Gr Lg 11-3 (8-03) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Down 37 Percent From August 2002 Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2003, totaled 20.1 million hundredweight (cwt), down 37 percent from the total on August 1, 2002. Stocks held on farms totaled 1.23 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 18.8 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 58 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 39 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.57 million cwt, 7 percent below the comparable figure a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.34 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.23 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit :Positions 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 Aug 1 : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 Aug 1 : 3,783 54 737 4,574 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,247,610 538,370 2,790,230 76,660 4,652,860 Aug 1 : 55,570 260,770 593,300 770 910,410 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 203,840 4,990 91,760 300,600 Aug 1 : 171,590 2,450 33,430 207,470 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2002 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508 Aug 1 : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809 Oct 1 3/ : * 539 2,899 * 3,488 Dec 1 : 53,220 14,251 88,421 1,178 157,070 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,689 155 969 4,813 Aug 1 : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930 Oct 1 3/ : 726 0 0 726 Dec 1 : 4,814 117 2,550 7,481 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,439,020 695,130 3,006,370 8,120 5,148,640 Aug 1 : 234,960 299,330 894,850 13,700 1,442,830 Oct 1 3/ : * 24,450 131,500 * 158,210 Dec 1 : 2,414,020 646,410 4,010,710 53,430 7,124,580 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 167,330 7,030 43,950 218,310 Aug 1 : 162,430 3,990 57,200 223,620 Oct 1 3/ : 32,930 0 0 32,930 Dec1 : 218,360 5,310 115,670 339,330 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not Published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2003 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 600 4,111 4,816 0 9,527 CA : * 511 6,422 * 7,043 LA : * * * * 709 MS : * * * 0 1,644 MO : * * * 0 570 TX : 250 * * 0 578 Unall* : 375 1,127 1,842 17 : US : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,420 * * 1,545 CA : * 0 * 1,063 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : 647 0 0 647 Unall* : 1,716 54 737 1,319 : US : 3,783 54 737 4,574 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2002 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 2,960 3,929 9,474 0 16,363 CA : * 902 6,897 * 8,213 LA : * * * 0 * MS : * * 1,315 0 2,156 MO : 700 * * 0 * TX : 200 * 1,106 * 2,210 Unall* : 1,320 1,768 936 302 2,867 : US : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,532 * * 1,790 CA : 733 0 600 1,333 LA : * * * * MS : 134 0 7 141 MO : * 0 0 * TX : 773 0 0 773 Unall* : 409 88 654 893 : US : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 7,287 6,257 * * 8,213 7,043 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,190 1,503 * * 23,596 13,028 : US : 22,743 11,673 8,477 7,760 589 638 31,809 20,071 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 36 19 852 287 66 48 954 354 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,752 2,720 180 256 6 12 2,938 2,988 : US : 2,788 2,739 1,032 543 72 60 3,892 3,342 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- :2002 1/ :2003 2/ :2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ : 2003 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 345 * * * 34 * 379 709 : Oth Sts : 351 1,066 133 62 175 104 659 523 : US : 696 1,066 133 62 209 104 1,038 1,232 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ other states included AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ other states included AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 15,600 8,036 29,783 4 53,423 CA : * 1,532 18,640 * 22,241 LA : 2,400 * * * 8,608 MS : 4,800 * 3,215 * 8,566 MO : * * * 0 4,430 TX : 1,600 620 3,090 0 5,310 Unall* : 3,105 1,681 6,786 1,686 0 : US : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,619 110 290 2,019 CA : 1,654 0 430 2,084 LA : 135 0 1,293 1,428 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 952 0 0 952 Unall* : 134 0 10 144 : US : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2002 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 18,300 7,590 31,592 62 57,544 CA : 1,125 1,689 21,277 0 24,091 LA : 3,400 * * * 9,931 MS : 4,200 491 2,967 0 7,658 MO : * * * 0 6,502 TX : * * 3,703 * 7,782 Unall* : 4,700 5,555 6,740 117 0 : US : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,591 155 441 2,187 CA : 925 0 0 925 LA : 445 0 462 907 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 606 0 0 606 Unall* : 122 0 66 188 : US : 3,689 155 969 4,813 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 22,212 20,564 * * 24,091 22,241 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 6,303 4,965 * * 89,417 80,337 : US : 83,723 75,733 28,515 25,529 1,270 1,316 113,508 102,578 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 18 15 424 1,134 110 58 552 1,207 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,204 3,641 198 217 0 1 3,402 3,859 : US : 3,222 3,656 622 1,351 110 59 3,954 5,066 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 352 800 * * 21 77 373 877 : Oth Sts 1/: 296 390 139 146 51 148 486 684 : US : 648 1,190 139 146 72 225 859 1,561 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2003 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2003. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 30, 2003. 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