Mt An 4 (3-09) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 27, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory down 3 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2009 was 65.4 million head. This was down 3 percent from March 1, 2008 and down 2 percent from December 1, 2008. Breeding inventory, at 6.01 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.4 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down 2 percent from last quarter. The December 2008-February 2009 pig crop, at 28.2 million head, was down 1 percent from 2008 but up 7 percent from 2007. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.98 million head, down 3 percent from 2008 but up 3 percent from 2007. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.48 for the December 2008-February 2009 period, compared to 9.24 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.30 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.50 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.96 million sows farrow during the March- May 2009 quarter, down 3 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2008 and down 2 percent from 2007. Intended farrowings for June- August 2009, at 2.95 million sows, are down 4 percent from 2008 and down 6 percent from 2007. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 45 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 40 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2008 through December 2008 were reviewed using slaughter, death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one half of one percent were made to the December 2008 total inventory, March-May 2008 pig crop, and June- August 2008 pig crop. This report was approved on March 27, 2009. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2008-2009................................1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2007-2009.......................2 Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation, 2008-2009...............................2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2007-2009 March 1..............................................................................5 June................................................................................17 September 1..........................................................................9 December 1..........................................................................11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2007-2009 December-February...................................................................13 March-May...........................................................................14 June-August.........................................................................15 September-November..................................................................16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2008-2009........................................17 Reliability Statement.......................................................................18 Information Contacts........................................................................19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2008-2009 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : 2009 Item : 2008 : 2009 : as a % : : : 2008 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,218 65,389 97 Kept for Breeding : 6,200 6,011 97 Market : 61,018 59,378 97 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,137 21,458 97 60-119 Pounds : 14,490 14,126 97 120-179 Pounds : 13,193 12,862 97 180 Pounds and Over : 11,199 10,932 98 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,400 Kept for Breeding : 6,131 Market : 61,269 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,197 60-119 Pounds : 15,321 120-179 Pounds : 12,892 180 Pounds and Over : 10,860 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 68,196 Kept for Breeding : 6,061 Market : 62,135 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,683 60-119 Pounds : 15,397 120-179 Pounds : 12,855 180 Pounds and Over : 11,201 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 66,768 Kept for Breeding : 6,081 Market : 60,687 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 21,297 60-119 Pounds : 15,126 120-179 Pounds : 12,731 180 Pounds and Over : 11,533 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2007-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2009 as % of Item : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 :--------------- : : : : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,905 3,071 2,978 103 97 Mar-May 3/ : 3,030 3,052 2,962 98 97 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,935 6,123 5,940 100 97 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 3,133 3,075 2,952 94 96 Sep-Nov : 3,180 2,990 Jun-Nov : 6,312 6,065 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 26,395 28,387 28,230 107 99 Mar-May : 27,870 28,630 Dec-May 2/ : 54,266 57,017 : Jun-Aug : 29,095 29,240 Sep-Nov : 29,513 28,410 Jun-Nov : 58,608 57,650 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 9.09 9.24 9.48 104 103 Mar-May : 9.20 9.38 Dec-May 2/ : 9.14 9.31 : Jun-Aug : 9.29 9.51 Sep-Nov : 9.28 9.50 Jun-Nov : 9.28 9.51 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2009. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2008-February 2009 plus intentions for March-May 2009. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2008 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.80 9.20 9.30 Mar-May : 7.70 8.20 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.40 Jun-Aug : 7.80 8.30 8.40 9.00 9.50 9.60 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.30 9.00 9.40 9.60 : 2009 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.30 8.10 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.50 Mar-May : Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 85 94 210 190 90 300 275 92 CO : 155 155 100 625 575 92 780 730 94 IL : 490 480 98 3,960 3,770 95 4,450 4,250 96 IN : 310 270 87 3,340 3,230 97 3,650 3,500 96 IA : 1,080 1,040 96 18,020 18,260 101 19,100 19,300 101 KS : 170 165 97 1,710 1,645 96 1,880 1,810 96 MI : 100 110 110 880 920 105 980 1,030 105 MN : 590 580 98 6,910 6,720 97 7,500 7,300 97 MO : 380 365 96 2,720 2,585 95 3,100 2,950 95 NE : 370 375 101 2,930 2,775 95 3,300 3,150 95 NC : 1,010 980 97 9,090 8,420 93 10,100 9,400 93 OH : 165 170 103 1,685 1,800 107 1,850 1,970 106 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 1,940 99 2,350 2,340 100 PA : 100 90 90 1,050 1,020 97 1,150 1,110 97 SD : 160 150 94 1,310 1,230 94 1,470 1,380 94 TX : 105 95 90 985 995 101 1,090 1,090 100 WI : 45 45 100 365 325 89 410 370 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 480 456 95 3,278 2,978 91 3,758 3,434 91 : US : 6,200 6,011 97 61,018 59,378 97 67,218 65,389 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 160 145 15 15 10 15 25 15 CO : 320 315 85 70 80 70 140 120 IL : 1,440 1,440 900 930 900 790 720 610 IN : 1,200 1,230 840 780 680 630 620 590 IA : 5,450 5,150 4,680 5,030 4,440 4,690 3,450 3,390 KS : 575 570 370 260 295 290 470 525 MI : 315 350 220 225 170 155 175 190 MN : 2,690 2,620 1,650 1,620 1,460 1,430 1,110 1,050 MO : 1,245 1,250 520 460 530 475 425 400 NE : 1,080 1,030 760 700 660 610 430 435 NC : 3,580 3,400 2,100 1,800 1,890 1,750 1,520 1,470 OH : 635 705 410 425 390 395 250 275 OK : 960 890 300 340 220 210 470 500 PA : 320 350 300 275 230 200 200 195 SD : 480 480 285 260 280 255 265 235 TX : 330 310 200 195 210 200 245 290 WI : 150 145 85 70 60 55 70 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,207 1,078 770 671 688 642 614 587 : US : 22,137 21,458 14,490 14,126 13,193 12,862 11,199 10,932 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 95 112 205 215 105 290 310 107 CO : 150 150 100 690 610 88 840 760 90 IL : 480 460 96 3,520 3,890 111 4,000 4,350 109 IN : 300 290 97 3,050 3,360 110 3,350 3,650 109 IA : 1,060 1,080 102 17,140 18,320 107 18,200 19,400 107 KS : 175 170 97 1,725 1,610 93 1,900 1,780 94 MI : 110 100 91 910 930 102 1,020 1,030 101 MN : 600 580 97 6,400 6,920 108 7,000 7,500 107 MO : 375 380 101 2,675 2,720 102 3,050 3,100 102 NE : 365 370 101 2,785 3,030 109 3,150 3,400 108 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,680 9,080 105 9,700 10,100 104 OH : 165 165 100 1,495 1,725 115 1,660 1,890 114 OK : 400 400 100 1,920 1,960 102 2,320 2,360 102 PA : 100 95 95 1,020 1,085 106 1,120 1,180 105 SD : 145 150 103 1,145 1,280 112 1,290 1,430 111 TX : 105 105 100 895 965 108 1,000 1,070 107 WI : 50 45 90 360 345 96 410 390 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 484 476 98 3,162 3,224 102 3,647 3,700 101 : US : 6,169 6,131 99 57,777 61,269 106 63,947 67,400 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 160 20 20 15 15 20 20 CO : 375 310 100 115 85 70 130 115 IL : 1,300 1,400 910 990 750 850 560 650 IN : 1,120 1,180 780 900 590 670 560 610 IA : 5,460 5,430 4,770 5,060 3,860 4,450 3,050 3,380 KS : 610 540 340 330 335 260 440 480 MI : 325 325 215 230 190 185 180 190 MN : 2,570 2,660 1,620 1,760 1,300 1,470 910 1,030 MO : 1,300 1,295 545 545 505 475 325 405 NE : 1,020 1,120 730 810 590 650 445 450 NC : 3,600 3,700 2,000 2,150 1,670 1,760 1,410 1,470 OH : 600 630 370 435 310 400 215 260 OK : 930 990 310 300 220 220 460 450 PA : 300 320 305 320 225 235 190 210 SD : 425 480 270 305 240 255 210 240 TX : 290 315 215 225 200 205 190 220 WI : 155 130 85 90 65 60 55 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,218 1,212 735 736 639 662 570 615 : US : 21,748 22,197 14,320 15,321 11,789 12,892 9,920 10,860 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 95 112 205 220 107 290 315 109 CO : 160 150 94 700 590 84 860 740 86 IL : 490 470 96 3,710 3,880 105 4,200 4,350 104 IN : 300 280 93 3,200 3,320 104 3,500 3,600 103 IA : 1,050 1,070 102 17,850 18,730 105 18,900 19,800 105 KS : 180 170 94 1,790 1,640 92 1,970 1,810 92 MI : 100 100 100 980 950 97 1,080 1,050 97 MN : 610 570 93 6,690 7,030 105 7,300 7,600 104 MO : 385 375 97 2,765 2,775 100 3,150 3,150 100 NE : 370 360 97 2,980 2,940 99 3,350 3,300 99 NC : 1,020 1,000 98 9,380 9,300 99 10,400 10,300 99 OH : 165 165 100 1,595 1,755 110 1,760 1,920 109 OK : 400 400 100 2,050 2,060 100 2,450 2,460 100 PA : 100 85 85 1,090 1,035 95 1,190 1,120 94 SD : 155 150 97 1,225 1,270 104 1,380 1,420 103 TX : 100 105 105 1,020 1,015 100 1,120 1,120 100 WI : 50 45 90 370 335 91 420 380 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 488 471 96 3,466 3,290 95 3,955 3,761 95 : US : 6,208 6,061 98 61,066 62,135 102 67,275 68,196 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 170 20 20 15 15 20 15 CO : 365 305 120 100 75 70 140 115 IL : 1,400 1,410 910 1,000 780 820 620 650 IN : 1,120 1,200 840 890 640 620 600 610 IA : 5,790 5,620 4,920 5,170 4,040 4,460 3,100 3,480 KS : 550 570 380 300 375 275 485 495 MI : 335 355 230 240 230 185 185 170 MN : 2,680 2,820 1,710 1,820 1,300 1,400 1,000 990 MO : 1,300 1,350 545 565 530 495 390 365 NE : 1,150 1,100 810 780 590 610 430 450 NC : 3,700 3,700 2,310 2,050 1,820 1,860 1,550 1,690 OH : 630 655 385 455 350 400 230 245 OK : 950 980 340 320 250 240 510 520 PA : 350 320 310 305 240 215 190 195 SD : 425 470 290 300 270 260 240 240 TX : 355 325 215 250 220 205 230 235 WI : 150 125 105 90 60 55 55 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,248 1,208 821 742 745 670 652 671 : US : 22,648 22,683 15,261 15,397 12,530 12,855 10,627 11,201 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 90 106 205 190 93 290 280 97 CO : 160 155 97 700 565 81 860 720 84 IL : 480 490 102 3,870 3,860 100 4,350 4,350 100 IN : 320 280 88 3,380 3,220 95 3,700 3,500 95 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 18,320 18,730 102 19,400 19,800 102 KS : 180 165 92 1,700 1,565 92 1,880 1,730 92 MI : 100 110 110 930 910 98 1,030 1,020 99 MN : 600 580 97 7,100 6,920 97 7,700 7,500 97 MO : 375 370 99 2,775 2,730 98 3,150 3,100 98 NE : 365 370 101 2,985 2,930 98 3,350 3,300 99 NC : 1,020 980 96 9,180 8,620 94 10,200 9,600 94 OH : 160 170 106 1,670 1,760 105 1,830 1,930 105 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 1,990 102 2,350 2,390 102 PA : 105 90 86 1,065 1,020 96 1,170 1,110 95 SD : 165 155 94 1,295 1,175 91 1,460 1,330 91 TX : 105 100 95 1,055 1,020 97 1,160 1,120 97 WI : 50 40 80 390 320 82 440 360 82 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 483 466 97 3,374 3,162 94 3,857 3,628 94 : US : 6,233 6,081 98 61,944 60,687 98 68,177 66,768 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 145 20 15 15 15 20 15 CO : 360 300 90 70 90 70 160 125 IL : 1,420 1,400 980 1,010 800 800 670 650 IN : 1,260 1,170 850 830 680 610 590 610 IA : 5,810 5,190 4,880 5,320 4,060 4,500 3,570 3,720 KS : 580 520 365 305 295 245 460 495 MI : 315 310 235 240 200 175 180 185 MN : 2,750 2,670 1,730 1,770 1,450 1,390 1,170 1,090 MO : 1,300 1,310 570 550 485 480 420 390 NE : 1,140 1,080 805 760 590 630 450 460 NC : 3,430 3,300 2,220 1,930 1,890 1,750 1,640 1,640 OH : 650 660 405 445 360 400 255 255 OK : 910 920 300 320 220 260 520 490 PA : 345 310 300 300 220 215 200 195 SD : 465 450 285 245 295 245 250 235 TX : 315 320 230 200 230 205 280 295 WI : 150 120 100 85 70 55 70 60 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,195 1,122 808 731 708 686 664 623 : US : 22,545 21,297 15,173 15,126 12,658 12,731 11,569 11,533 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2008-2009 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2009 : per Litter : : 2009 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2008 : :as % of : : : 2008 : :as % of : : Number : 2008 : 2008 : 2009 : : Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 44 100 9.60 9.85 422 433 103 CO : 84 74 88 9.05 8.60 760 636 84 IL : 240 250 104 9.25 9.50 2,220 2,375 107 IN : 150 140 93 9.00 9.30 1,350 1,302 96 IA : 510 490 96 9.20 9.60 4,692 4,704 100 KS : 86 80 93 9.10 9.10 783 728 93 MI : 52 53 102 9.45 9.70 491 514 105 MN : 285 280 98 9.25 9.75 2,636 2,730 104 MO : 190 190 100 9.20 9.35 1,748 1,777 102 NE : 190 180 95 9.50 9.75 1,805 1,755 97 NC : 550 520 95 9.20 9.55 5,060 4,966 98 OH : 89 86 97 9.15 9.40 814 808 99 OK : 180 190 106 9.35 8.90 1,683 1,691 100 PA : 43 40 93 9.50 9.75 409 390 95 SD : 88 82 93 9.60 9.85 845 808 96 TX : 54 45 83 9.00 9.65 486 434 89 WI : 26 24 92 8.95 8.80 233 211 91 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 210 210 100 9.29 9.37 1,950 1,968 101 : US : 3,071 2,978 97 9.24 9.48 28,387 28,230 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2007-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2009 3/ : per Litter : : 2008 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2007 : 2008 : :as % of: : : 2007 : :as % of : : :Number : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 45 41 91 9.80 9.80 412 441 107 CO : 80 81 79 98 8.90 8.85 712 717 101 IL : 240 230 240 104 9.05 9.35 2,172 2,151 99 IN : 145 145 135 93 8.95 9.10 1,298 1,320 102 IA : 465 520 490 94 9.20 9.35 4,278 4,862 114 KS : 87 80 87 109 8.95 9.10 779 728 93 MI : 53 53 56 106 9.00 9.70 477 514 108 MN : 290 285 280 98 9.35 9.50 2,712 2,708 100 MO : 195 190 185 97 9.15 9.40 1,784 1,786 100 NE : 185 185 180 97 9.45 9.60 1,748 1,776 102 NC : 560 550 520 95 9.05 9.35 5,068 5,143 101 OH : 82 89 85 96 9.30 9.40 763 837 110 OK : 195 185 190 103 9.40 9.45 1,833 1,748 95 PA : 45 41 39 95 9.10 9.45 410 387 94 SD : 73 85 79 93 9.55 9.70 697 825 118 TX : 48 51 46 90 9.30 8.60 446 439 98 WI : 26 26 22 85 8.90 9.10 231 237 103 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 219 211 208 99 9.36 9.54 2,050 2,011 98 : US : 3,030 3,052 2,962 97 9.20 9.38 27,870 28,630 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2007-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2009 3/ : per Litter : : 2008 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2007 : 2008 : :as % of: : : 2007 : :as % of : : :Number : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 46 50 41 82 9.70 9.70 446 485 109 CO : 83 76 77 101 9.15 8.90 759 676 89 IL : 245 240 245 102 9.15 9.45 2,242 2,268 101 IN : 150 145 140 97 9.10 9.25 1,365 1,341 98 IA : 480 510 480 94 9.30 9.40 4,464 4,794 107 KS : 90 81 86 106 9.00 9.15 810 741 91 MI : 55 53 55 104 9.20 9.25 506 490 97 MN : 295 285 280 98 9.50 9.80 2,803 2,793 100 MO : 195 195 185 95 9.30 9.70 1,814 1,892 104 NE : 200 185 180 97 9.50 9.70 1,900 1,795 94 NC : 580 560 520 93 9.10 9.65 5,278 5,404 102 OH : 86 89 85 96 9.40 9.50 808 846 105 OK : 195 195 185 95 9.35 9.35 1,823 1,823 100 PA : 48 38 39 103 9.60 9.60 461 365 79 SD : 83 82 78 95 9.60 9.80 797 804 101 TX : 58 52 50 96 9.05 8.55 525 445 85 WI : 26 24 23 96 8.90 9.10 231 218 94 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 218 215 203 94 9.49 9.58 2,063 2,060 100 : US : 3,133 3,075 2,952 96 9.29 9.51 29,095 29,240 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2008 : per Litter : : 2008 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2007 : :as % of : : : 2007 : :as % of : : Number : 2007 : 2007 : 2008 : : Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 46 105 9.80 9.80 431 451 105 CO : 83 71 86 9.05 8.80 751 625 83 IL : 245 250 102 9.25 9.40 2,266 2,350 104 IN : 155 140 90 9.00 9.20 1,395 1,288 92 IA : 540 500 93 9.30 9.50 5,022 4,750 95 KS : 89 76 85 9.15 9.40 814 714 88 MI : 53 53 100 9.45 9.65 501 511 102 MN : 295 280 95 9.30 9.85 2,744 2,758 101 MO : 195 200 103 9.30 9.65 1,814 1,930 106 NE : 195 185 95 9.55 9.80 1,862 1,813 97 NC : 570 510 89 9.20 9.55 5,244 4,871 93 OH : 86 88 102 9.45 9.00 813 792 97 OK : 190 180 95 9.20 9.20 1,748 1,656 95 PA : 51 40 78 9.10 9.35 464 374 81 SD : 90 84 93 9.55 9.80 860 823 96 TX : 58 49 84 9.35 9.55 542 468 86 WI : 26 23 88 8.90 8.95 231 206 89 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 215 215 100 9.37 9.44 2,011 2,030 101 : US : 3,180 2,990 94 9.28 9.50 29,513 28,410 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2008-2009 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 1,017 987 9.22 9.50 9,381 9,380 Jan : 1,028 1,003 9.24 9.45 9,501 9,478 Feb : 1,026 988 9.26 9.49 9,505 9,372 Mar : 1,049 9.35 9,811 Apr : 998 9.38 9,370 May : 1,004 9.41 9,449 Jun : 1,046 9.48 9,917 Jul : 1,020 9.52 9,712 Aug : 1,009 9.53 9,611 Sep : 1,034 9.50 9,826 Oct : 992 9.48 9,404 Nov : 964 9.52 9,180 : Total : 12,187 9.41 114,667 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,100 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2009, data were collected from about 7,500 operations, 82 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2009. Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.4 million head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.7 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.6 2.7 1,801 684 60 3,067 4 16 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.0 3.4 966 351 0 1,644 4 15 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.4 4.1 122 45 3 216 4 16 : Following : Quarter : 2.7 4.7 141 59 3 220 4 16 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch......................................... (202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section......................................... (202) 690-2424 Jim Collom - Dairy Products........................................... (202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices.................................... (202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed.............................. (202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter............................... (515) 284-4340 Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats...................................... (202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows........................... (202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs........................................... 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