HDR1012000110090830960830RICE STOCKS Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 30, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. Stocks of Rough Rice Down Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1996, totaled 20.0 million hundredweight (cwt), 12 percent below August 1, 1995. Stocks held on farms accounted for 2 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding 98 percent of the stocks. Stocks of long grain varieties totaled 7.42 million cwt, medium grain 12.0 million cwt, and short grain 531,000 cwt. August 1 rice stocks represent carryover stocks from one marketing year to the next in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1. Milled rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1996 totaled 3.61 million cwt, 43 percent below the total of a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.16 million cwt of whole kernels and 450,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers' rice. Gr Lg 11-3 (8-96) Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1995-96 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/: Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 2/: 20,520 11,102 53,283 941 85,846 Aug 1 : 486 5,542 13,818 125 19,971 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 3,072 148 479 3,699 Aug 1 : 3,296 269 49 3,614 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 2/: 930,770 503,580 2,416,880 42,680 3,893,910 Aug 1 : 22,040 251,380 626,770 5,670 905,860 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 139,340 6,710 21,730 167,780 Aug 1 : 149,500 12,200 2,220 163,920 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : 1995 : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 23,239 12,793 59,271 622 95,925 Aug 1 : 862 6,578 15,279 45 22,764 Oct 1 3/: 693 4,234 0 4,927 Dec 1 : 32,936 12,561 74,951 883 121,331 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt Mar 1 : 4,078 349 1,192 5,619 Aug 1 : 4,225 1,028 1,055 6,308 Oct 1 3/: 1,149 0 0 1,149 Dec 1 : 4,368 331 1,010 5,709 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 1,054,100 580,280 2,688,490 28,210 4,351,080 Aug 1 : 39,100 298,370 693,040 2,040 1,032,550 Oct 1 3/: 31,430 192,050 0 223,480 Dec 1 : 1,493,950 569,760 3,399,720 40,050 5,503,480 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons Mar 1 : 184,970 15,830 54,070 254,870 Aug 1 : 191,640 46,630 47,850 286,120 Oct 1 3/: 52,120 0 0 52,120 Dec 1 : 198,130 15,010 45,810 258,950 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Revised. 3/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1995-96 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 200 2,893 2,725 0 5,818 CA : 100 936 9,325 0 10,361 LA : * * * * 742 MS : * * * * 1,372 MO : * * * * 399 TX : 36 771 347 125 1,279 Unall* : 150 942 1,421 0 : US : 486 5,542 13,818 125 19,971 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,057 87 14 1,158 CA : 1,170 0 0 1,170 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 541 181 1 723 Unall* : 528 1 34 563 : US : 3,296 269 49 3,614 : 1995 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 400 3,896 3,746 22 8,064 CA : 105 617 9,556 0 10,278 LA : 40 667 582 23 1,312 MS : * * * * 1,356 MO : * * * * 234 TX : 43 1,165 312 0 1,520 Unall* : 274 233 1,083 0 : US : 862 6,578 15,279 45 22,764 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,408 681 12 2,101 CA : 1,363 0 0 1,363 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 805 347 39 1,191 Unall* : 649 0 1,004 1,653 : US : 4,225 1,028 1,055 6,308 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 322 127 9,257 9,704 699 530 10,278 10,361 : Oth Sts 1/: 9,866 7,291 2,615 2,318 5 1 12,486 9,610 : U S : 10,188 7,418 11,872 12,022 704 531 22,764 19,971 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 39 32 1,036 932 39 46 1,114 1,010 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,088 1,895 1,297 255 5 4 4,390 2,154 : U S : 3,127 1,927 2,333 1,187 44 50 5,504 3,164 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads 2/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 227 135 22 25 249 160 : Oth Sts 1/: 352 194 79 14 124 82 555 290 : U S : 579 329 79 14 146 107 804 450 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MI, MO, and TX. 2/ Includes screenings in Calif. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1995-96 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mill : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Port : Total State : Farm : Attache : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1/ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 12,000 6,239 19,054 1 37,294 CA : 1,500 2,083 21,362 0 24,945 LA : 2,200 1,204 4,402 95 7,901 MS : * * * * 4,793 MO : * * * * 2,496 TX : 2,000 793 4,779 845 8,417 Unall* : 2,820 783 3,686 0 0 : US : 20,520 11,102 53,283 941 85,846 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,128 125 70 1,323 CA : 884 0 0 884 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 569 23 240 832 Unall* : 491 0 169 660 : US : 3,072 148 479 3,699 : 1995 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 14,600 6,991 21,791 11 43,393 CA : 1,870 2,304 23,086 0 27,260 LA : 2,200 2,048 4,275 74 8,597 MS : * * * * 5,596 MO : * * * * 2,052 TX : 1,913 793 5,784 537 9,027 Unall* : 2,656 657 4,335 0 0 : US : 23,239 12,793 59,271 622 95,925 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,389 288 8 1,685 CA : 1,341 0 0 1,341 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 621 61 144 826 Unall* : 727 0 1,040 1,767 : US : 4,078 349 1,192 5,619 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Revised. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 507 507 25,578 23,492 1,175 946 27,260 24,945 : Oth Sts 1/: 57,272 52,123 11,385 8,772 8 6 68,665 60,901 : US : 57,779 52,630 36,963 32,264 1,183 952 95,925 85,846 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 25 24 943 660 50 24 1,018 708 : Oth Sts 2/: 2,369 2,234 1,300 210 3 2 3,672 2,446 : US : 2,394 2,258 2,243 870 53 26 4,690 3,154 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads 3/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 299 160 24 16 323 176 : Oth Sts 2/: 435 246 31 6 140 117 606 369 : US : 734 406 31 6 164 133 929 545 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Revised. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 3/ Includes screenings in CA. Reliability of August 1, 1996, Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the report following the initial publication and again in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 31, 1996. 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