Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 13, 1998, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Barbara Rater at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Estimates refer to December 1, 1996. Rough Rice Stocks Up Rough rice stocks in all positions on December 1, 1997, totaled 124 million hundredweight (cwt), up 4 percent from the total on December 1, 1996. Stocks held on farm totaled 34.0 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 89.9 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 63 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain 36 percent, and short grain varieties 1 percent. Milled rice stocks on December 1 totaled 5.68 million cwt, up slightly from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 4.74 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 945,000 cwt of second heads, screenings and brewers rice. Gr Lg 11-3 (1-98) Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/: Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : Mar 1 : 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 Aug 1 : 428 7,256 13,647 462 21,793 Oct 1 2/: 221 4,294 0 4,515 Dec 1 : 33,970 13,505 75,289 1,066 123,830 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : Mar 1 : 3,590 381 640 4,611 Aug 1 : 3,269 474 76 3,819 Oct 1 2/: 776 776 Dec 1 : 4,144 101 1,437 5,682 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 725,880 594,750 2,246,140 68,490 3,635,260 Aug 1 : 19,410 329,130 619,020 20,960 988,520 Oct 1 2/: 10,020 194,770 0 204,790 Dec 1 : 1,540,850 612,580 3,415,050 48,350 5,616,830 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 162,840 17,280 29,030 209,150 Aug 1 : 148,280 21,500 3,450 173,230 Oct 1 2/: 35,200 35,200 Dec 1 : 187,970 4,580 65,180 257,730 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : Mar 1 : 20,520 11,102 53,283 941 85,846 Aug 1 : 486 5,542 13,818 125 19,971 Oct 1 2/: 401 4,246 0 4,647 Dec 1 : 32,719 13,228 72,321 801 119,069 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : Mar 1 : 3,072 148 479 3,699 Aug 1 : 3,296 269 49 3,614 Oct 1 2/: 1,069 1,069 Dec 1 : 4,056 280 1,315 5,651 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 930,770 503,580 2,416,880 42,680 3,893,910 Aug 1 : 22,040 251,380 626,770 5,670 905,860 Oct 1 2/: 18,190 192,600 0 210,790 Dec 1 : 1,484,110 600,010 3,280,430 36,330 5,400,880 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 139,340 6,710 21,730 167,780 Aug 1 : 149,500 12,200 2,220 163,920 Oct 1 2/: 48,490 48,490 Dec 1 : 183,980 12,700 59,650 256,330 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, by State and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : AR : 18,300 7,658 28,939 10 54,907 CA : * * 29,498 0 34,664 LA : 4,000 1,862 6,909 4 12,775 MS : * * * * 8,637 MO : * * * * 2,949 TX : 1,830 1,388 5,628 1,052 9,898 Unall* : 9,840 2,597 4,315 0 : US : 33,970 13,505 75,289 1,066 123,830 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : AR : 1,470 92 108 1,670 CA : 1,356 0 0 1,356 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 818 9 0 827 Unall* : 500 0 1,329 1,829 : US : 4,144 101 1,437 5,682 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : December 1, 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : AR : 17,500 7,529 26,393 61 51,483 CA : * * 30,073 0 35,031 LA : 4,000 1,816 5,234 13 11,063 MS : * * * * 7,979 MO : * * * * 2,761 TX : 2,341 1,194 6,490 727 10,752 Unall* : 8,878 2,689 4,131 0 : US : 32,719 13,228 72,321 801 119,069 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : AR : 1,238 103 28 1,369 CA : 1,522 0 0 1,522 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 828 177 42 1,047 Unall* : 468 0 1,245 1,713 : US : 4,056 280 1,315 5,651 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 33,350 32,779 * * 35,031 34,664 : Oth Sts 1/: * * 15,665 11,821 * * 84,038 89,166 : U S : 68,687 77,693 49,015 44,600 1,367 1,537 119,069 123,830 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 6 17 1,154 981 56 46 1,216 1,044 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,352 3,426 294 267 0 0 3,646 3,693 : U S : 3,358 3,443 1,448 1,248 56 46 4,862 4,737 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/: Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 276 275 30 37 306 312 : Oth Sts 1/: 277 367 49 27 157 239 483 633 : U S : 553 642 49 27 187 276 789 945 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, October 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ----------:------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 4,506 4,334 * * 4,647 4,515 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, October 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 17 10 780 584 88 66 885 660 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 1/: Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 159 97 25 19 184 116 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Screenings included with second heads. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, August 1 and March 1, 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 200 4,627 4,246 0 9,073 CA : 79 300 7,476 0 7,855 LA : * * * * 771 MS : * * * * 1,528 MO : * * * * 624 TX : 20 1,177 283 462 1,942 Unall* : 129 1,152 1,642 0 : US : 428 7,256 13,647 462 21,793 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,038 429 16 1,483 CA : 701 0 0 701 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,108 45 37 1,190 Unall* : 422 0 23 445 : US : 3,269 474 76 3,819 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : March 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 9,000 7,382 19,362 15 35,759 CA : 1,423 1,297 19,080 0 21,800 LA : 1,100 2,295 3,095 312 6,802 MS : * * * * 5,475 MO : * * * * 1,753 TX : 1,280 1,484 4,608 1,183 8,555 Unall* : 3,200 654 3,374 0 : US : 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 756 258 14 1,028 CA : 1,280 0 0 1,280 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,048 123 196 1,367 Unall* : 506 0 430 936 : US : 3,590 381 640 4,611 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : August 1, 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 7,551 * 7,855 : Oth Sts 1/: * 3,172 * 13,938 : U S : 10,839 10,723 231 21,793 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------ : March 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 21,026 * 21,800 : Oth Sts 1/: * 10,639 * 58,344 : US : 47,871 31,665 608 80,144 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 15 478 34 527 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,297 310 0 2,607 : US : 2,312 788 34 3,134 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 158 16 174 : Oth Sts 1/: 309 13 189 511 : US : 467 13 205 685 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 32 859 79 970 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,590 220 6 2,816 : US : 2,622 1,079 85 3,786 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 278 32 310 : Oth Sts 1/: 345 20 150 515 : US : 623 20 182 825 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of December 1, 1997, Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of December. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the report following the initial publication and again in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability:Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on March 31, 1998. 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