HDR1012000110090829970830RICE STOCKS Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 29, 1997, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Barbara Rater at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1997 totaled 21.8 million hundredweight (cwt), up 9 percent from the total on August 1, 1996. Stocks held on farm, at 428,000 cwt, accounted for 2 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding 98 percent of the stocks. Stocks of long grain varieties totaled 10.8 million cwt, medium grain 10.7 million cwt, and short grain 231,000 cwt. August 1 rice stocks represent carryover from one marketing year to the next in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1. Milled rice stocks on August 1 totaled 3.82 million cwt, 6 percent above the comparable figure for a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.13 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 685,000 cwt of second heads, screenings and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/: Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 2/: 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 Aug 1 : 428 7,256 13,647 462 21,793 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 3,590 381 640 4,611 Aug 1 : 3,269 474 76 3,819 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 2/: 725,880 594,750 2,246,140 68,490 3,635,260 Aug 1 : 19,410 329,130 619,020 20,960 988,520 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 162,840 17,280 29,030 209,150 Aug 1 : 148,280 21,500 3,450 173,230 Oct 1 3/: Dec 1 : :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 20,520 11,102 53,283 941 85,846 Aug 1 : 486 5,542 13,818 125 19,971 Oct 1 3/: 401 4,246 0 4,647 Dec 1 : 32,719 13,228 72,321 801 119,069 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 3,072 148 479 3,699 Aug 1 : 3,296 269 49 3,614 Oct 1 3/: 1,069 0 0 1,069 Dec 1 : 4,056 280 1,315 5,651 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 930,770 503,580 2,416,880 42,680 3,893,910 Aug 1 : 22,040 251,380 626,770 5,670 905,860 Oct 1 3/: 18,190 192,600 0 210,790 Dec 1 : 1,484,110 600,010 3,280,430 36,330 5,400,880 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 139,340 6,710 21,730 167,780 Aug 1 : 149,500 12,200 2,220 163,920 Oct 1 3/: 48,490 0 0 48,490 Dec 1 : 183,980 12,700 59,650 256,330 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Revised. 3/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 200 4,627 4,246 0 9,073 CA : 79 300 7,476 0 7,855 LA : * * * * 771 MS 1/ : * * * * 1,528 MO : * * * * 624 TX : 20 1,177 283 462 1,942 Unall* : 129 1,152 1,642 0 : US 1/ : 428 7,256 13,647 462 21,793 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,038 429 16 1,483 CA : 701 0 0 701 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,108 45 37 1,190 Unall* : 422 0 23 445 : US : 3,269 474 76 3,819 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : August 1, 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 200 2,893 2,725 0 5,818 CA : 100 936 9,325 0 10,361 LA : * * * * 742 MS : * * * * 1,372 MO : * * * * 399 TX : 36 771 347 125 1,279 Unall* : 150 942 1,421 0 : US : 486 5,542 13,818 125 19,971 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,057 87 14 1,158 CA : 1,170 0 0 1,170 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 541 181 1 723 Unall* : 528 1 34 563 : US : 3,296 269 49 3,614 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 127 * 9,704 7,551 530 * 10,361 7,855 : Oth Sts 1/: 7,291 * 2,318 3,172 1 * 9,610 13,938 : U S : 7,418 10,839 12,022 10,723 531 231 19,971 21,793 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 32 15 932 478 46 34 1,010 527 : Oth Sts 1/: 1,895 2,297 255 310 4 0 2,154 2,607 : U S : 1,927 2,312 1,187 788 50 34 3,164 3,134 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 135 158 25 16 160 174 : Oth Sts 1/: 194 309 14 13 82 189 290 511 : U S : 329 467 14 13 107 205 450 685 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mill : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Port : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 9,000 7,382 19,362 15 35,759 CA : 1,423 1,297 19,080 0 21,800 LA : 1,100 2,295 3,095 312 6,802 MS 1/ : * * * * 5,475 MO : * * * * 1,753 TX : 1,280 1,484 4,608 1,183 8,555 Unall* : 3,200 654 3,374 0 : US 1/ : 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 756 258 14 1,028 CA : 1,280 0 0 1,280 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,048 123 196 1,367 Unall* : 506 0 430 936 : US : 3,590 381 640 4,611 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 12,000 6,239 19,054 1 37,294 CA : 1,500 2,083 21,362 0 24,945 LA : 2,200 1,204 4,402 95 7,901 MS : * * * * 4,793 MO : * * * * 2,496 TX : 2,000 793 4,779 845 8,417 Unall* : 2,820 783 3,686 0 : US : 20,520 11,102 53,283 941 85,846 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,128 125 70 1,323 CA : 884 0 0 884 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 569 23 240 832 Unall* : 491 0 169 660 : US : 3,072 148 479 3,699 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 507 * 23,492 21,026 946 * 24,945 21,800 : Oth Sts 2/: 52,123 * 8,772 10,639 6 * 60,901 58,344 : US : 52,630 47,871 32,264 31,665 952 608 85,846 80,144 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 24 32 660 859 24 79 708 970 : Oth Sts 2/: 2,234 2,590 210 220 2 6 2,446 2,816 : US : 2,258 2,622 870 1,079 26 85 3,154 3,786 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/: Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 160 278 16 32 176 310 : Oth Sts 2/: 246 345 6 20 117 150 369 515 : US : 406 623 6 20 133 182 545 825 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Revised. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 1997, Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the report following the initial publication and again in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 31, 1997. 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