We 1 (9-02) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 24, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Mark E. Miller at (202)720-7621, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 89, No. 39 September 15 - 21, 2002 For additional information, call (202) 720-7917. Highlights: A slow-moving cold front sparked widespread rainfall across the eastern half of the country, while a secondary front brought below-freezing temperatures to areas as far south as western Nebraska. In advance of the cold fronts, weekly temperatures averaged as much as 10 degrees F above normal in the Northeast. Across the South, weekly rainfall totaled 4 inches or more in many locations from the western Gulf Coast region to the Delta, hampering fieldwork and threatening the quality of cotton in the open-boll stage of development. Heavy rain (4 inches or more) also fell in the southern Appalachians, further easing long-term drought. Farther north, significant rain also fell from Corn Belt into the Northeast, boosting topsoil moisture reserves but slowing summer crop harvesting. The rain was especially beneficial in the previously parched Ohio Valley for newly planted and soon-to-be-planted soft red winter wheat. Sharply cooler air overspread the northern Plains late in the week, slowing the emergence and development of recently planted winter wheat. Meanwhile unfavorably dry weather returned to the central Plains, leaving wheat in need of additional rain to ensure proper autumn establishment. Somewhat more favorable conditions prevailed on the southern Plains, where scattered showers continued. Showers lingered early in the week across the Southwest, providing additional relief to drought-stricken rangelands. Mostly dry weather prevailed across the West thereafter, leaving the Northwest's dryland wheat in need of rain for germination and establishment. Toward week's end, hot weather in California promoted fieldwork and summer crop drydown. Early in the week, a brief, late-season heat wave overspread the northern Plains and Northwest in advance of a cold front. On September 15, Boise, ID, noted a daily-record high of 94 degrees F, followed the next day by a record (95 degrees F) in Mobridge, SD. After midweek, record heat developed across California, where downtown Sacramento posted a daily-record high of 102 degrees F on September 20. It was Sacramento's 31st day of triple-digit heat this year, well above the average of 19 but shy of the 1988 record of 41 days. Farther east, the streak of days with highs of 80 degrees F or higher in Little Rock, AR, ended at 116 days (May 30 - September 22), their longest such warm spell since 1987. Meanwhile, sharply cooler weather at week's end resulted in several daily-record lows across the Plains and Northwest, including 27 degrees F on September 21 in Pullman, WA, and 26 degrees F the following morning in Alliance, NE. Rain in the Ohio Valley provided much-needed relief from a long-running dry spell. From July 1 - September 16, only 3.21 inches (33 percent of normal) fell in Indianapolis, IN. The city's previous record-low rainfall for that period was 3.24 inches in 1893. Although 2.66 inches of rain soaked Indianapolis from September 17-20, severe thunderstorms spawned several tornadoes across Indiana and northwestern Ohio on the 20th, including a long-lived F3 storm (winds estimated from 158 to 206 mph) near Indianapolis. Farther west, light showers moved ashore along the northern Pacific Coast, but the remainder of the Far West stayed dry. The rain ended a 42-day (August 5 - September 15) dry spell in Portland, OR. With a total of 0.36 inch, September 16 was Portland's wettest day since 0.91 inch fell on June 28. Farther south, dry weather returned to Nevada, following the previous week's showers (0.22 inch on September 12) that ended Winnemucca's spell without measurable precipitation at 82 days (June 22 - September 11). In contrast, month-to-date rainfall across the South through September 22 included 11.38 inches (262 percent of normal) in Galveston, TX; 9.15 inches (373 percent) in Memphis, TN; 7.36 inches (244 percent) in Birmingham, AL; 6.38 inches (242 percent) in Athens, GA; and 6.31 inches (215 percent) in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC. Much of Memphis' rain fell on consecutive days (3.82 inches on September 19 and 3.32 inches on September 20), setting precipitation records for both dates. Most of Alaska noted near to below-normal temperatures. Significant precipitation was confined to southeastern Alaska, where month-to-date (September 1-22) rainfall totaled 8.71 inches (134 percent of normal) on Annette Island. Meanwhile in Hawaii, locally heavy showers on Oahu at midweek interrupted an otherwise quiet weather pattern. On southeastern Oahu, 1.63 inches fell at the Wilson Tunnel during a 24-hour period on September 18-19. Mostly dry weather overspread the entire Hawaiian island chain toward week's end, but 120-hour (September 15-20) totals on the Big Island included 2.18 inches in Glenwood and 1.99 inches in Piihonua. National Agricultural Summary September 16 - 22, 2002 Highlights: Above-normal temperatures accelerated ripening across most of the Nation, but the harvest pace barely accelerated due to heavy rainfall in parts of the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys and adjacent areas of the southern Great Plains and Southeast. In the northern Great Plains, mostly dry weather aided the spring small grain harvest and supported rapid seeding of the winter wheat crop. Dry weather also permitted rapid winter wheat seeding on the central and southern High Plains. Other areas of the central and southern Great Plains received beneficial rain for germinating seeds in planted fields, but sowing was temporarily halted. In the Southwest, warm, dry weather favored crop development and supported fieldwork. Corn: Acreage at or beyond the dent stage, at 96 percent, neared completion slightly earlier than last year and the average of 94 and 95 percent, respectively. Sixty-five percent was mature, compared with 61 percent last year and 66 percent normally mature by this date. Harvest, at 13 percent, equaled last year's pace but trailed the 14-percent average for this date. Above-normal temperatures aided ripening across most of the Corn Belt, but rain curtailed harvest in some areas, especially along the lower Ohio River Valley where the harvest season was near its peak. Rain also prevented harvest acceleration in Iowa, even though 80 percent of the acreage was mature. Elsewhere, more than one-fourth of the acreage entered the dent stage in Colorado and nearly one-third reached maturity in Minnesota. More than one-fourth of the Michigan crop and about one-fifth of the acreage in Illinois, Indiana, and South Dakota also reached maturity. Harvest was most active in Kansas, advancing 17 percentage points during the week. Harvest remained ahead of normal in Kentucky and Missouri, despite rain delays. Soybeans: Sixty-five percent of the acreage was dropping leaves, well ahead of last year's slow 57-percent progress, but equal to the 5-year average for this date. Six percent was harvested, compared with 5 percent on this date last year and the average of 9 percent. Warm weather promoted ripening in the Corn Belt, lower Mississippi Valley, and Atlantic Coastal Plain. However, fields were shedding leaves about 1 week later than normal in Illinois, Indiana, and Kansas, and nearly 2 weeks later than normal in Louisiana. In contrast, fields ripened well ahead of normal in Iowa and North Dakota. Harvest was most advanced in the lower Mississippi Valley, led by Mississippi's 45 percent. In the Corn Belt, the harvest season was just beginning, and rain further delayed the start in some areas. Cotton: Seventy-five percent of the acreage had open bolls and 13 percent was harvested. Fields with open bolls trailed last year's 76-percent pace, but equaled the 5-year average. Harvest progress was slightly behind last year's 14-percent pace and the 5-year average of 15 percent. Above-normal temperatures stimulated rapid maturation in the Southeast, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast, while cooler-than-normal weather slightly hindered progress in the southern Great Plains. In Arkansas and California, bolls started to open in about one-fourth of the fields during the week, bringing the accumulated total to 88 and 75 percent, respectively. Wet weather limited picking through much of the Mississippi Delta, adjacent areas of the southern Great Plains, western Gulf Coast, and interior areas of the Southeast. Harvest progress was slow in the Southwest, but remained slightly ahead of normal. Small grains: The barley harvest advanced to 97 percent complete, compared with 100 percent on this date last year and the 5-year average of 98 percent. The spring wheat harvest, at 95 percent complete, trailed last year's 100-percent progress and the 5-year average of 97 percent. Warm, dry weather aided harvest efforts in Montana, where growers threshed 8 percent of their spring wheat and 16 percent of their barley during the week. However, the Montana barley and spring wheat harvests remained 8 and 9 percentage points, respectively, behind the 5-year average. In North Dakota, the harvest pace slowed as progress neared completion. Winter wheat: Seeding advanced to 31 percent complete, slightly exceeding last year's 30-percent pace and the 27-percent average for this date. Planting rapidly advanced in the central and northern Great Plains, especially in Colorado, Montana, and Nebraska, where growers seeded about one-third of their acreage during the week. In the Corn Belt, planting accelerated in Michigan, but remained slow in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Ohio. Nationally, 12 percent of the crop was emerged, led by earlier-than-normal progress in Washington and Nebraska. Emergence was also ahead of normal in Oklahoma and Texas, but lagged in Colorado and South Dakota, where soils were too dry to germinate seeds. Rice: Harvest progressed to 57 percent complete, 7 percentage points less than this time last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Harvest was nearly complete along the western Gulf Coast, but rain interfered with harvest of remaining fields. In the interior Mississippi Delta, harvest rapidly progressed until late-week rains forced combines out of the fields. In California, hot, dry weather aided harvest, but progress remained slightly behind normal at the end of the week. Sorghum: Eighty-seven percent was turning color or beyond, 60 percent was mature, and 35 percent was harvested. All three stages were about 1 week behind last year's early pace and 4 to 5 days behind the 5-year average. Below-normal temperatures further delayed ripening in Kansas and, consequently, harvest also lagged. In Nebraska and Illinois, about one-fourth of the acreage reached maturity during the week, but the harvest pace remained slow, especially in Nebraska. In the southern Great Plains, early ripening supported a much-faster-than-normal harvest pace in Oklahoma, while slow ripening limited the harvest pace in Texas. Harvest was most active in Arkansas, advancing 15 percentage points, even though late-week storms halted progress. Peanuts: Thirteen percent of the crop was harvested, behind last year's 16 percent and the 5-year average of 18 percent. Harvest accelerated along the eastern Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal Plain, although rain interrupted progress in Georgia and North Carolina. In the southern Great Plains, fields approached maturity in most areas, but wet soils limited harvest in Texas. Corn: Percent Dented, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 92 63 95 92 IL : 97 92 99 98 IN : 92 83 100 97 IA : 99 97 90 96 KS : 99 95 99 100 KY : 100 99 100 99 MI : 94 75 81 82 MN : 98 94 94 97 MO : 100 97 98 100 NE : 98 94 98 98 NC : 100 99 100 99 ND : 95 83 99 98 OH : 86 74 91 93 PA : 89 79 84 76 SD : 97 93 96 95 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 99 98 100 99 WI : 88 74 58 82 : 18 Sts: 96 90 94 95 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 98 100 100 CO : 64 46 73 69 IL : 94 86 92 90 KS : 87 80 98 97 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 93 87 96 97 NE : 90 80 94 96 NM : 72 59 74 70 OK : 82 78 81 85 SD : 95 91 99 94 TX : 88 83 96 95 : 11 Sts: 87 81 95 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 37 16 50 46 IL : 66 44 84 73 IN : 53 33 77 70 IA : 80 59 54 77 KS : 88 71 85 84 KY : 94 90 95 86 MI : 48 21 37 40 MN : 53 22 27 56 MO : 92 84 86 87 NE : 70 49 65 67 NC : 97 92 97 93 ND : 45 25 64 53 OH : 35 25 37 41 PA : 50 40 34 30 SD : 57 37 53 55 TN : 100 97 95 96 TX : 90 85 95 93 WI : 29 15 19 40 : 18 Sts: 65 45 61 66 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 97 92 97 94 CO : 23 10 23 20 IL : 71 48 78 52 KS : 49 39 62 59 LA : 100 99 100 100 MO : 67 56 72 70 NE : 63 36 51 54 NM : 8 3 12 9 OK : 63 56 50 39 SD : 41 26 52 47 TX : 75 72 86 81 : 11 Sts: 60 52 69 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 0 4 3 IL : 9 4 16 15 IN : 8 4 12 11 IA : 6 4 3 7 KS : 44 27 40 40 KY : 56 47 47 48 MI : 4 2 4 4 MN : 1 0 0 3 MO : 52 43 35 40 NE : 10 7 6 10 NC : 36 30 71 58 ND : 0 0 1 2 OH : 4 1 3 4 PA : 22 17 10 8 SD : 5 2 3 4 TN : 78 68 63 68 TX : 70 65 75 74 WI : 0 0 0 2 : 18 Sts: 13 9 13 14 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 95% of last year's corn acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 82 67 86 79 CO : 1 0 0 1 IL : 10 3 23 8 KS : 16 10 28 25 LA : 88 84 94 94 MO : 31 24 36 31 NE : 10 8 4 11 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 43 35 32 19 SD : 12 6 5 7 TX : 65 62 72 69 : 11 Sts: 35 30 42 39 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 98% of last year's sorghum acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 81 77 69 72 AZ : 99 95 95 95 AR : 88 62 92 83 CA : 75 50 79 71 GA : 82 75 72 71 LA : 91 83 93 94 MS : 92 88 98 94 MO : 67 54 78 87 NC : 80 65 62 65 OK : 48 40 47 65 SC : 59 51 68 66 TN : 86 73 85 88 TX : 64 52 69 67 VA : 76 66 45 55 : 14 Sts: 75 64 76 75 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 8 4 2 11 AZ : 13 10 11 11 AR : 3 0 11 10 CA : 2 1 0 1 GA : 11 7 11 8 LA : 15 10 24 28 MS : 17 9 12 21 MO : 4 4 15 16 NC : 3 1 3 2 OK : 3 1 0 2 SC : 7 4 9 8 TN : 9 5 13 14 TX : 21 19 22 23 VA : 8 3 0 1 : 14 Sts: 13 9 14 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 34 25 56 34 IL : 51 28 68 64 IN : 63 39 77 80 IA : 77 50 29 62 KS : 58 42 73 75 KY : 56 37 53 51 LA : 50 43 76 74 MI : 61 31 50 52 MN : 82 54 66 77 MS : 78 64 79 76 MO : 43 27 30 47 NE : 68 44 53 68 NC : 18 12 21 20 ND : 92 62 69 75 OH : 72 46 77 74 SD : 88 70 74 79 TN : 45 31 43 40 WI : 54 31 29 54 : 18 Sts: 65 42 57 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 95% of last year's soybean acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 0 3 1 CA : 3 1 0 1 CO : 52 21 60 60 ID : 30 16 20 22 IL : 1 0 4 2 IN : 3 2 5 4 KS : 22 9 21 18 MI : 18 9 12 13 MO : 3 0 3 3 MT : 51 17 38 30 NE : 61 30 52 60 NC : 2 1 6 6 OH : 2 1 2 2 OK : 33 23 36 21 OR : 5 3 9 7 SD : 44 24 36 51 TX : 36 20 40 33 WA : 67 65 61 58 : 18 Sts: 31 17 30 27 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 12 NA 15 10 IL : 2 NA 10 9 IN : 3 NA 6 10 IA : 4 NA 1 7 KS : 6 NA 9 15 KY : 5 NA 7 6 LA : 23 NA 39 40 MI : 5 NA 2 3 MN : 9 NA 1 11 MS : 45 NA 41 39 MO : 4 NA 1 5 NE : 6 NA 4 6 NC : 0 NA 0 0 ND : 11 NA 4 15 OH : 8 NA 6 8 SD : 6 NA 2 6 TN : 5 NA 4 5 WI : 0 NA 0 3 : 18 Sts: 6 NA 5 9 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 NA 0 0 CA : 0 NA 0 0 CO : 8 NA 24 27 ID : 7 NA 5 6 IL : 0 NA 0 0 IN : 0 NA 0 1 KS : 8 NA 9 6 MI : 0 NA 0 1 MO : 0 NA 0 0 MT : 10 NA 3 4 NE : 31 NA 19 20 NC : 0 NA 0 0 OH : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 16 NA 20 6 OR : 0 NA 0 1 SD : 14 NA 12 19 TX : 15 NA 16 12 WA : 43 NA 37 33 : 18 Sts: 12 NA 13 10 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 99 98 99 97 MN : 98 95 99 97 MT : 86 78 99 95 ND : 96 90 100 96 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 95 90 100 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 54 39 67 59 CA : 18 6 24 20 LA : 90 87 90 92 MS : 67 38 61 63 MO : 26 21 37 30 TX : 98 97 96 94 : 6 Sts : 57 45 64 60 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 99 98 99 96 MN : 99 99 99 98 MT : 89 73 99 97 ND : 98 94 100 98 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 5 Sts : 97 91 100 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 79% of last year's barley acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1997- State:Sep 22,:Sep 15,:Sep 22,: 2001 : 2002 : 2002 : 2001 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 19 15 22 26 FL : 20 5 28 33 GA : 18 10 18 22 NC : 7 3 4 4 OK : 4 1 1 2 TX : 5 4 13 15 VA : 6 0 13 8 : 7 Sts : 13 7 16 18 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 24 21 32 18 5 IL : 11 19 34 31 5 IN : 18 24 30 26 2 IA : 2 9 22 46 21 KS : 21 27 39 12 1 KY : 8 22 33 30 7 MI : 8 18 30 37 7 MN : 2 7 21 53 17 MO : 21 28 29 19 3 NE : 24 15 28 26 7 NC : 20 23 36 20 1 ND : 6 9 26 50 9 OH : 29 30 28 12 1 PA : 35 32 21 11 1 SD : 18 17 26 33 6 TN : 8 12 33 41 6 TX : 9 24 26 34 7 WI : 4 11 25 45 15 : 18 Sts : 13 17 28 33 9 : Prev Wk : 14 17 27 33 9 Prev Yr : 4 10 30 43 13 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 9 27 43 19 IL : 10 16 34 35 5 IN : 14 23 32 28 3 IA : 2 9 26 47 16 KS : 17 27 38 17 1 KY : 13 24 32 27 4 LA : 2 11 29 47 11 MI : 7 18 31 36 8 MN : 2 6 22 55 15 MS : 0 6 21 50 23 MO : 22 28 32 16 2 NE : 22 26 29 19 4 NC : 6 16 39 37 2 ND : 5 12 25 49 9 OH : 25 30 33 11 1 SD : 8 13 32 42 5 TN : 7 12 29 42 10 WI : 3 9 23 50 15 : 18 Sts : 10 16 30 36 8 : Prev Wk : 11 17 28 35 9 Prev Yr : 4 12 31 42 11 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 11 18 45 22 4 AZ : 0 4 27 42 27 AR : 2 5 20 59 14 CA : 0 0 10 40 50 GA : 9 19 38 27 7 LA : 1 4 27 49 19 MS : 0 3 17 52 28 MO : 14 23 22 36 5 NC : 5 29 43 22 1 OK : 8 11 39 42 0 SC : 15 38 40 7 0 TN : 2 6 27 54 11 TX : 7 16 33 32 12 VA : 7 32 30 28 3 : 14 Sts : 5 13 30 38 14 : Prev Wk : 6 13 28 39 14 Prev Yr : 9 16 27 38 10 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 5 27 53 14 CO : 20 40 25 15 0 IL : 21 34 34 11 0 KS : 23 32 30 13 2 LA : 5 13 40 36 6 MO : 11 24 36 26 3 NE : 36 32 27 5 0 NM : 28 8 49 15 0 OK : 11 10 34 38 7 SD : 26 28 34 11 1 TX : 12 18 40 26 4 : 11 Sts : 18 25 34 20 3 : Prev Wk : 20 25 34 19 2 Prev Yr : 12 21 32 30 5 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 5 11 53 27 4 FL : 0 10 50 40 0 GA : 7 17 38 33 5 NC : 1 8 53 37 1 OK : 0 9 33 50 8 TX : 1 5 18 50 26 VA : 12 26 38 21 3 : 8 Sts : 4 12 36 38 10 : Prev Wk : 4 11 38 37 10 Prev Yr : 2 7 26 51 14 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 12 29 35 23 1 :: NJ : 0 86 14 0 0 AZ : 34 45 17 4 0 :: NM : 30 42 23 5 0 AR : 5 21 45 26 3 :: NY : 26 22 31 17 4 CA : 60 30 10 0 0 :: NC : 20 30 35 15 0 CO : 40 40 18 2 0 :: ND : 31 27 28 13 1 CT : 0 6 46 48 0 :: OH : 43 31 22 4 0 DE : 12 30 40 18 0 :: OK : 4 10 32 45 9 FL : 0 5 10 75 10 :: OR : 23 32 32 11 2 GA : 9 26 40 22 3 :: PA : 47 33 16 4 0 ID : 6 33 50 11 0 :: RI : 2 21 77 0 0 IL : 24 24 31 19 2 :: SC : 6 20 45 28 1 IN : 44 32 20 4 0 :: SD : 29 30 25 14 2 IA : 17 26 30 23 4 :: TN : 25 32 30 12 1 KS : 41 27 20 10 2 :: TX : 12 20 34 26 8 KY : 26 31 29 12 2 :: UT : 35 32 26 7 0 LA : 1 12 42 40 5 :: VT : 18 38 27 17 0 ME : 34 51 12 3 0 :: VA : 31 29 26 14 0 MD : 17 34 37 12 0 :: WA : 8 51 29 12 0 MA : 0 25 68 7 0 :: WV : 20 30 40 10 0 MI : 17 26 31 25 1 :: WI : 1 7 28 55 9 MN : 3 10 32 50 5 :: WY : 56 21 19 4 0 MS : 2 9 25 55 9 :: : MO : 28 31 26 15 0 :: 48 Sts : 24 25 28 20 3 MT : 27 32 25 14 2 :: : NE : 57 27 11 5 0 :: Prev Wk: 26 26 26 19 3 NV : 18 30 30 16 6 :: Prev Yr: 12 21 31 32 4 NH : 2 27 59 12 0 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2001 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released at 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released at 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on October 1, 2002. 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