Da 1-1 (7-07) Milk Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 18, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Milk Production" call Jason Hardegree at 202-720-3278, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. June Milk Production Up 1.2 Percent Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 14.2 billion pounds, up 1.2 percent from June 2006. May revised production, at 14.9 billion pounds, was up 1.1 percent from May 2006. The May revision represented an increase of 7 million pounds from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,713 pounds for June, 16 pounds above June 2006. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.29 million head, 19,000 head more than June 2006, and 2,000 head more than May 2007. April - June Milk Production Up 1 Percent Milk production in the U.S. during the April - June quarter totaled 47.4 billion pounds, up 1.1 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.13 million head, 2,000 head less than the same period last year. Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : Change : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : From : : : : : : : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 9,092 9,130 5,010 5,039 45,547 46,006 1.0 Apr-Jun : 9,128 9,126 5,141 5,198 46,930 47,435 1.1 Jul-Sep : 9,113 4,906 44,710 Oct-Dec : 9,115 4,894 44,611 : Annual : 9,112 19,951 181,798 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 23 Selected States, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : Change : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : from : : : : : : : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,198 8,280 1,711 1,724 14,027 14,276 1.8 Feb : 8,206 8,277 1,586 1,582 13,018 13,098 0.6 Mar : 8,224 8,285 1,775 1,783 14,599 14,771 1.2 Apr : 8,240 8,280 1,726 1,746 14,222 14,457 1.7 May : 8,257 8,286 1,782 1,795 14,712 14,874 1.1 Jun : 8,269 8,288 1,697 1,713 14,033 14,198 1.2 Jul : 8,258 1,688 13,937 Aug : 8,255 1,676 13,838 Sep : 8,251 1,613 13,307 Oct : 8,255 1,652 13,637 Nov : 8,260 1,614 13,332 Dec : 8,276 1,690 13,983 : Annual : 8,246 20,210 166,645 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2007 previous month revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Estimated Milk Cows and Production: By Month, United States, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Change Month : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : From : : : : : : : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 9,081 9,130 1,690 1,707 15,343 15,585 1.6 Feb : 9,088 9,126 1,567 1,567 14,238 14,298 0.4 Mar : 9,106 9,134 1,753 1,765 15,966 16,123 1.0 Apr : 9,116 9,122 1,705 1,727 15,538 15,757 1.4 May : 9,129 9,127 1,760 1,776 16,068 16,208 0.9 Jun : 9,139 9,129 1,676 1,695 15,324 15,470 1.0 Jul : 9,119 1,663 15,168 Aug : 9,114 1,653 15,061 Sep : 9,107 1,590 14,481 Oct : 9,107 1,631 14,857 Nov : 9,111 1,594 14,523 Dec : 9,126 1,669 15,231 : Annual : 9,112 19,951 181,798 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2007 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, June 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk Per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : From : : : : : : : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 173 182 1,955 1,965 338 358 5.9 CA : 1,786 1,804 1,795 1,850 3,206 3,337 4.1 CO : 111 118 1,965 1,960 218 231 6.0 FL : 132 127 1,415 1,500 187 191 2.1 ID : 489 506 1,910 1,910 934 966 3.4 IL : 103 103 1,590 1,550 164 160 -2.4 IN : 166 167 1,670 1,675 277 280 1.1 IA : 206 214 1,680 1,675 346 358 3.5 KS : 113 109 1,770 1,745 200 190 -5.0 KY : 98 90 1,090 1,140 107 103 -3.7 MI : 322 332 1,865 1,885 601 626 4.2 MN : 450 460 1,560 1,570 702 722 2.8 MO : 116 112 1,320 1,240 153 139 -9.2 NM : 360 335 1,875 1,815 675 608 -9.9 NY : 640 626 1,595 1,620 1,021 1,014 -0.7 OH : 274 276 1,470 1,520 403 420 4.2 OR : 118 110 1,620 1,645 191 181 -5.2 PA : 555 549 1,620 1,590 899 873 -2.9 TX : 333 348 1,820 1,740 606 606 VT : 141 139 1,545 1,510 218 210 -3.7 VA : 103 100 1,415 1,440 146 144 -1.4 WA : 237 234 1,960 1,970 465 461 -0.9 WI : 1,243 1,247 1,590 1,620 1,976 2,020 2.2 : 23-State : Total : 8,269 8,288 1,697 1,713 14,033 14,198 1.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, May 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : From : : : : : : : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 172 182 2,155 2,105 371 383 3.2 CA : 1,785 1,800 1,895 1,930 3,383 3,474 2.7 CO : 110 116 2,000 1,990 220 231 5.0 FL : 133 128 1,520 1,640 202 210 4.0 ID : 484 506 1,940 1,930 939 977 4.0 IL : 103 103 1,690 1,670 174 172 -1.1 IN : 166 168 1,750 1,770 291 297 2.1 IA : 204 212 1,765 1,790 360 379 5.3 KS : 113 110 1,870 1,820 211 200 -5.2 KY : 98 91 1,220 1,260 120 115 -4.2 MI : 320 330 1,920 1,960 614 647 5.4 MN : 450 458 1,620 1,665 729 763 4.7 MO : 116 114 1,470 1,380 171 157 -8.2 NM : 356 341 1,980 1,870 705 638 -9.5 NY : 643 626 1,660 1,690 1,067 1,058 -0.8 OH : 273 275 1,610 1,620 440 446 1.4 OR : 118 110 1,680 1,690 198 186 -6.1 PA : 556 549 1,700 1,720 945 944 -0.1 TX : 333 347 1,955 1,870 651 649 -0.3 VT : 142 140 1,630 1,555 231 218 -5.6 VA : 103 100 1,560 1,570 161 157 -2.5 WA : 237 233 2,025 2,025 480 472 -1.7 WI : 1,242 1,247 1,650 1,685 2,049 2,101 2.5 : 23-State : Total : 8,257 8,286 1,782 1,795 14,712 14,874 1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2007 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Revised January-March, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jan-Mar Milk Cows 1/ : Jan-Mar Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 14 13 60 58 -3.3 AK : 0.8 0.6 2.4 2.3 -4.2 AZ : 171 176 1,059 1,072 1.2 AR : 21 18 71 61 -14.1 CA : 1,779 1,793 9,711 10,070 3.7 CO : 106 115 605 620 2.5 CT : 20 19 97 95 -2.1 DE : 7 7 32.2 30.0 -6.8 FL : 134 130 608 584 -3.9 GA : 78 77 379 381 0.5 HI : 4.5 3.6 15.3 12.1 -20.9 ID : 474 503 2,551 2,724 6.8 IL : 104 103 509 489 -3.9 IN : 162 166 821 841 2.4 IA : 201 210 1,032 1,070 3.7 KS : 111 110 586 557 -4.9 KY : 101 93 351 333 -5.1 LA : 33 30 119 106 -10.9 ME : 32 32 140 141 0.7 MD : 67 60 290 274 -5.5 MA : 16 15.0 72 65 -9.7 MI : 315 325 1,737 1,825 5.1 MN : 448 455 2,102 2,171 3.3 MS : 23 22 100 94 -6.0 MO : 114 115 487 444 -8.8 MT : 19 18 90 84 -6.7 NE : 60 60 277 279 0.7 NV : 27 27 140 142 1.4 NH : 15.5 14.0 77 72 -6.5 NJ : 11.5 10.5 48 43 -10.4 NM : 344 353 1,879 1,772 -5.7 NY : 646 628 3,034 2,964 -2.3 NC : 52 48 254 242 -4.7 ND : 33 31 119 116 -2.5 OH : 273 275 1,212 1,226 1.2 OK : 75 70 311 296 -4.8 OR : 119 112 555 546 -1.6 PA : 556 549 2,723 2,663 -2.2 RI : 1.1 1.1 4.6 4.3 -6.5 SC : 17 18 76 87 14.5 SD : 81 84 364 401 10.2 TN : 69 66 284 270 -4.9 TX : 329 347 1,825 1,853 1.5 UT : 85 86 404 426 5.4 VT : 143 140 663 627 -5.4 VA : 103 100 462 448 -3.0 WA : 237 235 1,353 1,342 -0.8 WV : 13 13 50 50 WI : 1,240 1,246 5,779 5,904 2.2 WY : 6.4 7.1 26.2 29.1 11.1 : US 3/ : 9,092 9,130 45,547 46,006 1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Preliminary April-June, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 14 13 56 54 -3.6 AK : 0.8 0.6 2.5 2.1 -16.0 AZ : 172 182 1,078 1,123 4.2 AR : 20.0 17.5 71 60 -15.5 CA : 1,785 1,800 9,898 10,261 3.7 CO : 110 116 644 679 5.4 CT : 20 19 95 94 -1.1 DE : 7 7 30.8 27.9 -9.4 FL : 133 128 594 605 1.9 GA : 77 77 383 388 1.3 HI : 4.4 3.2 14.8 10.0 -32.4 ID : 484 505 2,757 2,879 4.4 IL : 103 103 508 501 -1.4 IN : 166 168 851 867 1.9 IA : 204 212 1,058 1,102 4.2 KS : 113 110 614 582 -5.2 KY : 98 91 349 335 -4.0 LA : 32 29 111 98 -11.7 ME : 32 32 147 147 MD : 66 59 290 270 -6.9 MA : 16 15 73 65 -11.0 MI : 320 330 1,803 1,895 5.1 MN : 450 458 2,140 2,218 3.6 MS : 23 21 94 90 -4.3 MO : 116 113 498 455 -8.6 MT : 19 18 92 85 -7.6 NE : 61 59 289 277 -4.2 NV : 27 27 140 150 7.1 NH : 15.0 14.0 76 74 -2.6 NJ : 11.0 10.5 47 44 -6.4 NM : 355 340 2,035 1,846 -9.3 NY : 642 626 3,112 3,078 -1.1 NC : 51 48 253 242 -4.3 ND : 32 30 120 117 -2.5 OH : 273 275 1,261 1,290 2.3 OK : 74 69 313 295 -5.8 OR : 118 110 581 548 -5.7 PA : 556 549 2,763 2,747 -0.6 RI : 1.1 1.1 5.0 4.6 -8.0 SC : 17 19 77 87 13.0 SD : 81 85 382 420 9.9 TN : 67 64 284 272 -4.2 TX : 333 347 1,891 1,900 0.5 UT : 85 85 435 447 2.8 VT : 142 140 672 637 -5.2 VA : 103 100 467 456 -2.4 WA : 237 233 1,407 1,392 -1.1 WV : 13 13 51 51 WI : 1,242 1,247 5,986 6,133 2.5 WY : 6.7 7.2 30.8 34.2 11.0 : US 3/ : 9,128 9,126 46,930 47,435 1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Reliability Statement Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Where feasible, States utilize state and federal administrative data, rather than conduct a monthly or quarterly survey, to estimate milk production. This eliminates duplication of data gathering by different government agencies. Indications of milk cow inventory are also obtained in the January and July Cattle Surveys. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items on the next page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 10 April - June quarters is 0.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final April - June estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.13 million head by more than 0.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.3 percent. Reliability of April-June Milk Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ------- Million Pounds ------ Number : Milk : Production : 0.3 0.6 285 102 3 244 3 7 : Percent -------- 1,000 Head -------- Number : All Milk : Cows : 0.2 0.3 27 11 0 34 5 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on records for the past 10 April-June quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 Shawn Clark, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats & Kids(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040 Benita Hodge - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 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