HDR1012000110090831950830Rice Stocks HDR2012000110090831950830Rice Stocks Narrative Released August 31, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Stocks of Rough Rice Up Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1995, totaled 22.8 million hundredweight (cwt), 9 percent above August 1, 1994. Stocks held on farms accounted for 4 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding 96 percent of the stocks. Stocks of long grain varieties totaled 10.2 million cwt, medium grain 11.9 million cwt, and short grain 704,000 cwt. August 1 rice stocks represent carryover stocks from one marketing year to the next in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1. Milled rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1995 totaled 6.31 million cwt, 75 percent above the total of a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 5.50 million cwt of whole kernels and 804,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Gr Lg 11-3 (8-95) HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, United States, 1994-95 Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/: Transit : Positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1995 : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 2/: 23,239 12,793 59,271 622 95,925 Aug 1 : 862 6,578 15,279 45 22,764 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 4,078 349 1,192 5,619 Aug 1 : 4,225 1,028 1,055 6,308 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 2/: 1,054,100 580,280 2,688,490 28,210 4,351,080 Aug 1 : 39,100 298,370 693,040 2,040 1,032,550 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 184,970 15,830 54,070 254,870 Aug 1 : 191,640 46,630 47,850 286,120 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : 1994 : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 11,703 15,056 52,697 147 79,603 Aug 1 : 517 5,601 14,674 115 20,907 Oct 1 3/: 116 2,353 0 2,469 Dec 1 : 41,223 15,682 83,471 693 141,069 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 4,232 1,010 563 5,805 Aug 1 : 2,710 188 697 3,595 Oct 1 3/: 875 0 0 875 Dec 1 : 3,290 511 1,044 4,845 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 530,840 682,930 2,390,300 6,670 3,610,740 Aug 1 : 23,450 254,060 665,600 5,220 948,330 Oct 1 3/: 5,260 106,730 0 111,990 Dec 1 : 1,869,840 711,320 3,786,180 31,430 6,398,770 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 191,960 45,810 25,540 263,310 Aug 1 : 122,920 8,530 31,620 163,070 Oct 1 3/: 39,690 0 0 39,690 Dec 1 : 149,230 23,180 47,360 219,770 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Revised. 3/ CA only. HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, State, and United States Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1995 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 400 3,896 3,746 22 8,064 CA : 105 617 9,556 0 10,278 LA : 40 667 582 23 1,312 MS : * * * * 1,356 MO : * * * * 234 TX : 43 1,165 312 0 1,520 Unall* : 274 233 1,083 0 : US : 862 6,578 15,279 45 22,764 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,408 681 12 2,101 CA : 1,363 0 0 1,363 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 805 347 39 1,191 Unall* : 649 0 1,004 1,653 : US : 4,225 1,028 1,055 6,308 : 1994 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 250 2,828 6,179 0 9,257 CA : 75 676 6,204 0 6,955 LA : 50 680 648 101 1,479 MS : * * * * 1,200 MO : * * * * 237 TX : 32 1,338 395 14 1,779 Unall* : 110 79 1,248 0 : US : 517 5,601 14,674 115 20,907 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 857 30 47 934 CA : 678 0 0 678 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 807 158 0 965 Unall* : 368 0 650 1,018 : US : 2,710 188 697 3,595 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. HDR2012000110090831950830Rough Rice Stocks Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 419 322 5,885 9,257 651 699 6,955 10,278 : Oth Sts 1/: 12,124 9,866 1,823 2,615 5 5 13,952 12,486 : US : 12,543 10,188 7,708 11,872 656 704 20,907 22,764 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110090831950830Milled Rice Stocks Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 38 39 463 1,036 26 39 527 1,114 : Oth Sts 1/: 1,822 3,088 705 1,297 2 5 2,529 4,390 : US : 1,860 3,127 1,168 2,333 28 44 3,056 5,504 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads 2/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 138 227 13 22 151 249 : Oth Sts 1/: 226 352 82 79 80 124 388 555 : US : 364 579 82 79 93 146 539 804 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MI, MO, and TX. 2/ Includes screenings in CA. HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, State, and United States Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1995 1/ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 14,600 6,991 21,791 11 43,393 CA : 1,870 2,304 23,086 0 27,260 LA : 2,200 2,048 4,275 74 8,597 MS : * * * * 5,596 MO : * * * * 2,052 TX : 1,913 793 5,784 537 9,027 Unall* : 2,656 657 4,335 0 : US : 23,239 12,793 59,271 622 95,925 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,389 288 8 1,685 CA : 1,341 0 0 1,341 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 621 61 144 826 Unall* : 727 0 1,040 1,767 : US : 4,078 349 1,192 5,619 : 1994 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 5,767 8,232 18,212 19 32,230 CA : 1,670 1,520 24,497 0 27,687 LA : 1,300 2,913 3,224 95 7,532 MS : * * * * 4,508 MO : * * * * 1,785 TX : 790 1,472 3,588 11 5,861 Unall* : 2,176 919 3,176 22 : US : 11,703 15,056 52,697 147 79,603 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,812 143 36 1,991 CA : 981 0 0 981 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 845 867 4 1,716 Unall* : 594 0 523 1,117 : US : 4,232 1,010 563 5,805 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Revised. HDR2012000110090831950830Rough Rice Stocks Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/: 1994 : 1995 1/: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 898 507 25,671 25,578 1,118 1,175 27,687 27,260 : Oth Sts 2/: 43,843 57,272 8,061 11,385 12 8 51,916 68,665 : US : 44,741 57,779 33,732 36,963 1,130 1,183 79,603 95,925 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110090831950830Milled Rice Stocks Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 33 25 799 943 16 50 848 1,018 : Oth Sts 2/: 2,720 2,369 615 1,300 10 3 3,345 3,672 : US : 2,753 2,394 1,414 2,243 26 53 4,193 4,690 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads 3/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 98 299 35 24 133 323 : Oth Sts 2/: 336 435 47 31 1,096 140 1,479 606 : US : 434 734 47 31 1,131 164 1,612 929 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Revised. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 3/ Includes screenings in CA. HDR2012000110090831950830Reliability Reliability of August 1, 1995, Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the report following the initial publication and again in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 31, 1995. 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