Gr Lg 11-3 (8-06) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 30, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Dennis Koong at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up 18 Percent From August 2005 Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2006, totaled 37 million hundredweight (cwt), up 18 percent from the total on August 1, 2005. Stocks held on farms totaled 1.55 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 35.9 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for nearly 77 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 21 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 3.94 million cwt, 8 percent below a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.33 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 616,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice: Stocks by Position, Month, United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Domestic Units :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 37,590 81,193 118,783 30,865 80,416 111,281 Aug 1 : 2,815 28,822 31,637 1,553 35,825 37,378 Oct 1 2/ : * * 5,055 Dec 1 : 58,630 101,518 160,148 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 5,419 5,419 4,572 4,572 Aug 1 : 4,300 4,300 3,944 3,944 Oct 1 2/ : 848 848 Dec 1 : 5,940 5,940 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Units 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,705,050 3,682,850 5,387,910 1,400,010 3,647,610 5,047,620 Aug 1 : 127,690 1,307,340 1,435,030 70,440 1,624,990 1,695,440 Oct 1 2/ : * * 229,290 Dec 1 : 2,659,410 4,604,780 7,264,190 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 245,800 245,800 207,380 207,380 Aug 1 : 195,040 195,040 178,900 178,900 Oct 1 2/ : 38,460 38,460 Dec 1 : 269,430 269,430 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ CA only. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, August 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,330 13,304 14,634 950 19,492 20,442 CA : * * 10,480 150 7,774 7,924 LA : * * 2,454 200 3,246 3,446 MS : * * 1,155 * * 1,216 MO : * * 1,505 * * 1,456 TX : * * 1,409 * * 2,894 Unall* : 1,485 15,518 253 5,313 : US : 2,815 28,822 31,637 1,553 35,825 37,378 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,794 1,794 1,676 1,676 CA : * * 642 642 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : * * 739 739 Unall* : 2,506 2,506 887 887 : US : 4,300 4,300 3,944 3,944 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 9,488 6,786 * * 10,480 7,924 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 2,303 1,226 * * 21,157 29,454 : US : 19,026 28,571 11,791 8,012 820 795 31,637 37,378 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 11 10 669 * 46 * 726 349 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,618 2,870 135 395 10 53 2,763 2,979 : US : 2,629 2,880 804 395 56 53 3,489 3,328 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * * * * * * 293 : Oth Sts 2/: 619 235 40 84 152 297 811 323 : US : 619 235 40 84 152 297 811 616 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX for long grain and total and AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for medium and short grain. 2/ AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for second heads, screenings, and brewers. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 22,615 37,078 59,693 18,200 43,691 61,891 CA : * * 31,434 1,425 19,770 21,195 LA : * * 10,127 3,500 6,298 9,798 MS : * * 6,802 * * 5,752 MO : * * 4,352 * * 5,320 TX : 1,380 4,995 6,375 2,400 4,925 7,325 Unall* : 13,595 39,120 5,340 5,732 : US : 37,590 81,193 118,783 30,865 80,416 111,281 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,515 1,515 1,809 1,809 CA : 2,131 2,131 1,196 1,196 LA : * * 595 595 MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 867 867 718 718 Unall* : 906 906 254 254 : US : 5,419 5,419 4,572 4,572 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 426 29,102 18,896 * 1,873 31,434 21,195 : Oth Sts 1/ : * 85,682 7,659 4,403 * 1 87,349 90,086 : US : 79,994 86,108 36,761 23,299 2,028 1,874 118,783 111,281 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 6 9 1,724 952 65 48 1,795 1,009 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,790 2,543 201 184 4 5 2,995 2,732 : US : 2,796 2,552 1,925 1,136 69 53 4,790 3,741 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 311 136 * * 25 51 336 187 : Oth Sts 1/: 201 234 28 162 64 248 293 644 : US : 512 370 28 162 89 299 629 831 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2006 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2006. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next Rice Stocks report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 27, 2006. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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