Gr Lg 11-3 (3-00) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Herman Ellison at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up Rough Rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2000 totaled 90.2 million hundredweight (cwt), up 12 percent from the total on March 1, 1999. Stocks held on farms totaled 27.2 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 63.0 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 70 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain 28 percent, and short grain varieties 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.57 million cwt, up 5 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.31 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.26 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/ : Transit :Positions 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 27,200 11,787 50,969 269 90,225 Aug 1 : Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,526 128 916 4,570 Aug 1 : Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,233,770 534,650 2,311,920 12,200 4,092,540 Aug 1 : Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 159,940 5,810 41,550 207,290 Aug 1 : Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250 Aug 1 : 1,560 5,516 9,432 118 16,626 Oct 1 3/ : 236 1,176 1,412 Dec 1 : 50,762 11,112 78,012 67 139,953 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,700 172 472 4,344 Aug 1 : 3,230 103 444 3,777 Oct 1 3/ : 413 413 Dec 1 : 3,679 185 721 4,585 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,011,060 442,030 2,150,440 36,560 3,640,080 Aug 1 : 70,760 250,200 427,830 5,350 754,140 Oct 1 3/ : 10,700 53,340 64,050 Dec 1 : 2,302,530 504,030 3,538,570 3,040 6,348,160 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 167,830 7,800 21,410 197,040 Aug 1 : 146,510 4,670 20,140 171,320 Oct 1 3/ : 18,730 18,730 Dec1 : 166,880 8,390 32,700 207,970 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, March 1, 1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2000 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 15,200 7,710 26,900 200 50,010 CA : 1,500 1,019 14,435 16,954 LA : 2,600 1,533 2,584 55 6,772 MS : * * * * 8,639 MO : * * * * 3,615 TX : 1,600 977 1,644 14 4,235 Unall* : 6,300 548 5,406 : US : 27,200 11,787 50,969 269 90,225 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,350 128 400 1,878 CA : 1,297 1,297 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 460 12 472 Unall* : 419 504 923 : US : 3,526 128 916 4,570 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 1999 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 12,500 5,812 21,983 45 40,340 CA : 990 697 13,909 15,596 LA : 2,400 1,428 4,931 149 8,908 MS : * * * * 6,280 MO : * * * * 2,918 TX : 1,700 1,069 2,827 612 6,208 Unall* : 4,700 739 3,759 : US : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,528 * * 1,933 CA : 1,028 1,028 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 618 13 12 643 Unall* : 526 159 460 740 : US : 3,700 172 472 4,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 13,872 14,611 * * 15,596 16,954 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 7,457 10,770 * * 64,654 73,271 : US : 57,636 62,743 21,329 25,381 1,285 2,101 80,250 90,225 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 16 37 879 521 31 46 926 604 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,345 2,469 235 237 31 2,611 2,706 : US : 2,361 2,506 1,114 758 62 46 3,537 3,310 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 88 640 14 53 102 693 : Oth Sts 1/: 524 297 92 85 89 185 705 567 : US : 612 937 92 85 103 238 807 1,260 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, December 1, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 27,300 6,640 37,400 25 71,365 CA : * * 24,648 29,294 LA : 7,900 1,566 5,936 19 15,421 MS : * * * * 11,387 MO : * * * * 4,934 TX : 2,777 909 3,843 23 7,552 Unall* : 12,785 1,997 6,185 : US : 50,762 11,112 78,012 67 139,953 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,160 135 290 1,585 CA : 1,271 1,271 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 857 50 16 923 Unall* : 391 415 806 : US : 3,679 185 721 4,585 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 18,600 5,564 32,722 44 56,930 CA : * * 24,208 27,337 LA : 4,500 2,249 8,552 179 15,480 MS : * * * * 8,774 MO : * * * * 4,428 TX : 2,377 1,088 4,556 8 8,029 Unall* : 10,107 1,730 4,494 : US : 35,584 10,631 74,532 231 120,978 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,618 78 313 2,009 CA : 997 997 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 807 50 274 1,131 Unall* : 439 840 1,279 : US : 3,861 128 1,427 5,416 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 24,778 25,551 * * 27,337 29,294 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 9,996 14,050 * * 93,641 110,659 : US : 84,346 96,960 34,774 39,601 1,858 3,392 120,978 139,953 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 22 41 806 535 25 52 853 628 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,958 2,691 807 235 5 11 3,770 2,937 : US : 2,980 2,732 1,613 770 30 63 4,623 3,565 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 121 388 23 255 144 643 : Oth Sts 1/: 541 220 29 64 79 93 649 377 : US : 662 608 29 64 102 348 793 1,020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of March 1, 2000 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2000. Data can be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, millings, are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 28, 2000. 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