Pou 3 (10-09) Turkey Hatchery National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 15, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Turkey Hatchery" call Doug Bounds at (202) 690-3237, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Eggs in Incubators on October 1 Down 10 Percent from Last Year Turkey eggs in incubators on October 1, 2009, in the United States totaled 26.0 million, down 10 percent from October 1, 2008. Eggs in incubators were down 2 percent from the September 1, 2009 total of 26.4 million eggs. Regional changes from the previous year were: East North Central down 5 percent, West North Central up 2 percent, North and South Atlantic down 24 percent, and South Central and West down 6 percent. Poults Hatched During September Down 7 Percent from Last Year Turkey poults hatched during September 2009, in the United States totaled 22.0 million, down 7 percent from September 2008. Poults hatched were down 5 percent from August 2009 total of 23.3 million poults. Regional changes from the previous year were: East North Central down 7 percent, West North Central down 1 percent, North and South Atlantic down 19 percent, and South Central and West up 9 percent. Net Poults Placed During September Down 7 Percent from Last Year The 21.0 million net poults placed during September 2009 in the United States were down 7 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier. Net placements were down 7 percent from the August 2009 total of 22.7 million. Eggs in Incubators: First of Month by Region and United States, October 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :Percent of:Percent of : Oct 1 : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : Previous : Previous Region : 2008 : 2009 1/ : 2009 : Year : Month -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ --- Percent -- : E N Central : 4,059 4,127 3,849 95 93 W N Central : 11,185 11,380 11,456 102 101 N & S Atlantic 2/ : 10,997 7,847 8,361 76 107 S Central & West 2/: 2,438 3,012 2,284 94 76 : US : 28,679 26,366 25,950 90 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Regions combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Poults Hatched: Entire Month by Region and United States, September 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :Percent of:Percent of : Sep : Aug : Sep : Previous : Previous Region : 2008 : 2009 1/ : 2009 : Year : Month -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ --- Percent -- : E N Central : 3,919 3,375 3,663 93 109 W N Central : 9,638 9,578 9,554 99 100 N & S Atlantic 2/ : 8,019 7,300 6,486 81 89 S Central & West 2/: 2,143 3,051 2,342 109 77 : US : 23,719 23,304 22,045 93 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Regions combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Net Poult Placements: By Month, United States, 2008-2010 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total All : Percent : Cumulative : Percent : Breeds : of : Total : of Month :-------------------------:Previous :-------------------------:Previous : 2008-09 : 2009-10 : Year : 2008-09 : 2009-10 : Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 ------ Percent ------- 1,000 ------ Percent : Sep : 22,515 21,007 93 22,515 21,007 93 Oct : 22,165 44,680 Nov : 20,702 65,382 Dec : 23,179 88,561 Jan : 24,131 112,692 Feb : 22,079 134,771 Mar : 23,817 158,588 Apr : 23,988 182,576 May : 22,975 205,551 Jun : 24,107 229,658 Jul : 24,989 254,647 Aug 2/ : 22,674 277,321 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes imports and excludes exports. 2/ Revised 2009 data only. Regional Listing: North Atlantic: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. East North Central: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI. West North Central: IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD. South Atlantic: DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV. South Central: AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. Reliability of Turkey Hatchery Estimates Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS field offices maintain a list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their lists. Approximately 40 hatcheries are contacted each month. All known turkey hatcheries are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as possible and given adequate time to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting (EDR). Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to State, regional, and U.S. totals. Only regional and U.S. level estimates are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult Placement data includes imported poults and excludes exported poults. Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August 31 are shown in the monthly "Turkey Hatchery" report. This time period corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be available for slaughter during the calendar year. States reporting turkey hatcheries are: Arkansas, California, Florida, Indiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly "Turkey Hatchery" report, while annual revisions are published in the "Hatchery Production - Annual Summary" report in May. Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the first day of the month over the past 24 months is 0.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 26.0 million eggs by more than 0.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.9 percent. Reliability of U.S. October Turkey Hatchery Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between :Number of Months : Root : 90 Percent : First and Latest :---------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest:Latest : Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Percent Percent 1,000 ------- 1,000 ------ Number : Eggs In : Incubators : 0.5 0.9 234 96 0 442 9 11 : Poults Hatched : 0.4 0.6 137 59 0 236 10 9 : Net Poult : Placements : 0.9 1.6 326 168 5 570 15 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/Based on data for the past 24 months. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch.................................(202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section..........(202) 720-4447 David Colwell - Cold Storage.....................................(202) 720-8784 Doug Bounds - Poultry Slaughter, Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised.(202) 690-3237 Chris Hawthorn - Catfish Processing, Catfish Production, Trout Production, Census of Aquaculture, Egg Products, Mink............(202) 720-0585 Kim Linonis - Layers, Eggs.......................................(202) 690-8632 Troy Marshall - Broiler Hatchery, Chicken Hatchery, Honey........(202) 720-3244 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or State. Follow the instructions on the screen. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6880 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or a part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.