HDR1012000170101016961200WEEKLY WEATHER & CROP BULLETIN Released October 16, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Greg Preston at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL SUMMARY October 7 - 13, 1996 HIGHLIGHTS: Heavy rains from Tropical Storm Josephine saturated Florida's citrus groves and slowed field work across the Southeastern. Continued wet weather in the mid-Atlantic saturated fields, prevented some farmers from entering their fields, and delaying small grain seeding and harvest activity. Row crop harvest activity in the Midwest was unaffected by showers early in the week, but the high moisture content of corn and late maturity of soybean fields limited some harvest activity. For the second consecutive week, a frost dipped into the northern Corn Belt, but caused little or no damage to row crops that were mostly ripe and ready for harvest. The frost was welcomed by some producers in the Corn Belt who hoped it would accelerate the dry down of row crops. Warm, dry weather in the Western States allowed small grain seeding to advance, with some reseeding reported in the Pacific Northwest. Previous wet weather delayed some small grain seeding in the Dakotas, where some fields are expected to remain unplanted due to the lateness of the season. The winter wheat crop in the 19 major producing States was 73 percent (%) planted, up 19 percentage points from last week but 1 point behind the 5-year average. Winter wheat emerged for the major producing States was 44% complete, up 16 points from last week but 2 points behind the average. Planting progress in the eastern Corn Belt was significantly behind the average due to the lateness of the row crop harvest. Ohio, at 35% complete, increased 23 points from last week, but remained 26 points behind the average. Planting progress in Indiana, at 27% complete, increased 13 points from last week, but remained 29 points behind the average. Wheat acreage seeded in Texas at 85% complete, was 19 points ahead of the average, while winter wheat emerged was 25 points ahead. Armyworm damage was evident in Texas on emerged fields. Corn condition in the 17 major producing States at 66% good to excellent, was up slightly from last week. Little frost damage was reported in the eastern Corn Belt, where some producers delayed harvest with the hope that frost would dry corn. Corn mature at 90% complete was up 10 points from last week but 1 point behind the average. Corn harvested at 20% complete was up 6 points from last week but 14 points behind normal. Corn mature in Illinois and Indiana was up 7 points from the previous week, but 20 points or more behind the average. Cotton condition was 59 percent good to excellent in the 14 major producing States, up slightly from last week. Cotton bolls opening was 88% complete, up 5 points from last week and 5 points ahead of the average for the Nation. Cotton acreage harvested was estimated at 35%, up 10 points from last week. Harvest activity was slowed in the Southeast and Gulf Coast States by rainy weather associated with Tropical Storm Josephine. Cotton defoliation was active in California's San Joaquin and Sacramento Valleys. Sorghum acreage mature, at 84%, was up 8 points from last week and 1 point ahead of the average. Sorghum harvested at 38% complete was up 6 points from the previous week but 11 points below the average. In Nebraska, sorghum harvested at 8% complete was up 6 points from last week, but 26 points behind the average. Sorghum harvest activity slowed in some States due to high grain-moisture levels and producers concentrating on first completing the harvest of other row crops. Rice harvest reached 91% complete, up 7 points from last week and 6 points ahead of the average. Harvest activity in Mississippi at 98% complete was up 11 points from the previous week and 14 points ahead of normal. Some California producers reported that harvested rice fields had rice blast disease. Soybean condition rated 60% good to excellent, up slightly from last week. Soybeans dropping leaves, at 89% complete was up 14 points from last week but 2 points behind the average. Soybean acreage harvested, at 40%, was up 23 points from last week but 12 points less than the average. Indiana's soybean harvest at 27% complete, was up 15 from the previous week, but 41 points behind normal. Minnesota's soybean harvest at 81% complete was up 61 from the previous week, 28 points ahead of the average. Soybean harvest activity across the Ohio and middle Mississippi Valley remained behind schedule. National Weather Summary Volume 83, No. 41 October 6 - 12, 1996 For additional information, call (202) 720-7917. Highlights: Tropical Storm Josephine's landfall on October 7 southeast of Tallahassee, FL interrupted an otherwise quiet weather pattern. Josephine's remnant circulation moved rapidly northeastward, sparking rain along the Atlantic Seaboard. Elsewhere, precipitation was limited to early-week showers from the Great Lakes to the central Plains, and late-week activity in the Pacific Northwest. Under a strong upper-level ridge in the West, more than 150 daily-record highs were set and weekly departures ranged from +5 to +13 degrees F. In contrast, weekly temperatures averaged more than 5 degrees F below normal in parts of the Southeast. In the Midwest and Northeast, a freeze on October 10-12 reached slightly farther south than the one observed in the same areas on October 3-5. Early in the week, record warmth overspread the West Coast, shifting inland thereafter. On Monday, the high of 102 degrees F in Monterey, CA was 2 degrees F shy of their all-time record, set on October 5, 1987. A day later in Oregon, Medford's maximum of 94 degrees F was their highest reading so late in the year. About three dozen daily records apiece were set on October 9 and 10. Among the records on Wednesday were highs of 103 degrees F in Phoenix, AZ, 101 degrees F in Bakersfield, CA, and 92 degrees F in El Paso, TX. In Cedar City, UT, highs of 88 degrees F on October 8 and 9 surpassed their former monthly record set on October 2, 1979. Elsewhere in Utah, October records that had stood since 1992 were broken on Thursday in Alta (71 degrees F), Coalville (86 degrees F), and Dugway (91 degrees F). Heat spread onto the High Plains by Friday, pushing highs to daily-record levels in locations such as Goodland, KS (93 degrees F) and Scottsbluff, NE (90 degrees F). Farther east, however, Friday's lows dipped to records for the date in Chicago, IL (27 degrees F) and Muskegon, MI (24 degrees F). A day later in the East, daily records included 26 degrees F in Scranton, PA and 31 degrees F in Bristol, TN. The cool surge contributed to the season's first snowfall in parts of the Great Lakes region, including a 1.3-inch total on October 9-10 in Marquette, MI. Very cold weather, accompanied by widespread snow, persisted across mainland Alaska, where weekly temperatures averaged 5 to 15 degrees F below normal. On Friday, lows of -24 degrees F in Umiat and Prudhoe Bay were the lowest on record for so early in the season. A day later, Nome notched a daily-record low of -6 degrees F. Meanwhile, warm, generally dry weather prevailed in Hawaii. On October 6, Hilo tallied a daily-record-tying high of 88 degrees F. Josephine crossed Apalachee Bay on October 7, crossing the Florida coast with 65 mph winds during the evening. A storm surge estimated at 8 to 9 feet affected Levy County, while a 4- to 6-foot surge was observed as far south as the Tampa Bay area. Peak gusts included 47 mph in Valparaiso (west of landfall), 53 mph in Tampa, and 54 mph in Ft. Myers. Along the East Coast, winds were clocked to 47 mph in Jacksonville, FL, 56 mph in Charleston, SC, and 48 mph in Wilmington, NC. Storm-total rainfall topped 2 inches from New England southward, with more than 4 inches observed from northern Florida to the eastern Carolinas. Jacksonville received 9.08 inches before and during Josephine's passage on October 6-7. Corn: Percent Mature, Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : CO : 95 85 76 81 CO : 18 10 1 18 GA : 100 100 100 100 GA : 93 90 97 96 IL : 89 83 99 98 IL : 22 15 52 42 IN : 84 70 99 97 IN : 15 8 50 36 IA : 94 85 99 96 IA : 8 5 26 26 KS : 100 96 98 99 KS : 53 32 40 63 KY : 100 95 98 97 KY : 64 45 80 65 MI : 73 54 100 75 MI : 10 5 27 18 MN : 97 87 99 80 MN : 15 6 34 22 MO : 98 94 91 97 MO : 54 45 42 51 NE : 97 91 99 96 NE : 13 7 14 30 NC : 100 100 100 100 NC : 77 71 89 83 OH : 56 40 98 88 OH : 9 6 24 24 PA : 75 58 91 69 PA : 21 15 38 20 SD : 96 79 91 84 SD : 7 6 16 26 TX : 100 98 100 99 TX : 91 84 88 91 WI : 72 48 100 76 WI : 8 5 32 17 : : 17 Sts: 90 80 98 91 17 Sts: 20 14 36 34 -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- These 17 States produced 91% of the These 17 States produced 91% of the 1995 corn crop. 1995 corn crop. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : AL : 69 51 73 66 AL : 13 10 12 14 AR : 60 44 53 52 AR : 23 17 20 19 GA : 73 64 69 78 GA : 3 2 4 6 IL : 90 73 97 98 IL : 34 17 74 73 IN : 98 80 100 100 IN : 27 12 78 68 IA : 96 84 99 98 IA : 59 22 56 63 KS : 91 83 97 96 KS : 30 15 27 46 KY : 75 54 87 76 KY : 10 3 26 18 LA : 85 76 84 76 LA : 57 43 59 43 MI : 99 68 100 99 MI : 14 7 56 38 MN : 99 99 99 94 MN : 81 20 37 53 MS : 83 72 87 74 MS : 53 31 57 35 MO : 77 55 85 88 MO : 24 11 23 34 NE : 99 94 100 100 NE : 64 22 43 68 NC : 45 35 56 56 NC : 7 6 5 5 OH : 90 74 100 100 OH : 22 12 60 59 SC : 24 14 17 27 SC : 3 2 2 1 SD : 100 96 100 99 SD : 46 13 23 51 TN : 85 67 84 76 TN : 9 4 14 12 : : 19 Sts: 89 75 92 91 19 Sts: 40 17 48 52 -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- These 19 States produced 94% of the These 19 States produced 94% of the 1995 soybean crop. 1995 soybean crop. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : AR : 15 10 13 18 AR : 7 5 4 8 CA : 5 1 2 2 CA : 0 0 0 0 CO : 93 80 91 96 CO : 68 51 70 79 GA : 3 2 6 6 GA : 1 1 3 2 ID : 79 60 62 71 ID : 34 19 34 38 IL : 29 6 47 49 IL : 6 1 9 12 IN : 27 14 56 56 IN : 5 2 17 17 KS : 82 55 82 86 KS : 44 24 42 53 MI : 42 29 79 72 MI : 15 12 49 42 MO : 33 17 38 35 MO : 11 5 12 14 MT : 88 65 89 79 MT : 43 16 46 42 NE : 98 88 97 99 NE : 73 49 83 87 NC : 16 14 21 21 NC : 0 0 0 4 OH : 35 12 74 61 OH : 10 3 27 19 OK : 74 46 58 76 OK : 35 18 20 38 OR : 69 33 62 58 OR : 27 9 25 25 SD : 93 72 95 97 SD : 71 48 80 86 TX : 85 74 58 66 TX : 69 51 36 44 WA : 94 90 86 85 WA : 71 68 66 66 : : 19 Sts: 73 54 69 74 19 Sts: 44 28 39 46 -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- These 19 States produced 92% of the These 19 States produced 92% of the 1995 winter wheat crop. 1995 winter wheat crop. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : AL : 90 86 93 86 AL : 38 26 49 38 AZ : 100 100 100 99 AZ : 26 20 22 36 AR : 99 94 97 92 AR : 46 29 45 41 CA : 100 100 99 100 CA : 25 15 8 18 GA : 90 87 91 85 GA : 29 20 42 27 LA : 100 100 100 99 LA : 72 47 77 66 MS : 100 99 100 98 MS : 66 49 73 51 MO : 100 92 90 92 MO : 57 32 37 44 NM : 95 92 91 93 NM : 13 10 5 6 NC : 98 93 99 97 NC : 20 16 23 25 OK : 66 59 32 61 OK : 4 1 0 13 SC : 93 89 87 91 SC : 40 32 24 26 TN : 100 98 100 99 TN : 59 38 34 39 TX : 75 66 66 67 TX : 21 19 32 32 : : 14 Sts: 88 83 83 83 14 Sts: 35 25 38 35 -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- These 14 States produced 99% of the These 14 States produced 99% of the 1995 cotton crop. 1995 cotton crop. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 99 99 CO : 51 33 64 69 IL : 70 54 68 87 KS : 83 72 79 79 LA : 100 100 100 100 MS : 100 100 100 100 MO : 88 81 79 88 NE : 84 75 97 90 NM : 35 *35 6 47 OK : 53 45 35 52 SD : 93 87 92 86 TX : 94 88 93 89 : 12 Sts: 84 76 83 83 -------------------------------------- * Revised. These 12 States produced 98% of the 1995 sorghum crop. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : AR : 94 90 94 91 AL : 44 40 74 75 CO : 12 8 7 18 FL : 67 60 NA NA IL : 6 4 20 33 GA : 56 43 78 74 KS : 25 16 22 33 NC : 32 20 38 38 LA : 100 98 98 96 OK : 30 21 33 32 MS : 95 91 99 94 SC : 55 41 58 55 MO : 45 31 53 50 TX : 23 12 23 26 NE : 8 2 28 34 VA : 75 55 82 72 NM : 0 0 0 8 : OK : 18 15 11 16 8 Sts : 46 35 60 58 SD : 17 13 19 33 -------------------------------------- TX : 68 65 83 79 These 8 States produced 99% of the : 1995 peanut crop. 12 Sts: 38 32 44 49 -------------------------------------- These 12 States produced 98% of the 1995 sorghum crop. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1991- State:Oct 13,:Oct 6, :Oct 13,: 1995 : 1996 : 1996 : 1995 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 95 87 88 86 CA : 60 45 43 61 LA : 100 98 98 97 MS : 98 87 99 84 TX : 100 100 100 99 : 5 Sts : 91 84 85 85 -------------------------------------- These 5 States produced 96% of the 1995 rice crop. Corn: Crop Condition Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- : Percent : Percent : : CO : 1 3 15 62 19 AL : 0 5 18 68 9 GA : 2 15 47 30 6 AR : 3 11 28 40 18 IL : 4 11 31 41 13 GA : 1 4 30 47 18 IN : 3 10 38 45 4 IL : 5 13 40 36 6 IA : 0 3 22 57 18 IN : 3 13 43 37 4 KS : 1 2 13 58 26 IA : 1 4 26 53 16 KY : 1 4 20 50 25 KS : 0 1 16 55 28 MI : 7 18 39 30 6 KY : 0 4 26 59 11 MN : 1 6 32 53 8 LA : 1 4 25 59 11 MO : 0 6 22 47 25 MI : 8 22 31 33 6 NE : 1 2 8 50 39 MN : 1 7 30 52 10 NC : 14 30 36 19 1 MS : 1 6 29 54 10 OH : 5 15 38 36 6 MO : 1 7 31 48 13 PA : 1 3 11 47 38 NE : 0 2 7 44 47 SD : 0 2 19 52 27 NC : 2 8 30 53 7 TX : 0 0 8 36 56 OH : 4 15 37 36 8 WI : 2 11 35 46 6 SC : 0 6 21 60 13 : SD : 0 3 19 55 23 17 Sts : 2 7 25 48 18 TN : 1 3 17 60 19 : : Prev Wk : 2 7 26 48 17 19 Sts : 2 8 30 46 14 Prev Yr : 0 0 0 0 0 : -------------------------------------- Prev Wk : 2 8 31 48 11 Prev Yr : 0 0 0 0 0 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 7 4 16 56 17 AZ : 1 4 37 47 11 AR : 0 2 35 50 13 CA : 0 0 0 70 30 GA : 2 9 33 44 12 LA : 1 18 37 38 6 MS : 2 6 27 53 12 MO : 0 10 28 57 5 NM : 0 5 29 49 17 NC : 1 3 45 46 5 OK : 1 25 38 32 4 SC : 0 2 25 63 10 TN : 0 2 16 66 16 TX : 4 16 31 31 18 : 14 Sts : 2 10 29 44 15 : Prev Wk : 2 12 29 44 13 Prev Yr : 4 18 44 30 4 -------------------------------------- Note: US level crop conditions are weighted averages based on 1995 planted acres for the selected states. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 5 27 56 11 :: NJ : 0 0 0 100 0 AZ : 13 12 32 34 9 :: NM : 7 8 32 45 8 AR : 1 20 41 33 5 :: NY : 0 0 46 54 0 CA : 5 10 75 10 0 :: NC : 2 7 23 59 9 CO : 4 11 25 52 8 :: ND : 3 20 39 34 4 CT : 0 0 15 85 0 :: OH : 4 11 35 45 5 DE : 0 0 13 84 3 :: OK : 0 3 19 55 23 FL : 0 0 35 50 15 :: OR : 10 29 25 36 0 GA : 0 6 36 54 4 :: PA : 1 4 22 59 14 ID : 0 33 43 22 2 :: RI : 0 0 0 0 100 IL : 4 19 47 27 3 :: SC : 1 10 36 49 4 IN : 6 14 49 29 2 :: SD : 1 4 21 64 10 IA : 5 17 36 38 4 :: TN : 0 2 21 65 12 KS : 1 3 21 67 8 :: TX : 2 8 38 38 14 KY : 2 8 38 43 9 :: UT : 11 30 42 17 0 LA : 0 3 29 62 6 :: VT : 0 0 64 36 0 ME : 0 23 59 18 0 :: VA : 0 0 10 75 15 MD : 1 1 13 67 18 :: WA : 0 4 35 60 1 MA : 0 18 13 69 0 :: WV : 0 3 25 63 9 MI : 3 20 47 24 6 :: WI : 6 32 44 18 0 MN : 11 27 36 25 1 :: WY : 3 28 30 39 0 MS : 2 8 32 54 4 :: : MO : 3 14 34 44 5 :: 48 Sts : 3 12 35 42 8 MT : 8 27 40 24 1 :: : NE : 0 2 17 61 20 :: Prev Wk: 3 11 34 44 8 NV : 6 9 55 30 0 :: Prev Yr: 3 14 35 42 6 NH : 0 4 49 47 0 :: : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP - Very Poor P - Poor F - Fair G - Good Ex - Excellent The next "Crop Progress" report will be released at 4 P.M. 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