OK : 170 185 185 100 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,665 108 PA : 53 51 50 98 9.00 9.40 477 479 100 SD : 69 70 70 100 9.05 9.30 624 651 104 TX : 50 49 53 108 8.95 8.70 448 426 95 WI : 26 29 23 79 8.35 8.60 217 249 115 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 214 209 216 103 8.80 8.88 1,883 1,854 98 : US : 2,883 2,906 2,867 99 8.92 8.90 25,725 25,869 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 35 46 131 9.80 9.50 431 333 77 CO : 75 60 59 98 8.60 8.40 645 504 78 IL : 210 205 210 102 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,814 98 IN : 145 145 135 93 8.75 8.85 1,269 1,283 101 IA : 440 440 450 102 8.50 8.80 3,740 3,872 104 KS : 79 81 85 105 8.70 8.70 687 705 103 MI : 42 51 42 82 9.10 8.80 382 449 118 MN : 275 280 285 102 8.90 9.00 2,448 2,520 103 MO : 170 175 160 91 8.95 9.10 1,522 1,593 105 NE : 180 180 170 94 9.05 9.00 1,629 1,620 99 NC : 530 540 540 100 9.00 9.10 4,770 4,914 103 OH : 73 74 74 100 8.85 8.80 646 651 101 OK : 165 185 180 97 9.10 8.70 1,502 1,610 107 PA : 53 51 50 98 9.00 9.50 477 485 102 SD : 61 70 71 101 9.00 9.10 549 637 116 TX : 46 33 46 139 8.85 8.20 407 271 67 WI : 28 26 22 85 8.70 8.70 244 226 93 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 217 210 212 101 8.71 8.93 1,887 1,872 99 : US : 2,833 2,841 2,837 100 8.86 8.93 25,094 25,359 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 907 925 8.75 8.84 7,940 8,176 Jan : 930 951 8.82 8.83 8,202 8,400 Feb : 932 938 8.86 8.87 8,257 8,319 Mar : 946 953 8.85 8.92 8,372 8,505 Apr : 966 953 8.88 8.94 8,581 8,518 May : 973 951 8.91 8.93 8,674 8,497 Jun : 961 8.91 8,567 Jul : 974 8.90 8,670 Aug : 971 8.89 8,632 Sep : 962 8.91 8,575 Oct : 949 8.93 8,478 Nov : 930 8.93 8,305 : Total : 11,401 8.88 101,254 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 11,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,550 operations, 82 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of June by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.1 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.1 1.9 1,142 554 0 1,208 7 12 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.7 689 297 0 926 10 10 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.9 3.3 95 40 6 158 10 10 : Following : Quarter : 2.1 3.7 105 48 2 146 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States2 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February. . . . 13 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . 15 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . 14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November . . . 16 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . 11 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . .7 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . .5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . .9 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . 12 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . .8 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . .6 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . 10 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . 17 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . .2 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 18 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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