Pou 3-2 (1-04) Turkeys Raised National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 9, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Turkeys Raised" call John Lange at (202) 720-0585, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Turkeys Raised in 2003 Up 1 Percent from 2002 Turkeys raised in the United States during 2003 totaled 274 million birds, up 1 percent from the 272 million raised in 2002. Minnesota ranked first in the number raised with 45.0 million, followed by North Carolina with 42.5 million, Arkansas and Missouri each with 26.5 million, Virginia with 23.0 million, California with 17.3 million, and South Carolina with 13.0 million. These States accounted for 71 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2003. Turkey Growers Plan 4 Percent Decrease in 2004 Turkey growers in 23 States intend to decrease the number of birds raised by 4 percent in 2004. These states produced over 99% of the turkeys raised in 2003. Intentions for the top seven producing States compared with 2003 are as follows: Minnesota down 4 percent, North Carolina down 11 percent, Arkansas down 2 percent, Missouri down 4 percent, Virginia down 4 percent, California down 7 percent, and South Carolina unchanged. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2004 may vary from growers' intentions shown in this report depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2002 and 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 29,500 26,500 90 CA : 17,700 17,300 98 CT : 7 5 71 DE 2/ : 3 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 13,000 12,800 98 IA : 6,800 8,500 125 MD : 435 500 115 MA : 68 73 107 MI : 4,800 5,000 104 MN : 44,000 45,000 102 MO : 25,500 26,500 104 NH : 5 5 100 NJ : 34 33 97 NY : 520 570 110 NC : 45,500 42,500 93 ND : 1,900 1,100 58 OH : 5,400 5,500 102 PA : 9,900 9,500 96 SC : 9,900 13,000 131 SD : 4,800 4,600 96 VT : 46 52 113 VA : 20,000 23,000 115 WV : 3,600 4,300 119 : Oth Sts 2/ : 26,111 25,110 96 : US : 272,429 274,348 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ CO, DE (2003), KS, NE, OK, OR, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys: Death Loss by Geographic Region and United States, 2001-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Young Turkeys Lost as a Percent of Geographic : Total Poults Placed Region :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : East North Central : 11.1 11.6 11.8 West North Central : 12.3 11.5 12.6 North & South Atlantic : 9.4 10.9 9.5 South Central : 12.1 10.8 10.5 West : 13.4 15.1 12.8 : US : 11.3 11.6 11.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regional Listing: North Atlantic: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. East North Central: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI. West North Central: IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD. South Atlantic: DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV. South Central: AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West: AZ, CA, CO, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2003 and Intentions for 2004, Selected States and 23 State Total -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2004 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 26,500 26,000 98 CA : 17,300 16,100 93 IL : 2,900 3,000 103 IN : 12,800 12,800 100 IA : 8,500 9,000 106 MI : 5,000 5,000 100 MN : 45,000 43,000 96 MO : 26,500 25,500 96 NC : 42,500 38,000 89 ND : 1,100 1,000 91 OH : 5,500 5,300 96 PA : 9,500 9,500 100 SC : 13,000 13,000 100 SD : 4,600 4,500 98 VA : 23,000 22,000 96 WV : 4,300 4,300 100 : Oth Sts 1/ : 25,100 23,800 95 : 23 State Total: 273,100 261,800 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CO, KS, NE, OK, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys Hatchery Production: Monthly Poult Placements, United States, 2001-03 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total All : Percent : Cumulative : Percent : Breeds : of : Total : of Month :--------------------: Previous :---------------------: Previous : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : Year : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 ----- Percent ------ 1,000 ----- Percent : Sep : 22,414 22,670 101 22,414 22,670 101 Oct : 24,128 23,811 99 46,542 46,481 100 Nov : 24,226 23,987 99 70,768 70,468 100 Dec : 24,499 23,977 98 95,267 94,445 99 Jan : 25,880 25,389 98 121,147 119,834 99 Feb : 24,266 23,833 98 145,413 143,667 99 Mar : 25,746 24,902 97 171,159 168,569 98 Apr : 26,184 24,938 95 197,343 193,507 98 May : 25,551 25,111 98 222,894 218,618 98 Jun : 24,409 25,422 104 247,303 244,040 99 Jul : 25,646 25,330 99 272,949 269,370 99 Aug : 24,924 24,036 96 297,873 293,406 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes exported poults. Turkeys Raised Estimates Survey Procedures: Survey data for the turkeys raised estimate are collected from a list of contractors and independent growers during December. States use all known sources of producer names to ensure that the list is as complete as possible. Turkey producers are then contacted either by mail, telephone, or in person. Diligent effort is made to ensure that all operations are accounted for in the estimate. Estimation Procedures: Turkeys raised estimates include young turkeys intended for meat production, as well as breeder turkeys which reached maturity during the calendar year. These estimates exclude turkeys lost to disease or those destroyed. Placements of turkey poults from the Monthly Turkey Hatchery Survey provide the basis for the preliminary estimates published in August. Final estimates, published in January, use indications from the December Growers Survey in addition to updated hatchery data. Other indications for the final estimates are obtained from monthly slaughter totals and check-off data provided by individual State turkey or poultry associations. Generally, individual State data are not published if there are less than three operations in a State, or if any one operation has 60 percent or more of the total turkeys in the State. These data are combined into the "Other States" category. Reliability: Turkeys raised estimates are based on a census of known active producers and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision Policy: Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when preliminary raised estimates are made in August. Revisions are primarily based on updated hatchery and slaughter data, and at the U.S. level, are usually less than one-half of one percent of the final estimate published in January. Estimates are also reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. The next "Turkeys Raised" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on August 23, 2004. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). 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