Gr Lg 11-3 (8-08) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 29, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Anthony Prillaman at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. August 1 Rough Rice Stocks Down 54 Percent from June Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2008, totaled 24.4 million hundredweight (cwt). Stocks held on farms totaled 395,000 cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 24.0 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 66 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 30 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 4 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 3.58 million cwt. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 2.63 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 943,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, Month, United States, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Domestic Units :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 28,015 76,145 104,160 22,923 81,623 104,546 Jun 1 2/ : 6,095 47,323 53,418 Aug 1 : 1,220 33,713 34,933 395 23,981 24,376 Oct 1 3/ : 25 2,970 2,995 Dec 1 : 48,250 102,815 151,065 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,560 4,560 5,604 5,604 Jun 1 2/ : 4,373 4,373 Aug 1 : 3,111 3,111 3,575 3,575 Oct 1 3/ : 651 651 Dec 1 : 5,269 5,269 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Units 4/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,270,740 3,453,880 4,724,620 1,039,770 3,702,360 4,742,130 Jun 1 2/ : 276,465 2,146,535 2,423,000 Aug 1 : 55,340 1,529,200 1,584,530 17,920 1,087,760 1,105,680 Oct 1 3/ : 1,130 134,720 135,850 Dec 1 : 2,188,580 4,663,610 6,852,190 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 206,840 206,840 254,190 254,190 Jun 1 2/ : 198,356 198,356 Aug 1 : 141,110 141,110 162,160 162,160 Oct 1 3/ : 29,530 29,530 Dec 1 : 239,000 239,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Estimates began in 2008. 3/ CA only. 4/ Total may not add due to rounding. Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, August 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions : Farms : Farms 1/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 420 21,091 21,511 210 14,730 14,940 CA : 115 7,292 7,407 * * 5,746 LA : 150 1,636 1,786 * * 460 MS : * * 380 * * 542 MO : * * 1,095 * * 829 TX : * * 2,754 * * 1,859 Unall* : 535 3,694 185 9,251 : US : 1,220 33,713 34,933 395 23,981 24,376 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,225 1,225 1,452 1,452 CA : 591 591 * * LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : * * 762 762 Unall* : 1,295 1,295 1,361 1,361 : US : 3,111 3,111 3,575 3,575 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 6,450 4,409 * * 7,407 5,746 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,922 2,787 * * 27,526 18,630 : US : 25,738 16,101 8,372 7,196 823 1,079 34,933 24,376 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 4 369 353 * 56 420 413 : Oth Sts 1/: * 2,061 167 155 * 3 2,153 2,219 : US : 1,989 2,065 536 508 48 59 2,573 2,632 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * * * * * 171 * : Oth Sts 1/: * * * * * * 367 * : US : 307 488 81 206 150 249 538 943 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA Rice: Stocks by Position, State, and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total All : On : Off : Total All : Farms : Farms : Positions : Farms : Farms 2/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 4,400 28,014 32,414 CA : * * 13,484 LA : 550 1,646 2,196 MS : * * 969 MO : * * 1,877 TX : * * 2,478 Unall* : 1,145 17,663 : US : 6,095 47,323 53,418 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,573 1,573 CA : 1,343 1,343 LA : * * MS : * * MO : * * TX : 643 643 Unall* : 814 814 : US : 4,373 4,373 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * "Unallocated" includes State data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 1/ Estimates began in 2008. 2/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. Rough Rice: Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * 11,579 * 13,484 : Oth Sts 2/ : * 4,705 * 39,934 : US : 35,580 16,284 1,554 53,418 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Estimates began in 2008. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice: Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, June 1, 2007-2008 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 3 707 72 782 : Oth Sts 2/: 2,012 143 6 2,161 : US : 2,015 850 78 2,943 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 371 * 190 561 : Oth Sts 2/: 535 * 189 869 : US : 906 145 379 1,430 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Estimates began in 2008. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of August 1, 2008 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2008. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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