Gr Lg 11-3 (3-07) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 30, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Dennis Koong at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Down 6 Percent From March 2006 Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2007, totaled 104 million hundredweight (cwt), down 6 percent from the total on March 1, 2006. Stocks held on farms totaled 28.0 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 76.1 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 73 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 25 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.56 million cwt, down less than 1 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.34 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.22 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, Month, United States, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Domestic Units :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 30,865 80,416 111,281 28,015 76,145 104,160 Aug 1 : 1,553 35,825 37,378 Oct 1 2/ : 25 3,651 3,676 Dec 1 : 52,420 97,706 150,126 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,572 4,572 4,560 4,560 Aug 1 : 3,944 3,944 Oct 1 2/ : 768 768 Dec 1 : 4,004 4,004 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Units 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,400,010 3,647,610 5,047,620 1,270,740 3,453,880 4,724,620 Aug 1 : 70,440 1,624,990 1,695,440 Oct 1 2/ : 1,130 165,610 166,740 Dec 1 : 2,377,730 4,431,870 6,809,600 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 207,380 207,380 206,840 206,840 Aug 1 : 178,900 178,900 Oct 1 2/ : 34,840 34,840 Dec 1 : 181,620 181,620 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ CA only. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 18,200 43,691 61,891 16,000 40,256 56,256 CA : 1,425 19,770 21,195 1,515 22,614 24,129 LA : 3,500 6,298 9,798 3,800 4,924 8,724 MS : * * 5,752 * * 4,817 MO : * * 5,320 * * 4,545 TX : 2,400 4,925 7,325 1,300 4,389 5,689 Unall* : 5,340 5,732 5,400 3,962 : US : 30,865 80,416 111,281 28,015 76,145 104,160 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,809 1,809 1,291 1,291 CA : 1,196 1,196 1,671 1,671 LA : 595 595 696 696 MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 718 718 644 644 Unall* : 254 254 258 258 : US : 4,572 4,572 4,560 4,560 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 426 * 18,896 21,699 1,873 * 21,195 24,129 : Oth Sts 1/ : 85,682 * 4,403 4,158 1 * 90,086 80,031 : US : 86,108 76,127 23,299 25,857 1,874 2,176 111,281 104,160 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 9 * 952 653 48 * 1,009 754 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,543 * 184 139 5 * 2,732 2,590 : US : 2,552 2,454 1,136 792 53 98 3,741 3,344 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 136 * * * 51 * 187 917 : Oth Sts 2/: 234 562 162 * 248 * 644 299 : US : 370 562 162 * 299 * 831 1,216 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Includes AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for 2007 second heads and brewers. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, December 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 32,500 50,912 83,412 28,600 46,472 75,072 CA : 2,630 27,765 30,395 2,620 33,052 35,672 LA : 9,000 9,890 18,890 7,800 7,080 14,880 MS : * * 9,111 * * 7,357 MO : * * 7,725 * * 8,801 TX : 4,000 6,615 10,615 2,000 6,344 8,344 Unall* : 10,500 6,336 11,400 4,758 : US : 58,630 101,518 160,148 52,420 97,706 150,126 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 2,165 2,165 1,717 1,717 CA : * * 847 847 LA : 680 680 444 444 MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,455 1,455 * * Unall* : 1,640 1,640 996 996 : US : 5,940 5,940 4,004 4,004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 26,934 31,612 * * 30,395 35,672 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 5,868 5,613 * * 129,753 114,454 : US :124,485 109,301 32,802 37,225 2,861 3,600 160,148 150,126 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 7 10 969 566 73 54 1,049 630 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,298 2,793 278 87 2 1 3,578 2,881 : US : 3,305 2,803 1,247 653 75 55 4,627 3,511 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * * * * * * * : Oth Sts 2/: 795 240 198 90 320 163 1,313 493 : US : 795 240 198 90 320 163 1,313 493 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of March 1, 2007 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2007. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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