Da 1-1 (7-06) Milk Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 18, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Milk Production" call Jason Hardegree at 202-720-3278, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. June Milk Production Up 1.9 Percent Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 14 billion pounds, up 1.9 percent from June 2005. May revised production, at 14.7 billion pounds, was up 2.7 percent from May 2005. The May revision represented a decrease of 14 million pounds or 0.1 percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,695 pounds for June, 5 pounds above June 2005. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.27 million head, 128,000 head more than June 2005, and 9,000 head more than May 2006. April - June Milk Production Up 2.3 Percent Milk production in the U.S. during the April - June quarter totaled 46.9 billion pounds, up 2.3 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.13 million head, 93,000 head more than the same period last year. Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : Change : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : From : : : : : : : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 9,002 9,094 4,816 5,009 43,350 45,553 5.1 Apr-Jun : 9,041 9,134 5,069 5,134 45,831 46,896 2.3 Jul-Sep : 9,060 4,871 44,134 Oct-Dec : 9,060 4,821 43,674 : Annual : 9,041 19,576 176,989 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 23 Selected States, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : Change : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : from : : : : : : : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,087 8,195 1,643 1,710 13,287 14,014 5.5 Feb : 8,084 8,206 1,522 1,587 12,301 13,022 5.9 Mar : 8,099 8,228 1,707 1,775 13,825 14,604 5.6 Apr : 8,117 8,240 1,690 1,727 13,717 14,228 3.7 May : 8,131 8,257 1,760 1,780 14,311 14,700 2.7 Jun : 8,138 8,266 1,690 1,695 13,755 14,011 1.9 Jul : 8,151 1,683 13,715 Aug : 8,162 1,671 13,640 Sep : 8,167 1,599 13,057 Oct : 8,168 1,637 13,373 Nov : 8,167 1,592 13,002 Dec : 8,179 1,663 13,599 : Annual : 8,138 19,857 161,582 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2006 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Estimated Milk Cows and Production: By Month, United States, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Change Month : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : From : : : : : : : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 9,000 9,079 1,624 1,689 14,614 15,333 4.9 Feb : 8,996 9,091 1,504 1,567 13,530 14,248 5.3 Mar : 9,009 9,113 1,688 1,753 15,206 15,972 5.0 Apr : 9,030 9,118 1,666 1,704 15,047 15,538 3.3 May : 9,042 9,137 1,735 1,757 15,697 16,055 2.3 Jun : 9,050 9,147 1,668 1,673 15,087 15,303 1.4 Jul : 9,053 1,656 14,978 Aug : 9,060 1,643 14,896 Sep : 9,066 1,572 14,260 Oct : 9,060 1,613 14,611 Nov : 9,056 1,569 14,209 Dec : 9,063 1,639 14,854 : Annual : 9,041 19,576 176,989 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, June 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk Per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : From : : : : : : : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 162 172 1,950 1,965 316 338 7.0 CA : 1,753 1,783 1,815 1,795 3,182 3,200 0.6 CO : 105 111 1,905 1,965 200 218 9.0 FL : 137 132 1,440 1,380 197 182 -7.6 ID : 451 486 1,900 1,900 857 923 7.7 IL : 104 103 1,600 1,590 166 164 -1.2 IN : 156 166 1,715 1,670 268 277 3.4 IA : 193 200 1,725 1,685 333 337 1.2 KS : 112 113 1,730 1,750 194 198 2.1 KY : 107 98 1,105 1,120 118 110 -6.8 MI : 313 320 1,835 1,840 574 589 2.6 MN : 455 450 1,540 1,550 701 698 -0.4 MO : 118 116 1,380 1,320 163 153 -6.1 NM : 325 360 1,840 1,875 598 675 12.9 NY : 647 649 1,590 1,575 1,029 1,022 -0.7 OH : 270 274 1,500 1,530 405 419 3.5 OR : 121 121 1,610 1,550 195 188 -3.6 PA : 563 555 1,595 1,620 898 899 0.1 TX : 320 333 1,720 1,820 550 606 10.2 VT : 143 141 1,565 1,545 224 218 -2.7 VA : 105 103 1,420 1,450 149 149 WA : 243 237 1,950 1,960 474 465 -1.9 WI : 1,235 1,243 1,590 1,595 1,964 1,983 1.0 : 23-State : Total : 8,138 8,266 1,690 1,695 13,755 14,011 1.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, May 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : From : : : : : : : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 163 173 2,085 2,145 340 371 9.1 CA : 1,751 1,785 1,880 1,895 3,292 3,383 2.8 CO : 104 109 1,950 2,000 203 218 7.4 FL : 138 133 1,580 1,520 218 202 -7.3 ID : 445 484 1,930 1,940 859 939 9.3 IL : 104 103 1,660 1,690 173 174 0.6 IN : 157 166 1,800 1,750 283 291 2.8 IA : 193 200 1,845 1,790 356 358 0.6 KS : 112 113 1,815 1,870 203 211 3.9 KY : 107 98 1,195 1,220 128 120 -6.3 MI : 312 319 1,915 1,910 597 609 2.0 MN : 455 450 1,610 1,625 733 731 -0.3 MO : 119 116 1,490 1,470 177 171 -3.4 NM : 323 356 1,880 1,980 607 705 16.1 NY : 646 648 1,665 1,660 1,076 1,076 OH : 270 273 1,595 1,600 431 437 1.4 OR : 121 121 1,660 1,600 201 194 -3.5 PA : 565 556 1,675 1,700 946 945 -0.1 TX : 320 330 1,830 1,970 586 650 10.9 VT : 144 142 1,650 1,630 238 231 -2.9 VA : 105 103 1,535 1,560 161 161 WA : 243 237 2,025 2,025 492 480 -2.4 WI : 1,234 1,242 1,630 1,645 2,011 2,043 1.6 : 23-State : Total : 8,131 8,257 1,760 1,780 14,311 14,700 2.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 and 2006 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Revised January-March, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jan-Mar Milk Cows 1/ : Jan-Mar Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 16 14 64 60 -6.3 AK : 1.2 0.8 3.6 2.4 -33.3 AZ : 164 167 969 1,029 6.2 AR : 23 21 77 71 -7.8 CA : 1,742 1,781 9,152 9,706 6.1 CO : 101 106 554 607 9.6 CT : 20 20 99 97 -2.0 DE : 7.5 7.0 34.0 32.2 -5.3 FL : 139 134 643 607 -5.6 GA : 83 78 379 379 HI : 5.7 4.5 17.7 15.2 -14.1 ID : 438 474 2,361 2,551 8.0 IL : 105 104 503 509 1.2 IN : 155 162 767 821 7.0 IA : 190 200 983 1,041 5.9 KS : 109 111 560 586 4.6 KY : 109 101 352 351 -0.3 LA : 36 33 128 119 -7.0 ME : 33 32 147 140 -4.8 MD : 73 70 299 292 -2.3 MA : 17 16 73 72 -1.4 MI : 308 314 1,621 1,733 6.9 MN : 457 448 2,048 2,107 2.9 MS : 26 23 109 97 -11.0 MO : 118 114 468 487 4.1 MT : 18 19 89 95 6.7 NE : 60 60 268 277 3.4 NV : 25 27 128 140 9.4 NH : 16 15.5 75 77 2.7 NJ : 12 12 49 48 -2.0 NM : 320 344 1,620 1,879 16.0 NY : 649 650 2,935 3,060 4.3 NC : 55 52 260 249 -4.2 ND : 33 33 128 131 2.3 OH : 267 273 1,163 1,209 4.0 OK : 75 75 311 311 OR : 120 121 561 551 -1.8 PA : 561 556 2,560 2,723 6.4 RI : 1.0 1.0 4.6 4.6 SC : 18 17 81 76 -6.2 SD : 81 81 350 364 4.0 TN : 72 69 295 284 -3.7 TX : 318 326 1,592 1,826 14.7 UT : 88 85 404 404 VT : 143 143 655 663 1.2 VA : 105 103 452 462 2.2 WA : 237 237 1,372 1,353 -1.4 WV : 13 13 48 50 4.2 WI : 1,234 1,240 5,522 5,779 4.7 WY : 4.4 6.4 15.8 25.8 63.3 : US 3/ : 9,002 9,094 43,350 45,553 5.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Preliminary April-June, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 16 14 63 57 -9.5 AK : 1.2 0.8 3.8 2.5 -34.2 AZ : 163 172 994 1,078 8.5 AR : 23 21 80 74 -7.5 CA : 1,750 1,784 9,662 9,894 2.4 CO : 104 109 595 642 7.9 CT : 20 19.5 101 95 -5.9 DE : 7.5 7.0 35.0 30.8 -12.0 FL : 138 133 632 595 -5.9 GA : 82 77 382 383 0.3 HI : 5.4 4.4 19.0 14.8 -22.1 ID : 446 483 2,536 2,746 8.3 IL : 104 103 508 508 IN : 157 166 830 851 2.5 IA : 193 200 1,030 1,048 1.7 KS : 112 113 592 612 3.4 KY : 107 98 369 352 -4.6 LA : 36 32 124 112 -9.7 ME : 33 32 155 147 -5.2 MD : 72 70 300 289 -3.7 MA : 17 16 76 73 -3.9 MI : 312 319 1,740 1,786 2.6 MN : 455 450 2,135 2,138 0.1 MS : 26 23 109 93 -14.7 MO : 119 116 510 498 -2.4 MT : 19 19 95 98 3.2 NE : 60 61 279 289 3.6 NV : 25 27 137 140 2.2 NH : 16 15 79 76 -3.8 NJ : 12 12 50 48 -4.0 NM : 324 355 1,780 2,036 14.4 NY : 646 649 3,116 3,130 0.4 NC : 54 51 266 246 -7.5 ND : 33 32 135 131 -3.0 OH : 270 273 1,245 1,274 2.3 OK : 75 75 321 317 -1.2 OR : 121 121 591 562 -4.9 PA : 564 556 2,745 2,763 0.7 RI : 1.0 1.1 5.0 4.9 -2.0 SC : 18 17 79 77 -2.5 SD : 81 81 371 382 3.0 TN : 71 67 300 284 -5.3 TX : 320 330 1,704 1,891 11.0 UT : 89 85 417 411 -1.4 VT : 144 142 688 672 -2.3 VA : 105 103 466 469 0.6 WA : 242 237 1,440 1,407 -2.3 WV : 13 13 49 51 4.1 WI : 1,234 1,242 5,875 5,987 1.9 WY : 4.5 6.7 17.1 30.8 80.1 : US 3/ : 9,041 9,134 45,831 46,896 2.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Reliability Statement Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Where feasible, States utilize state and federal administrative data, rather than conduct a monthly or quarterly survey, to estimate milk production. This eliminates duplication of data gathering by different government agencies. Indications of milk cow inventory are also obtained in the January and July Cattle Surveys. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items on the next page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 10 April - June quarters is 0.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final April - June estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.13 million head by more than 0.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.3 percent. Reliability of April-June Milk Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ------- Million Pounds ------ Number : Milk : Production : 0.4 0.7 328 125 3 264 4 6 : Percent -------- 1,000 Head -------- Number : All Milk : Cows : 0.2 0.3 27 12 0 34 4 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on records for the past 10 April-June quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 William Weaver, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040 Katy Paulsen - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 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