Gr Lg 11-3 (8-00) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 28, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Herman Ellison at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up Rough Rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2000 totaled 22.0 million hundredweight (cwt), up 32 percent from the total on August 1, 1999. Stocks held on farms totaled 1.14 million `cwt, accounted for 5 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding 95 percent of the stocks. Long grain varieties accounted for 57 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain 38 percent, and short grain varieties 5 percent. August 1 rice stocks represent carryover from one marketing year to the next in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 3.83 million cwt, up 1 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 2.83 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 998,000 of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/ : Transit :Positions 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 3/ : 27,212 11,787 50,969 269 90,237 Aug 1 : 1,141 5,909 14,899 21 21,970 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,526 128 916 4,570 Aug 1 : 3,129 155 548 3,832 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 3/ : 1,234,320 534,650 2,311,920 12,200 4,093,080 Aug 1 : 51,750 268,030 675,810 950 996,540 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 159,940 5,810 41,550 207,290 Aug 1 : 141,930 7,030 24,860 173,820 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250 Aug 1 : 1,560 5,516 9,432 118 16,626 Oct 1 4/ : 236 1,176 1,412 Dec 1 : 50,762 11,112 78,012 67 139,953 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,700 172 472 4,344 Aug 1 : 3,230 103 444 3,777 Oct 1 4/ : 413 413 Dec 1 : 3,679 185 721 4,585 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,011,060 442,030 2,150,440 36,560 3,640,080 Aug 1 : 70,760 250,200 427,830 5,350 754,140 Oct 1 4/ : 10,700 53,340 64,050 Dec 1 : 2,302,530 504,030 3,538,570 3,040 6,348,160 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 167,830 7,800 21,410 197,040 Aug 1 : 146,510 4,670 20,140 171,320 Oct 1 4/ : 18,730 18,730 Dec1 : 166,880 8,390 32,700 207,970 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ Revised. 4/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2000 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 650 4,315 6,000 10 10,975 CA : 111 397 6,284 6,792 LA : * * * * 1,258 MS : * * * * 1,900 MO : * * * * 545 TX : 100 160 240 500 Unall* : 280 1,037 2,375 11 : US : 1,141 5,909 14,899 21 21,970 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,715 155 365 2,235 CA : 874 874 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 226 12 238 Unall* : 314 171 485 : US : 3,129 155 548 3,832 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 1999 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,000 3,887 3,838 65 8,790 CA : 75 335 3,748 4,158 LA : * * * * 1,153 MS : * * * * 1,390 MO : * * * * 444 TX : 250 267 162 12 691 Unall* : 235 1,027 1,684 41 : US : 1,560 5,516 9,432 118 16,626 : : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,175 103 164 1,442 CA : 680 680 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 825 5 830 Unall* : 550 275 825 : US : 3,230 103 444 3,777 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 3,219 5,477 * * 4,158 6,792 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,818 2,822 * * 12,468 15,178 : US : 10,947 12,511 5,037 8,299 642 1,160 16,626 21,970 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 48 19 475 419 29 30 552 468 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,111 2,141 182 225 102 2,395 2,366 : US : 2,159 2,160 657 644 131 30 2,947 2,834 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 112 342 16 64 128 406 : Oth Sts 1/: 476 310 102 61 124 221 702 592 : US : 588 652 102 61 140 285 830 998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 15,200 7,710 26,900 200 50,010 CA 1/ : 1,512 1,019 14,435 16,966 LA : 2,600 1,533 2,584 55 6,772 MS : * * * * 8,639 MO : * * * * 3,615 TX : 1,600 977 1,644 14 4,235 Unall* : 6,300 548 5,406 : US : 27,212 11,787 50,969 269 90,237 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,350 128 400 1,878 CA : 1,297 1,297 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 460 12 472 Unall* : 419 504 923 : US : 3,526 128 916 4,570 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 12,500 5,812 21,983 45 40,340 CA : 990 697 13,909 15,596 LA : 2,400 1,428 4,931 149 8,908 MS : * * * * 6,280 MO : * * * * 2,918 TX : 1,700 1,069 2,827 612 6,208 Unall* : 4,700 739 3,759 : US : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,528 * * 1,933 CA : 1,028 1,028 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 618 13 12 643 Unall* : 526 159 460 740 : US : 3,700 172 472 4,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA 1/ : * * 13,872 14,611 * * 15,596 16,966 : Oth Sts 2/ : * * 7,457 10,770 * * 64,654 73,271 : US : 57,636 62,755 21,329 25,381 1,285 2,101 80,250 90,237 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 16 37 879 521 31 46 926 604 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,345 2,469 235 237 31 2,611 2,706 : US : 2,361 2,506 1,114 758 62 46 3,537 3,310 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 88 640 14 53 102 693 : Oth Sts 1/: 524 297 92 85 89 185 705 567 : US : 612 937 92 85 103 238 807 1,260 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2000 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2000. Data can be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, millings, are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. on October 30, 2000. 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