We 1 (7-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 8, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Troy M. Joshua at (202) 690-3234, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 27 June 29 - July 5, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Tropical Storm Bill made landfall east of Morgan City, LA, on June 30, sparking heavy rainfall (4 inches or more) along the Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to western Florida. After moving inland, Bill's remnants tracked northeastward and began to interact with a non-tropical disturbance approaching from the west, reaching the Mid-Atlantic region on July 3. Widespread rains in excess of 4 inches were reported as far north as the southern Appalachians, with scattered 4-inch totals in the Mid-Atlantic States. The wet weather caused additional Southeastern fieldwork delays and crop disease concerns. However, Bill largely bypassed the Delta and Louisiana's sugarcane region, while much of southern Texas received beneficial showers largely unrelated to the tropical storm. Farther north, showery weather continued across the western Corn Belt and expanded across the remainder of the Midwest. Although heavy rain caused winter wheat harvest delays and localized lowland flooding in the lower Great Lakes States, particularly across northern and central Indiana, Midwestern summer crops generally benefited from the showery weather pattern. The Midwestern rain also helped to offset the effects of weekly temperatures ranging from 2 to 6 degrees F above normal and maximum temperatures as high as 95 degrees F. Farther west, hot weather and a drying trend favored winter wheat maturation and harvesting, but increased stress on reproductive summer crops, including heading spring wheat on the northern High Plains and silking corn on the central Plains. Temperatures approached 100 degrees F in Montana and peaked in the 100 to 105 degrees F range in many locations from central South Dakota southward into northern and western Oklahoma. Meanwhile, hot weather returned to the West, following a 1-week respite. In addition, dry, occasionally breezy weather boosted Western irrigation demands, increased stress on rangelands and rain-fed crops, and hampered wildfire containment efforts. Tropical Storm Bill's maximum sustained winds at landfall were near 60 mph, primarily in areas along and near the central Gulf Coast. On Monday afternoon, a peak gust to 77 mph was clocked on a buoy in Southwest Pass, near Louisiana's Marsh Island. Elsewhere on June 30, peak gusts reached 62 mph on the Lake Ponchartrain Causeway near Mandeville, LA, and 52 mph in Gulfport, MS. Daily-record rainfall totals on June 30 included 6.05 inches in Mobile, AL, and 5.26 inches in Pensacola, FL. Farther inland, 24-hour rainfall on July 1-2 included 9.15 inches at Lake Toxaway, NC, and 6.15 inches at Table Rock Reservoir, SC. In Virginia, consecutive daily-record rainfalls were noted on July 1 and 2 in locations such as Blacksburg (1.35 and 2.33 inches) and Lynchburg (2.15 and 1.63 inches). Early in the week, hot weather lingered across the Great Basin and Northwest, where daily-record highs on June 29 included 104 degrees F in Battle Mountain, NV, and 101 degrees F in Dayton, WA. Record heat reached North Dakota 2 days later, resulting in daily-record highs for July 1 in locations such as Williston (98 degrees F) and Dickinson (97 degrees F). During the mid- to late-week period, record heat expanded across the central Plains and the Southwest. Pueblo, CO, notched three daily-record highs in 4 days (104, 106, and 105 degrees F on July 2, 4, and 5). In Kansas, daily-record highs on July 3 included 109 degrees F in Hill City, 108 degrees F in Hays, and 106 degrees F in Concordia. Farther west, Willcox, AZ (106 degrees F both days), and Blanding, UT (100 degrees F both days), closed the week with consecutive daily-record highs. Beneficial showers developed across southern Texas, where Hebronville noted a weekly total of 7.21 inches. San Antonio, TX, received a daily-record total of 1.97 inches on July 4 and collected 4.78 inches during the first 7 days of the month, but had a year-to-date total of 11.88 inches (68 percent of normal). Elsewhere in southern Texas, January 1 - July 7 rainfall was still slightly less than 60 percent of normal in locations such as Brownsville (6.68 inches) and Corpus Christi (8.64 inches), despite recent heavy showers. Farther west, more than 20 large wildfires in various stages of containment were scattered across nine Western States. By week's end, the Western fires were collectively responsible for more than 175,000 acres of charred vegetation. Most of the acreage was due to the Aspen Fire (76,000 acres near Tucson, AZ) and the Dry Lake Complex (about 60,000 acres near Silver City, NM). Nevertheless, the Nation's year-to-date wildfire coverage through July 6 totaled about 924,000 acres, about 57 percent of the 10-year average. Late in the week, torrential rainfall soaked parts of northern and central Indiana, as part of a broader weather pattern that brought largely beneficial showers to the Midwest. On July 4-5, 24-hour rainfall reached 7.45 inches at Grissom Air Force Base near Peru, IN. The rain helped to trigger record flooding on Indiana's Wildcat, Kokomo, and Deer Creeks. Near Lafayette, IN, Wildcat Creek crested more than 13.6 feet above flood stage on July 6, exceeding the June 1958 flood of record by about 2 feet. Farther downstream, the Wabash River at Lafayette--nearing crest on July 8--was at its highest level since February 1959 and nearly 14 feet above flood stage. July opened on a wet note across Alaska, especially across northern and western parts of the State. July 1-5 precipitation totaled 300 to 500 percent of normal in locations such as McGrath (0.98 inch), Kotzebue (0.69 inch), and Barrow (0.46 inch). Elsewhere in Alaska, Fairbanks netted 0.29 inch during the first 5 days of July, following a 0.15-inch total from June 7-30. Alaskan weekly temperatures averaged within 4 degrees F of normal. Meanwhile, drier-than-normal weather persisted across most of Hawaii. Weekly rainfall approached or exceeded 2 inches in some typically wetter windward areas, including Oahu's Manoa Lyon Arboretum (1.84 inches) and the Big Island locations of Glenwood (1.98 inches) and Piihonua (2.18 inches). National Agricultural Summary June 30 - July 6, 2003 Highlights: Cooler weather improved growing conditions in the Pacific Northwest. Dry weather promoted fieldwork and increased irrigation requirements in the Intermountain Region, while increasing stress on dryland crops. In the Great Plains and Corn Belt, scattered showers and thunderstorms delayed fieldwork. However, above-normal temperatures accelerated crop maturity throughout the region. Despite scattered showers early in the week in the Southeast, warm weather and sunshine prevailed, causing rapid crop development and improved conditions. In Louisiana, showers hindered fieldwork. Two weeks of favorable weather in the Ohio Valley continued to enhance crop development. Corn: Nine percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, slightly behind last year's 10 percent and the 5-year average's 12 percent. Fields rapidly entered the reproductive stage in the Tennessee Valley and southern Atlantic Coast States. Thirty-nine percent of the crop entered the silking stage in Kentucky. Progress was slightly slower in Missouri and North Carolina. Silking remained ahead of the normal pace in Tennessee and Texas. Due to the unfavorable weather early in the season, North Carolina was 1 week behind the 5-year average. Soybeans: Ninety-six percent of acreage was emerged and 11 percent was at the blooming stage. Emergence was behind 1 percentage point from last year at this time and 2 points behind the average pace. In Louisiana, some fields will remain unplanted due to extreme wet conditions. Emergence was nearly complete in all States, except Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Tennessee. Scattered showers improved crop conditions throughout the Corn Belt, especially in Iowa. Mississippi's and the Dakotas' acreage were ahead of normal at the bloom stage. In Louisiana and Mississippi, setting pods were 17 and 37 percent, respectively. Winter Wheat: Harvest advanced to 64 percent, compared with 72 percent last year and the 5-year average of 66 percent. In the central Great Plains, above-normal temperatures accelerated maturity. The harvest pace was most active in Kansas, where producers reaped more than one-third of their crop. Hot weather ripened fields across the Great Plains. Harvest was ahead of normal in California, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma, due to excellent weather condition late in the growing season. Harvest began in Washington, but there was no progress in other parts of the Pacific Northwest. Cotton: Fifty-seven percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, 15 percentage points behind last year and 17 points behind the 5-year average. Fields setting bolls advanced to 18 percent, 7 points less than progress on this date last year and 6 points behind the normal pace. Nearly all States were behind their normal squaring pace. Virginia was 6 weeks behind, while Arizona, Missouri, Tennessee and Texas were only 2 weeks behind their normal pace. Almost one-fourth of California's crop entered the squaring stage due to seasonably high temperatures. Despite the below-normal temperatures and heavy showers in the Southeast, growth and development rapidly progressed. Sorghum: Planting advanced to 96 percent complete, 1 percentage point behind last year and 2 points behind the 5-year average. Planting was at or near completion in all States, except New Mexico and Texas. Twenty percent was at or beyond the heading stage, behind last year's 25 percent and 5-year average of 22 percent. Development was most advanced in the southern Mississippi Valley and Texas. In Louisiana and Texas, 7 and 39 percent were turning color. Conditions deteriorated in New Mexico, due to lack of moisture. Rice: Fifteen percent of the crop was heading, 2 percentage points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. In Texas, a slower-than-normal start continued to hinder progress, 5 percent behind the average. Heading was slightly ahead of normal in the central Gulf Coast States. Steady development continued in California, but no fields had reached the heading stage. Small grains: Spring wheat was 67 percent headed, 18 percentage points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. Development was advancing rapidly in Montana and North Dakota, due to above-normal temperatures. Heading was nearing completion in South Dakota and Washington. The dry conditions continued to stress the crop in most of the Pacific Northwest. The barley crop was 65 percent headed, compared with 46 percent for last year and the 5-year average of 54 percent. Heading was more advanced in Washington, at 98 percent, and remained slightly ahead of normal. Development in the northern Missouri Valley was rapidly advancing due to the high temperature. Eighty-three percent of the oat crop was headed, 8 percentage points and 5 points ahead of last year and the 5-year average, respectively. Heading increased 35 percent in North Dakota. Heading was nearing completion in Iowa, Nebraska, and Ohio. In Pennsylvania, heading was behind normal as a result of delayed planting early in the season. Peanuts: Forty-two percent of the peanut acreage was pegging, 9 percentage points behind last year and 6 points behind the average. Pegging continued ahead of normal in Florida and Oklahoma, advancing 25 and 4 points, respectively, from the previous week. Peanuts pegging accelerated in North Carolina and Virginia. In most States, pegging remained well behind normal due to wet weather that delayed planting. Soybeans: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 91 83 93 92 IL : 97 93 99 98 IN : 96 89 98 98 IA : 100 100 100 100 KS : 97 92 97 95 KY : 57 55 55 82 LA : 86 81 97 99 MI : 98 96 100 98 MN : 99 99 99 99 MS : 100 98 100 100 MO : 95 86 94 94 NE : 100 100 100 100 NC : 71 62 88 85 ND : 100 100 100 100 OH : 99 87 99 99 SD : 100 100 100 100 TN : 84 68 92 92 WI : 100 98 100 99 : 18 Sts: 96 93 97 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 0 7 4 IL : 8 2 8 15 IN : 4 0 2 11 IA : 0 0 4 5 KS : 30 15 21 29 KY : 50 11 45 52 MI : 0 0 0 1 MN : 1 0 1 3 MO : 43 20 42 44 NE : 1 0 6 5 NC : 52 32 72 64 ND : 1 0 1 1 OH : 0 0 1 3 PA : 0 0 3 4 SD : 0 0 0 0 TN : 80 55 77 72 TX : 69 66 75 67 WI : 0 0 0 0 : 18 Sts: 9 5 10 12 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 14 NA 17 18 IL : 7 NA 9 21 IN : 7 NA 6 21 IA : 14 NA 45 31 KS : 15 NA 18 25 KY : 5 NA 9 16 LA : 39 NA 49 58 MI : 3 NA 8 15 MN : 13 NA 17 14 MS : 67 NA 52 65 MO : 5 NA 9 15 NE : 2 NA 16 13 NC : 0 NA 7 10 ND : 6 NA 3 4 OH : 10 NA 6 24 SD : 20 NA 20 17 TN : 5 NA 14 11 WI : 0 NA 7 2 : 18 Sts: 11 NA 18 20 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 98 88 98 98 CA : 78 61 79 73 CO : 29 8 55 40 ID : 0 0 0 0 IL : 85 58 88 85 IN : 55 36 62 66 KS : 92 58 98 89 MI : 0 0 0 8 MO : 90 67 95 86 MT : 0 0 0 0 NE : 15 1 60 37 NC : 82 67 99 94 OH : 6 0 31 34 OK : 98 93 98 97 OR : 0 0 3 2 SD : 0 0 4 2 TX : 90 80 95 92 WA : 1 0 1 1 : 18 Sts: 64 47 72 66 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 81 67 75 77 AZ : 69 53 96 92 AR : 81 67 93 96 CA : 65 45 67 59 GA : 79 67 85 80 LA : 82 76 94 95 MS : 77 64 80 92 MO : 68 45 66 90 NC : 64 46 84 73 OK : 46 35 54 47 SC : 47 27 68 65 TN : 61 35 82 90 TX : 35 28 59 62 VA : 11 6 79 75 : 14 Sts: 57 45 72 74 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 98 97 99 97 IL : 99 89 99 96 KS : 98 96 99 99 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 96 100 100 NE : 100 100 100 100 NM : 87 *74 55 83 OK : 97 87 96 95 SD : 100 100 100 99 TX : 91 84 96 96 : 11 Sts: 96 92 97 98 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 14 4 20 21 AZ : 27 11 53 39 AR : 13 2 23 27 CA : 10 1 18 11 GA : 28 15 44 36 LA : 35 13 52 55 MS : 35 12 38 45 MO : 6 3 16 32 NC : 1 0 16 12 OK : 3 1 4 2 SC : 1 0 16 14 TN : 6 0 17 18 TX : 20 16 20 18 VA : 0 0 4 1 : 14 Sts: 18 10 25 24 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 58 38 48 41 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 0 0 5 3 KS : 1 0 1 3 LA : 62 42 63 64 MO : 10 3 4 7 NE : 0 0 1 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 3 1 6 6 SD : 9 0 1 1 TX : 47 44 63 52 : 11 Sts: 20 17 25 22 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 72 58 42 52 MN : 90 78 58 72 MT : 43 19 26 50 ND : 62 37 45 52 SD : 96 86 90 87 WA : 99 89 96 92 : 6 Sts : 67 46 49 60 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 66 51 51 53 MN : 90 76 59 68 MT : 49 25 36 52 ND : 65 39 40 46 WA : 98 80 93 93 : 5 Sts : 65 42 46 54 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 81% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 98 92 100 97 MN : 91 71 80 82 NE : 98 94 100 97 ND : 61 26 46 50 OH : 98 82 88 96 PA : 82 63 86 89 SD : 93 83 91 84 WI : 81 68 66 83 : 8 Sts : 83 65 75 78 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 0 3 4 CA : 0 0 0 0 LA : 57 45 65 54 MS : 10 6 6 9 MO : 7 4 0 0 TX : 54 28 69 59 : 6 Sts : 15 10 17 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 6, :Jun 29,:Jul 6, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 36 19 44 42 FL : 75 50 62 57 GA : 47 30 60 57 NC : 35 15 56 46 OK : 68 64 46 42 TX : 28 15 38 39 VA : 20 0 37 40 : 7 Sts : 42 25 51 48 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 3 10 43 44 IL : 1 5 23 52 19 IN : 2 11 30 48 9 IA : 1 3 14 56 26 KS : 0 4 26 57 13 KY : 1 7 25 43 24 MI : 1 6 35 48 10 MN : 1 2 12 64 21 MO : 1 6 25 52 16 NE : 1 2 19 57 21 NC : 1 7 33 55 4 ND : 2 3 14 60 21 OH : 3 10 30 41 16 PA : 4 9 28 45 14 SD : 0 2 16 59 23 TN : 4 6 17 54 19 TX : 11 19 25 37 8 WI : 1 4 21 54 20 : 18 Sts : 1 5 21 54 19 : Prev Wk : 1 4 20 56 19 Prev Yr : 4 11 32 43 10 -------------------------------------- Winter Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 15 38 36 8 CA : 0 30 30 30 10 CO : 4 7 23 50 16 ID : 0 4 16 56 24 IL : 11 19 33 30 7 IN : 2 9 23 49 17 KS : 5 11 27 38 19 MI : 2 5 21 56 16 MO : 0 6 24 48 22 MT : 5 11 33 40 11 NE : 4 10 25 48 13 NC : 2 9 38 50 1 OH : 1 3 17 53 26 OK : 5 9 22 43 21 OR : 6 25 46 22 1 SD : 5 12 22 50 11 TX : 25 25 32 15 3 WA : 1 5 25 50 19 : 18 Sts : 8 13 27 37 15 : Prev Wk : 8 13 27 38 14 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 7 31 47 13 IL : 1 7 28 49 15 IN : 3 9 31 49 8 IA : 1 3 16 57 23 KS : 0 1 28 64 7 KY : 1 3 21 51 24 LA : 4 13 34 45 4 MI : 1 6 29 55 9 MN : 1 3 18 62 16 MS : 0 4 22 49 25 MO : 1 6 31 52 10 NE : 0 2 21 61 16 NC : 1 6 36 55 2 ND : 3 3 12 58 24 OH : 3 10 31 46 10 SD : 0 2 18 59 21 TN : 0 2 19 62 17 WI : 0 3 21 58 18 : 18 Sts : 1 5 24 55 15 : Prev Wk : 1 5 24 55 15 Prev Yr : 3 11 34 43 9 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 1 5 38 42 14 AZ : 0 1 17 50 32 AR : 1 7 38 42 12 CA : 0 5 30 60 5 GA : 0 4 20 56 20 LA : 2 3 27 50 18 MS : 2 6 18 53 21 MO : 3 11 40 43 3 NC : 3 8 39 48 2 OK : 8 12 32 47 1 SC : 0 1 24 71 4 TN : 2 10 27 57 4 **TX : 20 16 33 26 5 VA : 7 17 36 37 3 : 14 Sts : 9 10 30 42 9 : Prev Wk : 9 11 31 40 9 Prev Yr : 5 11 32 41 11 -------------------------------------- Percentages brought forward from previous week. VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 4 20 54 22 MN : 1 2 18 49 30 MT : 3 7 30 55 5 ND : 1 2 12 60 25 SD : 1 6 26 52 15 WA : 2 8 38 44 8 : 6 Sts : 1 4 20 56 19 : Prev Wk : 1 3 18 56 22 Prev Yr : 10 11 32 40 7 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 6 19 57 16 MN : 0 2 14 54 30 MT : 3 9 25 47 16 ND : 0 1 10 63 26 WA : 2 10 31 43 14 : 5 Sts : 1 5 18 56 20 : Prev Wk : 1 4 16 58 21 Prev Yr : 4 8 31 49 8 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 2 18 62 18 MN : 0 1 17 65 17 NE : 1 1 19 57 22 ND : 0 2 14 71 13 OH : 1 5 20 62 12 PA : 1 4 *47 *42 6 SD : 1 6 27 54 12 WI : 0 6 18 62 14 : 8 Sts : 0 3 20 63 14 : Prev Wk : 1 4 18 61 16 Prev Yr : 12 15 28 38 7 -------------------------------------- * Revised. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 27 46 22 CA : 0 15 60 20 5 LA : 0 2 13 75 10 MS : 0 3 17 63 17 MO : 2 4 17 48 29 TX : 0 0 22 65 13 : 6 Sts : 1 5 28 49 17 : Prev Wk : 1 6 27 48 18 Prev Yr : 1 4 26 51 18 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 32 52 11 CO : 0 3 32 52 13 IL : 0 28 43 28 1 KS : 0 4 30 61 5 LA : 0 3 24 64 9 MO : 0 6 36 52 6 NE : 0 4 29 58 9 NM : 0 7 65 28 0 OK : 0 0 10 85 5 SD : 4 8 25 57 6 TX : 4 10 24 48 14 : 11 Sts : 1 6 28 56 9 : Prev Wk : 2 7 29 54 8 Prev Yr : 6 17 38 36 3 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 2 10 55 33 FL : 0 0 20 40 40 GA : 0 3 19 58 20 NC : 0 1 37 62 0 OK : 0 3 18 58 21 TX : 1 1 14 65 19 VA : 0 7 42 51 0 : 8 Sts : 0 2 19 58 21 : Prev Wk : 2 3 22 55 18 Prev Yr : 0 3 29 54 14 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 1 15 52 31 :: NJ : 0 0 24 66 10 AZ : 25 25 28 16 6 :: NM : 37 32 20 11 0 AR : 1 2 25 61 11 :: NY : 1 5 25 57 12 CA : 0 30 55 15 0 :: NC : 0 2 16 65 17 CO : 10 15 35 36 4 :: ND : 1 7 26 55 11 CT : 0 0 9 77 14 :: OH : 1 5 24 57 13 DE : 0 4 26 48 22 :: OK : 0 4 21 59 16 FL : 0 5 5 85 5 :: OR : 5 16 34 40 5 GA : 0 1 13 63 23 :: PA : 1 9 28 47 15 ID : 1 2 41 44 12 :: RI : 0 0 7 93 0 IL : 0 4 30 53 13 :: SC : 0 0 4 83 13 IN : 1 5 30 54 10 :: SD : 5 13 26 48 8 IA : 1 5 21 58 15 :: TN : 0 2 12 64 22 KS : 7 16 37 34 6 :: TX : 9 16 36 32 7 KY : 1 4 19 54 22 :: UT : 8 16 34 40 2 LA : 0 6 36 50 8 :: VT : 0 4 15 74 7 ME : 0 0 10 85 5 :: VA : 0 3 20 49 28 MD : 3 6 25 41 25 :: WA : 2 11 43 44 0 MA : 0 0 30 70 0 :: WV : 1 2 17 65 15 MI : 2 14 38 41 5 :: WI : 1 8 31 51 9 MN : 1 4 21 64 10 :: WY : 4 11 37 46 2 MS : 0 8 23 56 13 :: : MO : 1 10 36 47 6 :: 48 Sts : 4 11 30 45 10 MT : 6 16 36 36 6 :: : NE : 3 11 34 43 9 :: Prev Wk: 3 9 28 48 12 NV : 1 16 19 49 15 :: Prev Yr: 15 22 30 28 5 NH : 0 3 20 67 10 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on July 15, 2003. 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