Gr Lg 11-3 (3-08) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Anthony Prillaman at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Down Less Than 1 Percent From March 2007 Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2008, totaled 104 million hundredweight (cwt), down less than 1 percent from the total on March 1, 2007. Stocks held on farms totaled 22.9 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 81.2 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 66 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 31 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 5.60 million cwt, up 23 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 4.35 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.25 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, Month, United States, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Domestic Units :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 28,015 76,145 104,160 22,923 81,199 104,122 Aug 1 : 1,220 33,713 34,933 Oct 1 2/ : 25 2,970 2,995 Dec 1 : 48,250 102,815 151,065 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,560 4,560 5,604 5,604 Aug 1 : 3,111 3,111 Oct 1 2/ : 651 651 Dec 1 : 5,269 5,269 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Units 3/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,270,740 3,453,880 4,724,620 1,039,770 3,683,120 4,722,890 Aug 1 : 55,340 1,529,200 1,584,530 Oct 1 2/ : 1,130 134,720 135,850 Dec 1 : 2,188,580 4,663,610 6,852,190 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 206,840 206,840 254,190 254,190 Aug 1 : 141,110 141,110 Oct 1 2/ : 29,530 29,530 Dec 1 : 239,000 239,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ CA only. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 16,000 40,256 56,256 13,800 42,317 56,117 CA : 1,515 22,614 24,129 1,785 25,738 27,523 LA : 3,800 4,924 8,724 2,350 4,820 7,170 MS : * * 4,817 * * 3,787 MO : * * 4,545 * * 4,591 TX : 1,300 4,389 5,689 888 4,046 4,934 Unall* : 5,400 3,962 4,100 4,278 : US : 28,015 76,145 104,160 22,923 81,199 104,122 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,291 1,291 1,916 1,916 CA : 1,671 1,671 2,012 2,012 LA : 696 696 * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 644 644 * * Unall* : 258 258 1,676 1,676 : US : 4,560 4,560 5,604 5,604 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * "Unallocated" includes State data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 21,699 24,255 * * 24,129 27,523 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 4,158 8,329 * * 80,031 76,599 : US : 76,127 68,783 25,857 32,584 2,176 2,755 104,160 104,122 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 653 1,587 * * 754 1,664 : Oth Sts 1/: * * 139 148 * * 2,590 2,686 : US : 2,454 2,546 792 1,735 98 69 3,344 4,350 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * * * * * 917 348 : Oth Sts 1/: * * * * * * 299 906 : US : 562 852 * 163 * 239 1,216 1,254 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 28,600 46,472 75,072 25,000 50,331 75,331 CA : 2,620 33,052 35,672 2,830 35,359 38,189 LA : 7,800 7,080 14,880 9,050 6,991 16,041 MS : * * 7,357 * * 6,937 MO : * * 8,801 * * 6,066 TX : 2,000 6,344 8,344 * * 8,501 Unall* : 11,400 4,758 11,370 10,134 : US : 52,420 97,706 150,126 48,250 102,815 151,065 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,717 1,717 1,559 1,559 CA : 847 847 1,565 1,565 LA : 444 444 * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : * * * * Unall* : 996 996 2,145 2,145 : US : 4,004 4,004 5,269 5,269 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * "Unallocated" includes State data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 31,612 33,820 * * 35,672 38,189 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 5,613 9,700 * * 114,454 112,876 : US :109,301 103,620 37,225 43,520 3,600 3,925 150,126 151,065 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 10 * 566 880 54 * 630 986 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,793 2,638 87 78 1 92 2,881 2,702 : US : 2,803 2,638 653 958 55 92 3,511 3,688 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * * * * * * 579 : Oth Sts 2/: 240 853 90 195 163 533 493 1,002 : US : 240 853 90 195 163 533 493 1,581 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX for long grain in 2006, short grain in 2006, medium grain, and total. AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for long grain in 2007 and short grain in 2007. 2/ AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX for second heads, screenings, and brewers. AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX for total in 2007. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of March 1, 2008 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2008. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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