Gr Lg 11-3 (8-02) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 28, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up 44 Percent From August 2001 Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2002, totaled 31.8 million hundredweight (cwt), up 44 percent from the total on August 1, 2001. Stocks held on farms totaled 5.18 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 26.6 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 71 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 27 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.93 million cwt, 11 percent above the comparable figure a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.89 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.04 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/ : Transit :Positions 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2002 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 3/ : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508 Aug 1 : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 3/ : 3,689 155 969 4,813 Aug 1 : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,439,020 695,130 3,006,370 8,120 5,148,640 Aug 1 : 234,960 299,330 894,850 13,700 1,442,830 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 3/ : 167,330 7,030 43,950 218,310 Aug 1 : 162,430 3,990 57,200 223,620 Oct 1 4/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 18,715 10,838 53,814 2,653 86,020 Aug 1 : 921 5,178 15,699 220 22,018 Oct 1 4/ : * 953 4,790 * 5,914 Dec 1 : 52,680 13,033 88,127 721 154,561 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,057 129 798 4,984 Aug 1 : 3,896 165 376 4,437 Oct 1 4/ : 859 0 0 859 Dec 1 : 4,640 187 1,080 5,907 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 848,900 491,600 2,440,960 120,340 3,901,800 Aug 1 : 41,780 234,870 712,090 9,980 998,720 Oct 1 4/ : * 43,230 217,270 * 268,250 Dec 1 : 2,389,520 591,170 3,997,370 32,700 7,010,770 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 184,020 5,850 36,200 226,070 Aug 1 : 176,720 7,480 17,060 201,260 Oct 1 4/ : 38,960 0 0 38,960 Dec1 : 210,470 8,480 48,990 267,940 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ Revised. 4/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2002 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 2,960 3,929 9,474 0 16,363 CA : * 902 6,897 * 8,213 LA : * * * 0 * MS : * * 1,315 0 2,156 MO : 700 * * 0 * TX : 200 * 1,106 * 2,210 Unall* : 1,320 1,768 936 302 2,867 : US : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,532 * * 1,790 CA : 733 0 600 1,333 LA : * * * * MS : 134 0 7 141 MO : * 0 0 * TX : 773 0 0 773 Unall* : 409 88 654 893 : US : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2001 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 600 3,510 5,340 220 9,670 CA : 125 565 9,606 0 10,296 LA : * * * 0 * MS : * * * 0 * MO : * * * 0 * TX : 50 270 120 0 440 Unall* : 146 833 633 0 1,612 : US : 921 5,178 15,699 220 22,018 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,489 152 238 1,879 CA : 1,440 0 43 1,483 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 443 0 0 443 Unall* : 524 13 95 632 : US : 3,896 165 376 4,437 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 9,217 7,287 * * 10,296 8,213 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 3,624 1,190 * * 11,722 23,596 : US : 8,305 22,743 12,841 8,477 872 589 22,018 31,809 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 36 36 918 852 82 66 1,036 954 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,251 2,752 289 180 5 6 2,545 2,938 : US : 2,287 2,788 1,207 1,032 87 72 3,581 3,892 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 412 345 35 34 447 379 : Oth Sts 1/: 255 351 72 133 82 175 409 659 : US : 667 696 72 133 117 209 856 1,038 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR 1/ : 18,300 7,590 31,592 62 57,544 CA : 1,125 1,689 21,277 0 24,091 LA : 3,400 * * * 9,931 MS : 4,200 491 2,967 0 7,658 MO : * * * 0 6,502 TX 1/ : * * 3,703 * 7,782 Unall* : 4,700 5,555 6,740 117 : US 1/ : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,591 155 441 2,187 CA : 925 0 0 925 LA : 445 0 462 907 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 606 0 0 606 Unall* : 122 0 66 188 : US : 3,689 155 969 4,813 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2001 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 10,500 6,708 26,400 43,608 CA : 1,810 * 21,269 * 24,356 LA : 1,800 1,406 2,103 77 5,386 MS : * * * * 5,234 MO : * * * * 3,816 TX : 1,105 645 1,845 25 3,620 Unall* : 3,500 2,079 2,197 2,551 : US : 18,715 10,838 53,814 2,653 86,020 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,570 40 290 1,900 CA : 1,393 0 185 1,578 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 499 * * 567 Unall* : 595 89 323 939 : US : 4,057 129 798 4,984 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 21,812 22,212 * * 24,356 24,091 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 10,692 6,303 * * 61,664 89,417 : US : 51,428 83,723 32,504 28,515 2,088 1,270 86,020 113,508 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 43 18 911 424 79 110 1,033 552 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,427 3,204 253 198 5 0 2,685 3,402 : US : 2,470 3,222 1,164 622 84 110 3,718 3,954 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 491 352 0 0 54 21 545 373 : Oth Sts 1/: 544 296 3 139 174 51 721 486 : US : 1,035 648 3 139 228 72 1,266 859 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2002 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2002. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 30, 2002. 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