HDR1012000160031013951500MILK PRODUCTION HDR2012000160031013951500MILK PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHT Released October 13, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Milk Production" call Kevin Hintzman at (202) 720-4448, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. September Milk Production Up 1 Percent Milk production in the 22 major States during September totaled 10.8 billion pounds, 1 percent above production in these same States in September 1994. August revised production, at 11.1 billion pounds was slightly more than August 1994. Production per cow in the 22 major States averaged 1,331 pounds for September, 13 pounds above September 1994. The number of cows on farms in the 22 major States was 8.11 million head, up 4,000 head from both September 1994 and August 1995. During the July-September period, the 22 major States produced 33.3 billion pounds of milk, 86.6 percent of the U.S. production. If the remaining 28 States not surveyed monthly followed the same pattern as the 22 States, the U.S. production would be 13.2 billion pounds for July, 12.8 billion pounds for August, and 12.5 billion pounds for September. U.S. July-September Milk Production Up 1 Percent The quarterly production of milk for the U.S. was 38.5 billion, 1 percent above the July-September period last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the July-September quarter was 9.52 million head 19,000 head less than the same period last year. Grain and Other Concentrates Grain and other concentrates fed to milk cows on October 1, 1995, averaged 18.4 pounds per cow, 0.3 pound less than October 1, 1994. Value of Grain and Other Concentrates The value of grain and other concentrates fed to cows on October 1, averaged $7.97 per hundredweight, $0.10 more than October 1, 1994. Da 1-1 (10-95) HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY QTR. US 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : 1995 as : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : % of : : : : : : : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 9,506 9,517 3,951 4,093 37,560 38,950 104 Apr-Jun : 9,530 9,516 4,188 4,254 39,916 40,484 101 Jul-Sep : 9,539 9,520 4,007 4,043 38,217 38,485 101 Oct-Dec : 9,524 3,983 37,933 : Annual : 9,525 16,129 153,626 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY MO. 22 SELEC. STS, 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 22 Selected States, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : 1995 as : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : % of : : : : : : : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,092 8,090 1,343 1,394 10,870 11,280 104 Feb : 8,082 8,088 1,236 1,291 9,990 10,441 105 Mar : 8,074 8,103 1,401 1,444 11,315 11,698 103 Apr : 8,080 8,097 1,396 1,417 11,282 11,477 102 May : 8,097 8,093 1,457 1,475 11,799 11,936 101 Jun : 8,107 8,104 1,388 1,414 11,249 11,461 102 Jul : 8,104 8,106 1,389 1,408 11,260 11,412 101 Aug : 8,108 8,109 1,369 1,372 11,102 11,128 100 Sep : 8,109 8,113 1,318 1,331 10,689 10,798 101 Oct : 8,104 1,354 10,970 Nov : 8,098 1,312 10,624 Dec : 8,094 1,370 11,090 : Annual : 8,096 16,334 132,240 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. SEPT, 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By State, September 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : 1995 as : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : % of : : : : : : : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : CA : 1,241 1,256 1,685 1,675 2,091 2,102 101 FL : 175 162 1,010 1,000 177 162 92 ID : 215 239 1,520 1,500 327 359 110 IL : 164 162 1,270 1,260 208 204 98 IN : 145 143 1,250 1,250 181 179 99 IA : 266 262 1,230 1,250 327 328 100 KY : 167 162 980 1,010 164 164 100 MD : 91 93 1,130 1,110 103 103 100 MI : 327 327 1,380 1,385 451 453 100 MN : 605 600 1,190 1,225 720 735 102 MO : 196 189 1,100 1,065 216 201 93 NM : 172 199 1,599 1,525 275 303 110 NY : 715 702 1,285 1,340 919 941 102 NC : 90 86 1,245 1,220 112 105 94 OH : 292 287 1,260 1,270 368 364 99 PA : 641 646 1,260 1,330 808 859 106 TN : 159 153 1,000 1,030 159 158 99 TX : 402 401 1,145 1,105 460 443 96 VT : 157 158 1,265 1,315 199 208 105 VA : 129 129 1,220 1,195 157 154 98 WA : 262 268 1,650 1,620 432 434 100 WI : 1,498 1,489 1,225 1,235 1,835 1,839 100 : 22 State: Total : 8,109 8,113 1,318 1,331 10,689 10,798 101 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. AUG, 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By State, August 1994-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : 1995 as : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : % of : : : : : : : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : CA : 1,239 1,255 1,730 1,715 2,143 2,152 100 FL : 176 162 1,075 1,060 189 172 91 ID : 213 237 1,590 1,580 339 374 110 IL : 164 162 1,300 1,270 213 206 97 IN : 145 143 1,330 1,300 193 186 96 IA : 265 262 1,270 1,285 337 337 100 KY : 167 162 1,000 1,025 167 166 99 MD : 91 94 1,165 1,140 106 107 101 MI : 327 326 1,460 1,440 477 469 98 MN : 605 600 1,255 1,270 759 762 100 MO : 196 188 1,120 1,095 220 206 94 NM : 171 198 1,667 1,545 285 306 107 NY : 716 700 1,325 1,390 949 973 103 NC : 90 86 1,265 1,245 114 107 94 OH : 294 288 1,255 1,250 369 360 98 PA : 641 643 1,310 1,345 840 865 103 TN : 157 154 1,030 1,050 162 162 100 TX : 402 402 1,190 1,115 478 448 94 VT : 157 158 1,300 1,360 204 215 105 VA : 129 129 1,210 1,195 156 154 99 WA : 263 270 1,720 1,720 452 464 103 WI : 1,500 1,490 1,300 1,300 1,950 1,937 99 : 22 State: Total : 8,108 8,109 1,369 1,372 11,102 11,128 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 1995 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. & US REV APR-JUN 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States Revised April-June 1994-1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : 1995 State :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- -- Million Pounds -- Percent : AL : 36 34 133 130 98 AK : 0.7 0.7 3.44 2.98 87 AZ : 120 115 569 596 105 AR : 61 61 201 195 97 CA : 1,232 1,254 6,393 6,419 100 CO : 81 83 400 397 99 CT : 33 31 139 134 96 DE : 10 10.5 37.6 40.0 106 FL : 178 163 725 633 87 GA : 102 101 426 417 98 HI : 10.9 10.6 37.4 39.5 106 ID : 205 229 945 1,046 111 IL : 165 163 659 666 101 IN : 145 144 578 575 99 IA : 264 262 996 1,038 104 KS : 77 81 280 300 107 KY : 169 163 515 540 105 LA : 80 80 250 244 98 ME : 40 39 165 165 100 MD : 92 93 342 353 103 MA : 30 29 118 116 98 MI : 328 326 1,440 1,444 100 MN : 610 597 2,476 2,485 100 MS : 57 56 198 195 98 MO : 198 193 720 729 101 MT : 21 21 77 83 108 NE : 77 76 279 280 100 NV : 23 23 108 106 98 NH : 20 20 82 84 102 NJ : 24 23 90 94 104 NM : 164 190 855 929 109 NY : 721 704 3,008 3,019 100 NC : 91 87 387 376 97 ND : 69 63 228 211 93 OH : 296 288 1,150 1,178 102 OK : 100 98 330 343 104 OR : 100 99 443 435 98 PA : 637 639 2,645 2,741 104 RI : 2.2 2.2 8.2 8.5 104 SC : 28 27 106 104 98 SD : 118 118 418 422 101 TN : 158 156 507 520 103 TX : 403 401 1,672 1,617 97 UT : 86 88 368 378 103 VT : 157 156 630 650 103 VA : 130 129 481 506 105 WA : 261 267 1,335 1,371 103 WV : 22 22 68 70 103 WI : 1,490 1,494 5,871 6,039 103 WY : 7.1 6.1 23.4 20.4 87 : US 3/ : 9,530 9,516 39,916 40,484 101 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ Milk cows will not add due to rounding. HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. & US PREL JUL-SEP 94-95 Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States Preliminary July-September 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jul-Sep Milk Cows 1/ : Jul-Sep Milk Production 2/ : 1995 State :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- -- Million Pounds -- Percent : AL : 36 33 102 101 99 AK : 0.7 0.7 3.29 3.05 93 AZ : 118 114 472 484 103 AR : 61 61 183 183 100 CA : 1,239 1,255 6,393 6,417 100 CO : 82 83 405 392 97 CT : 33 31 129 126 98 DE : 10 10.5 32.6 32.6 100 FL : 176 162 569 518 91 GA : 102 99 348 327 94 HI : 10.5 10.2 33.3 35.1 105 ID : 213 237 1,006 1,103 110 IL : 164 162 636 625 98 IN : 145 143 568 552 97 IA : 265 262 999 1,007 101 KS : 79 82 275 275 100 KY : 167 162 493 498 101 LA : 79 79 197 192 97 ME : 40 40 161 163 101 MD : 91 94 314 319 102 MA : 28 29 109 113 104 MI : 327 327 1,410 1,409 100 MN : 605 600 2,269 2,292 101 MS : 57 55 156 158 101 MO : 197 188 657 631 96 MT : 21 21 79 82 104 NE : 76 77 281 279 99 NV : 23 23 106 106 100 NH : 19 20 74 80 108 NJ : 24 23 81 80 99 NM : 171 198 848 923 109 NY : 715 701 2,837 2,901 102 NC : 90 86 343 326 95 ND : 68 63 222 209 94 OH : 293 288 1,116 1,107 99 OK : 98 96 309 326 106 OR : 100 98 440 427 97 PA : 641 643 2,499 2,604 104 RI : 2.1 2.1 7.7 7.9 103 SC : 28 27 90 94 104 SD : 119 118 403 404 100 TN : 157 154 480 483 101 TX : 402 402 1,426 1,369 96 UT : 88 88 377 380 101 VT : 157 158 608 638 105 VA : 129 129 464 464 100 WA : 262 269 1,336 1,362 102 WV : 22 21 67 66 99 WI : 1,499 1,490 5,780 5,790 100 WY : 7.2 5.9 23.2 21 91 : U S 3/ : 9,539 9,520 38,217 38,485 101 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ Milk cows will not add due to rounding. HDR2012000160031013951500GRN & OTH CONC: QTY FED DALY & VAL BY ST & US OCT 94-5 Grain and Other Concentrates: Quantity Fed Daily and Value By State and United States, October 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Grain and Other Concentrates : Value per 100 Pounds of Concentrate State : Fed Daily per Milk Cow : Ration Fed to Milk Cows :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- -------- Dollars -------- : AL : 17.6 18.6 8.10 8.40 AK : 19.5 19.5 13.80 13.80 AZ : 23.3 21.6 7.10 7.80 AR : 17.4 17.5 8.10 8.20 CA : 21.9 20.5 7.80 8.00 CO : 22.0 22.5 7.20 7.20 CT : 16.0 17.0 8.90 9.10 DE : 16.8 16.3 9.10 8.80 FL : 25.0 24.0 7.20 7.80 GA : 21.1 22.9 7.80 7.90 ID : 21.0 21.0 6.60 7.30 IL : 18.3 17.1 7.80 7.90 IN : 25.5 17.0 8.80 7.60 IA : 17.0 16.4 7.50 6.50 KS : 18.2 19.0 7.10 7.50 KY : 16.6 16.4 8.70 8.65 LA : 18.0 19.0 8.25 8.35 ME : 16.0 17.0 9.10 8.90 MD : 15.9 14.4 9.00 8.35 MA : 15.0 15.5 9.00 8.95 MI : 16.2 18.5 7.15 7.30 MN : 16.4 17.3 7.10 7.80 MS : 15.6 17.4 8.30 8.20 MO : 17.7 18.5 7.65 8.00 MT : 17.3 16.2 7.30 7.25 NE : 17.2 16.5 7.70 7.30 NV : 21.0 21.0 8.40 8.20 NH : 15.5 16.0 8.50 8.80 NJ : 14.1 14.9 8.80 8.60 NM : 26.0 26.0 6.60 6.60 NY : 14.6 15.3 9.10 9.00 NC : 17.8 17.5 8.55 8.95 ND : 16.1 16.5 5.60 6.30 OH : 18.3 16.3 8.30 8.10 OK : 20.0 18.0 7.90 8.40 OR : 19.0 20.0 9.25 9.30 PA : 16.5 16.0 9.10 9.80 RI : 15.0 16.0 8.70 9.05 SC : 18.5 20.0 7.90 8.00 SD : 16.4 17.0 6.55 6.75 TN : 17.0 16.0 9.00 9.00 TX : 23.4 22.2 7.40 7.90 UT : 17.3 16.9 7.10 7.70 VT : 15.0 16.0 8.80 8.90 VA : 16.0 16.0 8.98 8.90 WA : 22.5 20.0 7.80 8.20 WV : 14.2 14.0 8.90 9.05 WI : 16.6 17.1 7.60 7.20 WY : 13.3 13.0 6.35 6.50 : US : 18.7 18.4 7.87 7.97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000160031013951500RELIABILITY STATEMENT Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates using survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 10 quarters is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final July-September estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.52 million head by more than 1.3 percent, or about 124,000 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.3 percent, or about 219,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level). HDR2012000160031013951500RELIABILITY TABLE Reliability of July-September Milk Estimates 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : : : : First and Final : Number of : Root : 90% : Estimates 1/ : Quarters Item : Mean : Confidence :------------------------------------------ : Square : Level : : : : First : First : Error : : Average: Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - Percent - ---------- Mil Lbs. ---------- - Number - : Milk : 0.9 1.6 616 270 15 538 10 0 Production : : --------- 1,000 Head ---------- : All Milk : 1.3 2.3 219 113 15 179 10 0 Cows : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on records for the past 10 July-September quarters. HDR2012000160031013951500NXT RELEASE DATE, EEO STMNT & SUBSCRIPT FORM The next "Milk Production" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on November 16, 1995. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD). To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal employment opportunity employer. SUBSCRIBE TODAY!! 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