Da 1-1 (7-05) Milk Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 18, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Milk Production call Ann Summa at 202-720-3278, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. June Milk Production Up 5.4 Percent Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 13.7 billion pounds, up 5.4 percent from June 2004. May revised production, at 14.3 billion pounds, was up 4.6 percent from May 2004. The May revision represented an increase of 26 million pounds or 0.2 percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,683 pounds for June, 76 pounds above June 2004. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.13 million head, 47,000 head more than June 2004, and 9,000 head more than May 2005. April-June Milk Production Up 4.1 Percent Milk production in the U.S. during the April-June quarter totaled 45.6 billion pounds, up 4.1 percent from the April-June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.04 million head, 34,000 head more than the same period last year. Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : Change : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : From : : : : : : : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 8,993 8,996 4,755 4,807 42,759 43,242 1.1 Apr-Jun : 9,001 9,035 4,869 5,051 43,824 45,633 4.1 Jul-Sep : 9,027 4,679 42,239 Oct-Dec : 9,019 4,655 41,983 : Annual : 9,010 18,957 170,805 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 23 Selected States, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : Change : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : From : : : : : : : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,044 8,083 1,624 1,640 13,061 13,258 1.5 Feb : 8,051 8,076 1,531 1,519 12,329 12,270 -0.5 Mar : 8,059 8,095 1,661 1,702 13,387 13,779 2.9 Apr : 8,063 8,109 1,636 1,683 13,194 13,647 3.4 May : 8,064 8,121 1,692 1,757 13,641 14,266 4.6 Jun : 8,083 8,130 1,607 1,683 12,988 13,684 5.4 Jul : 8,096 1,623 13,143 Aug : 8,102 1,601 12,970 Sep : 8,104 1,533 12,426 Oct : 8,103 1,583 12,824 Nov : 8,102 1,531 12,404 Dec : 8,097 1,610 13,037 : Annual : 8,081 19,232 155,404 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Estimated Milk Cows and Production: By Month, United States, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Change Month : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : From : : : : : : : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,985 8,995 1,603 1,622 14,402 14,586 1.3 Feb : 8,993 8,984 1,512 1,502 13,595 13,498 -0.7 Mar : 9,002 9,009 1,640 1,683 14,762 15,158 2.7 Apr : 8,999 9,021 1,613 1,660 14,519 14,971 3.1 May : 8,991 9,035 1,670 1,732 15,012 15,650 4.2 Jun : 9,014 9,048 1,586 1,659 14,293 15,012 5.0 Jul : 9,028 1,596 14,405 Aug : 9,029 1,574 14,215 Sep : 9,025 1,509 13,619 Oct : 9,023 1,559 14,070 Nov : 9,021 1,509 13,610 Dec : 9,013 1,587 14,303 : Annual : 9,010 18,957 170,805 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, June 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk Per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : From : : : : : : : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 155 162 1,955 1,950 303 316 4.3 CA : 1,724 1,757 1,755 1,810 3,026 3,180 5.1 CO : 103 105 1,750 1,895 180 199 10.6 FL : 139 137 1,395 1,470 194 201 3.6 ID : 422 449 1,800 1,890 760 849 11.7 IL : 108 104 1,540 1,600 166 166 IN : 150 156 1,650 1,715 248 268 8.1 IA : 194 187 1,630 1,720 316 322 1.9 KS : 115 112 1,635 1,760 188 197 4.8 KY : 112 107 1,055 1,105 118 118 MI : 302 312 1,755 1,825 530 569 7.4 MN : 460 455 1,480 1,540 681 701 2.9 MO : 124 118 1,250 1,270 155 150 -3.2 NM : 328 325 1,755 1,840 576 598 3.8 NY : 656 647 1,490 1,575 977 1,019 4.3 OH : 265 270 1,440 1,480 382 400 4.7 OR : 120 121 1,615 1,630 194 197 1.5 PA : 557 563 1,495 1,595 833 898 7.8 TX : 320 320 1,570 1,720 502 550 9.6 VT : 145 143 1,495 1,565 217 224 3.2 VA : 105 105 1,350 1,420 142 149 4.9 WA : 238 240 1,920 1,975 457 474 3.7 WI : 1,241 1,235 1,485 1,570 1,843 1,939 5.2 : 23-State : Total : 8,083 8,130 1,607 1,683 12,988 13,684 5.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, May 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : From : : : : : : : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 155 163 2,095 2,090 325 341 4.9 CA : 1,720 1,754 1,830 1,875 3,148 3,289 4.5 CO : 102 104 1,830 1,950 187 203 8.6 FL : 139 138 1,525 1,580 212 218 2.8 ID : 417 445 1,850 1,930 771 859 11.4 IL : 108 104 1,620 1,660 175 173 -1.1 IN : 149 155 1,800 1,800 268 279 4.1 IA : 195 186 1,760 1,820 343 339 -1.2 KS : 114 112 1,710 1,815 195 203 4.1 KY : 110 107 1,190 1,195 131 128 -2.3 MI : 301 311 1,795 1,910 540 594 10.0 MN : 460 455 1,555 1,610 715 733 2.5 MO : 124 119 1,380 1,390 171 165 -3.5 NM : 327 323 1,810 1,880 592 607 2.5 NY : 655 646 1,580 1,665 1,035 1,076 4.0 OH : 263 270 1,540 1,570 405 424 4.7 OR : 120 121 1,665 1,660 200 201 0.5 PA : 557 565 1,605 1,675 894 946 5.8 TX : 317 320 1,720 1,830 545 586 7.5 VT : 145 144 1,545 1,650 224 238 6.3 VA : 105 105 1,455 1,535 153 161 5.2 WA : 239 240 1,985 2,050 474 492 3.8 WI : 1,242 1,234 1,560 1,630 1,938 2,011 3.8 : 23-State : Total : 8,064 8,121 1,692 1,757 13,641 14,266 4.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Revised January-March, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jan-Mar Milk Cows 1/ : Jan-Mar Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 17 16 71 64 -9.9 AK : 1.2 1.2 3.6 3.6 AZ : 155 164 945 965 2.1 AR : 25 23 86 82 -4.7 CA : 1,706 1,743 8,956 9,151 2.2 CO : 100 101 532 554 4.1 CT : 21 20 102 99 -2.9 DE : 7.5 7.5 34.0 34.0 FL : 139 139 612 640 4.6 GA : 84 83 381 379 -0.5 HI : 6.5 5.8 21.9 17.6 -19.6 ID : 412 438 2,161 2,361 9.3 IL : 108 105 516 503 -2.5 IN : 146 154 741 746 0.7 IA : 195 187 976 947 -3.0 KS : 112 109 551 558 1.3 KY : 111 109 366 354 -3.3 LA : 40 36 139 127 -8.6 ME : 34 32 151 147 -2.6 MD : 76 73 300 299 -0.3 MA : 17 17 74 73 -1.4 MI : 300 307 1,575 1,605 1.9 MN : 465 457 2,060 2,041 -0.9 MS : 28 26 109 109 MO : 124 118 470 459 -2.3 MT : 18 18 85 89 4.7 NE : 61 60 267 268 0.4 NV : 25 25 127 128 0.8 NH : 16 16 76 76 NJ : 12 12 52 49 -5.8 NM : 326 320 1,690 1,620 -4.1 NY : 659 649 2,901 2,935 1.2 NC : 58 55 264 253 -4.2 ND : 33 33 129 128 -0.8 OH : 259 267 1,122 1,163 3.7 OK : 80 75 330 311 -5.8 OR : 119 120 548 552 0.7 PA : 564 561 2,534 2,560 1.0 RI : 1.2 1.0 5.2 4.5 -13.5 SC : 17 18 79 81 2.5 SD : 80 81 333 350 5.1 TN : 77 72 310 295 -4.8 TX : 317 318 1,578 1,592 0.9 UT : 88 88 387 404 4.4 VT : 145 143 651 655 0.6 VA : 105 105 441 452 2.5 WA : 240 236 1,350 1,372 1.6 WV : 13 13 50 48 -4.0 WI : 1,245 1,234 5,501 5,522 0.4 WY : 4.1 4.4 14.8 15.8 6.8 : US 3/ : 8,993 8,996 42,759 43,242 1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Preliminary April-June, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 17 16 66 63 -4.5 AK : 1.2 1.2 3.8 3.8 AZ : 155 163 952 993 4.3 AR : 24 23 85 82 -3.5 CA : 1,720 1,754 9,246 9,656 4.4 CO : 102 104 549 594 8.2 CT : 20 20 100 101 1.0 DE : 7.5 7.5 33.0 35.0 6.1 FL : 139 138 615 636 3.4 GA : 84 82 382 382 HI : 6.2 5.4 22.2 19.0 -14.4 ID : 418 446 2,264 2,528 11.7 IL : 108 104 512 508 -0.8 IN : 149 155 777 809 4.1 IA : 195 187 991 986 -0.5 KS : 114 112 572 595 4.0 KY : 110 107 375 369 -1.6 LA : 38 36 131 124 -5.3 ME : 34 33 157 155 -1.3 MD : 75 72 300 300 MA : 17 17 76 77 1.3 MI : 301 311 1,595 1,719 7.8 MN : 462 455 2,084 2,135 2.4 MS : 27 26 104 109 4.8 MO : 124 119 496 476 -4.0 MT : 18 19 88 95 8.0 NE : 60 60 266 279 4.9 NV : 25 25 125 137 9.6 NH : 16 16 78 80 2.6 NJ : 12 12 52 51 -1.9 NM : 327 324 1,734 1,780 2.7 NY : 656 646 2,999 3,106 3.6 NC : 57 54 259 251 -3.1 ND : 34 33 136 135 -0.7 OH : 263 270 1,179 1,228 4.2 OK : 79 75 329 321 -2.4 OR : 120 121 585 593 1.4 PA : 558 564 2,597 2,745 5.7 RI : 1.2 1.0 5.2 4.9 -5.8 SC : 17 18 76 80 5.3 SD : 81 81 343 369 7.6 TN : 76 72 310 295 -4.8 TX : 318 320 1,587 1,704 7.4 UT : 87 89 409 422 3.2 VT : 145 144 656 688 4.9 VA : 105 105 447 466 4.3 WA : 239 240 1,386 1,440 3.9 WV : 13 13 49 48 -2.0 WI : 1,242 1,234 5,625 5,843 3.9 WY : 4.2 4.5 16.0 17.1 6.9 : US 3/ : 9,001 9,035 43,824 45,633 4.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Reliability Statement Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Where feasible, States utilize state and federal administrative data, rather than conduct a monthly or quarterly survey, to estimate milk production. This eliminates duplication of data gathering by different government agencies. Indications of milk cow inventory are also obtained in the January and July Cattle Surveys. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items on the next page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 10 April-June quarters is 0.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final April-June estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.04 million head by more than 0.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.4 percent. Reliability of April-June Milk Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ------- Million Pounds ------ Number : Milk : Production : 0.3 0.6 274 103 3 264 5 5 : Percent -------- 1,000 Head -------- Number : All Milk : Cows : 0.2 0.4 36 15 0 35 5 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on records for the past 10 April-June quarters. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20250-9410 or call 202-720-5964 (voice and TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.