Gr Lg 11-3 (8-04) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 27, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Rice Stocks call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Down 3 Percent from August 2003 Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2004, totaled 19.5 million hundredweight (cwt), down 3 percent from the total on August 1, 2003. Stocks held on farms totaled 571,000 cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 18.9 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 41 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 56 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 2.95 million cwt, 35 percent below a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 2.25 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 705,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit :Positions 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 Aug 1 : 571 6,085 12,819 40 19,515 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 Aug 1 : 2,591 105 255 2,951 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 831,210 623,920 2,501,560 27,670 3,984,360 Aug 1 : 25,900 276,010 581,460 1,810 885,190 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 205,480 6,620 75,160 287,260 Aug 1 : 117,530 4,760 11,570 133,860 Oct 1 3/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 Aug 1 : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071 Oct 1 3/ : * 314 2,714 * 3,154 Dec 1 : 43,165 13,295 77,989 870 135,319 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 Aug 1 : 3,783 54 737 4,574 Oct 1 3/ : 913 0 2 915 Dec 1 : 4,859 118 1,639 6,616 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,247,610 538,370 2,790,230 76,660 4,652,860 Aug 1 : 55,570 260,770 593,300 770 910,410 Oct 1 3/ : * 14,240 123,100 * 143,060 Dec 1 : 1,957,930 603,050 3,537,520 39,460 6,137,970 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 203,840 4,990 91,760 300,600 Aug 1 : 171,590 2,450 33,430 207,470 Oct 1 3/ : 41,410 0 90 41,500 Dec1 : 220,400 5,350 74,340 300,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not Published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2004 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 400 3,244 3,632 0 7,276 CA : * 1,464 7,793 * 9,422 LA : * * * * 998 MS : * * 689 0 874 MO : * * * 0 560 TX : * * 157 0 385 Unall* : 171 1,377 548 40 : US : 571 6,085 12,819 40 19,515 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,088 * * 1,304 CA : 701 * * 703 LA : * * * * MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : 301 0 0 301 Unall* : 501 105 255 643 : US : 2,591 105 255 2,951 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2003 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 600 4,111 4,816 0 9,527 CA : * 511 6,422 * 7,043 LA : * * * * 709 MS : * * * 0 1,644 MO : * * * 0 570 TX : 250 * * 0 578 Unall* : 375 1,127 1,842 17 : US : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,420 * * 1,545 CA : * 0 * 1,063 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : 647 0 0 647 Unall* : 1,716 54 737 1,319 : US : 3,783 54 737 4,574 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 6,257 8,718 * * 7,043 9,422 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,503 2,169 * * 13,028 10,093 : US : 11,673 8,035 7,760 10,887 638 593 20,071 19,515 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 19 13 287 393 48 76 354 482 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,720 1,609 256 154 12 1 2,988 1,764 : US : 2,739 1,622 543 547 60 77 3,342 2,246 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 201 * * * 20 709 221 : Oth Sts 2/: 1,066 314 62 77 104 93 523 484 : US : 1,066 515 62 77 104 113 1,232 705 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for 2003 and AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX for 2004. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 10,200 7,585 27,000 0 44,785 CA : 1,525 * 18,323 * 22,014 LA : 2,300 * 3,197 * 8,307 MS : 2,500 * * * 5,243 MO : * * * 0 * TX : * * 2,215 0 * Unall* : 1,800 6,170 4,415 610 7,491 : US : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,253 146 159 1,558 CA : 2,238 0 903 3,141 LA : 288 0 509 797 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 608 0 0 608 Unall* : 143 0 86 229 : US : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2003 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 15,600 8,036 29,783 4 53,423 CA : * 1,532 18,640 * 22,241 LA : 2,400 * * * 8,608 MS : 4,800 * 3,215 * 8,566 MO : * * * 0 4,430 TX : 1,600 620 3,090 0 5,310 Unall* : 3,105 1,681 6,786 1,686 : US : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,619 110 290 2,019 CA : 1,654 0 430 2,084 LA : 135 0 1,293 1,428 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 952 0 0 952 Unall* : 134 0 10 144 : US : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 20,564 20,111 * * 22,241 22,014 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 4,965 6,451 * * 80,337 65,826 : US : 75,733 59,671 25,529 26,562 1,316 1,607 102,578 87,840 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 15 26 1,134 1,997 58 121 1,207 2,144 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,641 2,656 217 197 1 1 3,859 2,854 : US : 3,656 2,682 1,351 2,194 59 122 5,066 4,998 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 800 965 * * 77 32 877 997 : Oth Sts 1/: 390 234 146 22 148 82 684 338 : US : 1,190 1,199 146 22 225 114 1,561 1,335 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2004 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2004. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next Rice Stocks report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 29, 2004. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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