Pou 3 (4-10) Turkey Hatchery Washington, D.C. Released April 15, 2010, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Turkey Hatchery" call Doug Bounds at (202) 690-3237, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Eggs in Incubators on April 1 Down 5 Percent from Last Year Turkey eggs in incubators on April 1, 2010, in the United States totaled 28.3 million, down 5 percent from April 1, 2009. Eggs in incubators were up 6 percent from the March 1, 2010 total of 26.8 million eggs. Regional changes from the previous year were: East North Central unchanged, West North Central up slightly, North and South Atlantic down 8 percent, and South Central and West down 15 percent. Poults Hatched During March Down 5 Percent from Last Year Turkey poults hatched during March 2010, in the United States totaled 23.4 million, down 5 percent from March 2009. Poults hatched were up 9 percent from the February 2010 total of 21.4 million poults. Regional changes from the previous year were: East North Central down 6 percent, West North Central up 1 percent, North and South Atlantic down 7 percent, and South Central and West down 22 percent. Net Poults Placed During March Down 4 Percent from Last Year The 23.0 million net poults placed during March 2010 in the United States were down 4 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier. Net placements were up 9 percent from the February 2010 total of 21.0 million. Eggs in Incubators: First of Month by Region and United States, April 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :Percent of:Percent of : Apr 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : Previous : Previous Region : 2009 : 2010 1/ : 2010 : Year : Month -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ --- Percent -- : E N Central : 4,527 4,231 4,527 100 107 W N Central : 11,257 11,781 11,290 100 96 N & S Atlantic 2/ : 10,346 8,574 9,491 92 111 S Central & West 2/: 3,529 2,237 2,997 85 134 : US : 29,659 26,823 28,305 95 106 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Regions combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Poults Hatched: Entire Month by Region and United States, March 2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :Percent of:Percent of : Mar : Feb : Mar : Previous : Previous Region : 2009 : 2010 1/ : 2010 : Year : Month -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ --- Percent -- : E N Central : 3,872 3,118 3,648 94 117 W N Central : 9,800 9,418 9,927 101 105 N & S Atlantic 2/ : 8,539 7,055 7,975 93 113 S Central & West 2/: 2,300 1,800 1,801 78 100 : US : 24,511 21,391 23,351 95 109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Regions combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Net Poult Placements: By Month, United States, 2008-2010 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total All : Percent : Cumulative : Percent : Breeds : of : Total : of Month :-------------------------:Previous :-------------------------:Previous : 2008-2009 : 2009-2010 : Year : 2008-2009 : 2009-2010 : Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 ------ Percent ------- 1,000 ------ Percent : Sep : 22,515 20,843 93 22,515 20,843 93 Oct : 22,165 21,245 96 44,680 42,088 94 Nov : 20,702 21,061 102 65,382 63,149 97 Dec : 23,179 22,004 95 88,561 85,153 96 Jan : 24,131 21,833 90 112,692 106,986 95 Feb2/ : 22,079 21,005 95 134,771 127,991 95 Mar : 23,817 22,961 96 158,588 150,952 95 Apr : 23,988 182,576 May : 22,975 205,551 Jun : 24,107 229,658 Jul : 24,989 254,647 Aug : 22,674 277,321 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes imports and excludes exports. 2/ Revised 2010 data only. Regional Listing: North Atlantic: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. East North Central: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI. West North Central: IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD. South Atlantic: DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV. South Central: AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. Reliability of Turkey Hatchery Estimates Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS field offices maintain a list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their lists. Approximately 40 hatcheries are contacted each month. All known turkey hatcheries are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as possible and given adequate time to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting (EDR). Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to State, regional, and U.S. totals. Only regional and U.S. level estimates are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult Placement data includes imported poults and excludes exported poults. Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August 31 are shown in the monthly "Turkey Hatchery" report. This time period corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be available for slaughter during the calendar year. States reporting turkey hatcheries are: Arkansas, California, Florida, Indiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly "Turkey Hatchery" report, while annual revisions are published in the "Hatchery Production - Annual Summary" report in April. Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the first day of the month over the past 24 months is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 28.3 million eggs by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of U.S. April Turkey Hatchery Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between :Number of Months : Root : 90 Percent : First and Latest :---------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest:Latest : Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Percent Percent 1,000 ------- 1,000 ------ Number : Eggs In : Incubators : 1.1 1.9 546 185 0 877 8 13 : Poults Hatched : 0.4 0.8 213 62 0 289 9 9 : Net Poult : Placements : 1.0 1.8 412 190 57 570 13 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/Based on data for the past 24 months. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch........................................ (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section................. (202) 720-4447 Doug Bounds - Poultry Slaughter, Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised........ (202) 690-3237 David Colwell - Cold Storage............................................ (202) 720-8784 Chris Hawthorn - Catfish Processing, Catfish Production, Trout Production, Census of Aquaculture, Egg Products, Mink.. (202) 720-0585 Kim Linonis - Layers, Eggs.............................................. (202) 690-8632 Troy Marshall - Broiler Hatchery, Chicken Hatchery, Honey............... (202) 720-3244 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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