Mt An 4 (6-08) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 27, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory up 6 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2008 was 67.7 million head. This was up 6 percent from June 1, 2007, and up 1 percent from March 1, 2008. Breeding inventory, at 6.07 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 61.6 million head, was up 7 percent from last year, and up 1 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2008 pig crop, at 29.0 million head, was up 4 percent from 2007 and up 9 percent from 2006. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.09 million head, up 2 percent from 2007 and up 6 percent from 2006. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 51 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.38 for the March-May 2008 period, compared to 9.20 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 to 9.40. U.S. hog producers intend to have 3.07 million sows farrow during the June- August 2008 quarter, down 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2007, but up 5 percent from 2006. Intended farrowings for September-November 2008, at 3.05 million sows, are down 4 percent from 2007 but up 3 percent from 2006. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 41 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 39 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2007 through March 2008 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, adjustments of slightly less than two percent were made to the December 2007 and March 2008 total inventory along with an adjustment of less than three percent to September-November 2007 pig crop. Adjustments of less than one percent were made to June-August 2007 pig crop, December 2007-February 2008 pig crop, and September 2007 total inventory. This report was approved on June 27, 2008. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James E. Link Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2006-2008.............1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2006-2008....2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2006-2008 March 1...........................................................5 June 1............................................................7 September 1.......................................................9 December 1.......................................................11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2006-2008 December-February................................................13 March-May........................................................14 June-August......................................................15 September-November...............................................16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2007-2008.....................17 Reliability Statement....................................................18 Information Contacts.....................................................19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2008 as % of Item : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 :------------- : : : : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,326 61,860 67,169 111 109 Kept for Breeding : 6,025 6,110 6,138 102 100 Market : 54,301 55,749 61,030 112 109 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,988 20,381 22,097 111 108 60-119 Pounds : 13,006 13,356 14,541 112 109 120-179 Pounds : 11,434 11,679 13,193 115 113 180 Pounds and Over : 9,874 10,334 11,200 113 108 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,687 63,951 67,661 110 106 Kept for Breeding : 6,060 6,120 6,069 100 99 Market : 55,627 57,830 61,591 111 107 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,808 21,782 22,587 109 104 60-119 Pounds : 13,692 14,339 15,167 111 106 120-179 Pounds : 11,485 11,790 12,907 112 109 180 Pounds and Over : 9,643 9,920 10,931 113 110 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,914 67,219 Kept for Breeding : 6,079 6,149 Market : 56,835 61,069 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,708 22,650 60-119 Pounds : 14,231 15,262 120-179 Pounds : 11,685 12,531 180 Pounds and Over : 10,212 10,627 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,490 68,113 Kept for Breeding : 6,087 6,161 Market : 56,402 61,951 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,462 22,552 60-119 Pounds : 13,928 15,174 120-179 Pounds : 11,275 12,657 180 Pounds and Over : 10,738 11,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2008 as % of Item : 2006 : 2007 : 2008 :--------------- : : : : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,841 2,905 3,067 108 106 Mar-May : 2,927 3,033 3,092 106 102 Dec-May 2/ : 5,768 5,938 6,159 107 104 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,912 3,132 3,070 105 98 Sep-Nov 3/ : 2,949 3,180 3,052 103 96 Jun-Nov 3/ : 5,862 6,312 6,122 104 97 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,662 26,396 28,352 110 107 Mar-May : 26,580 27,896 29,000 109 104 Dec-May 2/ : 52,242 54,293 57,352 110 106 : Jun-Aug : 26,519 29,094 Sep-Nov : 26,857 29,511 Jun-Nov : 53,376 58,606 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 9.03 9.09 9.24 102 102 Mar-May : 9.08 9.20 9.38 103 102 Dec-May 2/ : 9.06 9.14 9.31 103 102 : Jun-Aug : 9.11 9.29 Sep-Nov : 9.11 9.28 Jun-Nov : 9.11 9.28 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2008. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2007 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.90 9.10 9.30 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.20 8.60 9.00 9.20 9.40 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.60 9.00 9.30 9.40 : 2008 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.80 9.20 9.30 Mar-May : 7.70 8.20 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.40 Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 90 106 190 210 111 275 300 109 CO : 150 155 103 670 625 93 820 780 95 IL : 440 450 102 3,660 4,000 109 4,100 4,450 109 IN : 320 320 100 2,930 3,330 114 3,250 3,650 112 IA : 1,090 1,090 100 15,810 18,010 114 16,900 19,100 113 KS : 165 160 97 1,685 1,710 101 1,850 1,870 101 MI : 110 100 91 880 890 101 990 990 100 MN : 600 590 98 6,300 6,910 110 6,900 7,500 109 MO : 365 380 104 2,485 2,720 109 2,850 3,100 109 NE : 360 360 100 2,740 2,940 107 3,100 3,300 106 NC : 1,030 1,020 99 8,370 9,080 108 9,400 10,100 107 OH : 165 170 103 1,545 1,680 109 1,710 1,850 108 OK : 360 360 100 1,990 1,980 99 2,350 2,340 100 PA : 100 100 100 1,010 1,040 103 1,110 1,140 103 SD : 140 160 114 1,140 1,300 114 1,280 1,460 114 TX : 100 115 115 870 975 112 970 1,090 112 WI : 55 45 82 385 365 95 440 410 93 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 475 473 100 3,089 3,265 106 3,565 3,739 105 : US : 6,110 6,138 100 55,749 61,030 109 61,860 67,169 109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 160 20 15 15 10 15 25 CO : 375 320 100 85 75 80 120 140 IL : 1,310 1,430 890 950 790 900 670 720 IN : 1,070 1,190 730 840 580 680 550 620 IA : 4,650 5,450 4,210 4,680 3,780 4,430 3,170 3,450 KS : 575 575 310 370 335 295 465 470 MI : 305 320 210 220 180 175 185 175 MN : 2,400 2,680 1,540 1,660 1,330 1,460 1,030 1,110 MO : 1,160 1,255 485 510 500 530 340 425 NE : 1,050 1,060 730 780 530 670 430 430 NC : 3,430 3,580 1,850 2,090 1,670 1,890 1,420 1,520 OH : 605 635 380 415 320 385 240 245 OK : 940 970 310 300 220 230 520 480 PA : 300 310 295 300 225 230 190 200 SD : 415 480 260 285 240 275 225 260 TX : 315 330 205 190 185 210 165 245 WI : 155 150 90 85 70 60 70 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,186 1,202 741 766 634 683 529 615 : US : 20,381 22,097 13,356 14,541 11,679 13,193 10,334 11,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 95 112 205 215 105 290 310 107 CO : 150 150 100 690 620 90 840 770 92 IL : 440 440 100 3,560 3,910 110 4,000 4,350 109 IN : 310 300 97 3,040 3,400 112 3,350 3,700 110 IA : 1,080 1,090 101 17,120 18,310 107 18,200 19,400 107 KS : 165 160 97 1,735 1,630 94 1,900 1,790 94 MI : 110 100 91 920 930 101 1,030 1,030 100 MN : 610 580 95 6,390 7,020 110 7,000 7,600 109 MO : 375 375 100 2,675 2,775 104 3,050 3,150 103 NE : 360 360 100 2,790 3,040 109 3,150 3,400 108 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,680 9,080 105 9,700 10,100 104 OH : 165 165 100 1,505 1,735 115 1,670 1,900 114 OK : 360 360 100 1,960 2,000 102 2,320 2,360 102 PA : 100 95 95 1,020 1,085 106 1,120 1,180 105 SD : 145 150 103 1,145 1,290 113 1,290 1,440 112 TX : 110 110 100 890 970 109 1,000 1,080 108 WI : 50 45 90 360 355 99 410 400 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 485 474 98 3,145 3,226 103 3,631 3,701 102 : US : 6,120 6,069 99 57,830 61,591 107 63,951 67,661 106 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 160 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 375 320 100 115 85 70 130 115 IL : 1,310 1,420 920 990 760 850 570 650 IN : 1,120 1,240 780 880 590 670 550 610 IA : 5,450 5,500 4,770 4,910 3,850 4,450 3,050 3,450 KS : 620 550 340 325 335 275 440 480 MI : 330 330 215 230 195 185 180 185 MN : 2,570 2,760 1,620 1,760 1,300 1,470 900 1,030 MO : 1,300 1,330 545 565 505 475 325 405 NE : 1,040 1,130 730 810 580 650 440 450 NC : 3,600 3,700 2,000 2,150 1,670 1,760 1,410 1,470 OH : 600 650 375 435 315 400 215 250 OK : 940 1,000 315 300 230 230 475 470 PA : 300 330 305 315 225 235 190 205 SD : 425 485 270 305 240 260 210 240 TX : 285 325 215 225 200 200 190 220 WI : 155 140 85 90 65 60 55 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,212 1,217 734 742 630 652 570 616 : US : 21,782 22,587 14,339 15,167 11,790 12,907 9,920 10,931 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 195 205 105 280 290 104 CO : 155 150 97 695 710 102 850 860 101 IL : 440 450 102 3,910 3,750 96 4,350 4,200 97 IN : 330 310 94 2,970 3,190 107 3,300 3,500 106 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 15,920 17,830 112 17,000 18,900 111 KS : 165 170 103 1,755 1,790 102 1,920 1,960 102 MI : 100 100 100 880 980 111 980 1,080 110 MN : 590 610 103 6,310 6,690 106 6,900 7,300 106 MO : 355 385 108 2,395 2,765 115 2,750 3,150 115 NE : 350 365 104 2,700 2,985 111 3,050 3,350 110 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,690 9,370 108 9,700 10,400 107 OH : 170 170 100 1,500 1,590 106 1,670 1,760 105 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,080 102 2,390 2,440 102 PA : 105 100 95 1,055 1,080 102 1,160 1,180 102 SD : 155 155 100 1,285 1,215 95 1,440 1,370 95 TX : 100 100 100 890 1,020 115 990 1,120 113 WI : 55 50 91 375 370 99 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 489 103 3,280 3,449 105 3,754 3,939 105 : US : 6,079 6,149 101 56,835 61,069 107 62,914 67,219 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 150 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 380 365 90 130 85 75 140 140 IL : 1,360 1,400 990 930 850 800 710 620 IN : 1,080 1,120 770 830 580 640 540 600 IA : 4,750 5,790 4,500 4,910 3,600 4,030 3,070 3,100 KS : 590 550 395 380 305 375 465 485 MI : 300 335 220 230 180 230 180 185 MN : 2,440 2,680 1,610 1,710 1,300 1,300 960 1,000 MO : 1,115 1,300 480 545 470 530 330 390 NE : 1,000 1,150 710 810 560 590 430 435 NC : 3,530 3,700 2,040 2,310 1,710 1,810 1,410 1,550 OH : 600 635 380 380 320 350 200 225 OK : 950 960 330 340 260 260 490 520 PA : 330 345 305 310 235 240 185 185 SD : 480 420 300 290 265 270 240 235 TX : 315 355 200 215 190 220 185 230 WI : 145 150 90 105 75 60 65 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,203 1,245 801 817 685 736 592 652 : US : 20,708 22,650 14,231 15,262 11,685 12,531 10,212 10,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 175 205 117 260 290 112 CO : 155 150 97 685 710 104 840 860 102 IL : 440 440 100 3,760 3,910 104 4,200 4,350 104 IN : 330 330 100 3,020 3,370 112 3,350 3,700 110 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 16,220 18,300 113 17,300 19,400 112 KS : 170 170 100 1,670 1,700 102 1,840 1,870 102 MI : 110 100 91 890 930 104 1,000 1,030 103 MN : 590 600 102 6,310 7,100 113 6,900 7,700 112 MO : 360 375 104 2,440 2,775 114 2,800 3,150 113 NE : 365 355 97 2,685 2,995 112 3,050 3,350 110 NC : 1,010 1,030 102 8,490 9,170 108 9,500 10,200 107 OH : 170 165 97 1,520 1,665 110 1,690 1,830 108 OK : 350 360 103 1,980 1,980 100 2,330 2,340 100 PA : 105 100 95 975 1,060 109 1,080 1,160 107 SD : 140 165 118 1,130 1,285 114 1,270 1,450 114 TX : 95 110 116 845 1,050 124 940 1,160 123 WI : 55 50 91 395 390 99 450 440 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 476 100 3,212 3,356 104 3,690 3,833 104 : US : 6,087 6,161 101 56,402 61,951 110 62,490 68,113 109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 125 150 15 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 380 365 80 95 85 90 140 160 IL : 1,270 1,420 970 980 800 820 720 690 IN : 1,120 1,260 760 850 580 670 560 590 IA : 4,910 5,810 4,470 4,880 3,540 4,060 3,300 3,550 KS : 560 580 320 365 310 295 480 460 MI : 300 320 230 235 170 200 190 175 MN : 2,420 2,750 1,540 1,730 1,250 1,450 1,100 1,170 MO : 1,130 1,310 490 570 475 475 345 420 NE : 1,010 1,150 720 805 530 590 425 450 NC : 3,390 3,420 1,970 2,220 1,680 1,890 1,450 1,640 OH : 590 645 370 405 305 365 255 250 OK : 900 920 340 310 240 220 500 530 PA : 300 345 300 295 185 220 190 200 SD : 415 460 260 280 220 295 235 250 TX : 280 310 200 230 185 230 180 280 WI : 155 150 100 100 70 70 70 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,207 1,187 793 804 635 702 578 664 : US : 20,462 22,552 13,928 15,174 11,275 12,657 10,738 11,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2007-2008 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2008 : per Litter : : 2008 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2007 : :as % of : : : 2007 : :as % of : : Number : 2007 : 2007 : 2008 : : Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 39 43 110 9.45 9.60 369 413 112 CO : 83 83 100 8.80 9.05 730 751 103 IL : 210 240 114 9.05 9.25 1,901 2,220 117 IN : 140 150 107 8.80 9.00 1,232 1,350 110 IA : 455 510 112 9.00 9.20 4,095 4,692 115 KS : 88 85 97 8.90 9.10 783 774 99 MI : 49 52 106 8.75 9.45 429 491 114 MN : 275 285 104 9.25 9.25 2,544 2,636 104 MO : 180 190 106 9.05 9.20 1,629 1,748 107 NE : 180 190 106 9.20 9.50 1,656 1,805 109 NC : 540 550 102 9.10 9.20 4,914 5,060 103 OH : 84 89 106 9.15 9.15 769 814 106 OK : 190 180 95 9.20 9.35 1,748 1,683 96 PA : 44 43 98 9.00 9.50 396 409 103 SD : 67 88 131 9.50 9.60 637 845 133 TX : 45 52 116 8.90 9.00 401 468 117 WI : 27 26 96 8.95 8.95 242 233 96 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 209 211 101 9.18 9.29 1,921 1,960 102 : US : 2,905 3,067 106 9.09 9.24 26,396 28,352 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2008 : per Litter : : 2008 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2007 : :as % of : : : 2007 : :as % of : : Number : 2007 : 2007 : 2008 : : Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 45 107 9.80 9.80 412 441 107 CO : 80 82 103 8.90 8.85 712 726 102 IL : 230 230 100 9.05 9.35 2,082 2,151 103 IN : 140 145 104 8.95 9.10 1,253 1,320 105 IA : 480 530 110 9.20 9.35 4,416 4,956 112 KS : 88 80 91 8.95 9.10 788 728 92 MI : 53 53 100 9.00 9.70 477 514 108 MN : 290 290 100 9.35 9.50 2,712 2,755 102 MO : 195 195 100 9.15 9.40 1,784 1,833 103 NE : 185 190 103 9.45 9.60 1,748 1,824 104 NC : 560 560 100 9.05 9.35 5,068 5,236 103 OH : 83 89 107 9.30 9.40 772 837 108 OK : 195 185 95 9.40 9.45 1,833 1,748 95 PA : 45 43 96 9.10 9.45 410 406 99 SD : 73 86 118 9.55 9.70 697 834 120 TX : 49 52 106 9.25 8.60 453 447 99 WI : 26 26 100 8.90 9.10 231 237 103 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 219 211 96 9.36 9.53 2,048 2,007 98 : US : 3,033 3,092 102 9.20 9.38 27,896 29,000 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 3/ : per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 40 46 47 102 9.70 9.70 388 446 115 CO : 82 83 87 105 9.00 9.15 738 759 103 IL : 200 245 230 94 9.05 9.15 1,810 2,242 124 IN : 140 150 140 93 8.95 9.10 1,253 1,365 109 IA : 455 480 520 108 9.05 9.30 4,118 4,464 108 KS : 85 90 85 94 8.75 9.00 744 810 109 MI : 48 55 52 95 9.15 9.20 439 506 115 MN : 280 295 280 95 9.25 9.50 2,590 2,803 108 MO : 170 195 190 97 9.05 9.30 1,539 1,814 118 NE : 175 200 190 95 9.15 9.50 1,601 1,900 119 NC : 560 580 560 97 9.10 9.10 5,096 5,278 104 OH : 84 86 88 102 9.15 9.40 769 808 105 OK : 190 195 190 97 9.00 9.35 1,710 1,823 107 PA : 45 48 43 90 8.80 9.60 396 461 116 SD : 77 83 80 96 9.40 9.60 724 797 110 TX : 48 58 50 86 9.60 9.05 461 525 114 WI : 26 26 23 88 8.80 8.90 229 231 101 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 207 217 215 99 9.24 9.49 1,914 2,062 108 : US : 2,912 3,132 3,070 98 9.11 9.29 26,519 29,094 110 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2006-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2008 3/ : Per Litter : : 2007 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2006 : 2007 : :as % of: : : 2006 : :as % of : : :Number : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : :Number : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 38 44 46 105 9.75 9.80 371 431 116 CO : 84 83 85 102 8.80 9.05 739 751 102 IL : 215 245 235 96 9.10 9.25 1,957 2,266 116 IN : 140 155 140 90 8.90 9.00 1,246 1,395 112 IA : 480 540 520 96 9.05 9.30 4,344 5,022 116 KS : 87 89 84 94 8.85 9.15 770 814 106 MI : 50 53 52 98 8.95 9.45 448 501 112 MN : 280 295 280 95 9.30 9.30 2,604 2,744 105 MO : 175 195 185 95 9.00 9.30 1,575 1,814 115 NE : 185 195 190 97 9.25 9.55 1,711 1,862 109 NC : 550 570 550 96 9.15 9.20 5,033 5,244 104 OH : 83 86 86 100 9.20 9.45 764 813 106 OK : 185 190 190 100 9.00 9.20 1,665 1,748 105 PA : 43 51 43 84 9.00 9.10 387 464 120 SD : 71 90 81 90 9.45 9.55 671 860 128 TX : 45 58 51 88 8.95 9.35 403 542 134 WI : 29 26 23 88 8.90 8.90 258 231 90 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 209 215 211 98 9.12 9.36 1,911 2,009 105 : US : 2,949 3,180 3,052 96 9.11 9.28 26,857 29,511 110 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2007-2008 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 960 1,017 9.08 9.22 8,712 9,381 Jan : 972 1,026 9.10 9.24 8,841 9,484 Feb : 973 1,024 9.09 9.26 8,843 9,487 Mar : 1,023 1,060 9.14 9.35 9,346 9,910 Apr : 1,006 1,013 9.23 9.38 9,290 9,507 May : 1,004 1,019 9.22 9.40 9,260 9,583 Jun : 1,046 9.30 9,727 Jul : 1,040 9.31 9,680 Aug : 1,046 9.26 9,687 Sep : 1,078 9.27 9,993 Oct : 1,062 9.30 9,872 Nov : 1,040 9.28 9,646 : Total : 12,250 9.22 112,898 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of June 2008, data were collected from about 7,500 operations, 81 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1, 2008. Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all hog raising operations are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 67.7 million head by more than 1.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.9 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.7 2.9 1,911 763 80 3,003 2 18 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.1 3.7 1,039 409 8 1,643 2 18 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.5 4.3 131 53 3 216 3 17 : Following : Quarter : 2.9 5.0 152 64 3 220 3 17 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch........................... (202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section........................... (202) 690-2424 Jim Collom - Dairy Products.............................. (202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices....................... (202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed................. (202) 720-3040 Benita Hodge - Livestock Slaughter....................... (515) 284-4340 Scott Hollis - Sheep and Goats........................... (202) 690-2424 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows.............. (202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs.............................. (202) 720-3106 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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