We 1 (8-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 5, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 31 July 27 - August 2, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Summer crops across the majority of the Corn Belt continued to experience favorable weather, featuring near- to below-normal temperatures and occasional showers. Midwestern soil moisture shortages were largely confined to the southwestern Corn Belt (mainly along, south, and west of the Missouri River), where scattered showers fell. Meanwhile, hot, dry weather promoted fieldwork but further stressed immature small grains across the western Dakotas and the Montana High Plains, where weekly temperatures averaged up to 8 degrees F above normal. In contrast, favorable temperatures (as much as 4 degrees F below normal) accompanied isolated showers in eastern portions of Nebraska and the Dakotas. Farther south, cooler air and beneficial showers spread across portions of the central and southern Plains, although heat and dryness persisted in much of Texas. Farther south and east, hot weather and a drying trend prevailed in the western Gulf Coast region, while widespread showers maintained mostly adequate to locally excessive soil moisture reserves for pastures and immature summer crops from the Delta to the Atlantic Coast. Elsewhere, showers associated with the monsoon (summer rainy season) provided relief from a July heat wave but had little effect on long-term hydrological drought across the Great Basin and Southwest. Meanwhile, record-setting heat adversely affected rangelands and immature small grains in the Northwest, where temperatures averaged as much as 10 degrees F above normal, although markedly cooler air arrived at week's end. Showers spread farther to the north and west early in the week, while intense heat shifted into the Northwest. Redding, CA, noted consecutive daily records on July 28-29, posting highs of 113 and 116 degrees F. Farther inland, Boise, ID, closed July and opened August with four more triple-digit readings (102, 106, 101, and 101 degrees F from July 29 - August 1), setting records for the greatest number of highs at or above 100 degrees F in a month (15 days in July 2003; previously, 11 days in July 1960) and a year (18 days through August 2; previously, 15 days in 1990). Farther south, however, Phoenix, AZ, logged a high of 97 degrees F on July 30, its first maximum temperature below 98 degrees F since May 15. A day earlier, Phoenix had received rainfall totaling 0.61 inch, ending a 104-day spell (April 16 - July 28) without measurable precipitation. Elsewhere in Arizona, Tucson's 1.31-inch rainfall on July 29 represented its greatest daily total since 1.53 inches fell on October 11, 2000. Meanwhile in southern California, Long Beach netted a daily-record rainfall (0.02 inch) on July 28, followed 2 days later by its highest daily total on record (0.27 inch) during July (previously, 0.18 inch on July 23, 1986). Toward week's end, monsoon moisture interacting with an approaching storm system produced daily-rainfall records for August 2 in locations such as Redding, CA (0.61 inch), Elko, NV (0.53 inch). At week's end, Reno, NV (74 degrees F on August 2), posted its lowest maximum temperature on record for the date, just 3 days after a daily-record high of 104 degrees F. Showers accompanying the cooler weather produced daily-record totals on August 2 in locations such as Redding, CA (0.61 inch), Elko, NV (0.53 inch), and Medford, OR (0.10). Medford's rain snapped an 81-day spell (May 13 - August 1) without measurable precipitation. Downtown San Francisco, CA, noted consecutive daily-record totals on August 2-3, totaling 0.06 inch. The abrupt, late-week transition toward cooler, more humid weather aided wildfire containment efforts across the northern Rockies and Northwest, although nearly two dozen large fires continued to burn on August 4. The largest group of blazes was the Fawn Peak Complex, covering more than 75,000 acres northwest of Winthrop, WA. The Nation's year-to-date wildfire acreage topped 1.85 million acres, nearly 76 percent of the 10-year average. Meanwhile across the eastern half of the Nation, locally heavy showers and thunderstorms provided most of the highlights. Scattered, daily-record rainfall totals on July 29 included 3.19 inches in Greensboro, NC, and 2.44 inches in Orlando, FL, followed 2 days later by records in London, KY (1.64 inches), and Huntington, WV (1.47 inches). On August 1, records in the Northeast included 1.41 inches in Albany, NY, and 1.00 inch in Portland, ME. London notched another daily record (1.65 inches) on August 3. In Georgia, Columbus completed its wettest May-July period on record (22.87 inches, or 188 percent of normal), surpassing its 1971 total of 21.88 inches. In Hawaii, locally heavy rainfall ended across the western islands early in the week, followed by a return to very warm weather (as much as 2 degrees F above normal) and scattered showers in windward locations. On Oahu, Honolulu notched four consecutive daily records, including a high of 92 degrees F on the last day of July and highs of 91 degrees F from August 1-3. In contrast, very cool weather invaded the northern two-thirds of Alaska, holding weekly temperatures 5 to 11 degrees F below normal. The chilly conditions followed Fairbanks' wettest July day (2.27 inches on July 27), a record that contributed to the city's fourth-wettest month in a century behind 6.88 inches in August 1930, 6.71 inches in January 1937, and 6.20 inches in August 1967. Fairbanks' monthly total, 5.96 inches (345 percent of normal), easily surpassed its July 1992 record of 5.39 inches. National Agricultural Summary July 28 - August 3, 2003 Highlights: Hot, dry weather persisted in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains, and northern Great Plains. The Southwest and southern Rocky Mountains received much-needed relief from the heat with monsoonal rainfall. The southern Great Plains experienced scattered showers, but not enough to offset soaring temperatures and the resultant crop stress. The upper Mississippi Valley had little rainfall but retained adequate soil moisture from earlier rains. Moderate rainfall and mild temperatures in the Corn Belt aided crop development without stressing crops appreciably. The lower Mississippi Valley saw light to moderate rainfall and maintained adequate soil moisture, helping rice progress and maintaining condition. Moderate to heavy rainfall continued in the Southeast, spurring cotton development. Moderate to heavy rainfall continued in the Northeast. Corn: Eighty-six percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, 3 percentage points behind last year's 89 percent and 5 points behind the 5-year average of 91 percent. Nineteen percent of the crop was at or beyond the dough stage, behind last year and the average pace of 28 and 29 percent, respectively. Silking continued to advance rapidly in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains but remained well behind the 5-year average. South Dakota showed the largest gain, with 42 percent of its corn entering the silking stage, followed by Michigan with 30 percent. Doughing continued to lag well behind the average in most States, particularly in the heart of the Corn Belt. Kansas pulled ahead of its 5-year average with a 27-point increase, with 53 percent of its crop at or beyond the dough stage. But crop conditions there continue to decline. Soybeans: Eighty-two percent of the crop was blooming and 40 percent was setting pods, compared with 86 percent blooming and 50 percent setting pods on this date last year. On average, 87 percent of the acreage would be blooming and 53 percent setting pods on this date. Favorable temperatures and moisture levels in the Corn Belt continued to aid crop development. In the Great Plains, crop condition declined due to hot, dry weather. Pod setting in the Corn Belt and adjacent areas gained momentum, but outside the interior Delta, most States remained well behind their normal pace. Twenty percent or more of the crop set pods in the central and western Corn Belt. Winter Wheat: Harvest advanced to 93 percent complete, compared with last year's 91 percent and the 5-year average of 90 percent complete. In the Corn Belt, harvest neared completion. Michigan farmers, who had little rain to contend with, harvested another 41 percent of their crop, bringing the total for the last 2 weeks to 81 percent. After Michigan, the largest gains were in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains regions, where hot, dry weather promoted harvest activities. Cotton: Ninety-four percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, 3 percentage points behind last year and the 5-year average. Fields setting bolls advanced to 69 percent, 14 points less than the progress on this date last year and 15 points behind the normal pace. In the Delta and Southeast regions, acreage squaring was at or near completion, while Texas and Virginia remained a week behind their normal pace. Continued favorable conditions aided boll-setting in the Southeast and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. North Carolina pulled slightly ahead of its 5-year average, and California advanced to a week ahead of its normal pace. However, most States remained well behind their 5-year average. In southern Texas, defoliation activities were gaining momentum and harvest had begun. Sorghum: Forty-seven percent of the crop was headed, and 23 percent was turning color. Acreage at or beyond the heading stage was 9 percentage points behind last year and 12 points behind the 5-year average. Acreage turning color was 2 points behind last year and 3 points behind the average for this date. Heading neared completion in the Delta and steadily advanced in the central and northern Great Plains. In Oklahoma and South Dakota, about one-fifth of the crop entered the heading stage. Illinois, with only 24 percent of its crop headed, was 4 weeks behind normal. The crop is most advanced in Arkansas and Louisiana, where 65 and 75 percent was turning color, respectively. However, only a few fields in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains were turning color. Rice: Sixty-three percent of the crop was headed, 4 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-eight percent of the Arkansas crop entered the heading stage and the state was a week ahead of its normal pace, as were Mississippi and Missouri. California and Texas were slightly ahead of normal. Although Louisiana's heading progress is slightly behind normal, 31 percent of their rice acreage has been harvested. Small grains: The spring wheat crop was 13 percent harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. South Dakota led the way with 57 percent of its crop harvested, 14 points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-one percent of Washington's acreage has been harvested, 8 points ahead of the average. Conditions declined in most States due to the hot, dry weather. Barley was 13 percent harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Minnesota has made the most progress, with 19 percent harvested, but Washington and North Dakota are close behind, at 18 and 16 percent, respectively. The oat harvest advanced to 40 percent complete, behind last year and the 5-year average of 46 and 47 percent complete, respectively. The Corn Belt made good harvest progress, with growers in Iowa and South Dakota harvesting nearly 35 percent of their oat crop. In Ohio and Pennsylvania, where wet conditions have hampered progress, harvest was 3 weeks behind normal. Peanuts: Ninety-two percent of the peanut acreage was pegging, 2 percentage points behind last year but even with the 5-year average. Alabama, Florida, Oklahoma, and Texas are ahead of their 5-year average, while Georgia and North Carolina are slightly behind. Crop development in Virginia steadily advanced but remained 26 points behind its 5-year average. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 86 62 66 73 IL : 92 84 94 96 IN : 82 61 84 93 IA : 87 67 95 93 KS : 97 91 92 97 KY : 88 75 97 95 MI : 57 27 80 80 MN : 98 87 96 95 MO : 93 90 94 95 NE : 93 78 91 93 NC : 94 91 99 96 ND : 86 66 89 88 OH : 80 65 72 87 PA : 54 32 70 74 SD : 71 29 73 73 TN : 99 95 100 98 TX : 98 95 99 97 WI : 60 34 72 79 : 18 Sts: 86 70 89 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 19 3 10 9 IL : 31 15 38 46 IN : 17 8 16 35 IA : 5 0 21 15 KS : 53 26 47 51 KY : 42 26 57 52 MI : 0 0 0 3 MN : 0 0 4 4 MO : 57 41 63 63 NE : 17 7 43 28 NC : 50 37 85 76 ND : 7 3 17 17 OH : 9 2 10 24 PA : 4 1 24 28 SD : 7 0 19 20 TN : 80 65 82 76 TX : 79 72 79 80 WI : 4 0 9 15 : 18 Sts: 19 10 28 29 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 72 57 79 75 IL : 85 71 86 91 IN : 72 56 75 88 IA : 90 81 97 94 KS : 77 64 77 82 KY : 57 33 70 67 LA : 85 73 90 94 MI : 72 62 87 84 MN : 96 87 95 94 MS : 96 90 96 97 MO : 64 52 72 74 NE : 90 74 94 90 NC : 39 18 42 43 ND : 93 84 100 95 OH : 82 68 79 89 SD : 90 80 91 87 TN : 53 36 82 69 WI : 70 54 82 79 : 18 Sts: 82 69 86 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 47 31 51 42 IL : 36 15 46 58 IN : 27 14 32 51 IA : 53 29 76 70 KS : 42 23 42 48 KY : 19 10 39 41 LA : 68 60 79 80 MI : 23 11 36 50 MN : 50 23 54 50 MS : 87 78 80 84 MO : 26 14 30 37 NE : 37 12 56 48 NC : 7 0 22 21 ND : 60 41 85 72 OH : 33 18 25 49 SD : 45 23 57 49 TN : 24 15 55 42 WI : 29 8 36 38 : 18 Sts: 40 21 50 53 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 100 98 100 99 AZ : 95 90 100 100 AR : 99 99 100 100 CA : 96 95 94 94 GA : 98 96 100 99 LA : 100 100 100 100 MS : 100 96 100 100 MO : 99 94 99 100 NC : 100 95 100 96 OK : 90 88 90 90 SC : 95 85 98 97 TN : 100 96 100 100 TX : 88 80 93 96 VA : 90 75 100 100 : 14 Sts: 94 89 97 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 85 57 87 86 AZ : 84 74 99 97 AR : 95 88 97 98 CA : 75 50 76 66 GA : 86 74 94 90 LA : 99 94 99 99 MS : 89 77 98 99 MO : 84 63 82 95 NC : 85 60 87 80 OK : 52 41 66 65 SC : 45 29 67 68 TN : 64 44 83 92 TX : 49 37 73 77 VA : 52 12 95 79 : 14 Sts: 69 54 83 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 96 94 94 91 CO : 30 15 22 21 IL : 24 19 55 62 KS : 37 21 47 52 LA : 99 97 96 97 MO : 57 42 56 66 NE : 30 12 49 49 NM : 11 4 29 24 OK : 51 30 53 41 SD : 57 37 47 41 TX : 57 53 70 74 : 11 Sts: 47 36 56 59 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 65 52 58 49 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 2 0 18 15 KS : 5 2 6 7 LA : 75 63 72 71 MO : 10 6 5 14 NE : 0 0 0 1 NM : 1 0 0 1 OK : 18 7 26 16 SD : 13 9 17 12 TX : 49 47 51 55 : 11 Sts: 23 20 25 26 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 6 NA 3 4 MN : 12 NA 10 12 MT : 12 NA 6 7 ND : 7 NA 5 8 SD : 57 NA 66 43 WA : 21 NA 14 13 : 6 Sts : 13 NA 11 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 87 53 96 91 MN : 41 13 35 39 NE : 90 79 96 89 ND : 10 2 8 11 OH : 41 15 60 68 PA : 17 4 48 46 SD : 71 36 80 61 WI : 30 13 38 45 : 8 Sts : 40 20 46 47 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 63% of last year's oat acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 92 87 92 85 FL : 95 90 94 90 GA : 96 88 98 97 NC : 90 85 98 95 OK : 98 96 93 92 TX : 89 80 88 86 VA : 65 50 85 91 : 7 Sts : 92 85 94 92 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CA : 97 95 97 99 CO : 100 98 100 98 ID : 37 18 15 20 IL : 99 98 100 100 IN : 99 97 100 100 KS : 100 100 100 100 MI : 91 50 97 99 MO : 100 100 100 100 MT : 67 43 27 50 NE : 99 95 100 98 NC : 100 100 100 100 OH : 100 97 100 100 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 70 50 67 53 SD : 98 82 99 89 TX : 100 100 100 100 WA : 45 19 36 34 : 18 Sts: 93 88 91 90 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 7 NA 4 7 MN : 19 NA 14 19 MT : 12 NA 8 11 ND : 16 NA 5 11 WA : 18 NA 10 13 : 5 Sts : 13 NA 7 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 82% of last year's barley acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 3, :Jul 27,:Aug 3, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 66 38 58 57 CA : 15 10 19 13 LA : 85 79 90 90 MS : 84 68 72 69 MO : 42 30 39 31 TX : 95 90 98 94 : 6 Sts : 63 45 59 57 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 7 16 50 24 IL : 1 4 16 50 29 IN : 5 10 26 46 13 IA : 1 4 17 53 25 KS : 12 29 37 19 3 KY : 1 8 28 37 26 MI : 1 5 24 51 19 MN : 1 4 20 55 20 MO : 12 21 30 31 6 NE : 6 11 26 39 18 NC : 1 4 20 55 20 ND : 2 5 17 60 16 OH : 3 8 27 44 18 PA : 3 8 21 35 33 SD : 2 6 21 50 21 TN : 2 5 16 56 21 TX : 14 19 26 36 5 WI : 2 4 18 55 21 : 18 Sts : 3 8 22 47 20 : Prev Wk : 3 7 21 48 21 Prev Yr : 12 17 30 33 8 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 6 27 44 20 AZ : 0 4 18 40 38 AR : 1 5 29 53 12 CA : 0 0 15 75 10 GA : 0 2 20 55 23 LA : 1 3 32 50 14 MS : 2 6 15 51 26 MO : 4 12 31 45 8 NC : 3 6 31 55 5 OK : 7 14 41 33 5 SC : 0 3 26 67 4 TN : 0 5 23 62 10 TX : 9 19 42 24 6 VA : 0 9 44 34 13 : 14 Sts : 5 11 31 41 12 : Prev Wk : 4 10 31 44 11 Prev Yr : 4 9 30 43 14 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 10 29 44 14 IL : 1 5 21 50 23 IN : 5 9 28 47 11 IA : 1 4 19 54 22 KS : 6 20 48 25 1 KY : 1 4 21 53 21 LA : 4 17 33 41 5 MI : 0 6 25 50 19 MN : 1 4 23 55 17 MS : 0 3 18 45 34 MO : 9 16 37 34 4 NE : 5 13 32 41 9 NC : 1 4 26 64 5 ND : 2 5 19 58 16 OH : 3 10 30 43 14 SD : 1 5 24 52 18 TN : 1 4 19 60 16 WI : 1 4 17 56 22 : 18 Sts : 3 8 26 47 16 : Prev Wk : 2 7 25 50 16 Prev Yr : 9 16 32 35 8 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 23 51 21 CO : 5 20 37 34 4 IL : 0 4 56 36 4 KS : 15 26 42 16 1 LA : 0 3 29 64 4 MO : 4 9 48 33 6 NE : 7 25 43 24 1 NM : 12 33 50 5 0 OK : 1 6 46 46 1 SD : 11 23 25 39 2 TX : 10 22 31 31 6 : 11 Sts : 11 22 37 26 4 : Prev Wk : 4 16 40 36 4 Prev Yr : 18 25 31 23 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 12 25 45 18 MN : 1 2 20 51 26 MT : 11 27 36 24 2 ND : 1 6 22 52 19 SD : 5 8 34 37 16 WA : 6 22 43 29 0 : 6 Sts : 4 12 27 42 15 : Prev Wk : 3 11 26 46 14 Prev Yr : 10 18 40 29 3 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 10 26 47 15 MN : 1 1 12 65 21 MT : 19 20 22 32 7 ND : 1 4 19 55 21 WA : 6 25 51 18 0 : 5 Sts : 7 11 24 44 14 : Prev Wk : 5 12 24 46 13 Prev Yr : 4 15 38 39 4 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 12 57 28 MN : 1 3 20 57 19 NE : 1 3 20 57 19 ND : 2 9 34 47 8 OH : 2 5 44 44 5 PA : 3 13 38 39 7 SD : 2 8 31 42 17 WI : 0 3 30 55 12 : 8 Sts : 1 6 28 50 15 : Prev Wk : 1 6 25 54 14 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 4 25 49 20 CA : 0 5 60 30 5 LA : 0 1 21 57 21 MS : 0 1 12 56 31 MO : 0 0 6 48 46 TX : 2 4 12 66 16 : 6 Sts : 1 3 27 49 20 : Prev Wk : 1 4 27 50 18 Prev Yr : 1 4 31 47 17 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 2 15 50 33 FL : 0 1 4 60 35 GA : 0 2 19 59 20 NC : 0 4 32 54 10 OK : 0 5 39 48 8 TX : 0 1 20 56 23 VA : 0 5 22 57 16 : 8 Sts : 0 2 20 56 22 : Prev Wk : 0 2 17 60 21 Prev Yr : 1 6 27 52 14 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 0 2 15 50 33 :: NJ : 0 0 57 43 0 AZ : 32 27 20 18 3 :: NM : 42 34 20 4 0 AR : 0 6 31 52 11 :: NY : 0 2 18 63 17 CA : 10 50 30 10 0 :: NC : 0 1 11 73 15 CO : 18 29 33 18 2 :: ND : 6 20 37 35 2 CT : 0 2 35 53 10 :: OH : 1 4 26 54 15 DE : 0 5 15 58 22 :: OK : 6 24 40 27 3 FL : 0 0 15 65 20 :: OR : 7 13 51 26 3 GA : 0 1 16 63 20 :: PA : 3 9 20 48 20 ID : 3 21 46 23 7 :: RI : 0 0 23 73 4 IL : 1 7 30 50 12 :: SC : 0 0 7 68 25 IN : 1 4 19 65 11 :: SD : 8 18 36 32 6 IA : 6 20 30 38 6 :: TN : 0 2 14 65 19 KS : 24 31 33 11 1 :: TX : 11 19 35 28 7 KY : 0 4 20 51 25 :: UT : 10 21 35 33 1 LA : 0 6 38 49 7 :: VT : 0 22 37 36 5 ME : 1 8 40 51 0 :: VA : 0 3 15 51 31 MD : 2 4 28 43 23 :: WA : 5 25 50 20 0 MA : 0 0 55 45 0 :: WV : 0 3 28 50 19 MI : 5 19 32 38 6 :: WI : 5 14 42 35 4 MN : 2 11 39 46 2 :: WY : 5 16 47 31 1 MS : 0 2 18 59 21 :: : MO : 18 28 33 18 3 :: 48 Sts : 9 18 31 34 8 MT : 19 25 39 15 2 :: : NE : 16 26 33 23 2 :: Prev Wk: 7 15 32 38 8 NV : 7 30 43 20 0 :: Prev Yr: 22 24 27 23 4 NH : 0 3 37 50 10 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on August 12, 2003. 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