Da 1-1 (7-09) Milk Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 17, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Milk Production" call Mike Miller at 202-720-3278, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. June Milk Production down 0.1 Percent Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 14.7 billion pounds, down 0.1 percent from June 2008. May revised production at 15.5 billion pounds, was up 0.5 percent from May 2008. The May revision represented an increase of 46 million pounds or 0.3 percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,746 pounds for June, 10 pounds above June 2008. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.44 million head, 56,000 head less than June 2008, and 29,000 head less than May 2009. April - June Milk Production up 0.1 Percent Milk production in the U.S. during the April - June quarter totaled 48.8 billion pounds, up 0.1 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.26 million head, 53,000 head less than the same period last year. Milk Cows and Production: By Quarter, United States, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Quarter : : : : : : : Change : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : From : : : : : : : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan-Mar : 9,286 9,295 5,127 5,096 47,610 47,363 -0.5 Apr-Jun : 9,315 9,262 5,236 5,272 48,774 48,826 0.1 Jul-Sep : 9,330 5,025 46,881 Oct-Dec : 9,330 5,008 46,727 : Annual : 9,315 20,396 189,992 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 23 Selected States, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : : : : : : : Change : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : from : : : : : : : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 8,445 8,504 1,747 1,753 14,750 14,907 1.1 Feb : 8,457 8,486 1,656 1,606 14,007 13,627 -2.7 Mar : 8,467 8,481 1,794 1,794 15,191 15,211 0.1 Apr : 8,482 8,481 1,757 1,759 14,901 14,916 0.1 May : 8,496 8,473 1,819 1,833 15,451 15,529 0.5 Jun : 8,500 8,444 1,736 1,746 14,760 14,741 -0.1 Jul : 8,515 1,744 14,848 Aug : 8,515 1,718 14,626 Sep : 8,510 1,650 14,041 Oct : 8,512 1,700 14,469 Nov : 8,519 1,654 14,089 Dec : 8,519 1,729 14,728 : Annual : 8,495 20,704 175,861 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2009 previous month revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Estimated Milk Cows and Production: By Month, United States, 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk Per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Change Month : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : From : : : : : : : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds ---- Million Pounds Percent : Jan : 9,276 9,312 1,722 1,733 15,976 16,138 1.0 Feb : 9,287 9,289 1,634 1,589 15,176 14,756 -2.8 Mar : 9,295 9,283 1,771 1,774 16,458 16,469 0.1 Apr : 9,307 9,281 1,733 1,738 16,125 16,131 May : 9,318 9,269 1,793 1,811 16,707 16,782 0.4 Jun : 9,321 9,235 1,710 1,723 15,942 15,913 -0.2 Jul : 9,335 1,713 15,995 Aug : 9,331 1,689 15,757 Sep : 9,323 1,623 15,129 Oct : 9,324 1,675 15,615 Nov : 9,333 1,630 15,212 Dec : 9,334 1,703 15,900 : Annual : 9,315 20,396 189,992 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2009 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, June 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 1/ : Milk Per Cow 2/ : Milk Production 2/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : From : : : : : : : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 186 176 1,950 1,940 363 341 -6.1 CA : 1,847 1,810 1,850 1,810 3,417 3,276 -4.1 CO : 128 126 1,940 1,980 248 249 0.4 FL : 120 116 1,440 1,530 173 177 2.3 ID : 551 552 1,900 1,880 1,047 1,038 -0.9 IL : 102 102 1,565 1,570 160 160 IN : 166 168 1,650 1,655 274 278 1.5 IA : 216 215 1,660 1,710 359 368 2.5 KS : 116 118 1,680 1,735 195 205 5.1 MI : 351 358 1,860 1,890 653 677 3.7 MN : 463 469 1,585 1,620 734 760 3.5 MO : 110 109 1,240 1,195 136 130 -4.4 NM : 340 327 1,970 2,050 670 670 NY : 626 623 1,680 1,720 1,052 1,072 1.9 OH : 282 276 1,560 1,570 440 433 -1.6 OR : 114 114 1,660 1,625 189 185 -2.1 PA : 546 545 1,630 1,630 890 888 -0.2 TX : 417 428 1,690 1,710 705 732 3.8 UT : 85 83 1,780 1,785 151 148 -2.0 VT : 140 135 1,565 1,550 219 209 -4.6 VA : 98 96 1,410 1,520 138 146 5.8 WA : 244 241 1,970 1,970 481 475 -1.2 WI : 1,252 1,257 1,650 1,690 2,066 2,124 2.8 : 23-State : Total : 8,500 8,444 1,736 1,746 14,760 14,741 -0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State, May 2008-2009 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milk Cows 2/ : Milk per Cow 3/ : Milk Production 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : : : Change : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : From : : : : : : : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head ---- Pounds --- Million Pounds Percent : AZ : 186 184 2,165 2,055 403 378 -6.2 CA : 1,847 1,815 1,940 1,935 3,583 3,512 -2.0 CO : 127 128 1,990 2,020 253 259 2.4 FL : 120 117 1,625 1,700 195 199 2.1 ID : 550 553 1,930 1,910 1,062 1,056 -0.6 IL : 102 102 1,665 1,670 170 170 IN : 168 168 1,730 1,765 291 297 2.1 IA : 216 215 1,740 1,785 376 384 2.1 KS : 115 120 1,790 1,835 206 220 6.8 MI : 350 357 1,935 1,955 677 698 3.1 MN : 463 469 1,645 1,680 762 788 3.4 MO : 111 110 1,365 1,330 152 146 -3.9 NM : 342 332 2,040 2,145 698 712 2.0 NY : 626 623 1,770 1,820 1,108 1,134 2.3 OH : 282 277 1,660 1,640 468 454 -3.0 OR : 113 114 1,745 1,735 197 198 0.5 PA : 548 547 1,720 1,710 943 935 -0.8 TX : 412 430 1,800 1,835 742 789 6.3 UT : 85 84 1,800 1,805 153 152 -0.7 VT : 140 136 1,600 1,595 224 217 -3.1 VA : 98 96 1,580 1,615 155 155 WA : 244 240 2,025 2,015 494 484 -2.0 WI : 1,251 1,256 1,710 1,745 2,139 2,192 2.5 : 23-State : Total : 8,496 8,473 1,819 1,833 15,451 15,529 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2009 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Revised January-March, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Jan-Mar Milk Cows 1/ : Jan-Mar Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 12.0 11.0 53 48 -9.4 AK : 0.6 0.6 2.1 1.5 -28.6 AZ : 185 189 1,144 1,124 -1.7 AR : 16.5 13.5 54 45 -16.7 CA : 1,840 1,825 10,460 10,094 -3.5 CO : 126 128 709 731 3.1 CT : 19.0 18.5 93 91 -2.2 DE : 6.5 6.5 30.0 28.0 -6.7 FL : 120 117 569 582 2.3 GA : 77 76 361 376 4.2 HI : 2.0 1.5 4.7 5.3 12.8 ID : 537 551 2,957 2,915 -1.4 IL : 102 102 488 489 0.2 IN : 167 167 835 836 0.1 IA : 216 215 1,083 1,071 -1.1 KS : 115 124 593 652 9.9 KY : 91 86 323 313 -3.1 LA : 27 24 95 84 -11.6 ME : 33 33 147 146 -0.7 MD : 57 56 271 260 -4.1 MA : 15.0 14.0 64 59 -7.8 MI : 344 354 1,907 1,933 1.4 MN : 463 468 2,204 2,219 0.7 MS : 21 19 86 74 -14.0 MO : 110 108 407 403 -1.0 MT : 17.0 15.0 76 75 -1.3 NE : 57 61 265 294 10.9 NV : 27 27 138 146 5.8 NH : 15.0 15.0 76 73 -3.9 NJ : 10.0 10.0 44 43 -2.3 NM : 339 333 1,922 2,002 4.2 NY : 626 623 3,092 3,060 -1.0 NC : 48 46 239 234 -2.1 ND : 26 25 107 98 -8.4 OH : 279 277 1,270 1,275 0.4 OK : 66 62 277 265 -4.3 OR : 114 114 566 558 -1.4 PA : 551 550 2,671 2,637 -1.3 RI : 1.1 1.1 4.8 4.8 SC : 18.0 17.0 90 86 -4.4 SD : 87 94 426 460 8.0 TN : 61 58 256 244 -4.7 TX : 405 430 2,072 2,271 9.6 UT : 85 85 425 427 VT : 140 136 655 616 -6.0 VA : 98 97 451 443 -1.8 WA : 244 240 1,416 1,350 -4.7 WV : 12.0 11.0 46 41 -10.9 WI : 1,250 1,255 6,052 6,057 0.1 WY : 7.0 5.0 33.6 23.3 -30.7 : US 3/ : 9,286 9,295 47,610 47,363 -0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Milk Cows and Production: By State and United States, Preliminary April-June, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/ : Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ : Change State :-----------------------------------------------------------: From : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ----- ---- Million Pounds --- Percent : AL : 12.0 11.0 51 45 -11.8 AK : 0.6 0.6 1.8 1.5 -16.7 AZ : 186 183 1,165 1,104 -5.2 AR : 15.5 13.0 54 44 -18.5 CA : 1,846 1,815 10,515 10,221 -2.8 CO : 127 127 744 754 1.3 CT : 19.0 18.0 94 90 -4.3 DE : 6.5 6.0 29.0 27.0 -6.9 FL : 120 117 556 576 3.6 GA : 77 77 364 377 3.6 HI : 1.7 1.5 4.6 5.5 19.6 ID : 548 552 3,114 3,086 -0.9 IL : 102 102 495 496 0.2 IN : 167 168 849 861 1.4 IA : 216 215 1,096 1,120 2.2 KS : 115 119 601 638 6.2 KY : 92 84 324 320 -1.2 LA : 26 23 90 77 -14.4 ME : 33 33 154 153 -0.6 MD : 56 55 267 256 -4.1 MA : 15.0 14.0 66 61 -7.6 MI : 349 357 1,968 2,037 3.5 MN : 463 469 2,228 2,299 3.2 MS : 21.0 18.5 80 70 -12.5 MO : 111 110 435 421 -3.2 MT : 17.0 15.0 80 76 -5.0 NE : 57 62 265 302 14.0 NV : 27 26 134 143 6.7 NH : 15.0 15.0 77 76 -1.3 NJ : 10.0 9.5 44 41 -6.8 NM : 341 330 2,049 2,069 1.0 NY : 626 623 3,205 3,246 1.3 NC : 47 46 233 234 0.4 ND : 26 23 107 98 -8.4 OH : 282 277 1,352 1,327 -1.8 OK : 64 60 268 260 -3.0 OR : 113 114 576 574 -0.3 PA : 548 547 2,750 2,723 -1.0 RI : 1.1 1.1 5.2 5.0 -3.8 SC : 18.0 17.0 88 83 -5.7 SD : 89 95 446 483 8.3 TN : 59 56 255 246 -3.5 TX : 413 429 2,173 2,299 5.8 UT : 85 84 450 446 -0.9 VT : 140 136 661 633 -4.2 VA : 98 96 447 453 1.3 WA : 244 240 1,451 1,421 -2.1 WV : 12.0 11.0 46 42 -8.7 WI : 1,251 1,256 6,232 6,382 2.4 WY : 7.0 5.0 34.5 23.6 -31.6 : US 3/ : 9,315 9,262 48,774 48,826 0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Reliability Statement Survey Procedures: Primary data used to determine these estimates were obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of their herd. States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their lists are as complete as possible. Generally, all large producers and a sample of small producers are included in the survey. Questionnaires are mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first day of the month. Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed, to supplement the mail response. Where feasible, States utilize state and federal administrative data, rather than conduct a monthly or quarterly survey, to estimate milk production. This eliminates duplication of data gathering by different government agencies. Indications of milk cow inventory are also obtained in the January and July Cattle Surveys. Estimation Procedures: State offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications, historic trends, and any available administrative data. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are subject to revision the following month for monthly States or the following quarter for the quarterly States. Normally, Federal Market Order sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not available in time for this revision. Estimates are again subject to revisions in February each year based on additional administrative data. In the event that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February the following year. Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items on the next page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 0.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.26 million head by more than 0.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.6 percent. Reliability of Quarterly Milk Production Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ------- Million Pounds ------ Number : Milk : Production : 0.2 0.3 148 63 3 192 4 16 : Percent -------- 1,000 Head -------- Number : All Milk : Cows : 0.3 0.6 51 25 1 53 2 18 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on the U.S. total for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch..............................(202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section..............................(202) 690-2424 Jim Collom - Dairy Products................................(202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices.........................(202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed...................(202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter....................(515) 284-4340 Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats...........................(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows................(202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs................................(202) 720-3106 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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