HDR1012000160030715961500Milk Production Released July 15, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Milk Production" call Kevin Hintzman at (202) 720-4448, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. June Milk Production Down 3 Percent Milk production in the 22 major States during June totaled 11.2 billion pounds, 3 percent below production in these same States in June 1995. May revised production, at 11.7 billion pounds was 2 percent less than May 1995. On a daily basis, milk production has been below 1995 levels every month this year. Production per cow in the 22 major States averaged 1,401 pounds for June, 20 pounds below June 1995. This is the second month in a row that the rate has decreased when compared to a year ago. The number of cows on farms in the 22 major States was 7.98 million head, 87,000 head less than June 1995 and 8,000 head less than May 1996. During the April-June period, the 22 major States produced 34.4 billion pounds of milk, 86.2 percent of the U.S. production. If the remaining 28 States not surveyed monthly followed the same pattern as the 22 States, the U.S. production would be 13.3 billion pounds for April 1996, 13.6 billion pounds for May 1996, 13.0 billion pounds for June 1996. April-June Milk Production Down 2 Percent The quarterly production of milk for the U.S. was 39.9 billion pounds, 2 percent below the April-June period last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the April-June quarter was 9.38 million head, 100,000 head less than the same period last year. Grain and Other Concentrates Fed Grain and other concentrates fed to milk cows on July 1, 1996, averaged 18.3 pounds unchanged from July 1, 1995, but down 0.3 pounds from April 1, 1996. Value of Grain and Other Concentrates The value of grain and other concentrates fed to milk cows on July 1, 1996 averaged a record high of $9.87 per hundredweight, $2.21 or 29 percent more than the price on July 1, 1995. Da 1-1 (7-96) Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : 1996 as : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : % of : : : : : : : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 9,470 9,402 4,112 4,160 38,941 39,111 100 Apr-Jun : 9,477 9,377 4,276 4,250 40,520 39,851 98 Jul-Sep : 9,465 4,049 38,325 Oct-Dec : 9,432 4,014 37,857 : Annual : 9,461 16,451 155,644 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 22 Selected States, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : 1996 as : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : % of : : : : : : : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,046 8,026 1,404 1,406 11,296 11,285 100 Feb : 8,050 8,010 1,295 1,338 10,423 10,719 103 Mar : 8,061 7,998 1,453 1,459 11,709 11,671 100 Apr : 8,058 7,988 1,427 1,434 11,501 11,451 100 May : 8,056 7,987 1,484 1,470 11,959 11,740 98 Jun : 8,066 7,979 1,421 1,401 11,465 11,175 97 Jul : 8,062 1,414 11,397 Aug : 8,062 1,375 11,086 Sep : 8,061 1,331 10,729 Oct : 8,050 1,364 10,978 Nov : 8,043 1,320 10,616 Dec : 8,034 1,380 11,088 : Annual : 8,054 16,668 134,247 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, June 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : 1996 as : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : % of : : : : : : : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : CA : 1,254 1,262 1,695 1,705 2,126 2,152 101 FL : 162 156 1,220 1,220 198 190 96 ID : 232 252 1,530 1,560 355 393 111 IL : 163 160 1,340 1,330 218 213 98 IN : 144 140 1,290 1,300 186 182 98 IA : 251 249 1,365 1,285 343 320 93 KY : 163 154 1,060 985 173 152 88 MD : 93 87 1,195 1,220 111 106 95 MI : 326 326 1,465 1,405 478 458 96 MN : 600 595 1,370 1,365 822 812 99 MO : 191 180 1,200 1,100 229 198 86 NM : 196 194 1,585 1,690 311 328 105 NY : 702 704 1,430 1,410 1,004 993 99 NC : 86 83 1,365 1,260 117 105 90 OH : 289 285 1,370 1,300 396 371 94 PA : 639 643 1,400 1,360 895 874 98 TN : 127 114 1,150 1,070 146 122 84 TX : 402 400 1,255 1,285 505 514 102 VT : 157 157 1,375 1,355 216 213 99 VA : 129 126 1,240 1,130 160 142 89 WA : 268 262 1,695 1,700 454 445 98 WI : 1,492 1,450 1,355 1,305 2,022 1,892 94 : 22 State: Total : 8,066 7,979 1,421 1,401 11,465 11,175 97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, May 1995-96 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : 1996 as : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : % of : : : : : : : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- Pounds Million Pounds Percent : CA : 1,253 1,262 1,775 1,770 2,224 2,234 100 FL : 162 157 1,315 1,375 213 216 101 ID : 229 250 1,560 1,580 357 395 111 IL : 163 160 1,380 1,400 225 224 100 IN : 144 140 1,380 1,350 199 189 95 IA : 251 249 1,410 1,330 354 331 94 KY : 163 155 1,140 1,085 186 168 90 MD : 93 87 1,320 1,310 123 114 93 MI : 326 326 1,510 1,470 492 479 97 MN : 595 595 1,430 1,400 851 833 98 MO : 194 182 1,300 1,305 252 238 94 NM : 190 194 1,695 1,735 322 337 105 NY : 704 703 1,460 1,450 1,028 1,019 99 NC : 87 83 1,480 1,430 129 119 92 OH : 289 285 1,425 1,400 412 399 97 PA : 639 643 1,470 1,460 939 939 100 TN : 129 115 1,240 1,220 160 140 88 TX : 400 400 1,380 1,425 552 570 103 VT : 156 156 1,430 1,415 223 221 99 VA : 129 126 1,350 1,240 174 156 90 WA : 266 262 1,755 1,750 467 459 98 WI : 1,494 1,457 1,390 1,345 2,077 1,960 94 : 22 State: Total : 8,056 7,987 1,484 1,470 11,959 11,740 98 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 1996 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States Revised January-March 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jan-Mar Milk Cows 1/ : Jan-Mar Milk Production 2/ : 1996 State :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- -- Million Pounds -- Percent : AL : 35 32 138 126 91 AK : 0.7 0.8 2.8 3.1 111 AZ : 113 118 590 639 108 AR : 61 59 189 186 98 CA : 1,251 1,260 6,197 6,276 101 CO : 83 83 386 396 103 CT : 32 31 137 132 96 DE : 10 9.7 39.2 36.5 93 FL : 167 155 683 657 96 GA : 102 97 433 410 95 HI : 10.4 10 36.7 33.3 91 ID : 221 246 968 1,073 111 IL : 163 160 637 647 102 IN : 145 140 554 550 99 IA : 251 250 1,001 934 93 KS : 81 85 305 310 102 KY : 163 156 512 486 95 LA : 80 78 258 235 91 ME : 39 40 157 162 103 MD : 92 89 349 345 99 MA : 28 27 112 110 98 MI : 326 327 1,383 1,394 101 MN : 600 598 2,391 2,441 102 MS : 56 53 201 181 90 MO : 194 184 702 666 95 MT : 21 20 77 75 97 NE : 74 69 272 268 99 NV : 24 23 105.6 101.2 96 NH : 19 20 79 86 109 NJ : 23 23 84 83 99 NM : 179 193 888 919 103 NY : 707 700 2,851 2,951 104 NC : 89 85 380 363 96 ND : 65 63 207 208 100 OH : 289 285 1,159 1,128 97 OK : 98 97 333 325 98 OR : 98 94 417 396 95 PA : 640 646 2,631 2,723 103 RI : 2.2 2 8.2 7.9 96 SC : 27 26 108 104 96 SD : 120 113 394 375 95 TN : 130 119 462 425 92 TX : 399 400 1,646 1,682 102 UT : 87 90 353 358 101 VT : 156 157 621 641 103 VA : 129 127 506 466 92 WA : 261 263 1,294 1,277 99 WV : 22 21 70 68 97 WI : 1,499 1,470 5,613 5,631 100 WY : 6 6 20.7 21.3 103 : US 3/ : 9,470 9,402 38,941 39,111 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ Milk cows will not add due to rounding. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States Preliminary April-June 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : 1996 State :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 ---- -- Million Pounds -- Percent : AL : 34 32 131 114 87 AK : 0.7 0.8 2.98 3.43 115 AZ : 115 122 597 681 114 AR : 61 58 195 174 89 CA : 1,253 1,262 6,478 6,555 101 CO : 83 84 391 416 106 CT : 32 31 134 128 96 DE : 10 10 37.7 38.6 102 FL : 163 157 633 626 99 GA : 101 96 420 379 90 HI : 10.6 9.3 39.5 34.6 88 ID : 229 250 1,050 1,158 110 IL : 163 160 666 656 98 IN : 144 140 575 556 97 IA : 251 249 1,038 971 94 KS : 81 83 305 295 97 KY : 163 155 544 488 90 LA : 79 78 243 225 93 ME : 40 40 165 166 101 MD : 93 87 353 334 95 MA : 28 28 114 112 98 MI : 326 326 1,439 1,406 98 MN : 597 595 2,485 2,451 99 MS : 56 52 195 176 90 MO : 193 182 735 672 91 MT : 21 20 81 77 95 NE : 74 69 276 258 93 NV : 24 24 110.4 110.4 100 NH : 20 20 84 87 104 NJ : 23 23 83 83 100 NM : 190 194 942 987 105 NY : 704 702 3,012 3,006 100 NC : 87 83 376 346 92 ND : 65 63 221 214 97 OH : 289 285 1,210 1,163 96 OK : 98 98 333 330 99 OR : 98 93 436 415 95 PA : 639 643 2,741 2,736 100 RI : 2.2 2 8.5 7.9 93 SC : 27 26 104 98 94 SD : 118 112 422 377 89 TN : 129 115 468 406 87 TX : 401 400 1,617 1,662 103 UT : 88 92 378 399 106 VT : 156 156 654 649 99 VA : 129 126 506 455 90 WA : 267 262 1,367 1,340 98 WV : 21 20 67 64 96 WI : 1,494 1,456 6,036 5,743 95 WY : 6.1 6.1 21.4 21.7 101 : US 3/ : 9,477 9,377 40,520 39,851 98 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ Milk cows will not add due to rounding. Grain and Other Concentrates: Quantity Fed Daily and Value By State and United States, July 1, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Grain and Other Concentrates : Value per 100 Pounds of Concentrate State : Fed Daily per Milk Cow : Ration Fed to Milk Cows :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- -------- Dollars -------- : AL : 18.5 18.4 8.30 10.90 AK : 19.5 19.5 13.80 14.20 AZ : 21.0 21.5 7.30 9.30 AR : 18.0 17.1 7.90 10.10 CA : 21.0 21.0 7.50 9.30 CO : 22.0 21.0 6.80 9.80 CT : 16.5 17.0 8.90 11.40 DE : 16.5 14.6 9.00 10.20 FL : 25.0 25.0 6.75 8.50 GA : 23.0 21.1 7.50 10.10 ID : 24.0 23.0 7.20 9.10 IL : 17.3 15.4 8.25 10.80 IN : 17.0 16.4 7.90 10.10 IA : 16.8 16.4 7.20 10.20 KS : 19.0 19.0 6.90 10.80 KY : 16.0 14.4 8.80 11.00 LA : 17.0 18.7 8.10 10.70 ME : 16.0 15.5 8.50 11.70 MD : 14.2 14.0 9.05 10.60 MA : 15.0 14.0 8.80 11.40 MI : 17.5 18.0 6.95 9.00 MN : 16.8 16.8 7.70 10.20 MS : 17.2 17.1 8.10 9.60 MO : 18.0 17.5 7.80 9.00 MT : 16.3 17.8 7.25 9.30 NE : 17.0 15.5 7.40 9.40 NV : 20.0 21.0 7.80 10.50 NH : 16.5 14.5 8.40 11.70 NJ : 14.4 14.5 8.90 12.60 NM : 27.0 27.0 6.30 8.30 NY : 14.9 14.5 9.10 11.60 NC : 17.9 17.6 8.70 11.30 ND : 15.9 15.6 5.95 8.10 OH : 18.3 16.5 8.30 10.80 OK : 19.5 18.5 7.80 10.00 OR : 19.5 18.0 8.90 10.00 PA : 16.0 16.5 9.25 10.90 RI : 15.5 14.5 9.00 11.00 SC : 18.5 19.5 7.85 9.60 SD : 16.6 15.3 6.50 8.90 TN : 16.0 16.0 8.80 11.40 TX : 19.8 21.7 6.30 10.20 UT : 17.5 17.3 7.50 9.80 VT : 15.0 15.0 8.60 11.40 VA : 15.6 17.7 8.20 10.20 WA : 21.5 20.0 7.70 9.65 WV : 14.7 13.2 8.95 10.80 WI : 16.7 17.7 6.90 8.85 WY : 11.9 12.7 7.05 8.50 : US : 18.3 18.3 7.66 9.87 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Grain and Other Concentrates: Quantity Fed Annually and Value by State and United States, 1994 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Annual Quantity : : : Fed to Milk Cows : Annual Average : Annual Average State :-----------------------------: Value of : Feed Value : Total : Per Cow : Per Cwt : Feed per : per Cwt : : : of Milk : Cwt : of Milk ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons --- Pounds --- ------- Dollars ------ : AL : 119 6,490 48 8.60 4.14 AK : 3 7,200 40 13.62 5.47 AZ : 490 8,460 46 7.57 3.45 AR : 201 6,540 53 8.21 4.34 CA : 4,797 7,770 38 7.79 3.00 CO : 343 8,440 44 7.10 3.10 CT : 103 6,260 39 8.81 3.39 DE : 30 5,860 41 8.94 3.70 FL : 877 9,990 67 7.34 4.94 GA : 431 8,440 54 7.98 4.29 ID : 807 7,760 43 6.68 2.85 IL : 560 6,800 44 8.22 3.58 IN : 497 6,850 44 8.00 3.55 IA : 791 6,210 40 7.68 3.05 KS : 277 7,070 49 7.54 3.72 KY : 513 6,090 51 8.72 4.46 LA : 265 6,670 57 8.44 4.83 ME : 115 5,750 36 9.18 3.34 MD : 261 5,660 39 8.90 3.45 MA : 83 5,650 36 9.21 3.35 MI : 998 6,090 36 6.99 2.54 MN : 1,962 6,440 42 7.74 3.24 MS : 184 6,410 50 8.48 4.27 MO : 680 6,890 50 7.87 3.91 MT : 69 6,580 45 7.42 3.31 NE : 244 6,340 44 7.50 3.30 NV : 85 7,530 41 8.34 3.43 NH : 57 5,790 37 8.85 3.31 NJ : 64 5,230 38 8.74 3.31 NM : 765 9,270 46 6.58 3.06 NY : 1,997 5,560 35 9.24 3.23 NC : 303 6,710 41 8.99 3.69 ND : 199 5,880 46 5.93 2.72 OH : 949 6,450 42 8.48 3.54 OK : 356 7,180 56 8.14 4.53 OR : 343 6,860 40 9.04 3.63 PA : 1,943 6,080 38 9.22 3.47 RI : 6 5,600 39 8.85 3.41 SC : 95 6,750 46 8.09 3.71 SD : 372 6,220 47 6.70 3.12 TN : 445 6,220 50 9.18 4.57 TX : 1,741 8,670 56 7.82 4.38 UT : 285 6,660 40 7.34 2.95 VT : 442 5,600 36 8.94 3.24 VA : 384 5,920 40 8.87 3.54 WA : 1,039 7,970 40 8.14 3.22 WV : 63 5,690 46 8.97 4.13 WI : 4,819 6,450 43 7.64 3.28 WY : 17 4,710 34 6.32 2.16 : US : 32,469 6,840 42.3 7.98 3.38 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Grain and Other Concentrates: Quantity Fed Annually and Value by State and United States, 1995 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Annual Quantity : : : Fed to Milk Cows : Annual Average : Annual Average State :-----------------------------: Value of : Feed Value : Total : Per Cow : Per Cwt : Feed per : per Cwt : : : of Milk : Cwt : of Milk ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons --- Pounds --- ------- Dollars ------ : AL : 117 6,950 49 8.56 4.19 AK : 3 7,140 42 13.80 5.84 AZ : 468 8,220 42 7.78 3.30 AR : 202 6,710 55 8.79 4.80 CA : 4,685 7,470 37 7.96 2.95 CO : 332 8,040 43 7.18 3.11 CT : 99 6,250 38 9.01 3.43 DE : 30 5,990 41 8.92 3.63 FL : 726 8,970 61 7.43 4.54 GA : 437 8,710 56 7.92 4.40 ID : 949 8,170 45 7.16 3.26 IL : 520 6,400 41 8.10 3.30 IN : 453 6,300 41 7.79 3.21 IA : 786 6,270 39 7.06 2.74 KS : 288 7,050 49 7.52 3.68 KY : 485 5,990 48 8.76 4.20 LA : 268 6,760 59 8.35 4.96 ME : 117 5,930 37 9.09 3.33 MD : 255 5,540 38 8.76 3.32 MA : 80 5,760 36 9.05 3.27 MI : 1,058 6,490 38 7.24 2.77 MN : 1,936 6,460 41 7.58 3.11 MS : 177 6,450 50 8.28 4.11 MO : 661 6,940 49 7.91 3.86 MT : 64 6,150 41 7.33 3.03 NE : 228 6,210 42 7.38 3.07 NV : 87 7,410 41 8.18 3.36 NH : 60 6,030 37 8.94 3.31 NJ : 63 5,430 39 8.69 3.36 NM : 904 9,480 50 6.62 3.31 NY : 1,980 5,630 34 9.24 3.16 NC : 291 6,680 41 9.04 3.73 ND : 194 6,020 46 6.20 2.82 OH : 919 6,370 40 8.30 3.33 OK : 353 7,250 54 8.12 4.39 OR : 353 7,260 42 9.05 3.79 PA : 1,908 5,940 36 9.33 3.38 RI : 6 5,610 38 9.11 3.45 SC : 92 6,950 48 8.03 3.83 SD : 366 6,200 46 6.67 3.06 TN : 394 6,230 45 9.10 4.06 TX : 1,618 8,080 53 7.32 3.87 UT : 287 6,530 39 7.78 3.05 VT : 457 5,820 36 9.01 3.25 VA : 380 5,900 39 8.83 3.40 WA : 1,005 7,570 38 8.18 3.14 WV : 58 5,450 43 9.12 3.92 WI : 4,821 6,470 42 6.98 2.94 WY : 14 4,650 33 6.84 2.29 : US : 32,034 6,777 41.2 7.88 3.25 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Reliability Statement Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates using survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 10 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final April-June estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.38 million head by more than 1.2 percent, or about 113,000 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent, or about 197,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Reliability of April-June Milk Estimates 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : : : : First and Final : Number of : Root : 90% : Estimates 1/ : Quarters Item : Mean : Confidence :------------------------------------------ : Square : Level : : : : First : First : Error : : Average: Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - Percent - ---------- Mil Lbs. ---------- - Number - : Milk : 0.6 1.1 438 191 32 426 8 2 Production : : --------- 1,000 Head ---------- : All Milk : 1.2 2.1 197 100 12 188 10 0 Cows : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on records for the past 10 April-June quarters. The next "Milk Production" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on August 14, 1996. 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