Mt An 4 (3-08) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 28, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory up 7 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2008 was 65.9 million head. This was up 7 percent from March 1, 2007, but down 2 percent from December 1, 2007. Breeding inventory, at 6.14 million head, was up less than 1 percent from last year, but down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.8 million head, was up 7 percent from last year, but down 2 percent from last quarter. The December 2007-February 2008 pig crop, at 28.1 million head, was up 6 percent from 2007 and up 9 percent from 2006. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.05 million head, up 5 percent from 2007 and up 7 percent from 2006. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.21 for the December 2007-February 2008 period, compared to 9.09 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.30 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 3.05 million sows farrow during the March- May 2008 quarter, up slightly from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2007, and up 4 percent from 2006. Intended farrowings for June- August 2008, at 3.04 million sows, are down 2 percent from 2007 but up 4 percent from 2006. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 40 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 39 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2007 through December 2007 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of slightly more than 2 percent was made to the September 1, 2007 total inventory along with an adjustment of slightly larger than 4 percent to the June-August 2007 pig crop. Adjustments of less than 3 percent were made to the December 1, 2007 total inventory and September-November 2007 pig crop. This report was approved on March 28, 2008. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2006-2008 1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2006-2008 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2006-2008 March 1 5 June 1 7 September 1 9 December 1 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2006-2008 December-February 13 March-May 14 June-August 15 September-November 16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2007-2008 17 Reliability Statement 18 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2008 as % of Item : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 :------------- : : : : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,326 61,860 65,909 109 107 Kept for Breeding : 6,025 6,110 6,138 102 100 Market : 54,301 55,749 59,770 110 107 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,988 20,381 21,897 110 107 60-119 Pounds : 13,006 13,356 14,291 110 107 120-179 Pounds : 11,434 11,679 12,443 109 107 180 Pounds and Over : 9,874 10,334 11,140 113 108 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,687 63,951 Kept for Breeding : 6,060 6,120 Market : 55,627 57,830 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,808 21,782 60-119 Pounds : 13,692 14,339 120-179 Pounds : 11,485 11,790 180 Pounds and Over : 9,643 9,920 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,914 67,019 Kept for Breeding : 6,079 6,149 Market : 56,835 60,869 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,708 22,450 60-119 Pounds : 14,231 15,262 120-179 Pounds : 11,685 12,531 180 Pounds and Over : 10,212 10,627 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,490 66,963 Kept for Breeding : 6,087 6,161 Market : 56,402 60,801 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,462 21,912 60-119 Pounds : 13,928 14,714 120-179 Pounds : 11,275 12,607 180 Pounds and Over : 10,738 11,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2008 as % of Item : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 :--------------- : : : : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,841 2,905 3,051 107 105 Mar-May 3/ : 2,927 3,033 3,047 104 100 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,768 5,938 6,098 106 103 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,912 3,114 3,037 104 98 Sep-Nov : 2,949 3,099 Jun-Nov : 5,862 6,213 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,662 26,396 28,094 109 106 Mar-May : 26,580 27,896 Dec-May 2/ : 52,242 54,293 : Jun-Aug : 26,519 28,875 Sep-Nov : 26,857 28,690 Jun-Nov : 53,376 57,566 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 9.03 9.09 9.21 102 101 Mar-May : 9.08 9.20 Dec-May 2/ : 9.06 9.14 : Jun-Aug : 9.11 9.27 Sep-Nov : 9.11 9.26 Jun-Nov : 9.11 9.27 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2008. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2007-February 2008 plus intentions for March-May 2008. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2007 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.90 9.10 9.30 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.20 8.60 9.00 9.20 9.30 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.60 8.90 9.20 9.30 : 2008 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.70 9.10 9.30 Mar-May : Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 90 106 190 210 111 275 300 109 CO : 150 155 103 670 625 93 820 780 95 IL : 440 450 102 3,660 3,850 105 4,100 4,300 105 IN : 320 320 100 2,930 3,180 109 3,250 3,500 108 IA : 1,090 1,100 101 15,810 17,600 111 16,900 18,700 111 KS : 165 160 97 1,685 1,700 101 1,850 1,860 101 MI : 110 90 82 880 880 100 990 970 98 MN : 600 590 98 6,300 6,710 107 6,900 7,300 106 MO : 365 380 104 2,485 2,670 107 2,850 3,050 107 NE : 360 360 100 2,740 2,840 104 3,100 3,200 103 NC : 1,030 1,020 99 8,370 8,980 107 9,400 10,000 106 OH : 165 170 103 1,545 1,660 107 1,710 1,830 107 OK : 360 360 100 1,990 1,970 99 2,350 2,330 99 PA : 100 100 100 1,010 1,020 101 1,110 1,120 101 SD : 140 160 114 1,140 1,270 111 1,280 1,430 112 TX : 100 115 115 870 965 111 970 1,080 111 WI : 55 45 82 385 365 95 440 410 93 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 475 473 100 3,089 3,275 106 3,565 3,749 105 : US : 6,110 6,138 100 55,749 59,770 107 61,860 65,909 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 160 20 15 15 10 15 25 CO : 375 320 100 85 75 80 120 140 IL : 1,310 1,390 890 920 790 830 670 710 IN : 1,070 1,140 730 810 580 630 550 600 IA : 4,650 5,420 4,210 4,600 3,780 4,130 3,170 3,450 KS : 575 575 310 370 335 295 465 460 MI : 305 320 210 220 180 165 185 175 MN : 2,400 2,640 1,540 1,610 1,330 1,360 1,030 1,100 MO : 1,160 1,240 485 495 500 510 340 425 NE : 1,050 1,040 730 770 530 600 430 430 NC : 3,430 3,570 1,850 2,070 1,670 1,820 1,420 1,520 OH : 605 635 380 410 320 370 240 245 OK : 940 970 310 300 220 220 520 480 PA : 300 310 295 295 225 220 190 195 SD : 415 475 260 280 240 260 225 255 TX : 315 330 205 190 185 200 165 245 WI : 155 150 90 85 70 60 70 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,186 1,212 741 766 634 683 529 615 : US : 20,381 21,897 13,356 14,291 11,679 12,443 10,334 11,140 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 195 205 105 280 290 104 CO : 150 150 100 690 690 100 840 840 100 IL : 430 440 102 3,770 3,560 94 4,200 4,000 95 IN : 320 310 97 2,880 3,040 106 3,200 3,350 105 IA : 1,080 1,080 100 15,520 17,120 110 16,600 18,200 110 KS : 160 165 103 1,680 1,735 103 1,840 1,900 103 MI : 100 110 110 880 920 105 980 1,030 105 MN : 590 610 103 6,210 6,390 103 6,800 7,000 103 MO : 350 375 107 2,350 2,675 114 2,700 3,050 113 NE : 365 360 99 2,635 2,790 106 3,000 3,150 105 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,580 8,680 101 9,600 9,700 101 OH : 165 165 100 1,455 1,505 103 1,620 1,670 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,010 1,960 98 2,370 2,320 98 PA : 100 100 100 1,000 1,020 102 1,100 1,120 102 SD : 160 145 91 1,260 1,145 91 1,420 1,290 91 TX : 105 110 105 865 890 103 970 1,000 103 WI : 55 50 91 375 360 96 430 410 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 465 485 104 3,272 3,145 96 3,737 3,631 97 : US : 6,060 6,120 101 55,627 57,830 104 61,687 63,951 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 150 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 360 375 85 100 95 85 150 130 IL : 1,350 1,310 940 920 840 760 640 570 IN : 1,080 1,120 760 780 550 590 490 550 IA : 4,860 5,450 4,240 4,770 3,530 3,850 2,890 3,050 KS : 585 620 360 340 310 335 425 440 MI : 335 330 195 215 175 195 175 180 MN : 2,460 2,570 1,550 1,620 1,310 1,300 890 900 MO : 1,135 1,300 490 545 420 505 305 325 NE : 1,000 1,040 700 730 550 580 385 440 NC : 3,540 3,600 1,960 2,000 1,690 1,670 1,390 1,410 OH : 590 600 360 375 320 315 185 215 OK : 930 940 330 315 270 230 480 475 PA : 330 300 290 305 215 225 165 190 SD : 475 425 290 270 255 240 240 210 TX : 275 285 220 215 205 200 165 190 WI : 145 155 105 85 70 65 55 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,218 1,212 797 734 665 630 593 570 : US : 20,808 21,782 13,692 14,339 11,485 11,790 9,643 9,920 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 195 205 105 280 290 104 CO : 155 150 97 695 710 102 850 860 101 IL : 440 450 102 3,910 3,700 95 4,350 4,150 95 IN : 330 310 94 2,970 3,190 107 3,300 3,500 106 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 15,920 17,730 111 17,000 18,800 111 KS : 165 170 103 1,755 1,790 102 1,920 1,960 102 MI : 100 100 100 880 980 111 980 1,080 110 MN : 590 610 103 6,310 6,690 106 6,900 7,300 106 MO : 355 385 108 2,395 2,765 115 2,750 3,150 115 NE : 350 365 104 2,700 2,935 109 3,050 3,300 108 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,690 9,370 108 9,700 10,400 107 OH : 170 170 100 1,500 1,590 106 1,670 1,760 105 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,080 102 2,390 2,440 102 PA : 105 100 95 1,055 1,080 102 1,160 1,180 102 SD : 155 155 100 1,285 1,215 95 1,440 1,370 95 TX : 100 100 100 890 1,020 115 990 1,120 113 WI : 55 50 91 375 370 99 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 489 103 3,280 3,449 105 3,754 3,939 105 : US : 6,079 6,149 101 56,835 60,869 107 62,914 67,019 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 150 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 380 365 90 130 85 75 140 140 IL : 1,360 1,350 990 930 850 800 710 620 IN : 1,080 1,120 770 830 580 640 540 600 IA : 4,750 5,690 4,500 4,910 3,600 4,030 3,070 3,100 KS : 590 550 395 380 305 375 465 485 MI : 300 335 220 230 180 230 180 185 MN : 2,440 2,680 1,610 1,710 1,300 1,300 960 1,000 MO : 1,115 1,300 480 545 470 530 330 390 NE : 1,000 1,100 710 810 560 590 430 435 NC : 3,530 3,700 2,040 2,310 1,710 1,810 1,410 1,550 OH : 600 635 380 380 320 350 200 225 OK : 950 960 330 340 260 260 490 520 PA : 330 345 305 310 235 240 185 185 SD : 480 420 300 290 265 270 240 235 TX : 315 355 200 215 190 220 185 230 WI : 145 150 90 105 75 60 65 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,203 1,245 801 817 685 736 592 652 : US : 20,708 22,450 14,231 15,262 11,685 12,531 10,212 10,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 175 205 117 260 290 112 CO : 155 150 97 685 710 104 840 860 102 IL : 440 440 100 3,760 3,810 101 4,200 4,250 101 IN : 330 330 100 3,020 3,270 108 3,350 3,600 107 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 16,220 17,800 110 17,300 18,900 109 KS : 170 170 100 1,670 1,690 101 1,840 1,860 101 MI : 110 100 91 890 920 103 1,000 1,020 102 MN : 590 600 102 6,310 7,000 111 6,900 7,600 110 MO : 360 375 104 2,440 2,725 112 2,800 3,100 111 NE : 365 355 97 2,685 2,895 108 3,050 3,250 107 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,490 9,070 107 9,500 10,100 106 OH : 170 165 97 1,520 1,645 108 1,690 1,810 107 OK : 350 360 103 1,980 1,970 99 2,330 2,330 100 PA : 105 100 95 975 1,050 108 1,080 1,150 106 SD : 140 165 118 1,130 1,255 111 1,270 1,420 112 TX : 95 110 116 845 1,040 123 940 1,150 122 WI : 55 50 91 395 390 99 450 440 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 476 100 3,212 3,356 104 3,690 3,833 104 : US : 6,087 6,161 101 56,402 60,801 108 62,490 66,963 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 125 150 15 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 380 365 80 95 85 90 140 160 IL : 1,270 1,370 970 940 800 810 720 690 IN : 1,120 1,210 760 810 580 660 560 590 IA : 4,910 5,500 4,470 4,700 3,540 4,050 3,300 3,550 KS : 560 580 320 355 310 295 480 460 MI : 300 320 230 225 170 200 190 175 MN : 2,420 2,690 1,540 1,690 1,250 1,450 1,100 1,170 MO : 1,130 1,290 490 550 475 465 345 420 NE : 1,010 1,080 720 775 530 590 425 450 NC : 3,390 3,370 1,970 2,170 1,680 1,890 1,450 1,640 OH : 590 635 370 395 305 365 255 250 OK : 900 920 340 300 240 220 500 530 PA : 300 335 300 295 185 220 190 200 SD : 415 450 260 270 220 285 235 250 TX : 280 310 200 220 185 230 180 280 WI : 155 150 100 100 70 70 70 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,207 1,187 793 804 635 702 578 664 : US : 20,462 21,912 13,928 14,714 11,275 12,607 10,738 11,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2007-2008 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2008 : per Litter : : 2008 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2007 : :as % of : : : 2007 : :as % of : : Number : 2007 : 2007 : 2008 : : Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 39 43 110 9.45 9.60 369 413 112 CO : 83 83 100 8.80 9.00 730 747 102 IL : 210 235 112 9.05 9.20 1,901 2,162 114 IN : 140 150 107 8.80 8.95 1,232 1,343 109 IA : 455 500 110 9.00 9.15 4,095 4,575 112 KS : 88 85 97 8.90 9.10 783 774 99 MI : 49 52 106 8.75 9.45 429 491 114 MN : 275 285 104 9.25 9.20 2,544 2,622 103 MO : 180 190 106 9.05 9.15 1,629 1,739 107 NE : 180 190 106 9.20 9.50 1,656 1,805 109 NC : 540 550 102 9.10 9.15 4,914 5,033 102 OH : 84 88 105 9.15 9.10 769 801 104 OK : 190 180 95 9.20 9.30 1,748 1,674 96 PA : 44 43 98 9.00 9.50 396 409 103 SD : 67 88 131 9.50 9.60 637 845 133 TX : 45 52 116 8.90 9.00 401 468 117 WI : 27 26 96 8.95 8.95 242 233 96 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 209 211 101 9.18 9.29 1,921 1,960 102 : US : 2,905 3,051 105 9.09 9.21 26,396 28,094 106 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 3/ : per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 42 43 102 9.60 9.80 394 412 105 CO : 81 80 87 109 8.90 8.90 721 712 99 IL : 210 230 235 102 9.05 9.05 1,901 2,082 110 IN : 135 140 150 107 8.90 8.95 1,202 1,253 104 IA : 465 480 490 102 8.95 9.20 4,162 4,416 106 KS : 84 88 87 99 9.10 8.95 764 788 103 MI : 47 53 49 92 9.20 9.00 432 477 110 MN : 280 290 280 97 9.30 9.35 2,604 2,712 104 MO : 170 195 185 95 9.10 9.15 1,547 1,784 115 NE : 180 185 185 100 9.15 9.45 1,647 1,748 106 NC : 550 560 560 100 9.10 9.05 5,005 5,068 101 OH : 82 83 84 101 9.00 9.30 738 772 105 OK : 185 195 190 97 8.90 9.40 1,647 1,833 111 PA : 47 45 45 100 9.10 9.10 428 410 96 SD : 84 73 85 116 9.35 9.55 785 697 89 TX : 47 49 54 110 9.25 9.25 435 453 104 WI : 27 26 24 92 8.70 8.90 235 231 98 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 212 219 214 98 9.11 9.36 1,933 2,048 106 : US : 2,927 3,033 3,047 100 9.08 9.20 26,580 27,896 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 3/ : per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 40 46 41 89 9.70 9.70 388 446 115 CO : 82 83 87 105 9.00 9.10 738 755 102 IL : 200 240 235 98 9.05 9.10 1,810 2,184 121 IN : 140 145 150 103 8.95 9.05 1,253 1,312 105 IA : 455 480 490 102 9.05 9.30 4,118 4,464 108 KS : 85 90 86 96 8.75 9.00 744 810 109 MI : 48 55 48 87 9.15 9.20 439 506 115 MN : 280 295 280 95 9.25 9.45 2,590 2,788 108 MO : 170 195 180 92 9.05 9.25 1,539 1,804 117 NE : 175 195 185 95 9.15 9.50 1,601 1,853 116 NC : 560 580 560 97 9.10 9.10 5,096 5,278 104 OH : 84 86 85 99 9.15 9.40 769 808 105 OK : 190 195 190 97 9.00 9.35 1,710 1,823 107 PA : 45 47 45 96 8.80 9.60 396 451 114 SD : 77 82 84 102 9.40 9.60 724 787 109 TX : 48 57 55 96 9.60 9.00 461 513 111 WI : 26 26 23 88 8.80 8.90 229 231 101 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 207 217 213 98 9.24 9.49 1,914 2,062 108 : US : 2,912 3,114 3,037 98 9.11 9.27 26,519 28,875 109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2007 : per Litter : : 2007 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2006 : :as % of : : : 2006 : :as % of : : Number : 2006 : 2006 : 2007 : : Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 38 42 111 9.75 9.80 371 412 111 CO : 84 82 98 8.80 9.00 739 738 100 IL : 215 235 109 9.10 9.20 1,957 2,162 110 IN : 140 150 107 8.90 8.95 1,246 1,343 108 IA : 480 510 106 9.05 9.30 4,344 4,743 109 KS : 87 88 101 8.85 9.10 770 801 104 MI : 50 53 106 8.95 9.45 448 501 112 MN : 280 290 104 9.30 9.30 2,604 2,697 104 MO : 175 190 109 9.00 9.30 1,575 1,767 112 NE : 185 190 103 9.25 9.50 1,711 1,805 105 NC : 550 560 102 9.15 9.15 5,033 5,124 102 OH : 83 84 101 9.20 9.40 764 790 103 OK : 185 190 103 9.00 9.20 1,665 1,748 105 PA : 43 50 116 9.00 9.10 387 455 118 SD : 71 88 124 9.45 9.55 671 840 125 TX : 45 56 124 8.95 9.35 403 524 130 WI : 29 26 90 8.90 8.90 258 231 90 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 209 215 102 9.12 9.36 1,911 2,009 105 : US : 2,949 3,099 105 9.11 9.26 26,857 28,690 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2007-2008 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 960 1,014 9.08 9.19 8,712 9,318 Jan : 972 1,020 9.10 9.20 8,841 9,387 Feb : 973 1,017 9.09 9.23 8,843 9,389 Mar : 1,023 9.14 9,346 Apr : 1,006 9.23 9,290 May : 1,004 9.22 9,260 Jun : 1,039 9.28 9,646 Jul : 1,036 9.29 9,620 Aug : 1,039 9.25 9,609 Sep : 1,048 9.26 9,704 Oct : 1,036 9.28 9,611 Nov : 1,015 9.24 9,375 : Total : 12,151 9.21 111,858 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2008, data were collected from about 7,450 operations, 81 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2008. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all hog raising operations are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.9 million head by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.4 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.4 2.4 1,582 636 76 2,371 2 18 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.8 3.0 843 346 8 1,424 2 18 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.1 3.6 110 46 3 156 4 16 : Following : Quarter : 2.4 4.2 128 55 3 197 4 16 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch (202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section (202) 690-2424 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs (202) 720-3106 Jim Collom - Dairy Products (202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices (202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows (202) 720-3278 Benita Hodge - Livestock Slaughter (515) 284-4340 Scott Hollis - Sheep and Goats (202) 690-2424 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed (202) 720-3040 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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