Gr Lg 11-3 (8-05) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 30, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Rice Stocks call Dennis Koong at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks up 62 Percent from August 2004 Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2005, totaled 31.6 million hundredweight (cwt), up 62 percent from the total on August 1, 2004. Stocks held on farms totaled 2.82 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 28.8 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 60 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 37 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.30 million cwt, 46 percent above a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.49 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 811,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit :Positions 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 37,590 12,690 67,910 566 118,756 Aug 1 : 2,815 7,301 19,386 2,105 31,607 Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 3,320 52 2,047 5,419 Aug 1 : 3,481 60 759 4,300 Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,705,050 575,610 3,080,350 25,670 5,386,680 Aug 1 : 127,690 331,170 879,330 95,480 1,433,670 Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 150,590 2,360 92,850 245,800 Aug 1 : 157,900 2,720 34,430 195,040 Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 Aug 1 : 571 6,085 12,819 40 19,515 Oct 1 2/ : 30 1,231 3,539 0 4,800 Dec 1 : 57,545 15,232 92,534 1,349 166,660 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 Aug 1 : 2,591 105 255 2,951 Oct 1 2/ : * * * 541 Dec 1 : 3,379 48 1,214 4,641 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 831,210 623,920 2,501,560 27,670 3,984,360 Aug 1 : 25,900 276,010 581,460 1,810 885,190 Oct 1 2/ : 1,360 55,840 160,530 0 217,720 Dec 1 : 2,610,200 690,910 4,197,270 61,190 7,559,570 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 205,480 6,620 75,160 287,260 Aug 1 : 117,530 4,760 11,570 133,860 Oct 1 2/ : * * * 24,540 Dec 1 : 153,270 2,180 55,070 210,510 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not Published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Total may not add due to rounding. 2/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2005 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 1,330 4,561 7,099 1,614 14,604 CA : * 1,092 9,154 * 10,480 LA : * * * * 2,454 MS : * * * * 1,155 MO : * * * * 1,505 TX : * * 737 0 1,409 Unall* : 1,485 1,648 2,396 491 0 : US : 2,815 7,301 19,386 2,105 31,607 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,390 * * 1,794 CA : * 0 * 1,113 LA : * 0 * * MS : * * * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : * 0 0 * Unall* : 2,091 60 759 1,393 : US : 3,481 60 759 4,300 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : August 1, 2004 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 400 3,244 3,632 0 7,276 CA : * 1,464 7,793 * 9,422 LA : * * * * 998 MS : * * 689 0 874 MO : * * * 0 560 TX : * * 157 0 385 Unall* : 171 1,377 548 40 0 : US : 571 6,085 12,819 40 19,515 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,088 * * 1,304 CA : 701 * * 703 LA : * * * * MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : 301 0 0 301 Unall* : 501 105 255 643 : US : 2,591 105 255 2,951 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 8,718 9,488 * * 9,422 10,480 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 2,169 2,303 * * 10,093 21,127 : US : 8,035 18,996 10,887 11,791 593 820 19,515 31,607 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 13 11 393 669 76 46 482 726 : Oth Sts 1/: 1,609 2,618 154 135 1 10 1,764 2,763 : US : 1,622 2,629 547 804 77 56 2,246 3,489 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 201 * * * 20 * 221 * : Oth Sts 2/: 314 619 77 40 93 152 484 811 : US : 515 619 77 40 113 152 705 811 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX for 2004 and AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for 2005. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 22,615 8,170 28,729 179 59,693 CA : * 2,232 26,862 * 31,434 LA : 4,750 940 * * 10,127 MS : 4,600 * * 0 6,802 MO : * * * * 4,325 TX : 1,380 665 4,288 42 6,375 Unall* : 4,245 683 8,031 345 0 : US : 37,590 12,690 67,910 566 118,756 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,303 * * 1,515 CA : 735 0 1,396 2,131 LA : * 0 * * MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 0 * TX : 807 * * 867 Unall* : 475 52 651 906 : US : 3,320 52 2,047 5,419 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2004 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 10,200 7,585 27,000 0 44,785 CA : 1,525 * 18,323 * 22,014 LA : 2,300 * 3,197 * 8,307 MS : 2,500 * * * 5,243 MO : * * * 0 * TX : * * 2,215 0 * Unall* : 1,800 6,170 4,415 610 7,491 : US : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,253 146 159 1,558 CA : 2,238 0 903 3,141 LA : 288 0 509 797 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 608 0 0 608 Unall* : 143 0 86 229 : US : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 20,111 29,102 * * 22,014 31,434 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 6,451 7,659 * * 65,826 87,322 : US : 59,671 79,967 26,562 36,761 1,607 2,028 87,840 118,756 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 26 6 1,997 1,724 121 65 2,144 1,795 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,656 2,790 197 201 1 4 2,854 2,995 : US : 2,682 2,796 2,194 1,925 122 69 4,998 4,790 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 965 311 * * 32 25 997 336 : Oth Sts 1/: 234 201 22 28 82 64 338 293 : US : 1,199 512 22 28 114 89 1,335 629 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2005 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2005. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next Rice Stocks report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 28, 2005. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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