Mt An 4 (12-07) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released December 27, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory up 4 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2007 was 65.1 million head. This was up 4 percent from December 1, 2006, but down 1 percent from September 1, 2007. Breeding inventory, at 6.16 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.0 million head, was up 5 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter. The September-November 2007 pig crop, at 28.0 million head, was up 4 percent from 2006 and up 7 percent from 2005. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.03 million head, up 3 percent from 2006 and up 4 percent from 2005. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.24 for the September-November 2007 period, compared to 9.11 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.30 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.98 million sows farrow during the December 2007-February 2008 quarter, up 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2007, and up 5 percent from 2006. Intended farrowings for March-May 2008, at 3.04 million sows, are up slightly from 2007 and up 4 percent from 2006. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 38 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2006 through September 2007 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of less than two percent were made to the June 2007 and September 2007 total inventory. An adjustment of less than three percent was made to the March-May 2007 pig crop while an adjustment of slightly more than one- half of one percent was made to the June-August 2007 pig crop. This report was approved on December 27, 2007. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Keith J. Collins Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2005-2007 1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2005-2008 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2006-2007 December 1 5 March 1 7 June 1 9 September 1 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2006-2008 December-November 13 December-February 14 March-May 15 June-August 16 September-November 17 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2006-2007 18 Reliability Statement 19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2005-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2007 as % of Item : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 :------------- : : : : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,699 60,326 61,860 104 103 Kept for Breeding : 5,941 6,025 6,105 103 101 Market : 53,757 54,301 55,754 104 103 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,667 19,988 20,381 104 102 60-119 Pounds : 13,087 13,006 13,356 102 103 120-179 Pounds : 11,360 11,434 11,679 103 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,644 9,874 10,339 107 105 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,732 61,687 63,951 105 104 Kept for Breeding : 5,977 6,060 6,115 102 101 Market : 54,754 55,627 57,835 106 104 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,423 20,808 21,782 107 105 60-119 Pounds : 13,376 13,692 14,344 107 105 120-179 Pounds : 11,143 11,485 11,790 106 103 180 Pounds and Over : 9,813 9,643 9,920 101 103 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,846 62,914 65,589 106 104 Kept for Breeding : 5,972 6,079 6,144 103 101 Market : 55,873 56,835 59,444 106 105 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,764 20,708 21,450 103 104 60-119 Pounds : 13,876 14,231 14,894 107 105 120-179 Pounds : 11,404 11,685 12,474 109 107 180 Pounds and Over : 9,830 10,212 10,627 108 104 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,449 62,490 65,110 106 104 Kept for Breeding : 6,011 6,087 6,157 102 101 Market : 55,438 56,402 58,953 106 105 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,055 20,462 21,364 107 104 60-119 Pounds : 13,524 13,928 14,459 107 104 120-179 Pounds : 11,293 11,275 11,737 104 104 180 Pounds and Over : 10,567 10,738 11,394 108 106 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2005-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2007 as % of :2008 as Item : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 :---------------:Percent : : : : : 2005 : 2006 :of 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,835 2,841 2,905 2,976 102 102 102 Mar-May 3/ : 2,882 2,927 3,033 3,037 105 104 100 Dec-May 2/ 3/ : 5,716 5,768 5,938 6,013 104 103 101 : Jun-Aug : 2,918 2,912 2,993 103 103 Sep-Nov : 2,900 2,949 3,029 104 103 Jun-Nov : 5,818 5,862 6,022 103 103 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,343 25,662 26,396 104 103 Mar-May : 25,986 26,580 27,896 107 105 Dec-May 2/ : 51,330 52,242 54,293 106 104 : Jun-Aug : 26,449 26,519 27,646 105 104 Sep-Nov : 26,187 26,857 27,998 107 104 Jun-Nov : 52,635 53,376 55,645 106 104 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.94 9.03 9.09 102 101 Mar-May : 9.02 9.08 9.20 102 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.98 9.06 9.14 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 9.06 9.11 9.24 102 101 Sep-Nov : 9.03 9.11 9.24 102 101 Jun-Nov : 9.05 9.11 9.24 102 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2008. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2006 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.00 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Jun-Aug : 7.70 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.10 9.20 Sep-Nov : 7.70 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.10 9.20 : 2007 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.90 9.10 9.30 Jun-Aug : 7.50 8.10 8.50 8.90 9.10 9.30 Sep-Nov : 7.40 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.20 9.30 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AL : 19 18 95 146 152 104 165 170 103 AK : 0.3 0.3 100 0.6 0.6 100 0.9 0.9 100 AZ : 16 17 106 132 158 120 148 175 118 AR : 85 85 100 175 200 114 260 285 110 CA : 20 20 100 125 135 108 145 155 107 CO : 155 150 97 685 700 102 840 850 101 CT : 0.7 0.8 114 2.9 3.2 110 3.6 4.0 111 DE : 2.5 2.5 100 8.0 8.5 106 10.5 11.0 105 FL : 4.0 5.0 125 16.0 15.0 94 20.0 20.0 100 GA : 38 40 105 207 225 109 245 265 108 HI : 4.1 3.6 88 11.9 11.4 96 16.0 15.0 94 ID : 5.0 5.0 100 20.0 23.0 115 25.0 28.0 112 IL : 440 440 100 3,760 3,710 99 4,200 4,150 99 IN : 330 330 100 3,020 3,170 105 3,350 3,500 104 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 16,220 17,100 105 17,300 18,200 105 KS : 170 170 100 1,670 1,680 101 1,840 1,850 101 KY : 35 35 100 275 315 115 310 350 113 LA : 2.0 1.5 75 12.0 9.5 79 14.0 11.0 79 ME : 1.1 0.9 82 3.7 3.8 103 4.8 4.7 98 MD : 6.0 5.0 83 27.0 26.0 96 33.0 31.0 94 MA : 1.5 1.5 100 11.5 10.5 91 13.0 12.0 92 MI : 110 100 91 890 920 103 1,000 1,020 102 MN : 590 600 102 6,310 6,600 105 6,900 7,200 104 MS : 35 35 100 300 310 103 335 345 103 MO : 360 370 103 2,440 2,680 110 2,800 3,050 109 MT : 18 18 100 162 162 100 180 180 100 NE : 365 355 97 2,685 2,795 104 3,050 3,150 103 NV : 0.4 0.4 100 3.1 2.6 84 3.5 3.0 86 NH : 0.5 0.5 100 2.3 2.4 104 2.8 2.9 104 NJ : 1.0 1.0 100 8.0 8.0 100 9.0 9.0 100 NM : 0.2 0.2 100 1.8 1.8 100 2.0 2.0 100 NY : 12.0 11.0 92 86.0 75.0 87 98.0 86.0 88 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,490 8,870 104 9,500 9,900 104 ND : 33 38 114 136 145 106 169 182 108 OH : 170 165 97 1,520 1,595 105 1,690 1,760 104 OK : 350 360 103 1,980 1,970 99 2,330 2,330 100 OR : 5.0 4.0 80 20.0 21.0 105 25.0 25.0 100 PA : 105 100 95 975 1,030 106 1,080 1,130 105 RI : 0.6 0.6 100 1.5 1.7 113 2.1 2.3 110 SC : 30 29 97 265 266 100 295 295 100 SD : 140 165 118 1,130 1,205 107 1,270 1,370 108 TN : 22 18 82 198 122 62 220 140 64 TX : 95 110 116 845 1,010 120 940 1,120 119 UT : 103 100 97 577 690 120 680 790 116 VT : 0.5 0.6 120 2.0 2.1 105 2.5 2.7 108 VA : 30 30 100 335 340 101 365 370 101 WA : 4.0 4.0 100 32.0 25.0 78 36.0 29.0 81 WV : 2.0 2.0 100 9.0 7.0 78 11.0 9.0 82 WI : 55 50 91 395 380 96 450 430 96 WY : 25 29 116 75 60 80 100 89 89 : US : 6,087 6,157 101 56,402 58,953 105 62,490 65,110 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 62 62 29 32 26 29 29 29 AK : 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 AZ : 49 62 28 32 27 32 28 32 AR : 125 145 15 20 15 15 20 20 CA : 40 40 40 37 20 30 25 28 CO : 380 365 80 95 85 85 140 155 CT : 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 DE : 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 FL : 7.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 GA : 96 94 46 51 35 41 30 39 HI : 5.5 5.8 3.0 2.7 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.1 ID : 9.0 10.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 IL : 1,270 1,320 970 920 800 770 720 700 IN : 1,120 1,160 760 780 580 640 560 590 IA : 4,910 5,300 4,470 4,700 3,540 3,700 3,300 3,400 KS : 560 570 320 355 310 295 480 460 KY : 90 100 70 75 55 65 60 75 LA : 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 1.5 ME : 1.7 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 MD : 10.0 9.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 MA : 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.2 1.5 1.5 MI : 300 320 230 225 170 200 190 175 MN : 2,420 2,590 1,540 1,590 1,250 1,250 1,100 1,170 MS : 125 111 69 77 53 61 53 61 MO : 1,130 1,245 490 550 475 465 345 420 MT : 53 55 40 40 35 36 34 31 NE : 1,010 1,030 720 755 530 560 425 450 NV : 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 NH : 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 NJ : 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.5 NM : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 NY : 23.0 17.0 22.0 20.0 21.0 20.0 20.0 18.0 NC : 3,390 3,370 1,970 2,100 1,680 1,790 1,450 1,610 ND : 58 75 36 27 22 24 20 19 OH : 590 625 370 395 305 325 255 250 OK : 900 920 340 300 240 220 500 530 OR : 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 3.5 4.0 PA : 300 325 300 295 185 210 190 200 RI : 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 SC : 60 50 80 81 65 70 60 65 SD : 415 450 260 255 220 250 235 250 TN : 73 40 40 23 40 23 45 36 TX : 280 310 200 220 185 200 180 280 UT : 273 275 129 148 115 142 60 125 VT : 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 VA : 110 100 95 100 65 75 65 65 WA : 8.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 9.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 WV : 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 WI : 155 150 100 100 70 60 70 70 WY : 27 24 20 13 13 14 15 9 : US : 20,462 21,364 13,928 14,459 11,275 11,737 10,738 11,394 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 185 190 103 270 275 102 CO : 150 150 100 680 670 99 830 820 99 IL : 420 440 105 3,730 3,660 98 4,150 4,100 99 IN : 310 320 103 2,790 2,930 105 3,100 3,250 105 IA : 1,100 1,090 99 15,300 15,810 103 16,400 16,900 103 KS : 165 165 100 1,565 1,685 108 1,730 1,850 107 MI : 100 110 110 860 880 102 960 990 103 MN : 580 600 103 5,820 6,300 108 6,400 6,900 108 MO : 345 360 104 2,355 2,490 106 2,700 2,850 106 NE : 355 360 101 2,545 2,740 108 2,900 3,100 107 NC : 1,020 1,030 101 8,480 8,370 99 9,500 9,400 99 OH : 160 165 103 1,380 1,545 112 1,540 1,710 111 OK : 360 360 100 1,970 1,990 101 2,330 2,350 101 PA : 100 100 100 1,010 1,010 100 1,110 1,110 100 SD : 155 140 90 1,285 1,140 89 1,440 1,280 89 TX : 100 100 100 830 870 105 930 970 104 WI : 50 55 110 370 385 104 420 440 105 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 470 475 101 3,146 3,089 98 3,616 3,565 99 : US : 6,025 6,105 101 54,301 55,754 103 60,326 61,860 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 140 15 20 15 15 15 15 CO : 360 375 90 100 80 75 150 120 IL : 1,310 1,310 870 890 840 790 710 670 IN : 1,030 1,070 700 730 560 580 500 550 IA : 4,680 4,650 4,140 4,210 3,520 3,780 2,960 3,170 KS : 530 575 285 310 345 335 405 465 MI : 315 305 200 210 175 180 170 185 MN : 2,280 2,400 1,330 1,540 1,310 1,330 900 1,030 MO : 1,085 1,160 490 485 460 500 320 345 NE : 1,000 1,050 660 730 490 530 395 430 NC : 3,400 3,430 1,940 1,850 1,690 1,670 1,450 1,420 OH : 570 605 315 380 305 320 190 240 OK : 910 940 350 310 220 220 490 520 PA : 370 300 270 295 210 225 160 190 SD : 455 415 300 260 275 240 255 225 TX : 265 315 190 205 195 185 180 165 WI : 145 155 90 90 70 70 65 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,186 771 741 674 634 559 529 : US : 19,988 20,381 13,006 13,356 11,434 11,679 9,874 10,339 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 195 205 105 280 290 104 CO : 150 150 100 690 690 100 840 840 100 IL : 430 440 102 3,770 3,560 94 4,200 4,000 95 IN : 320 310 97 2,880 3,040 106 3,200 3,350 105 IA : 1,080 1,080 100 15,520 17,120 110 16,600 18,200 110 KS : 160 165 103 1,680 1,735 103 1,840 1,900 103 MI : 100 110 110 880 920 105 980 1,030 105 MN : 590 610 103 6,210 6,390 103 6,800 7,000 103 MO : 350 370 106 2,350 2,680 114 2,700 3,050 113 NE : 365 360 99 2,635 2,790 106 3,000 3,150 105 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,580 8,680 101 9,600 9,700 101 OH : 165 165 100 1,455 1,505 103 1,620 1,670 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,010 1,960 98 2,370 2,320 98 PA : 100 100 100 1,000 1,020 102 1,100 1,120 102 SD : 160 145 91 1,260 1,145 91 1,420 1,290 91 TX : 105 110 105 865 890 103 970 1,000 103 WI : 55 50 91 375 360 96 430 410 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 465 485 104 3,272 3,145 96 3,737 3,631 97 : US : 6,060 6,115 101 55,627 57,835 104 61,687 63,951 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 150 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 360 375 85 100 95 85 150 130 IL : 1,350 1,310 940 920 840 760 640 570 IN : 1,080 1,120 760 780 550 590 490 550 IA : 4,860 5,450 4,240 4,770 3,530 3,850 2,890 3,050 KS : 585 620 360 340 310 335 425 440 MI : 335 330 195 215 175 195 175 180 MN : 2,460 2,570 1,550 1,620 1,310 1,300 890 900 MO : 1,135 1,300 490 550 420 505 305 325 NE : 1,000 1,040 700 730 550 580 385 440 NC : 3,540 3,600 1,960 2,000 1,690 1,670 1,390 1,410 OH : 590 600 360 375 320 315 185 215 OK : 930 940 330 315 270 230 480 475 PA : 330 300 290 305 215 225 165 190 SD : 475 425 290 270 255 240 240 210 TX : 275 285 220 215 205 200 165 190 WI : 145 155 105 85 70 65 55 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,218 1,212 797 734 665 630 593 570 : US : 20,808 21,782 13,692 14,344 11,485 11,790 9,643 9,920 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 195 205 105 280 290 104 CO : 155 150 97 695 710 102 850 860 101 IL : 440 450 102 3,910 3,650 93 4,350 4,100 94 IN : 330 310 94 2,970 3,140 106 3,300 3,450 105 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 15,920 17,030 107 17,000 18,100 106 KS : 165 170 103 1,755 1,790 102 1,920 1,960 102 MI : 100 100 100 880 980 111 980 1,080 110 MN : 590 610 103 6,310 6,490 103 6,900 7,100 103 MO : 355 380 107 2,395 2,720 114 2,750 3,100 113 NE : 350 365 104 2,700 2,885 107 3,050 3,250 107 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,690 9,170 106 9,700 10,200 105 OH : 170 170 100 1,500 1,550 103 1,670 1,720 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,070 102 2,390 2,430 102 PA : 105 100 95 1,055 1,060 100 1,160 1,160 100 SD : 155 155 100 1,285 1,185 92 1,440 1,340 93 TX : 100 100 100 890 1,000 112 990 1,100 111 WI : 55 50 91 375 370 99 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 489 103 3,280 3,439 105 3,754 3,929 105 : US : 6,079 6,144 101 56,835 59,444 105 62,914 65,589 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 150 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 380 365 90 130 85 75 140 140 IL : 1,360 1,320 990 920 850 790 710 620 IN : 1,080 1,070 770 830 580 640 540 600 IA : 4,750 5,190 4,500 4,710 3,600 4,030 3,070 3,100 KS : 590 550 395 380 305 375 465 485 MI : 300 335 220 230 180 230 180 185 MN : 2,440 2,580 1,610 1,610 1,300 1,300 960 1,000 MO : 1,115 1,270 480 540 470 520 330 390 NE : 1,000 1,050 710 810 560 590 430 435 NC : 3,530 3,550 2,040 2,260 1,710 1,810 1,410 1,550 OH : 600 605 380 380 320 340 200 225 OK : 950 960 330 340 260 250 490 520 PA : 330 325 305 310 235 240 185 185 SD : 480 400 300 290 265 260 240 235 TX : 315 340 200 215 190 215 185 230 WI : 145 150 90 105 75 60 65 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,203 1,240 801 814 685 734 592 652 : US : 20,708 21,450 14,231 14,894 11,685 12,474 10,212 10,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November 2006-2007 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2007 : per Litter : : 2007 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2006 : :as % of : : : 2006 : :as % of : : Number : 2006 : 2006 : 2007 : : Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number --- -- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AL : 32.0 33.0 103 8.66 8.73 277.0 288.0 104 AK : 0.26 0.25 96 9.19 9.20 2.39 2.30 96 AZ : 31.0 32.0 103 9.00 9.47 279.0 303.0 109 AR : 160 166 104 9.64 9.67 1,543 1,605 104 CA : 33.0 33.0 100 10.00 10.15 330.0 335.0 102 CO : 328 322 98 8.88 8.95 2,911 2,881 99 CT : 0.60 0.70 117 7.60 7.80 4.56 5.46 120 DE : 6.00 6.00 100 9.33 9.33 56.00 56.00 100 FL : 8.00 8.00 100 7.00 7.00 56.00 56.00 100 GA : 83.0 75.0 90 8.90 8.91 739.0 668.0 90 HI : 3.40 3.20 94 7.35 7.50 25.00 24.00 96 ID : 5.60 7.20 129 8.93 8.75 50.00 63.00 126 IL : 820 900 110 9.05 9.10 7,423 8,192 110 IN : 545 575 106 8.91 8.94 4,858 5,140 106 IA : 1,855 1,880 101 9.01 9.18 16,719 17,253 103 KS : 340 353 104 8.89 8.99 3,021 3,173 105 KY : 75.0 74.0 99 9.08 9.35 681.0 692.0 102 LA : 3.70 3.00 81 7.03 6.97 26.00 20.90 80 ME : 1.40 1.40 100 6.40 6.80 8.96 9.52 106 MD : 8.00 8.00 100 8.00 7.75 64.00 62.00 97 MA : 1.60 1.60 100 8.30 7.50 13.28 12.00 90 MI : 193 209 108 9.15 9.10 1,765 1,901 108 MN : 1,110 1,135 102 9.24 9.33 10,255 10,586 103 MS : 74.5 75.5 101 9.33 9.46 695.0 714.0 103 MO : 680 750 110 9.04 9.16 6,146 6,872 112 MT : 34.0 33.5 99 9.56 10.06 325.0 337.0 104 NE : 715 735 103 9.17 9.41 6,560 6,920 105 NV : 0.62 0.58 94 7.45 7.29 4.62 4.23 92 NH : 0.60 0.60 100 7.00 7.50 4.20 4.50 107 NJ : 0.90 1.00 111 6.33 7.00 5.70 7.00 123 NM : 0.40 0.40 100 8.50 8.00 3.40 3.20 94 NY : 15.60 18.00 115 9.55 9.78 149.00 176.00 118 NC : 2,200 2,190 100 9.11 9.09 20,048 19,901 99 ND : 55.5 62.0 112 9.55 9.85 530.0 611.0 115 OH : 326 332 102 9.12 9.30 2,972 3,088 104 OK : 745 760 102 8.90 9.28 6,632 7,050 106 OR : 6.20 5.70 92 8.39 8.25 52.00 47.00 90 PA : 182 184 101 9.21 9.15 1,676 1,683 100 RI : 0.60 0.60 100 8.00 7.90 4.80 4.74 99 SC : 55.0 52.0 95 9.24 9.10 508.0 473.0 93 SD : 309 304 98 9.40 9.54 2,904 2,900 100 TN : 37.0 43.0 116 8.89 9.07 329.0 390.0 119 TX : 182 201 110 9.12 9.08 1,660 1,825 110 UT : 144.0 160.0 111 9.48 9.78 1,365.0 1,565.0 115 VT : 0.60 0.70 117 7.70 7.40 4.62 5.18 112 VA : 62.0 59.0 95 8.84 9.31 548.0 549.0 100 WA : 5.60 5.20 93 8.57 8.08 48.00 42.00 88 WV : 2.20 1.90 86 7.00 7.58 15.40 14.40 94 WI : 108 105 97 8.74 8.90 944 935 99 WY : 43.5 53.0 122 8.67 9.21 377.0 488.0 129 : US : 11,629 11,960 103 9.08 9.19 105,618 109,937 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2006-2008 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 4/ : Per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 39 41 105 9.50 9.45 390 369 95 CO : 81 83 83 100 8.80 8.80 713 730 102 IL : 195 210 220 105 9.00 9.05 1,755 1,901 108 IN : 130 140 150 107 8.90 8.80 1,157 1,232 106 IA : 455 455 470 103 9.00 9.00 4,095 4,095 100 KS : 84 88 91 103 8.85 8.90 743 783 105 MI : 48 49 51 104 9.30 8.75 446 429 96 MN : 270 275 275 100 9.10 9.25 2,457 2,544 104 MO : 165 180 180 100 9.00 9.05 1,485 1,629 110 NE : 175 180 175 97 9.15 9.20 1,601 1,656 103 NC : 540 540 550 102 9.10 9.10 4,914 4,914 100 OH : 77 84 82 98 9.10 9.15 701 769 110 OK : 185 190 180 95 8.70 9.20 1,610 1,748 109 PA : 47 44 47 107 9.90 9.00 465 396 85 SD : 77 67 85 127 9.40 9.50 724 637 88 TX : 42 45 55 122 8.60 8.90 361 401 111 WI : 26 27 25 93 8.55 8.95 222 242 109 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 203 209 216 103 9.00 9.18 1,823 1,921 105 : US : 2,841 2,905 2,976 102 9.03 9.09 25,662 26,396 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 3/ : per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 42 41 98 9.60 9.80 394 412 105 CO : 81 80 83 104 8.90 8.90 721 712 99 IL : 210 230 230 100 9.05 9.05 1,901 2,082 110 IN : 135 140 155 111 8.90 8.95 1,202 1,253 104 IA : 465 480 490 102 8.95 9.20 4,162 4,416 106 KS : 84 88 90 102 9.10 8.95 764 788 103 MI : 47 53 48 91 9.20 9.00 432 477 110 MN : 280 290 280 97 9.30 9.35 2,604 2,712 104 MO : 170 195 180 92 9.10 9.15 1,547 1,784 115 NE : 180 185 180 97 9.15 9.45 1,647 1,748 106 NC : 550 560 560 100 9.10 9.05 5,005 5,068 101 OH : 82 83 80 96 9.00 9.30 738 772 105 OK : 185 195 190 97 8.90 9.40 1,647 1,833 111 PA : 47 45 46 102 9.10 9.10 428 410 96 SD : 84 73 87 119 9.35 9.55 785 697 89 TX : 47 49 57 116 9.25 9.25 435 453 104 WI : 27 26 25 96 8.70 8.90 235 231 98 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 212 219 215 98 9.11 9.36 1,933 2,048 106 : US : 2,927 3,033 3,037 100 9.08 9.20 26,580 27,896 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2007 : per Litter : : 2007 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2006 : :as % of : : : 2006 : :as % of : : Number : 2006 : 2006 : 2007 : : Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 40 44 110 9.70 9.60 388 422 109 CO : 82 80 98 9.00 9.10 738 728 99 IL : 200 230 115 9.05 9.10 1,810 2,093 116 IN : 140 145 104 8.95 9.05 1,253 1,312 105 IA : 455 450 99 9.05 9.25 4,118 4,163 101 KS : 85 89 105 8.75 9.00 744 801 108 MI : 48 54 113 9.15 9.15 439 494 113 MN : 280 285 102 9.25 9.40 2,590 2,679 103 MO : 170 190 112 9.05 9.20 1,539 1,748 114 NE : 175 185 106 9.15 9.50 1,601 1,758 110 NC : 560 550 98 9.10 9.05 5,096 4,978 98 OH : 84 83 99 9.15 9.35 769 776 101 OK : 190 190 100 9.00 9.30 1,710 1,767 103 PA : 45 45 100 8.80 9.60 396 432 109 SD : 77 78 101 9.40 9.55 724 745 103 TX : 48 53 110 9.60 8.80 461 466 101 WI : 26 26 100 8.80 8.90 229 231 101 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 207 216 104 9.24 9.49 1,914 2,053 107 : US : 2,912 2,993 103 9.11 9.24 26,519 27,646 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2007 : per Litter : : 2007 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2006 : :as % of : : : 2006 : :as % of : : Number : 2006 : 2006 : 2007 : : Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 38 41 108 9.75 9.80 371 402 108 CO : 84 79 94 8.80 9.00 739 711 96 IL : 215 230 107 9.10 9.20 1,957 2,116 108 IN : 140 150 107 8.90 8.95 1,246 1,343 108 IA : 480 495 103 9.05 9.25 4,344 4,579 105 KS : 87 88 101 8.85 9.10 770 801 104 MI : 50 53 106 8.95 9.45 448 501 112 MN : 280 285 102 9.30 9.30 2,604 2,651 102 MO : 175 185 106 9.00 9.25 1,575 1,711 109 NE : 185 185 100 9.25 9.50 1,711 1,758 103 NC : 550 540 98 9.15 9.15 5,033 4,941 98 OH : 83 82 99 9.20 9.40 764 771 101 OK : 185 185 100 9.00 9.20 1,665 1,702 102 PA : 43 50 116 9.00 8.90 387 445 115 SD : 71 86 121 9.45 9.55 671 821 122 TX : 45 54 120 8.95 9.35 403 505 125 WI : 29 26 90 8.90 8.90 258 231 90 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 209 215 102 9.12 9.36 1,911 2,009 105 : US : 2,949 3,029 103 9.11 9.24 26,857 27,998 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2006-2007 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- ---- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 938 961 8.97 9.07 8,411 8,712 Jan : 952 972 9.08 9.10 8,646 8,841 Feb : 951 973 9.05 9.09 8,605 8,843 Mar : 984 1,023 9.04 9.14 8,898 9,346 Apr : 969 1,006 9.07 9.23 8,789 9,290 May : 974 1,004 9.13 9.22 8,893 9,260 Jun : 973 1,005 9.10 9.24 8,856 9,291 Jul : 965 993 9.10 9.24 8,780 9,180 Aug : 974 995 9.12 9.22 8,883 9,175 Sep : 1,002 1,024 9.10 9.24 9,123 9,458 Oct : 985 1,013 9.12 9.25 8,982 9,372 Nov : 962 992 9.10 9.24 8,752 9,168 : Total : 11,629 11,960 9.08 9.19 105,618 109,937 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 12,000 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2007, data were collected from about 9,600 operations, 80 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2007. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all hog raising operations are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.1 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.7 percent. Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.7 1,107 503 76 1,386 2 18 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.3 2.2 616 260 8 824 2 18 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.5 2.5 77 34 3 120 4 16 : Following : Quarter : 1.9 3.3 100 46 3 126 5 15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch............................(202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Shawn Clark, Head, Livestock Section.............................(202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs..............................(202) 720-3106 Vacant - Dairy Products..................................(202) 690-3236 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows..........(202) 720-3278 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats & Kids...............(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed.....................(202) 720-3040 Benita Hodge - Livestock Slaughter.......................(515) 284-4340 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices.......................(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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