Mt An 4 (9-10) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Washington, D.C. Released September 24, 2010, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Special Note NASS is in the process of modifying report layouts in order to improve readability. This report issue is published using both layouts but all future issues will only be produced with the new layout, which is available on the NASS website: http://www.nass.usda.gov. This is the last issue using this layout. U.S. Hog Inventory down 3 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2010 was 65.0 million head. This was down 3 percent from September 1, 2009 but up 1 percent from June 1, 2010. Breeding inventory, at 5.77 million head, was down 2 percent from last year and down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.2 million head, was down 3 percent from last year but up 1 percent from last quarter. The June-August 2010 pig crop, at 28.5 million head, was down 1 percent from 2009 and down 3 percent from 2008. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.91 million head, down 2 percent from 2009 and down 6 percent from 2008. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.81 for the June-August 2010 period, compared to 9.70 last year. The litter rate equaled the record for pigs saved per litter set during the March-May 2010 period. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.88 million sows farrow during the September-November 2010 quarter, down 1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2009 and down 5 percent from 2008. Intended farrowings for December 2010-February 2011, at 2.89 million sows, are up slightly from 2010 but down 4 percent from 2009. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 43 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 46 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2009 through June 2010 were reviewed using slaughter, death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one half of one percent were made to the March 2010 total inventory and June 2010 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one percent was made to the December 2009-February 2010 pig crop. This report was approved on September 24, 2010. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2009-2010 ........... 1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2008-2011 .. 2 Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation, 2009-2010........... 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2008-2010 March 1 .............................................................. 5 June 1 ............................................................... 7 September 1 .......................................................... 9 December 1 ........................................................... 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S.; 2008-2011 December-February ............................................... 13 March-May ............................................................ 14 June-August ......................................................... 15 September-November ................................................... 16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2009-2010 .................... 17 Reliability Statement ................................................... 18 Information Contacts .................................................... 19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2009-2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : 2010 Item : 2009 : 2010 : as a % : : : 2009 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : March 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 65,819 63,568 97 Kept for Breeding : 5,992 5,760 96 Market : 59,828 57,808 97 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 50 Pounds : 19,809 18,767 95 50-119 Pounds : 16,426 15,993 97 120-179 Pounds : 12,732 12,307 97 180 Pounds and Over : 10,862 10,742 99 : June 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 66,809 64,150 96 Kept for Breeding : 5,968 5,788 97 Market : 60,842 58,362 96 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 50 Pounds : 19,554 18,879 97 50-119 Pounds : 17,838 16,877 95 120-179 Pounds : 12,604 12,029 95 180 Pounds and Over : 10,847 10,578 98 : September 1 Inventory 1/: All Hogs and Pigs : 66,716 64,991 97 Kept for Breeding : 5,875 5,770 98 Market : 60,842 59,221 97 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 50 Pounds : 19,758 19,538 99 50-119 Pounds : 17,148 16,810 98 120-179 Pounds : 12,684 12,254 97 180 Pounds and Over : 11,253 10,620 94 : December 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 64,887 Kept for Breeding : 5,850 Market : 59,037 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 50 Pounds : 18,705 50-119 Pounds : 16,782 120-179 Pounds : 12,299 180 Pounds and Over : 11,252 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2008-2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2010 as % of : 2011 Item : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 1/ 2/ : 3,071 3,011 2,872 2,886 94 95 100 Mar-May : 3,052 3,018 2,875 94 95 Dec-May 1/ 3/ : 6,123 6,029 5,747 94 95 : Jun-Aug : 3,075 2,959 2,905 94 98 Sep-Nov 4/ : 3,028 2,915 2,881 95 99 Jun-Nov 3/ 5/ : 6,103 5,874 5,786 95 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 1/ : 28,388 28,552 27,592 97 97 Mar-May : 28,631 29,012 28,199 98 97 Dec-May 1/ 3/ : 57,019 57,564 55,791 98 97 : Jun-Aug : 29,240 28,718 28,507 97 99 Sep-Nov : 28,771 28,260 Jun-Nov 3/ : 58,011 56,978 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 1/ : 9.24 9.48 9.61 104 101 Mar-May : 9.38 9.61 9.81 105 102 Dec-May 1/ : 9.31 9.55 9.71 104 102 : Jun-Aug : 9.51 9.70 9.81 103 101 Sep-Nov : 9.50 9.70 Jun-Nov : 9.51 9.70 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Intentions for 2011. 3/ May not add due to rounding. 4/ Intentions for 2010. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2009 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.30 8.10 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.50 Mar-May : 7.40 8.10 8.50 9.10 9.60 9.70 Jun-Aug : 7.40 8.20 8.60 9.10 9.60 9.80 Sep-Nov : 7.40 8.10 8.50 9.20 9.60 9.80 : 2010 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.40 8.10 8.50 9.20 9.60 9.70 Mar-May : 7.70 8.40 8.60 9.40 9.70 9.90 Jun-Aug : 7.80 8.40 8.70 9.40 9.70 9.90 Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2010 : : 2010 : : 2010 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 150 150 100 590 580 98 740 730 99 IL : 480 480 100 3,820 3,820 100 4,300 4,300 100 IN : 270 290 107 3,280 3,260 99 3,550 3,550 100 IA : 1,040 1,010 97 18,460 17,790 96 19,500 18,800 96 KS : 165 180 109 1,655 1,610 97 1,820 1,790 98 MI : 110 110 100 930 950 102 1,040 1,060 102 MN : 580 550 95 6,820 6,550 96 7,400 7,100 96 MO : 365 355 97 2,585 2,645 102 2,950 3,000 102 NE : 385 365 95 2,815 2,585 92 3,200 2,950 92 NC : 980 880 90 8,420 8,220 98 9,400 9,100 97 OH : 170 170 100 1,810 1,860 103 1,980 2,030 103 OK : 400 410 103 1,940 1,860 96 2,340 2,270 97 PA : 90 95 106 1,020 1,015 100 1,110 1,110 100 SD : 150 150 100 1,160 1,030 89 1,310 1,180 90 TX : 95 55 58 995 595 60 1,090 650 60 UT : 75 75 100 625 625 100 700 700 100 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 487 435 89 2,903 2,813 97 3,389 3,248 96 : US 2/ : 5,992 5,760 96 59,828 57,808 97 65,819 63,568 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 50 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 290 270 105 115 70 80 125 115 IL : 1,350 1,200 1,100 1,170 770 760 600 690 IN : 1,140 1,140 940 900 620 620 580 600 IA : 4,840 4,540 5,560 5,460 4,690 4,440 3,370 3,350 KS : 520 480 320 325 290 270 525 535 MI : 315 310 265 250 160 185 190 205 MN : 2,460 2,220 1,930 2,010 1,390 1,330 1,040 990 MO : 1,135 1,180 585 590 465 465 400 410 NE : 960 860 820 800 610 550 425 375 NC : 3,080 3,030 2,160 1,950 1,710 1,740 1,470 1,500 OH : 650 670 500 545 390 405 270 240 OK : 810 800 420 360 210 220 500 480 PA : 320 285 305 320 200 200 195 210 SD : 410 350 290 260 245 215 215 205 TX : 280 145 230 150 200 140 285 160 UT : 250 260 145 130 120 120 110 115 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 999 1,027 751 658 592 567 562 562 : US 2/ : 19,809 18,767 16,426 15,993 12,732 12,307 10,862 10,742 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2010 : : 2010 : : 2010 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 150 150 100 590 590 100 740 740 100 IL : 480 490 102 3,870 3,910 101 4,350 4,400 101 IN : 270 290 107 3,330 3,310 99 3,600 3,600 100 IA : 1,020 1,010 99 18,780 17,790 95 19,800 18,800 95 KS : 170 185 109 1,620 1,605 99 1,790 1,790 100 MI : 110 110 100 950 950 100 1,060 1,060 100 MN : 580 550 95 6,920 6,850 99 7,500 7,400 99 MO : 345 350 101 2,705 2,600 96 3,050 2,950 97 NE : 390 370 95 2,910 2,730 94 3,300 3,100 94 NC : 990 880 89 8,710 8,020 92 9,700 8,900 92 OH : 170 165 97 1,840 1,925 105 2,010 2,090 104 OK : 400 410 103 1,890 1,910 101 2,290 2,320 101 PA : 90 100 111 1,060 1,050 99 1,150 1,150 100 SD : 155 160 103 1,135 1,040 92 1,290 1,200 93 TX : 95 55 58 925 605 65 1,020 660 65 UT : 75 80 107 645 650 101 720 730 101 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 478 433 91 2,962 2,827 95 3,439 3,260 95 : US 2/ : 5,968 5,788 97 60,842 58,362 96 66,809 64,150 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 50 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 280 280 125 100 70 85 115 125 IL : 1,220 1,200 1,220 1,230 790 780 640 700 IN : 1,100 1,070 1,040 1,000 630 620 560 620 IA : 4,850 4,490 5,980 5,710 4,530 4,340 3,420 3,250 KS : 465 495 380 400 285 230 490 480 MI : 325 300 285 270 160 190 180 190 MN : 2,370 2,340 2,140 2,150 1,380 1,340 1,030 1,020 MO : 1,205 1,115 630 615 455 435 415 435 NE : 980 910 880 870 630 550 420 400 NC : 3,090 3,080 2,350 1,940 1,740 1,590 1,530 1,410 OH : 640 700 535 565 395 410 270 250 OK : 770 790 400 420 210 230 510 470 PA : 320 295 350 360 205 195 185 200 SD : 390 360 305 305 225 200 215 175 TX : 265 150 255 135 205 140 200 180 UT : 250 280 155 135 120 120 120 115 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,034 1,024 808 672 574 574 547 558 : US 2/ : 19,554 18,879 17,838 16,877 12,604 12,029 10,847 10,578 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2010 : : 2010 : : 2010 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of: 2009 : :as % of : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 : :Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 150 150 100 580 570 98 730 720 99 IL : 470 490 104 3,780 3,910 103 4,250 4,400 104 IN : 280 290 104 3,320 3,260 98 3,600 3,550 99 IA : 1,010 1,010 100 18,690 18,290 98 19,700 19,300 98 KS : 160 180 113 1,600 1,660 104 1,760 1,840 105 MI : 110 110 100 950 960 101 1,060 1,070 101 MN : 560 550 98 6,740 6,750 100 7,300 7,300 100 MO : 350 345 99 2,700 2,605 96 3,050 2,950 97 NE : 380 370 97 2,920 2,780 95 3,300 3,150 95 NC : 980 870 89 9,020 8,430 93 10,000 9,300 93 OH : 160 165 103 1,890 1,875 99 2,050 2,040 100 OK : 410 410 100 1,950 1,950 100 2,360 2,360 100 PA : 90 105 117 1,030 1,025 100 1,120 1,130 101 SD : 150 160 107 1,130 1,060 94 1,280 1,220 95 TX : 70 55 79 930 625 67 1,000 680 68 UT : 80 80 100 680 690 101 760 770 101 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 465 430 92 2,932 2,781 95 3,396 3,211 95 : US 2/ : 5,875 5,770 98 60,842 59,221 97 66,716 64,991 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 50 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 285 275 120 105 55 75 120 115 IL : 1,240 1,270 1,130 1,210 770 770 640 660 IN : 1,140 1,070 970 950 600 620 610 620 IA : 4,840 4,860 5,760 5,750 4,600 4,410 3,490 3,270 KS : 505 525 330 375 290 260 475 500 MI : 330 320 265 250 160 190 195 200 MN : 2,420 2,360 2,010 2,100 1,280 1,310 1,030 980 MO : 1,150 1,140 635 615 470 440 445 410 NE : 960 940 860 860 650 580 450 400 NC : 3,200 3,150 2,390 2,100 1,790 1,720 1,640 1,460 OH : 675 660 540 550 410 425 265 240 OK : 830 830 380 400 250 250 490 470 PA : 285 275 310 350 210 195 225 205 SD : 370 375 300 280 230 205 230 200 TX : 260 175 230 130 200 130 240 190 UT : 265 290 155 140 130 130 130 130 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,003 1,023 763 645 589 544 578 570 : US 2/ : 19,758 19,538 17,148 16,810 12,684 12,254 11,253 10,620 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 150 150 100 580 560 97 730 710 97 IL : 490 480 98 3,860 3,770 98 4,350 4,250 98 IN : 280 280 100 3,270 3,320 102 3,550 3,600 101 IA : 1,070 1,020 95 18,830 17,980 95 19,900 19,000 95 KS : 165 180 109 1,575 1,630 103 1,740 1,810 104 MI : 110 110 100 920 970 105 1,030 1,080 105 MN : 580 560 97 6,920 6,640 96 7,500 7,200 96 MO : 370 360 97 2,780 2,740 99 3,150 3,100 98 NE : 380 370 97 2,970 2,730 92 3,350 3,100 93 NC : 980 930 95 8,720 8,670 99 9,700 9,600 99 OH : 170 165 97 1,770 1,845 104 1,940 2,010 104 OK : 400 410 103 2,000 1,880 94 2,400 2,290 95 PA : 90 100 111 1,030 1,040 101 1,120 1,140 102 SD : 155 145 94 1,125 1,045 93 1,280 1,190 93 TX : 100 60 60 1,020 700 69 1,120 760 68 UT : 75 75 100 665 655 98 740 730 99 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 497 455 92 3,052 2,862 94 3,548 3,317 93 : US 2/ : 6,062 5,850 97 61,087 59,037 97 67,148 64,887 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 50 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 285 270 100 115 70 50 125 125 IL : 1,270 1,200 1,140 1,150 800 730 650 690 IN : 1,090 1,080 960 970 610 640 610 630 IA : 4,730 4,430 5,880 5,700 4,500 4,430 3,720 3,420 KS : 475 480 360 335 245 295 495 520 MI : 290 335 270 270 175 165 185 200 MN : 2,420 2,350 2,050 2,010 1,360 1,230 1,090 1,050 MO : 1,200 1,160 700 655 490 465 390 460 NE : 1,010 880 880 850 630 600 450 400 NC : 3,020 3,090 2,290 2,200 1,770 1,760 1,640 1,620 OH : 600 635 515 540 400 395 255 275 OK : 830 780 420 380 260 240 490 480 PA : 285 280 335 330 215 220 195 210 SD : 390 335 270 280 240 220 225 210 TX : 285 145 235 160 205 160 295 235 UT : 235 260 170 135 140 130 120 130 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,013 995 821 702 621 569 598 597 : US 2/ : 19,428 18,705 17,396 16,782 12,731 12,299 11,533 11,252 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2009-2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : : Pig Crop 1/ 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2011 3/ : Per Litter 1/ : : 2010 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2009 : 2010 : :as % of: : : 2009 : :as % of : : :Number : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : :Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 75 71 74 104 8.60 9.60 645 682 106 IL : 250 260 265 102 9.50 9.40 2,375 2,444 103 IN : 140 140 150 107 9.30 9.40 1,302 1,316 101 IA : 500 465 475 102 9.60 9.75 4,800 4,534 94 KS : 81 82 86 105 9.10 9.35 737 767 104 MI : 53 54 51 94 9.70 9.80 514 529 103 MN : 285 265 290 109 9.75 9.90 2,779 2,624 94 MO : 190 195 190 97 9.35 9.50 1,777 1,853 104 NE : 185 170 175 103 9.75 10.00 1,804 1,700 94 NC : 530 490 450 92 9.55 9.50 5,062 4,655 92 OH : 88 89 86 97 9.40 9.35 827 832 101 OK : 190 190 185 97 8.90 9.45 1,691 1,796 106 PA : 40 47 50 106 9.75 9.70 390 456 117 SD : 83 79 84 106 9.85 10.20 818 806 99 TX : 46 30 28 93 9.65 8.70 444 261 59 UT : 42 39 42 108 9.70 9.80 407 382 94 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 233 206 205 100 9.36 9.50 2,180 1,955 90 : US 5/ : 3,011 2,872 2,886 100 9.48 9.61 28,552 27,592 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 5/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2010 : per Litter : : 2010 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2009 : :as % of : : : 2009 : :as % of : : Number : 2009 : 2009 : 2010 : : Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number --- 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 72 71 99 9.00 9.90 648 703 108 IL : 250 265 106 9.50 9.50 2,375 2,518 106 IN : 135 140 104 9.40 9.60 1,269 1,344 106 IA : 495 460 93 9.65 9.95 4,777 4,577 96 KS : 81 83 102 9.40 9.35 761 776 102 MI : 54 52 96 9.65 9.70 521 504 97 MN : 285 275 96 9.95 10.15 2,836 2,791 98 MO : 185 185 100 9.80 10.05 1,813 1,859 103 NE : 190 175 92 9.90 10.15 1,881 1,776 94 NC : 540 475 88 9.70 9.70 5,238 4,608 88 OH : 88 88 100 9.50 9.50 836 836 100 OK : 185 190 103 9.00 9.75 1,665 1,853 111 PA : 42 48 114 9.75 9.80 410 470 115 SD : 86 86 100 10.10 10.30 869 886 102 TX : 48 31 65 9.70 8.50 466 264 57 UT : 43 41 95 9.90 10.00 426 410 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 239 210 88 9.28 9.64 2,221 2,024 91 : US 3/ : 3,018 2,875 95 9.61 9.81 29,012 28,199 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2010 : per Litter : : 2010 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2009 : :as % of : : : 2009 : :as % of : : Number : 2009 : 2009 : 2010 : : Number : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number --- 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 72 73 101 9.50 9.95 684 726 106 IL : 245 260 106 9.50 9.55 2,328 2,483 107 IN : 135 140 104 9.50 9.40 1,283 1,316 103 IA : 475 470 99 9.75 9.95 4,631 4,677 101 KS : 80 83 104 9.25 9.45 740 784 106 MI : 56 51 91 9.60 9.90 538 505 94 MN : 275 275 100 10.00 10.20 2,750 2,805 102 MO : 185 190 103 10.00 9.80 1,850 1,862 101 NE : 185 170 92 10.05 10.30 1,859 1,751 94 NC : 540 490 91 9.70 9.75 5,238 4,778 91 OH : 86 90 105 9.60 9.55 826 860 104 OK : 190 190 100 9.50 9.70 1,805 1,843 102 PA : 42 50 119 10.00 9.50 420 475 113 SD : 82 88 107 10.00 10.30 820 906 110 TX : 44 33 75 9.00 8.30 396 274 69 UT : 42 41 98 10.00 10.30 420 422 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 225 211 94 9.45 9.65 2,130 2,040 96 : US 3/ : 2,959 2,905 98 9.70 9.81 28,718 28,507 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2008-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2010 2/ : Per Litter : : 2009 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2008 : 2009 : :as % of: : : 2008 : :as % of : : :Number : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : CO : 71 69 73 106 8.80 9.50 625 656 105 IL : 255 255 270 106 9.40 9.45 2,397 2,410 101 IN : 140 135 145 107 9.20 9.55 1,288 1,289 100 IA : 510 480 470 98 9.50 9.80 4,845 4,704 97 KS : 76 84 86 102 9.40 9.35 714 785 110 MI : 53 56 51 91 9.65 9.80 512 549 107 MN : 285 275 285 104 9.85 10.05 2,807 2,764 98 MO : 200 190 180 95 9.65 9.90 1,930 1,881 97 NE : 185 175 180 103 9.80 10.00 1,813 1,750 97 NC : 520 510 465 91 9.55 9.60 4,966 4,896 99 OH : 89 87 82 94 9.00 9.40 801 818 102 OK : 185 185 185 100 9.20 9.50 1,702 1,758 103 PA : 40 46 49 107 9.35 9.90 374 455 122 SD : 84 80 84 105 9.80 10.10 823 808 98 TX : 50 30 30 100 9.55 9.35 478 281 59 UT : 40 40 41 103 10.00 9.80 400 392 98 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 245 218 205 94 9.37 9.47 2,296 2,064 90 : US 4/ : 3,028 2,915 2,881 99 9.50 9.70 28,771 28,260 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2009-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 2/ : 997 973 9.50 9.62 9,475 9,355 Jan : 1,013 960 9.45 9.58 9,576 9,196 Feb : 1,001 940 9.49 9.62 9,501 9,041 Mar : 1,009 972 9.56 9.76 9,650 9,486 Apr : 1,003 950 9.61 9.84 9,644 9,350 May : 1,006 953 9.66 9.82 9,718 9,363 Jun : 996 976 9.71 9.79 9,673 9,549 Jul : 986 968 9.70 9.83 9,567 9,510 Aug : 978 962 9.69 9.82 9,478 9,448 Sep : 994 9.71 9,647 Oct : 965 9.70 9,364 Nov : 956 9.68 9,249 : Total : 11,904 9.62 114,542 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,800 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2010, data were collected from about 7,200 operations, 82 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2010. Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 65.0 million head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.8 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.6 2.8 1,820 759 90 3,067 5 15 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.0 3.5 998 402 0 1,644 6 13 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.5 4.3 124 50 3 216 6 14 : Following : Quarter : 2.7 4.6 133 56 3 220 6 14 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Vacant - Dairy Products ...................... (202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices ........... (202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ..... (202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ...... (515) 284-4340 Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats ............. (202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 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