We 1 (7-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 15, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Troy M. Joshua at (202) 690-3234, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 28 July 6 - 12, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Locally heavy Midwestern showers and thunderstorms caused some additional wind, hail, and flood damage, although temperatures and soil moisture across the majority of the Corn Belt remained favorable for summer crop development. Rainfall totaled 2 to 4 inches or more from Iowa to the middle and upper Ohio Valley, slowing winter wheat harvesting in the lower Great Lakes States and other Midwestern fieldwork. Farther south and east, warm, humid, showery weather maintained soggy field conditions and crop quality concerns from the central Gulf Coast to the Mid-Atlantic States. More favorable conditions existed across the South from the Delta westward, where scattered showers accompanied near-normal temperatures. On the Plains, untimely heat and dryness hastened winter wheat maturation and harvesting, but adversely affected reproductive summer crops. The most significant crop stress was observed on the central and southern High Plains, where temperatures peaked in the 100- to 110-degree F range. Beneficial showers and lower temperatures were largely confined to the eastern Plains. In the West, where weekly temperatures averaged as much as 7 degrees F above normal, mostly dry weather and a record-setting heat wave significantly stressed dryland small grains, strained drought-reduced irrigation reserves, and fostered the spread of several large wildfires. Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms persisted for much of the week across the Midwest. On July 6, Fort Wayne, IN, netted a daily-record total of 2.67 inches, en route to a July 1-13 total of 7.33 inches (464 percent of normal). Two days later, rainfall records for July 8 included 1.41 inches in Mobridge, SD, and 1.99 inches in Peoria, IL. Elsewhere in Illinois, Lincoln received its highest single-day July total on record on July 9, when 4.78 inches fell. Lincoln's previous wettest July day was July 22, 1990, when rainfall totaled 4.64 inches. The Midwestern rain followed the heaviest 1-day total on record in Kokomo, IN (9.75 inches on July 5). Kokomo's previous highest daily rainfall was 6.75 inches on September 1, 1950. Despite the official onset of the monsoon (summer rainy season) in the Southwest near the Mexican border, showers were widely scattered. In Tucson, AZ, where average dewpoint temperatures above 54 degrees F from July 11-13 signaled the technical monsoon onset, late-week rainfall totaled 0.54 inch. However, it was Tucson's fifth-latest monsoon arrival in the last half-century, and latest since July 17, 1997. July-September rainfall typically averages 5.82 inches in Tucson, 48 percent of the normal annual total. The remainder of the West experienced a prolonged run of hot, dry weather (more information on the heat wave will appear in next week's summary). July 6-12 high temperatures averaged 110.3 degrees F in Phoenix, AZ. Several locations posted all-time-record high temperatures, including St. Johns, AZ (104 degrees F on July 9, matching the record most recently attained from July 2-4, 1923), and Grand Junction, CO (105 degrees F on July 12 and 13, tying the record most recent established from July 13-14, 2002). Elsewhere in Colorado, Pueblo posted an all-time-record high of 109 degrees F on July 13, edging the mark of 108 degrees F set on June 29, 1990. However, due to the extremely dry nature of the airmass, a few Western observation sites reported a daily-record high and low on the same day. For example, July 10 featured a "daily double" in locations such as Delta, UT (low of 42 degrees F and high of 107 degrees F), and Window Rock, AZ (38 and 97 degrees F). Farther east, however, parts of the Southeast experienced their first 90-degree heat of the year. In fact, July 8 featured the latest observance of the first 90-degree reading of the year in locations such as Greenville-Spartanburg, SC (91 degrees F, erasing the standard of July 4, 1979), and Charlotte, NC (90 degrees F, eclipsing June 26, 1978). By week's end, more than 30 large wildfires across nine Western States, in various stages of containment, were responsible for more than one-quarter million acres of burned vegetation. According to the National Interagency Fire Center, the largest blazes (both approximately 85,000 acres) were the Aspen Fire, near Tucson, AZ, and the Dry Lake Complex, northwest of Silver City, NM. Nevertheless, the national year-to-date burned acreage through July 13 stood at 1.07 million acres, less than 60 percent of the 10-year average. In Hawaii, the recent and ongoing trend toward more normal rainfall patterns brought additional drought relief. Weekly rainfall reached 8.91 inches on the Big Island at Glenwood, and 10.87 inches in West Wailuaiki, Maui, where 24-hour totals included 3.40 inches on July 8-9 and 3.57 inches on July 12-13. Meanwhile in Alaska, scattered showers accompanied generally above-normal temperatures. Weekly readings averaged as much as 7 degrees F above normal in southern and parts of interior Alaska, aided by daily-record highs in locations such as Anchorage (84 degrees F on July 8) and Tok (91 degrees F on July 9). Anchorage's reading also set a July record, eclipsing the standard of 83 degrees F on July 11, 1953. Meanwhile, Fairbanks' year-to-date precipitation totaled just 2.81 inches (70 percent of normal), despite 0.69 inch (115 percent) during the first 12 days of July. National Agricultural Summary July 7 - July 13, 2003 Highlights: Hot, dry weather strained irrigation reserves and stressed dryland crops west of the Great Plains, with a few showers across the northern Intermountain Region. In the Southwest and adjacent States, temperatures were recorded in excess of 100 degrees Fahrenheit. Seasonal temperatures and limited rainfall aided winter wheat harvest in the western Corn Belt. Showers and thunderstorms across in the northeastern portion of the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley maintained adequate to locally excessive soil moisture and caused flooding in some fields. Early during the week in the Southeast, warm weather and sunshine improved crop conditions. However, showers fell across most of the region later in the week. Scattered showers and seasonal temperatures promoted crop development in the Tennessee Valley. Crops responded well to intermittent sunshine and thunderstorms in the central and southern Atlantic Coast. Corn: Nineteen percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, 4 percentage points behind last year's 23 percent and 9 points behind the 5-year average of 28 percent. Three percent of the crop was at or beyond the dough stage, the same as last year at this time but slightly behind the average pace. About one-fourth of the crop entered the silking stage in Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina. Seasonal temperatures stimulated development in the central Mississippi Valley and southern Atlantic Coast States. However, development remained a few days to 1 week behind normal. In Texas and Tennessee, 62 percent and 20 percent of the crop, respectively, were at or beyond the dough stage. Soybeans: Twenty-seven percent of the crop was blooming and 3 percent was setting pods, compared with 36 percent blooming and 6 percent setting pods on this date last year. On average, 39 percent of the acreage would be blooming and 7 percent setting pods by this date. With adequate soil moisture and seasonal temperatures, fields rapidly entered the blooming stage, in the Corn Belt and lower Mississippi Valley. However, development lagged in all States except Arkansas, Mississippi, Wisconsin, and the Dakotas due to unfavorable planting conditions early in the season. The crop is most advanced in Mississippi and Louisiana where 59 percent and 30 percent of the crop is setting pods, respectively. Double crop soybeans benefited from the recent rainfall in the Tennessee Valley. Winter Wheat: Harvest advanced to 71 percent complete, compared with 79 percent last year and the 5-year average of 76 percent. Progress fell further behind normal in the Ohio Valley, as heavy precipitation significantly delayed harvest activity in most areas. In Colorado and Nebraska, dry weather aided rapid progress, as growers harvested 28 and 32 percent of their crop during the week. Harvest was at least 3 weeks behind normal in Indiana and Michigan. In Oklahoma, harvest was virtually complete and harvest neared completion in Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Texas. Harvest began in Idaho, Oregon, and South Dakota. Cotton: Seventy-one percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, 13 percentage points behind last year and the 5-year average. Nearly all States were behind their normal squaring pace. Fields setting bolls advanced to 28 percent, 10 points less than the progress on this date last year and 11 points behind the normal pace. An abundance of sunshine and warm weather allowed the crop to progress rapidly in the Atlantic Coast States. More than one-third of Virginia's crop entered the squaring stage. In Oklahoma and Tennessee, one-fifth of the crop entered the squaring stage. Despite the seasonal temperatures in the Southeast, development continued behind normal. Cotton plants set bolls ahead of the average pace in Arizona and California, due to above average temperatures. Elsewhere, boll setting was behind normal with the Delta States 1-to-2 weeks behind average. Sorghum: Twenty-four percent of the crop was headed, and 15 percent was turning color. Acreage at or beyond the heading stage was 5 percentage points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. Acreage turning color was slightly behind last year, but the same as the average for this date. Near-normal temperatures aided developing fields in most of the Corn Belt. Development remained most advanced in the southern Mississippi Valley and Texas. In Louisiana and Texas, 17 and 42 percent were turning color, respectively. Conditions deteriorated in the southern Great Plains and New Mexico, due to lack of moisture. Rice: Nineteen percent of the crop was heading, 4 percentage points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. In Louisiana, additional rainfall on saturated soil and cloudy conditions hindered heading. However, seasonable temperatures accelerated development in Mississippi. In Texas, a slower-than-normal start for the crop held progress, 16 points behind the average. Steady development continued in California, but no fields had reached the heading stage. Small grains: Spring wheat was 83 percent headed, 7 percentage points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the 5-year average. Development advanced rapidly in Idaho, Montana, and North Dakota. Heading approached completion in Minnesota, South Dakota, and Washington. Dry conditions continued to stress the crop in most of the Pacific Northwest. The barley crop was 84 percent headed, compared with 74 percent last year and the 5-year average of 76 percent. Heading was virtually complete in Washington, but conditions declined due to hot, dry weather. In Idaho and Montana, most late planted fields entered the heading stage. However, abnormally high temperatures increased the stress on dryland fields. The oat crop advanced to 93 percent headed, 4 percentage points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Harvest progress, at 2 percent, was behind last year and the 5-year average of 6 and 4 percent, respectively. Heading approached completion in the western Corn Belt and Ohio. Harvest was more than one-fifth complete in Nebraska, but was just starting in Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and South Dakota. Peanuts: Fifty-five percent of the peanut acreage was pegging, 14 percentage points behind last year and 8 points behind the average. Peanut pegging remained well behind normal due to wet weather that delayed planting in most States. However, pegging continued ahead of normal in Florida and Oklahoma, advancing 5 and 12 points, respectively, from the previous week. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 5 1 11 8 IL : 35 8 26 42 IN : 13 4 8 33 IA : 3 0 22 20 KS : 48 30 42 53 KY : 57 50 56 66 MI : 1 0 1 8 MN : 8 1 7 16 MO : 63 43 62 64 NE : 12 1 28 24 NC : 74 52 87 78 ND : 4 1 4 10 OH : 6 0 4 15 PA : 0 0 12 14 SD : 0 0 1 3 TN : 90 80 91 83 TX : 76 69 86 76 WI : 1 0 3 5 : 18 Sts: 19 9 23 28 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 37 14 32 30 IL : 25 7 26 41 IN : 23 7 20 42 IA : 30 14 71 55 KS : 33 15 30 41 KY : 8 5 18 25 LA : 58 39 54 69 MI : 20 3 29 29 MN : 36 13 46 38 MS : 80 67 54 75 MO : 13 5 18 29 NE : 15 2 45 35 NC : 1 0 12 14 ND : 28 6 29 24 OH : 23 10 17 44 SD : 38 20 41 34 TN : 13 5 25 24 WI : 14 0 21 14 : 18 Sts: 27 11 36 39 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 2 NA 2 4 IN : 0 NA 0 1 IA : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 5 NA 7 7 KY : 8 NA 0 3 MI : 0 NA 0 0 MN : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 12 NA 12 11 NE : 0 NA 0 1 NC : 8 NA 35 38 ND : 0 NA *0 *0 OH : 0 NA 0 0 PA : 0 NA 0 1 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TN : 20 NA 21 17 TX : 62 NA 63 59 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 3 NA 3 4 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 10 NA 14 10 IL : 3 NA 2 6 IN : 1 NA 3 8 IA : 1 NA 12 9 KS : 5 NA 4 7 KY : 1 NA 4 6 LA : 30 NA 25 39 MI : 0 NA 1 2 MN : 1 NA 3 3 MS : 59 NA 35 52 MO : 2 NA 2 4 NE : 0 NA 9 5 NC : 0 NA 0 0 ND : 3 NA 5 4 OH : 0 NA 0 0 SD : 1 NA 7 8 TN : 0 NA 10 7 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 3 NA 6 7 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 89 81 88 89 AZ : 74 69 99 97 AR : 94 81 97 99 CA : 80 65 79 69 GA : 87 79 94 88 LA : 92 82 98 98 MS : 85 77 93 97 MO : 80 68 78 95 NC : 80 64 93 80 OK : 66 46 73 61 SC : 60 47 79 76 TN : 82 61 92 96 TX : 54 35 73 76 VA : 46 11 94 87 : 14 Sts: 71 57 84 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 24 14 33 37 AZ : 55 27 72 52 AR : 43 13 52 58 CA : 24 10 24 17 GA : 42 28 61 53 LA : 56 35 66 76 MS : 48 35 63 70 MO : 18 6 29 57 NC : 9 1 37 27 OK : 9 3 18 9 SC : 5 1 26 24 TN : 16 6 33 38 TX : 22 20 26 29 VA : 0 0 35 14 : 14 Sts: 28 18 38 39 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 77 58 66 60 CO : 1 0 3 1 IL : 2 0 6 6 KS : 6 1 5 9 LA : 84 62 78 77 MO : 19 10 9 19 NE : 1 0 2 3 NM : 0 0 1 2 OK : 8 3 20 12 SD : 12 9 4 5 TX : 49 47 64 56 : 11 Sts: 24 20 29 27 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 10 NA 12 7 CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 0 NA 0 0 LA : 17 NA 22 19 MO : 0 NA 0 0 NE : 0 NA 0 0 NM : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 1 NA 2 1 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TX : 42 NA 43 43 : 11 Sts: 15 NA 16 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 5 2 7 10 CA : 0 0 0 1 LA : 64 57 78 68 MS : 24 10 14 19 MO : 16 7 3 2 TX : 56 54 81 72 : 6 Sts : 19 15 23 22 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 89 72 81 73 MN : 99 90 88 89 MT : 74 43 58 74 ND : 78 62 75 73 SD : 100 96 97 96 WA : 100 99 100 98 : 6 Sts : 83 67 76 79 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 86 66 81 75 MN : 99 90 90 87 MT : 77 49 59 72 ND : 83 65 74 72 WA : 100 98 100 99 : 5 Sts : 84 65 74 76 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 81% of last year's barley acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 98 100 99 CA : 83 78 89 86 CO : 57 29 87 69 ID : 1 0 0 1 IL : 91 85 95 94 IN : 61 55 87 91 KS : 99 92 100 98 MI : 0 0 15 37 MO : 98 90 100 97 MT : 0 0 0 1 NE : 47 15 78 59 NC : 87 82 100 99 OH : 11 6 82 82 OK : 100 98 100 99 OR : 7 0 15 5 SD : 10 0 23 14 TX : 94 90 99 97 WA : 3 1 2 3 : 18 Sts: 71 64 79 76 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 99 98 100 99 MN : 99 91 93 93 NE : 100 98 100 100 ND : 80 61 76 73 OH : 100 98 96 99 PA : 89 82 91 94 SD : 98 93 98 94 WI : 95 81 84 93 : 8 Sts : 93 83 89 89 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 2 NA 19 11 MN : 0 NA 0 0 NE : 23 NA 41 27 ND : 0 NA 0 0 OH : 1 NA 0 0 PA : 2 NA 7 5 SD : 1 NA 14 5 WI : 0 NA 0 1 : 8 Sts : 2 NA 6 4 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 63% of last year's oat acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 13,:Jul 6, :Jul 13,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 52 36 55 54 FL : 80 75 80 69 GA : 62 47 76 71 NC : 64 35 77 64 OK : 80 68 72 61 TX : 36 28 61 57 VA : 27 20 53 54 : 7 Sts : 55 42 69 63 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 4 16 49 30 IL : 1 5 18 52 24 IN : 5 12 31 43 9 IA : 1 3 11 56 29 KS : 1 8 24 56 11 KY : 2 9 23 40 26 MI : 1 3 27 54 15 MN : 2 3 13 56 26 MO : 2 6 25 54 13 NE : 1 2 19 52 26 NC : 2 5 28 48 17 ND : 2 4 17 56 21 OH : 4 11 30 41 14 PA : 3 9 28 33 27 SD : 1 2 13 59 25 TN : 3 7 18 53 19 TX : 11 19 26 38 6 WI : 1 3 14 55 27 : 18 Sts : 2 5 19 52 22 : Prev Wk : 1 5 21 54 19 Prev Yr : 5 13 33 40 9 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 1 5 38 43 13 AZ : 0 2 18 43 37 AR : 1 8 35 44 12 CA : 0 0 30 65 5 GA : 1 4 19 55 21 LA : 1 2 27 50 20 MS : 3 6 17 51 23 MO : 4 12 38 41 5 NC : 3 6 40 50 1 OK : 3 9 21 66 1 SC : 0 2 23 71 4 TN : 1 9 26 56 8 TX : 12 16 35 28 9 VA : 5 15 42 32 6 : 14 Sts : 6 10 31 41 12 : Prev Wk : 9 10 30 42 9 Prev Yr : 4 10 32 44 10 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 9 30 44 14 IL : 1 5 24 53 17 IN : 5 12 32 43 8 IA : 1 3 15 57 24 KS : 0 2 30 60 8 KY : 1 5 27 42 25 LA : 3 11 38 43 5 MI : 1 4 26 57 12 MN : 1 4 16 61 18 MS : 0 2 17 54 27 MO : 2 7 29 54 8 NE : 0 2 24 60 14 NC : 0 3 32 62 3 ND : 2 4 14 55 25 OH : 5 11 33 41 10 SD : 1 1 18 57 23 TN : 0 3 21 58 18 WI : 1 4 15 55 25 : 18 Sts : 2 5 23 54 16 : Prev Wk : 1 5 24 55 15 Prev Yr : 4 12 34 42 8 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 30 50 16 CO : 0 1 27 50 22 IL : 0 21 47 30 2 KS : 1 6 31 57 5 LA : 0 2 25 65 8 MO : 0 7 31 56 6 NE : 1 3 32 54 10 NM : 0 9 74 17 0 OK : 0 1 26 69 4 SD : 2 6 21 57 14 TX : 3 11 35 43 8 : 11 Sts : 2 7 33 51 7 : Prev Wk : 1 6 28 56 9 Prev Yr : 7 18 39 31 5 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 5 21 53 21 MN : 0 3 16 61 20 MT : 2 7 30 56 5 ND : 2 3 16 57 22 SD : 2 6 28 44 20 WA : 4 12 47 35 2 : 6 Sts : 2 5 22 54 17 : Prev Wk : 1 4 20 56 19 Prev Yr : 11 15 35 33 6 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 5 22 55 16 MN : 0 2 12 64 22 MT : 4 8 25 49 14 ND : 1 2 12 63 22 WA : 4 14 41 36 5 : 5 Sts : 2 5 20 56 17 : Prev Wk : 1 5 18 56 20 Prev Yr : 5 10 32 47 6 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 2 17 64 17 MN : 0 1 16 64 19 NE : 0 2 17 64 17 ND : 1 4 20 62 13 OH : 10 7 31 45 7 PA : 1 11 44 38 6 SD : 0 5 29 51 15 WI : 0 2 23 54 21 : 8 Sts : 1 3 22 58 16 : Prev Wk : 0 3 20 63 14 Prev Yr : 15 17 28 34 6 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 25 49 21 CA : 0 10 60 25 5 LA : 0 1 17 70 12 MS : 0 2 14 58 26 MO : 1 4 13 55 27 TX : 0 1 18 63 18 : 6 Sts : 1 4 27 51 17 : Prev Wk : 1 5 28 49 17 Prev Yr : 1 4 28 53 14 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 1 9 59 31 FL : 0 0 1 69 30 GA : 0 4 18 60 18 NC : 0 0 32 67 1 OK : 0 0 14 81 5 TX : 2 1 16 57 24 VA : 0 4 34 54 8 : 8 Sts : 0 2 17 61 20 : Prev Wk : 0 2 19 58 21 Prev Yr : 1 4 27 54 14 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 0 1 11 52 36 :: NJ : 0 0 16 52 32 AZ : 31 24 29 15 1 :: NM : 24 37 28 10 1 AR : 0 3 26 58 13 :: NY : 0 9 22 50 19 CA : 0 35 50 15 0 :: NC : 0 3 15 64 18 CO : 9 19 48 20 4 :: ND : 2 7 28 50 13 CT : 0 2 18 58 22 :: OH : 1 5 24 54 16 DE : 2 9 20 47 22 :: OK : 1 6 29 54 10 FL : 0 0 5 85 10 :: OR : 6 16 35 37 6 GA : 0 1 13 65 21 :: PA : 1 9 33 43 14 ID : 1 6 48 35 10 :: RI : 0 0 14 86 0 IL : 0 2 26 60 12 :: SC : 0 0 6 80 14 IN : 2 6 26 55 11 :: SD : 5 9 25 49 12 IA : 0 3 19 57 21 :: TN : 0 2 16 65 17 KS : 7 17 43 29 4 :: TX : 7 15 36 35 7 KY : 1 6 22 48 23 :: UT : 8 17 34 38 3 LA : 0 5 29 57 9 :: VT : 0 9 26 63 2 ME : 2 10 14 60 14 :: VA : 0 3 20 51 26 MD : 2 5 24 46 23 :: WA : 2 15 49 34 0 MA : 0 0 36 64 0 :: WV : 0 3 18 67 12 MI : 1 16 39 35 9 :: WI : 1 3 28 53 15 MN : 1 3 19 61 16 :: WY : 4 12 38 44 2 MS : 0 2 20 60 18 :: : MO : 1 11 38 44 6 :: 48 Sts : 4 11 30 45 10 MT : 7 15 35 37 6 :: : NE : 5 11 31 48 5 :: Prev Wk: 4 11 30 45 10 NV : 6 16 25 43 10 :: Prev Yr: 16 23 30 26 5 NH : 0 3 32 58 7 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on July 22, 2003. 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