Rice Stocks ISSN: 1949-1603 Released September 30, 2010, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Special Note This publication represents the first September 1 rice stocks estimates made by the National Agricultural Statistics Service. Rough Rice Stocks Down 37 Percent from August Rough rice stocks in all positions on September 1, 2010 totaled 19.1 million hundredweight (cwt), down 37 percent from the total on August 1, 2010. Stocks held on farms totaled 788,000 cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 18.3 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 60 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 34 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 6 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.03 million cwt, down 8 percent from last month. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 2.96 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.07 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks by Position and Month - United States: 2009 and 2010 (Domestic Units) [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice : March 1 .....: 21,286 70,042 91,328 23,465 80,516 103,981 June 1 ......: 6,920 41,446 48,366 6,310 51,098 57,408 August 1 ....: 876 23,787 24,663 1,200 29,176 30,376 September 1 2: (NA) (NA) (NA) 788 18,316 19,104 October 1 3/ : (D) (D) 1,832 December 1 ..: 51,880 104,726 156,606 : Milled rice : March 1 .....: (X) 4,732 4,732 (X) 4,895 4,895 June 1 ......: (X) 5,724 5,724 (X) 4,520 4,520 August 1 ....: (X) 4,077 4,077 (X) 4,380 4,380 September 1 2: (X) (NA) (NA) (X) 4,026 4,026 October 1 3/ : (X) 1,483 1,483 December 1 ..: (X) 5,679 5,679 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Estimates began in 2010. 3/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position and Month - United States: 2009 and 2010 (Metric Units) [Data may not add to totals due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice : March 1 .....: 965,520 3,177,050 4,142,570 1,064,350 3,652,140 4,716,500 June 1 ......: 313,890 1,879,960 2,193,850 286,220 2,317,770 2,603,980 August 1 ....: 39,730 1,078,960 1,118,690 54,430 1,323,400 1,377,830 September 1 2: (NA) (NA) (NA) 35,740 830,800 866,540 October 1 3/ : (D) (D) 83,100 December 1 ..: 2,353,240 4,750,290 7,103,530 : Milled rice : March 1 .....: (X) 214,640 214,640 (X) 222,030 222,030 June 1 ......: (X) 259,640 259,640 (X) 205,020 205,020 August 1 ....: (X) 184,930 184,930 (X) 198,670 198,670 September 1 2: (X) (NA) (NA) (X) 182,620 182,620 October 1 3/ : (X) 67,270 67,270 December 1 ..: (X) 257,600 257,600 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Estimates began in 2010. 3/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: September 1, 2009 and 2010 [September estimates began in 2010] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2009 : 2010 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice : Arkansas .....: NA NA NA 410 9,090 9,500 California ...: NA NA NA 78 6,047 6,125 Louisiana ....: NA NA NA (D) (D) 788 Mississippi ..: NA NA NA (D) (D) 75 Missouri .....: NA NA NA (D) (D) 521 Texas ........: NA NA NA (D) (D) 2,095 : Unallocated 2/: NA NA NA 300 3,179 : United States : NA NA NA 788 18,316 19,104 : Milled rice : Arkansas .....: NA NA NA (X) 1,981 1,981 California ...: NA NA NA (X) 923 923 Louisiana ....: NA NA NA (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ..: NA NA NA (X) (D) (D) Missouri .....: NA NA NA (X) (D) (D) Texas ........: NA NA NA (X) 748 748 : Unallocated 2/: NA NA NA (X) 374 374 : United States : NA NA NA (X) 4,026 4,026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: September 1, 2009 and 2010 [September estimates began in 2010] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: NA 163 NA 4,772 NA 1,190 NA 6,125 : Other States 1/ : NA 11,193 NA 1,781 NA 5 NA 12,979 : United States ..: NA 11,356 NA 6,553 NA 1,195 NA 19,104 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: September 1, 2009 and 2010 [September estimates began in 2010] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: NA (D) NA 407 NA (D) NA 474 : Other States 1/ : NA (D) NA 162 NA (D) NA 2,481 : United States ..: NA 2,325 NA 569 NA 61 NA 2,955 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: NA (D) NA - NA (D) NA 449 : Other States 1/ : NA (D) NA 106 NA (D) NA 622 : United States ..: NA 543 NA 106 NA 422 NA 1,071 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: August 1, 2009 and 2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2009 : 2010 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice : Arkansas .....: 550 12,672 13,222 610 15,913 16,523 California ...: (D) (D) 5,987 125 7,795 7,920 Louisiana ....: (D) (D) 954 200 1,757 1,957 Mississippi ..: (D) (D) 955 (D) (D) (D) Missouri .....: (D) (D) 837 (D) (D) (D) Texas ........: (D) (D) 2,708 (D) (D) 2,387 : Unallocated 2/: 326 11,115 265 3,711 1,589 : United States : 876 23,787 24,663 1,200 29,176 30,376 : Milled rice : Arkansas .....: (X) 1,318 1,318 (X) 1,681 1,681 California ...: (X) 1,750 1,750 (X) 874 874 Louisiana ....: (X) (D) (D) (X) 684 684 Mississippi ..: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas ........: (X) (D) (D) (X) 785 785 : Unallocated 2/: (X) 1,009 1,009 (X) 356 356 : United States : (X) 4,077 4,077 (X) 4,380 4,380 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: August 1, 2009 and 2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) 183 4,671 6,424 (D) 1,313 5,987 7,920 : Other States 1/ : (D) 19,349 1,422 3,103 (D) 4 18,676 22,456 : United States ..: 17,698 19,532 6,093 9,527 872 1,317 24,663 30,376 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: August 1, 2009 and 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 541 516 (D) (D) 592 579 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 148 283 (D) (D) 1,806 2,791 : United States ..: 1,658 2,511 689 799 51 60 2,398 3,370 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 : 2009 : 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: 1,112 253 - - 46 42 1,158 295 : Other States 1/ : 353 417 3 93 165 205 521 715 : United States ..: 1,465 670 3 93 211 247 1,679 1,010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of September. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the United States have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of September 1, 2010 regardless of ownership. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimating Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 Rice Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch........................... (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section................ (202) 720-2127 Suzanne Avilla - Peanuts, Rice........................ (202) 720-7688 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum...... (202) 720-5944 Bryan Durham - Hay, Oats.............................. (202) 690-3234 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed...... (202) 720-9526 Nick Schauer - Wheat, Rye............................. (202) 720-8068 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops..... (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.. 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