We 1 (7-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 29, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 30 July 20 - 26, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Monsoon (summer rainy season) showers intensified across Arizona and expanded northward into parts of the Great Basin and Intermountain West. Arizona's rain provided limited drought relief, but Northwestern heat and dryness (weekly temperatures up to 10 degrees F above normal) further increased stress on rangelands and immature, dryland small grains. Meanwhile on the Plains, hot, mostly dry weather maintained stress on pastures and summer crops, particularly those in the reproductive stage of development. Adverse conditions were most persistent on the northern High Plains, where hot (3 to 9 degrees F above normal), dry weather hastened the maturation of spring-sown small grains but stressed immature summer crops. Farther east, a drying trend and occasionally hot weather brought a slight increase in stress on reproductive corn and soybeans in the southwestern Corn Belt. Elsewhere in the Midwest, however, soil moisture and temperatures (as much as 6 degrees F below normal) remained nearly ideal for summer crop development, although pockets of wetness redeveloped across the eastern Corn Belt. At week's end, Tropical Depression Seven made landfall near Savannah, GA, enhancing rainfall along the southern Atlantic Coast but otherwise having little effect on the region's weather. Elsewhere across the South, soil moisture for pastures and immature summer crops ranged from short in some areas west of the Delta to locally excessive in the Southeast. Although a few daily-record lows were set across the eastern half of the Nation, a bigger story was the persistence of extremely hot weather in the West. On July 23-24, consecutive daily-record lows were set in locations such as London, KY (58 and 57 degrees F), and St. Joseph, MO (53 and 54 degrees F). Other daily-record lows on July 24 included 50 degrees F in Estherville, IA, and 54 degrees F in Fayetteville, AR. Near the boundary between cool and hot air, Kansas City, MO, followed consecutive daily record-tying lows (57 and 59 degrees F) on July 23-24 with its first triple-digit reading of the year (102 degrees F) on July 26. Farther west, however, there was little heat relief, even during the overnight hours. For the first time on record, low temperatures in Death Valley, CA, were 100 degrees F or higher on consecutive days (102 degrees F on July 23 and 103 degrees F on July 24). Death Valley's latter reading also tied its highest minimum temperature on record, previously set on July 5, 1970. Las Vegas, NV, also posted its highest minimum temperature on record (92 degrees F on July 22 and 23), tying the record established on July 14, 2002. Although several more monthly and all-time-record highs were set or tied, the persistence of hot weather was the heat wave's most impressive feature. On July 22 in Oregon, Monument's high of 115 degrees F tied its all-time record set on July 12, 2002. Two days later, Colorado Springs, CO, matched its monthly record (100 degrees F on July 13, 1954) and just missed reaching its all-time record (101 degrees F on June 7, 1874). In Montana, Billings (107 degrees F on July 23) also fell short of its all-time record (108 degrees F on July 14, 2002) by 1 degree F, while Ennis (98 degrees F on July 23) tied its all-time record set on July 12-13, 2002. Extreme heat also affected parts of South Dakota, where Rapid City (109 degrees F on July 24) and Academy (114 degrees F on July 25) narrowly missed all-time records (110 and 116 degrees F, respectively), but Winner (112 degrees F on July 25) equaled its all-time record established on August 13, 1965. In terms of streaks, the following locations were among those establishing records for the most consecutive days with maximum temperatures of 100 degrees F or higher: Helena, MT (4 days from July 17-20; previously, 3 days from July 11-13, 2002); Boise, ID (9 days from July 15-23; previously, 7 days from July 20-26, 1931, and July 15-21, 1960); Salt Lake City, UT (10 days from July 15-24; previously, 9 days from July 14-22, 1960); and Grand Junction, CO (12 days from July 11-22; previously, 10 days from July 7-16, 2002). Meanwhile in Wyoming, high temperatures in Cheyenne reached or exceeded 90 degrees F on 22 of the first 26 days of July, breaking its all-time monthly record of 18 days established in July 1936 and 1966. The greatest concentration of wildfire activity shifted into the Northwest due to the encroachment of humidity and showers farther south associated with the monsoon. Mount Lemmon, AZ, near the scene of the former 85,000-acre Aspen Fire, received a 24-hour rainfall of 1.02 inches on July 21-22. On July 25, daily-record rainfall totals in Nevada included 0.67 inch in McDermitt and 0.70 inch in Wells. Elsewhere, however, more than three dozen large wildfires, in various stages of containment on July 27, were responsible for more than 400,000 acres of charred vegetation. As a result, the Nation's year-to-date wildfire acreage surpassed 1.75 million acres, nearly 80 percent of the 10-year average, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. Tropical Depression Seven, a short-lived system that formed on Friday just off the northeastern Florida coast, moved inland the following morning along the Georgia coast just south of Savannah. In the southern Atlantic States, the depression enhanced an already wet pattern that featured July 22-26 rainfall totaling 4.28 inches in Charleston, SC, 4.03 inches in Alma, GA, and 3.18 inches in Savannah. In North Carolina, Charlotte's January 1 - July 27 precipitation reached 43.81 inches (173 percent of normal), surpassing its normal annual rainfall of 43.51 inches. Farther north, July wetness reached record proportions in Ohio locations such as Akron-Canton and Youngstown. Akron-Canton received 2.74 inches from July 21-23 and 3.98 inches on July 27, boosting its month-to-date total (12.52 inches) past the July 1958 record of 11.43 inches. Similarly, Youngstown netted 5.95 inches from July 21-24 and 1.30 inches on July 27, vaulting its monthly sum (10.36 inches) past its July 1992 standard of 9.68 inches. On Hawaii's Big Island, spotty showers preceded the late-week arrival of record-setting warmth. Hilo netted a daily-record rainfall of 1.78 inches on July 24, followed by July record-tying highs of 89 degrees F from July 25-27. Elsewhere, a relatively quiet weather pattern across Hawaii's western islands was broken toward week's end by locally heavy showers. On July 25-26, Kauai's Mount Waialeale netted a 24-hour rainfall of 8.85 inches. Farther north, heavy precipitation also fell in parts of Alaska at week's end. Across the Alaskan interior, heavy rain fell on July 26-27 in locations such as McGrath (0.96 and 1.23 inches) and Fairbanks (1.16 and 2.27 inches). Fairbanks also measured its greatest 1- and 2-day precipitation totals on record in July (previously, 1.84 inches on July 20, 1948, and 2.81 inches on July 19-20, 1948, respectively), and second-highest 1-day rainfall in any month behind 3.42 inches on August 12, 1967. Alaskan weekly temperatures averaged within 3 degrees F of normal statewide. National Agricultural Summary July 21 - July 27, 2003 Highlights: Hot, dry weather in the Pacific Northwest stressed dryland crops but hastened winter wheat maturation. Dry conditions persisted in a band from southern California to Oklahoma and Texas. Widely scattered showers provided limited drought relief. Record-breaking heat and dry conditions covered the northern Great Plains and promoted development of grains, soybeans, and wheat but stressed crops and increased irrigation demands. Hot, drier-than-normal conditions across the southern Great Plains stressed pastures and summer crops. Soil moisture was mostly adequate in the upper Mississippi Valley and the Corn Belt, where mild, sunny weather favored corn and soybean development. Locally heavy showers maintained generally favorable moisture levels in the Delta. Wet conditions continued for a second week in the Southeast, as heavy showers were reported from Florida to the Tennessee Valley. Heavy rainfall caused some local flooding in Pennsylvania and New York. Corn: Seventy percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, 3 percentage points behind last year's 73 percent and 8 points behind the 5-year average of 78 percent. Ten percent of the crop was at or beyond the dough stage, behind last year and the average pace of 14 and 16 percent, respectively. Silking rapidly advanced in the Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains, especially in Minnesota and Colorado where 43 and 40 percent, respectively, of the acreage reached the silking stage. In Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Ohio, 35 percent or more of the corn crop entered the silking stage. However, even with the progress made, corn silking remained behind the 5-year average in most States. Texas and Tennessee continued to lead the Nation in corn doughing, with 72 and 65 percent, respectively. Doughing in the Corn Belt was mostly confined to the Ohio and Missouri River Valleys. Soybeans: Sixty-nine percent of the crop was blooming and 21 percent was setting pods, compared with 73 percent blooming and 31 percent setting pods on this date last year. On average, 76 percent of the acreage would be blooming and 34 percent setting pods on this date. Seasonal temperatures and adequate moisture in most areas of the Corn Belt promoted vegetative growth and blooming. Nearly one-fourth or more of the crop entered the blooming stage in Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. Acreage blooming during the week in Indiana, Iowa, and South Dakota was only slightly slower and progressed 20 percentage points. Pod setting remained behind the average in all areas except the interior Delta but gained momentum with the northwest Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the northern Great Plains advancing 15 points or more. Winter Wheat: Harvest advanced to 88 percent complete, compared with last year and the 5-year average of 87 percent complete. North Carolina and Texas completed their harvests last week, while California, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio neared completion. Michigan farmers harvested 40 percent of their winter wheat during the week, but remained 43 points behind average. Montana and South Dakota also made rapid harvest progress, with 38 and 31 point increases, respectively. Hot, dry weather promoted maturation and drydown of the crop across the northern Great Plains and Rocky Mountain regions. Cotton: Eighty-nine percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, 4 percentage points behind last year and 5 points behind the 5-year average. Fields setting bolls advanced to 54 percent, 16 points less than the progress on this date last year and 18 points behind the normal pace. Nine of the 14 major producing States were behind their normal squaring pace, with Arizona, South Carolina, and Texas 1 week behind and Virginia 2 weeks behind the normal pace. Virginia made the most progress in cotton squaring, with a 19-point increase but still trails its 5-year average by 23 points. Squaring was nearing completion in the Delta and adjacent areas of the Southeast. Favorable temperatures and adequate moisture promoted boll setting in the Southeast and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. However, all States except California continued to trail their 5-year averages for setting bolls, with Virginia over 50 points behind their normal pace. In Texas, 10 percent of cotton acreage had open bolls statewide, and defoliation was well underway in the southern cotton-producing areas. Sorghum: Thirty-six percent of the crop was headed, and 20 percent was turning color. Acreage at or beyond the heading stage was 11 percentage points behind last year and the 5-year average. Acreage turning color was 1 point behind last year and the average for this date. Heading in Illinois was 20 points behind the 5-year average, while Kansas and Texas were 15 points behind the average. The crop advanced ahead of normal in the lower Mississippi Valley, where development in Louisiana and Arkansas leads the Nation with 63 and 52 percent of their respective crops at or beyond the turning color stage. Rice: Forty-five percent of the crop was heading, 1 percentage point behind last year but 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Development advanced 25 points during the week in Mississippi to 68 percent headed. This is 18 points ahead of last year's progress and 21 points ahead of the 5-year average development pace. Heading progressed by 19 points in Arkansas, 11 points in Texas, and 9 points in California. In Texas, 5 percent of the crop has been harvested. Small grains: Spring wheat was 98 percent headed, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Development advanced 9 points in North Dakota, and 6 points in Idaho, as heading neared completion. Dry conditions continued to stress the crop in most of the Pacific Northwest. The barley crop was 99 percent headed, compared with 95 percent last year and the 5-year average of 96 percent. All five major-producing States are at or ahead of both last year's progress and the 5-year average. The oat harvest advanced to 20 percent complete, behind last year and the 5-year average of 32 and 28 percent complete, respectively. Harvest progress increased by 38 points in Iowa, 32 points in Nebraska, and 26 points in South Dakota. Harvest was just beginning in North Dakota, and wet conditions limited progress in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Peanuts: Eighty-five percent of the peanut acreage was pegging, 4 percentage points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. In Virginia, 20 percent of the peanuts entered the pegging stage, bringing the total crop to 50 percent pegging. Despite this advance, progress remained behind last year's pace of 74 percent pegging and the 5-year average of 82 percent. Alabama, Georgia, and North Carolina showed at least 11-point increases in pegging from the previous week, under rainy conditions. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 62 22 43 52 IL : 84 65 82 88 IN : 61 35 61 83 IA : 67 32 83 80 KS : 91 71 85 92 KY : 75 68 83 88 MI : 27 3 48 58 MN : 87 44 88 82 MO : 90 81 87 89 NE : 78 41 77 81 NC : 91 86 95 93 ND : 66 28 70 67 OH : 65 28 45 68 PA : 32 3 50 57 SD : 29 6 48 47 TN : 95 92 100 96 TX : 95 86 96 92 WI : 34 13 38 53 : 18 Sts: 70 42 73 78 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 57 40 63 60 IL : 71 47 72 81 IN : 56 36 55 79 IA : 81 *61 92 87 KS : 64 51 65 72 KY : 33 22 42 55 LA : 73 66 74 88 MI : 62 45 69 67 MN : 87 61 88 84 MS : 90 87 92 94 MO : 52 37 51 59 NE : 74 49 86 80 NC : 18 6 29 32 ND : 84 59 94 83 OH : 68 49 62 78 SD : 80 60 82 74 TN : 36 25 62 54 WI : 54 28 68 60 : 18 Sts: 69 49 73 76 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 1 3 4 IL : 15 7 18 27 IN : 8 2 6 18 IA : 0 0 6 5 KS : 26 12 29 33 KY : 26 18 33 36 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 0 0 MO : 41 26 44 45 NE : 7 1 21 12 NC : 37 20 71 67 ND : 3 0 3 4 OH : 2 0 1 10 PA : 1 0 10 16 SD : 0 0 3 6 TN : 65 50 71 61 TX : 72 65 73 72 WI : 0 0 0 5 : 18 Sts: 10 6 14 16 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 31 19 37 28 IL : 15 8 23 36 IN : 14 5 15 33 IA : 29 13 51 48 KS : 23 11 28 33 KY : 10 4 19 29 LA : 60 49 55 67 MI : 11 2 22 28 MN : 23 7 34 27 MS : 78 70 70 76 MO : 14 7 20 24 NE : 12 3 37 28 NC : 0 0 7 11 ND : 41 10 56 45 OH : 18 6 12 29 SD : 23 8 36 31 TN : 15 10 39 29 WI : 8 0 16 21 : 18 Sts: 21 10 31 34 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 98 93 98 97 AZ : 90 84 100 100 AR : 99 97 100 100 CA : 95 85 90 86 GA : 96 92 99 97 LA : 100 97 100 100 MS : 96 93 100 100 MO : 94 92 94 99 NC : 95 87 99 92 OK : 88 85 89 84 SC : 85 82 95 94 TN : 96 92 100 100 TX : 80 73 87 91 VA : 75 56 100 98 : 14 Sts: 89 83 93 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 57 44 74 76 AZ : 74 65 93 90 AR : 88 64 87 93 CA : 50 29 52 47 GA : 74 62 87 81 LA : 94 80 96 95 MS : 77 70 94 96 MO : 63 36 64 88 NC : 60 28 77 68 OK : 41 18 44 46 SC : 29 24 52 52 TN : 44 30 72 82 TX : 37 27 58 62 VA : 12 0 82 63 : 14 Sts: 54 40 70 72 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 94 87 84 85 CO : 15 7 12 11 IL : 19 12 23 39 KS : 21 15 34 36 LA : 97 94 92 93 MO : 42 29 39 51 NE : 12 3 28 24 NM : 4 2 17 12 OK : 30 14 48 31 SD : 37 24 28 26 TX : 53 51 68 68 : 11 Sts: 36 30 47 47 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 52 38 43 35 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 0 0 8 5 KS : 2 0 3 3 LA : 63 45 56 53 MO : 6 1 3 6 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 7 3 10 8 SD : 9 5 13 6 TX : 47 45 49 51 : 11 Sts: 20 18 21 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 38 19 38 36 CA : 10 1 14 8 LA : 79 71 87 85 MS : 68 43 50 47 MO : 30 24 17 12 TX : 90 79 95 90 : 6 Sts : 45 31 46 42 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 100 94 99 96 MN : 99 99 98 98 MT : 97 96 93 96 ND : 97 88 96 94 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 98 93 96 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 100 93 99 96 MN : 99 99 98 98 MT : 98 92 89 96 ND : 98 92 96 95 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 5 Sts : 99 93 95 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 81% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 53 15 80 67 MN : 13 0 20 18 NE : 79 47 90 76 ND : 2 0 4 3 OH : 15 9 33 45 PA : 4 2 40 32 SD : 36 10 57 34 WI : 13 3 18 21 : 8 Sts : 20 6 32 28 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 63% of last year's oat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CA : 95 93 96 97 CO : 98 85 100 96 ID : 18 5 5 9 IL : 98 97 100 100 IN : 97 88 100 100 KS : 100 100 100 100 MI : 50 10 90 93 MO : 100 100 100 100 MT : 43 5 5 21 NE : 95 84 98 94 NC : 100 97 100 100 OH : 97 82 100 100 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 50 35 48 31 SD : 82 51 93 70 TX : 100 98 100 100 WA : 19 10 15 17 : 18 Sts: 88 81 87 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 87 72 85 78 FL : 90 85 90 85 GA : 88 76 94 92 NC : 85 74 97 90 OK : 96 94 90 88 TX : 80 77 81 79 VA : 50 30 74 82 : 7 Sts : 85 75 89 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 6 16 49 26 IL : 1 4 15 51 29 IN : 5 13 27 42 13 IA : 1 3 14 54 28 KS : 10 21 33 27 9 KY : 2 9 22 42 25 MI : 1 5 23 54 17 MN : 1 3 18 58 20 MO : 7 17 31 38 7 NE : 3 8 28 42 19 NC : 2 6 18 49 25 ND : 3 6 18 58 15 OH : 3 9 29 45 14 PA : 3 6 24 38 29 SD : 2 3 16 56 23 TN : 2 7 17 54 20 TX : 14 16 28 36 6 WI : 2 4 22 50 22 : 18 Sts : 3 7 21 48 21 : Prev Wk : 2 6 20 50 22 Prev Yr : 10 17 31 35 7 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 4 24 49 23 AZ : 0 3 23 38 36 AR : 1 6 32 49 12 CA : 0 0 20 75 5 GA : 1 3 20 53 23 LA : 1 4 29 48 18 MS : 2 6 17 50 25 MO : 3 19 35 39 4 NC : 3 5 27 60 5 OK : 4 17 40 34 5 SC : 0 3 25 68 4 TN : 1 6 28 58 7 TX : 8 18 40 28 6 VA : 0 8 34 41 17 : 14 Sts : 4 10 31 44 11 : Prev Wk : 4 10 31 44 11 Prev Yr : 4 9 32 42 13 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 10 31 42 14 IL : 1 4 20 53 22 IN : 5 12 32 42 9 IA : 1 3 15 56 25 KS : 2 9 43 41 5 KY : 1 5 22 53 19 LA : 5 17 36 38 4 MI : 1 6 24 54 15 MN : 1 4 20 58 17 MS : 0 4 18 49 29 MO : 6 17 37 35 5 NE : 3 9 34 45 9 NC : 1 5 24 63 7 ND : 2 6 16 59 17 OH : 3 10 31 45 11 SD : 1 1 19 53 26 TN : 1 4 23 55 17 WI : 1 3 18 57 21 : 18 Sts : 2 7 25 50 16 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 51 17 Prev Yr : 7 15 33 38 7 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 24 52 19 CO : 7 14 34 40 5 IL : 0 5 63 27 5 KS : 5 20 44 29 2 LA : 0 2 27 63 8 MO : 2 11 49 34 4 NE : 4 11 45 38 2 NM : 0 32 57 11 0 OK : 0 4 49 46 1 SD : 5 16 28 44 7 TX : 5 16 32 40 7 : 11 Sts : 4 16 40 36 4 : Prev Wk : 3 10 38 43 6 Prev Yr : 13 25 38 21 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 10 26 43 21 MN : 0 3 18 59 20 MT : 8 24 37 29 2 ND : 2 6 20 54 18 SD : 2 5 32 42 19 WA : 7 25 43 25 0 : 6 Sts : 3 11 26 46 14 : Prev Wk : 2 7 24 51 16 Prev Yr : 11 16 37 31 5 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 10 23 48 17 MN : 0 2 13 61 24 MT : 12 22 30 30 6 ND : 1 4 15 61 19 WA : 5 27 51 17 0 : 5 Sts : 5 12 24 46 13 : Prev Wk : 2 9 22 49 18 Prev Yr : 5 11 34 44 6 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 12 57 28 MN : 1 2 17 67 13 NE : 1 3 20 57 19 ND : 2 10 26 52 10 OH : 4 8 35 47 6 PA : 0 10 47 38 5 SD : 1 6 31 49 13 WI : 1 3 29 53 14 : 8 Sts : 1 6 25 54 14 : Prev Wk : 1 5 22 57 15 Prev Yr : 15 17 29 34 5 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 25 49 21 CA : 0 10 50 35 5 LA : 0 0 25 58 17 MS : 0 2 13 58 27 MO : 2 6 17 45 30 TX : 2 4 12 65 17 : 6 Sts : 1 4 27 50 18 : Prev Wk : 1 4 27 49 19 Prev Yr : 1 4 30 52 13 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 2 10 60 28 FL : 0 0 1 69 30 GA : 0 2 19 58 21 NC : 2 5 15 69 9 OK : 0 5 33 50 12 TX : 0 3 18 57 22 VA : 0 0 25 67 8 : 8 Sts : 0 2 17 60 21 : Prev Wk : 7 2 16 57 18 Prev Yr : 1 5 28 51 15 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 0 1 14 56 29 :: NJ : 0 3 47 44 6 AZ : 33 21 26 19 1 :: NM : 47 27 18 8 0 AR : 1 6 31 55 7 :: NY : 0 4 23 50 23 CA : 10 35 45 10 0 :: NC : 0 2 14 67 17 CO : 17 28 33 20 2 :: ND : 3 18 32 40 7 CT : 0 2 25 59 14 :: OH : 1 4 22 59 14 DE : 0 3 25 50 22 :: OK : 3 17 43 32 5 FL : 0 0 10 75 15 :: OR : 9 15 45 28 3 GA : 0 1 15 61 23 :: PA : 3 9 29 49 10 ID : 3 19 46 25 7 :: RI : 0 0 16 78 6 IL : 0 7 24 57 12 :: SC : 0 0 10 80 10 IN : 1 6 21 60 12 :: SD : 4 13 36 41 6 IA : 3 13 29 47 8 :: TN : 0 2 17 64 17 KS : 17 33 35 13 2 :: TX : 8 16 37 30 9 KY : 1 3 21 58 17 :: UT : 10 20 31 37 2 LA : 0 4 39 46 11 :: VT : 0 15 35 41 9 ME : 1 14 26 28 31 :: VA : 0 2 16 53 29 MD : 0 5 27 49 19 :: WA : 6 17 63 14 0 MA : 0 11 37 52 0 :: WV : 0 2 20 55 23 MI : 3 14 37 40 6 :: WI : 2 9 37 46 6 MN : 2 6 27 57 8 :: WY : 6 14 46 33 1 MS : 0 2 16 61 21 :: : MO : 11 26 37 24 2 :: 48 Sts : 7 15 32 38 8 MT : 18 24 36 20 2 :: : NE : 11 22 36 29 2 :: Prev Wk: 4 14 32 41 9 NV : 7 30 35 23 5 :: Prev Yr: 19 24 29 24 4 NH : 0 3 35 54 8 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on August 5, 2003. 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