Pou 3-2 (1-05) Turkeys Raised National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 7, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Turkeys Raised call John Lange at (202) 720-0585, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Turkeys Raised in 2004 Down 4 Percent from 2003 Turkeys raised in the United States during 2004 totaled 264 million birds, down 4 percent from the 274 million raised in 2003. Minnesota ranked first in the number raised with 46.5 million, followed by North Carolina with 39.0 million, Arkansas with 28.5 million, Missouri with 21.5 million, Virginia with 19.7 million, California with 15.7 million, and Indiana with 13.3 million. These States accounted for 70 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2004. Turkey Growers Plan 2 Percent Decrease in 2005 Turkey growers in 23 States intend to decrease the number of birds raised by 2 percent in 2005. These states produced over 99% of the turkeys raised in 2004. Intentions for the top seven producing States compared with 2004 are as follows: Minnesota up 2 percent, North Carolina down 5 percent, Arkansas down 2 percent, Missouri up 5 percent, Virginia up 2 percent, California down 4 percent, and Indiana up 2 percent. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2005 may vary from growers' intentions shown in this report depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2003 and 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2004 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 30,000 28,500 95 CA : 17,300 15,700 91 CT : 5 5 100 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 12,800 13,300 104 IA : 8,500 9,000 106 MD : 500 750 150 MA : 73 70 96 MI : 5,000 5,000 100 MN : 45,000 46,500 103 MO : 23,500 21,500 91 NH : 5 4 80 NJ : 33 37 112 NY : 570 580 102 NC : 42,500 39,000 92 ND : 1,300 1,000 77 OH : 5,500 5,800 105 PA : 9,500 12,000 126 SC : 12,000 12,000 100 SD : 4,600 4,500 98 VT : 52 52 100 VA : 23,000 19,700 86 WV : 4,300 3,200 74 : Oth Sts 2/ : 25,110 23,109 92 : US : 274,048 264,207 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ CO, DE, KS, NE, OK, OR, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys: Death Loss by Geographic Region and United States, 2002-04 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Young Turkeys Lost as a Percent of Geographic : Total Poults Placed Region :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : East North Central : 11.6 11.8 11.2 West North Central : 11.5 12.6 12.2 North & South Atlantic : 10.9 9.5 8.0 South Central : 10.8 10.5 9.3 West : 15.1 12.8 13.4 : US : 11.6 11.2 10.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regional Listing: North Atlantic: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. East North Central: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI. West North Central: IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD. South Atlantic: DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV. South Central: AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West: AZ, CA, CO, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2004 and Intentions for 2005, Selected States and 23 State Total -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2005 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 28,500 28,000 98 CA : 15,700 15,000 96 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 13,300 13,600 102 IA : 9,000 9,200 102 MI : 5,000 5,000 100 MN : 46,500 47,500 102 MO : 21,500 22,500 105 NC : 39,000 37,000 95 ND : 1,000 1,100 110 OH : 5,800 5,700 98 PA : 12,000 11,800 98 SC : 12,000 8,600 72 SD : 4,500 4,400 98 VA : 19,700 20,000 102 WV : 3,200 3,200 100 : Oth Sts 1/ : 23,100 22,100 96 : 23 State Total: 262,700 257,600 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CO, KS, NE, OK, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys Hatchery Production: Monthly Poult Placements, United States, 2002-04 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total All : Percent : Cumulative : Percent : Breeds : of : Total : of Month :--------------------: Previous :---------------------: Previous : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : Year : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 ----- Percent ------ 1,000 ----- Percent : Sep : 22,670 22,171 98 22,670 22,171 98 Oct : 23,811 22,805 96 46,481 44,976 97 Nov : 23,987 22,155 92 70,468 67,131 95 Dec : 23,977 23,424 98 94,445 90,555 96 Jan : 25,389 23,273 92 119,834 113,828 95 Feb : 23,833 22,905 96 143,667 136,733 95 Mar : 24,902 24,215 97 168,569 160,948 95 Apr : 24,938 24,664 99 193,507 185,612 96 May : 25,111 23,692 94 218,618 209,304 96 Jun : 25,422 23,291 92 244,040 232,595 95 Jul : 25,330 25,013 99 269,370 257,608 96 Aug : 24,036 23,674 98 293,406 281,282 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes exported poults. Turkeys Raised Estimates Survey Procedures: Survey data for the turkeys raised estimate are collected from a list of contractors and independent growers during December. States use all known sources of producer names to ensure that the list is as complete as possible. Turkey producers are then contacted either by mail, telephone, or in person. Diligent effort is made to ensure that all operations are accounted for in the estimate. Estimation Procedures: Turkeys raised estimates include young turkeys intended for meat production, as well as breeder turkeys which reached maturity during the calendar year. These estimates exclude turkeys lost to disease or those destroyed. Placements of turkey poults from the Monthly Turkey Hatchery Survey provide the basis for the preliminary estimates published in August. Final estimates, published in January, use indications from the December Growers Survey in addition to updated hatchery data. Other indications for the final estimates are obtained from monthly slaughter totals and check-off data provided by individual State turkey or poultry associations. Generally, individual State data are not published if there are less than three operations in a State, or if any one operation has 60 percent or more of the total turkeys in the State. These data are combined into the "Other States" category. Reliability: Turkeys raised estimates are based on a census of known active producers and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision Policy: Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when preliminary raised estimates are made in August. Revisions are primarily based on updated hatchery and slaughter data, and at the U.S. level, are usually less than one-half of one percent of the final estimate published in January. Estimates are also reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 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