We 1 (8-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 12, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 32 August 3 - 9, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: In the Midwest, near- to below-normal temperatures and mostly adequate soil moisture levels continued to favor reproductive to filling summer crops. Midwestern crop stress due to soil moisture shortages and sporadically hot weather was limited to the southwestern Corn Belt. Farther south, hot, dry weather stressed pastures and hastened summer crop maturation in the western Gulf Coast region. In contrast, heavy rain soaked the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic States, causing local flash flooding and increasing concerns for summer crop disease potential. Meanwhile, spotty showers on the Plains provided limited relief from a persistent pattern of hot weather and diminishing soil moisture reserves. As a result, stress on the Plains' pastures and immature summer crops continued, but spring wheat harvesting progressed with few delays. Elsewhere, favorably cooler air overspread the West Coast States, although scattered showers provided little drought relief to dryland agricultural interests. Meanwhile, heat and dryness re-intensified across the Intermountain West, where weekly temperatures averaged up to 10 degrees F above normal. Hot weather persisted on the northern High Plains, while extreme heat shifted into the south-central United States. With 9 consecutive days of triple-digit heat (August 1-9), Midland, TX, tied its August record (previously established from August 11-19, 1969). However, Midland's streak ended on August 10 with a high of 97 degrees F. Elsewhere in Texas, Lubbock notched five consecutive daily-record highs (105, 102, 102, 104, and 105 degrees F) from August 4-8, while both Austin locations (Bergstrom [108 degrees F] and Mabry [110 degrees F]) collected monthly record highs on August 8. The previous records were 107 degrees F at Austin-Bergstrom, established on August 10, 1953, and 109 degrees F at Austin-Mabry, registered on August 18, 1923. Several Texas locations, including Dallas-Ft. Worth (109 degrees F on August 6) and both Austin stations, experienced their hottest weather since the September 2000 heat wave. Dry weather accompanied the heat, extending Lubbock's spell without measurable rain to 44 days (June 27 - August 9). Meanwhile in Montana, Billings' dry spell stretched to 45 days (June 26 - August 9), tying October 17 - November 30, 1934, for its third-longest streak on record. The longest spell in Billings without measurable precipitation was 51 days, from October 31 - December 20, 1939. Farther east, Greenville-Spartanburg, SC, became the latest of several Southeastern locations to surpass its normal annual rainfall (50.24 inches), accomplishing the feat on August 8. Daily-record rainfall totals, including 3.00 inches in Greensboro, NC (on August 3), 3.40 inches in Birmingham, AL (on August 3), and 6.15 inches in Tupelo, MS (on August 6), were scattered across the East throughout the week. Birmingham's August 3-6 rainfall totaled 7.36 inches. In Florida on August 9, daily-record totals in Tampa (3.34 inches) and Sarasota-Bradenton (3.53 inches) contributed to flash flooding in west-central portions of the State. Farther north, Philadelphia, PA, received at least a trace of rain on 15 consecutive days (totaling 2.83 inches) from July 27 - August 10, its longest such streak since April 19 - May 3, 1950. The only longer streak in Philadelphia's records occurred in 1898, when precipitation fell on 16 consecutive days from March 16-31. Late in the week, heavy rain continued in the northern Mid-Atlantic region and southern New England, where August 7-8 totals included 3.42 inches in Providence, RI. Record heat returned to much of the West toward week's end, boosting August 9 highs to daily-record levels in locations such as Phoenix, AZ (112 degrees F), and Simi Valley, CA (103 degrees F). Prior to the heat's return, a 67-day spell (May 31 - August 5) without measurable precipitation ended in Yakima, WA, with a 0.30-inch rainfall on August 6-7. It was Yakima's fourth-longest dry spell on record, but well shy of its 1987 standard of 104 days. By August 10, more than three dozen large wildfires were scattered across the southern Plains and the West, with the largest concentration of activity in the northern Rockies. According to the National Interagency Fire Center, wildfires charred 1.99 million acres of vegetation nationally through August 10, slightly less than 70 percent of the 10-year average. Warm weather returned to southwestern Alaska, where weekly temperatures averaged up to 9 degrees F above normal, but cool weather (as much as 3 degrees F below normal) lingered for most of the week elsewhere in the State. Northway (35 degrees F) collected a daily-record low on August 5. In contrast, Bethel closed the week with consecutive daily-record highs (78 and 87 degrees F), including an August-record maximum temperature on August 9. It was the warmest day in Bethel since a high of 87 degrees F on June 28, 1939. During the first 10 days of August, drier-than-normal weather prevailed across the majority of Alaska. Only a trace of rain (0.70 inch below normal) fell in Anchorage, while August 1-10 precipitation totaled 0.13 inch (11 percent of normal) in Kodiak and 0.22 inch (13 percent) on Annette Island. Meanwhile, a warm, mostly dry weather pattern prevailed in Hawaii, where weekly temperatures averaged as much as 2 degrees F above normal. On August 3, Honolulu, Oahu (91 degrees F), posted its fourth consecutive daily-record high, followed by another record (92 degrees F) on August 6. Showers became more numerous in typically wetter windward locations during the second half of the week, when 72-hour (August 7-10) totals on the Big Island reached 3.19 inches in Glenwood and 3.04 inches in Mountain View. National Agricultural Summary August 4 - 10, 2003 Highlights: The Pacific Northwest received limited relief from drought conditions in the form of widespread, but low precipitation and cooler temperatures in some areas. The Southwest remained hot and dry, but crop and pasture conditions improved slightly. In the Rockies, hot, dry weather continued to stress crops and pastures. Scattered showers across the Great Plains eased drought conditions but did little to improve crop condition, though most crops progressed well. Most of the Corn Belt received little rain and had slightly cooler-than-normal temperatures, causing little change in conditions and about normal progress for crops. The western part of the Delta was mostly dry, with seasonable temperatures. Abundant rainfall and mild temperatures in the Southeast and Ohio Valley maintained good conditions without slowing progress. The northern Atlantic Coast States had above-normal temperatures and adequate rainfall, improving pasture conditions. Corn: Ninety-five percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, 1 percentage point behind last year's 96 percent and 2 points behind the 5-year average of 97 percent. Thirty-five percent of the crop was at or beyond the dough stage, behind last year and the average pace of 45 and 48 percent, respectively. Nine percent of the crop had reached the dough stage, 5 points behind last year and 6 points behind the average. Even though most States are nearing completion, silking continued to trail the normal pace in the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Doughing progressed well, but was still behind the normal pace in most areas, especially the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Following the trend of earlier development stages, denting was behind the normal pace in most areas. Soybeans: Ninety percent of the crop was blooming and 62 percent was setting pods, compared with 93 percent blooming and 69 percent setting pods on this date last year. On average, 93 percent of the acreage would be blooming and 71 percent setting pods on this date. Fields in the Great Plains advanced quickly into the pod-setting stage, aided by seasonable temperatures and scattered drought relief. Much of the Corn Belt remains well behind normal pace in setting pods, though most States in that region advanced by 20 points or more. Pod setting in the Southeast slowed due to heavy rains and cooler-than-normal temperatures. Winter Wheat: Harvest advanced to 96 percent complete, compared with 94 percent for last year and the 5-year average. The last of the Great Plains fields were harvested and in the Corn Belt, only Illinois and Michigan farmers have not yet completed their harvest. Farmers in the Rocky Mountains and Pacific Northwest are well ahead of normal. Harvest was most active in Washington, where producers threshed 23 percent of their acreage. Harvest was also active in Idaho. Cotton: Eighty percent of the acreage was at or beyond the setting bolls stage, 10 percentage points behind last year and 11 points behind the 5-year average. Eight percent of fields had open bolls compared with 12 percent last year and 11 percent for the 5-year average. In the Delta, acreage setting bolls was at or near completion, but progress in opening bolls was well behind normal. California remained well ahead of the average in setting bolls and was slightly ahead of normal in bolls opening. In Texas, setting bolls was 24 percent behind normal, but bolls opening was 1 point off the normal pace and the highest of all States. Sorghum: Fifty-nine percent of the crop was headed, and 27 percent was turning color. Acreage at or beyond the heading stage was 7 percentage points behind last year and 14 points behind the 5-year average. Acreage turning color was 3 points behind last year and 6 points behind the average for this date. Heading was nearly complete in the Delta and advanced rapidly in the central Great Plains. About a third of the crop entered the heading stage in Nebraska. Illinois fields made good heading progress but were still nearly 2 weeks behind average. Fields in the Delta continued to lead the Nation in turning color, while other areas were progressing slowly. Rice: Seventy-six percent of the crop was headed, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the 5-year average. Nine percent of the rice had been harvested, 2 points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. Only Louisiana trails the 5-year average in heading, while Mississippi and Missouri remained well ahead of the average. Harvest was reported in Louisiana and Texas. Louisiana farmers had harvested 45 percent of their rice crop, slightly ahead of last year and the same as the 5-year average. Texas rice was 24 percent harvested, 36 points behind last year and 15 points behind the normal pace. Small grains: The spring wheat crop was 29 percent harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Minnesota and South Dakota farmers harvested one-fourth of their crops to bring the total acreage harvested to 37 and 82 percent, respectively. Washington farmers harvested slightly less, at 23 percent, but were 17 points ahead of their 5-year average. Barley was 32 percent harvested, 16 percentage points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. Minnesota farmers, aided by dry conditions and warmer-than-normal temperatures, harvested a third of their crop. Farmers in North Dakota and Washington harvested 22 percent of their crop to bring their total acreage harvested to 38 and 40 percent, respectively. The oat crop advanced to 57 percent harvested, 8 percentage points behind last year and the 5-year average. Farmers made good progress in most States, with Minnesota farmers harvesting nearly a fourth of their crop. Progress remains well behind normal in the Ohio Valley, where wet conditions have hampered progress for several weeks. Peanuts: Ninety-six percent of the peanut acreage was pegging, 1 percentage point behind last year but 1 point above the 5-year average. Alabama, Florida, Oklahoma, and Texas were ahead of their 5-year average, while Georgia and North Carolina were slightly behind. Crop development in Virginia was nearly 3 weeks behind the 5-year average. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 96 86 87 87 IL : 98 92 98 99 IN : 91 82 94 97 IA : 96 87 99 98 KS : 99 97 98 99 KY : 99 88 99 97 MI : 86 57 88 91 MN : 99 98 98 98 MO : 97 93 98 99 NE : 96 93 98 98 NC : 100 94 100 99 ND : 97 86 96 97 OH : 93 80 88 96 PA : 69 54 82 84 SD : 90 71 90 90 TN : 100 99 100 99 TX : 100 98 100 99 WI : 81 60 87 90 : 18 Sts: 95 86 96 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 25 19 19 20 IL : 53 31 57 64 IN : 30 17 33 56 IA : 20 5 39 34 KS : 67 53 68 70 KY : 59 42 62 65 MI : 2 0 4 13 MN : 17 0 26 21 MO : 74 57 77 77 NE : 39 17 61 55 NC : 74 50 91 84 ND : 25 7 46 43 OH : 24 9 23 45 PA : 21 4 36 41 SD : 18 7 36 39 TN : 93 80 92 88 TX : 90 79 88 88 WI : 13 4 23 26 : 18 Sts: 35 19 45 48 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dented, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 NA 0 0 IL : 13 NA 15 22 IN : 2 NA 7 15 IA : 0 NA 7 5 KS : 28 NA 36 29 KY : 30 NA 41 34 MI : 0 NA 0 1 MN : 1 NA 1 2 MO : 39 NA 41 43 NE : 4 NA 17 13 NC : 27 NA 65 60 ND : 1 NA 3 8 OH : 0 NA 1 6 PA : 4 NA 7 6 SD : 0 NA 10 8 TN : 68 NA 75 60 TX : 73 NA 71 69 WI : 0 NA 3 1 : 18 Sts: 9 NA 14 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CA : 99 97 98 99 CO : 100 100 100 99 ID : 59 37 34 38 IL : 99 99 100 100 IN : 100 99 100 100 KS : 100 100 100 100 MI : 96 91 100 100 MO : 100 100 100 100 MT : 79 67 47 68 NE : 100 99 100 99 NC : 100 100 100 100 OH : 100 100 100 100 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 85 70 83 72 SD : 100 98 100 97 TX : 100 100 100 100 WA : 68 45 57 55 : 18 Sts: 96 93 94 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 85 72 88 85 IL : 92 85 94 96 IN : 81 72 86 94 IA : 96 90 100 98 KS : 84 77 91 90 KY : 66 57 76 74 LA : 90 85 97 98 MI : 86 72 95 93 MN : 99 96 98 98 MS : 100 96 99 100 MO : 77 64 82 84 NE : 94 90 98 97 NC : 61 39 63 60 ND : 99 93 100 99 OH : 92 82 88 95 SD : 96 90 98 94 TN : 70 53 92 81 WI : 86 70 93 88 : 18 Sts: 90 82 93 93 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 63 47 66 56 IL : 57 36 68 77 IN : 44 27 50 69 IA : 75 53 90 85 KS : 57 42 60 66 KY : 37 19 47 50 LA : 74 68 88 90 MI : 50 23 62 65 MN : 86 50 78 75 MS : 95 87 89 91 MO : 41 26 46 52 NE : 69 37 76 70 NC : 24 7 33 30 ND : 83 60 95 89 OH : 52 33 48 70 SD : 70 45 76 70 TN : 39 24 69 56 WI : 56 29 59 57 : 18 Sts: 62 40 69 71 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 95 85 95 93 AZ : 90 84 100 100 AR : 97 95 100 99 CA : 90 75 89 76 GA : 92 86 97 94 LA : 100 99 100 100 MS : 93 89 100 100 MO : 99 84 89 97 NC : 91 85 94 89 OK : 70 52 72 77 SC : 65 45 78 78 TN : 87 64 91 97 TX : 63 49 82 87 VA : 78 52 100 91 : 14 Sts: 80 69 90 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 4 NA 5 5 AZ : 16 NA 27 17 AR : 1 NA 3 4 CA : 3 NA 3 2 GA : 2 NA 12 9 LA : 5 NA 7 16 MS : 2 NA 11 11 MO : 0 NA 0 3 NC : 0 NA 3 4 OK : 2 NA 1 1 SC : 1 NA 6 4 TN : 0 NA 3 2 TX : 17 NA 19 18 VA : 0 NA 14 3 : 14 Sts: 8 NA 12 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 98 96 98 96 CO : 42 30 32 39 IL : 45 24 78 74 KS : 50 37 60 71 LA : 100 99 98 99 MO : 76 57 72 79 NE : 63 30 68 71 NM : 31 11 38 37 OK : 60 51 56 59 SD : 84 57 64 59 TX : 64 57 76 80 : 11 Sts: 59 47 66 73 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 78 65 68 63 CO : 2 0 1 1 IL : 8 2 33 27 KS : 8 5 11 16 LA : 85 75 85 84 MO : 16 10 13 24 NE : 2 0 10 7 NM : 3 1 1 3 OK : 25 18 38 23 SD : 16 13 23 18 TX : 51 49 55 59 : 11 Sts: 27 23 30 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 82 66 76 76 CA : 30 15 37 29 LA : 93 85 95 95 MS : 92 84 90 82 MO : 70 42 54 55 TX : 99 95 100 97 : 6 Sts : 76 63 74 72 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 NA 0 0 CA : 0 NA 0 0 LA : 45 NA 43 45 MS : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 0 NA 0 0 TX : 24 NA 60 39 : 6 Sts : 9 NA 11 10 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 18 6 8 14 MN : 37 12 28 31 MT : 21 12 11 19 ND : 21 7 18 23 SD : 82 57 88 73 WA : 44 21 28 27 : 6 Sts : 29 13 23 27 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 23 7 11 15 MN : 52 19 37 43 MT : 23 12 14 24 ND : 38 16 15 28 WA : 40 18 21 25 : 5 Sts : 32 13 16 25 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 82% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 98 87 100 98 MN : 65 41 62 63 NE : 94 90 100 95 ND : 28 10 29 33 OH : 60 41 84 87 PA : 32 17 69 62 SD : 90 71 92 81 WI : 42 30 62 65 : 8 Sts : 57 40 65 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 63% of last year's oat acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Aug 10,:Aug 3, :Aug 10,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 96 92 96 91 FL : 98 95 98 95 GA : 98 96 100 99 NC : 97 90 100 98 OK : 99 98 97 97 TX : 95 89 91 91 VA : 72 65 94 97 : 7 Sts : 96 92 97 95 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 5 9 18 42 26 IL : 1 5 16 48 30 IN : 5 9 25 48 13 IA : 1 5 18 52 24 KS : 16 26 35 20 3 KY : 1 6 25 39 29 MI : 1 4 17 57 21 MN : 2 6 23 54 15 MO : 18 23 31 23 5 NE : 9 12 25 37 17 NC : 1 3 16 56 24 ND : 2 6 21 56 15 OH : 3 8 26 42 21 PA : 3 6 22 41 28 SD : 2 6 20 46 26 TN : 2 3 16 54 25 TX : 12 19 30 33 6 WI : 3 7 22 51 17 : 18 Sts : 4 9 22 45 20 : Prev Wk : 3 8 22 47 20 Prev Yr : 13 18 30 31 8 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 10 29 43 15 IL : 1 6 22 48 23 IN : 5 9 27 47 12 IA : 2 5 19 54 20 KS : 8 22 46 23 1 KY : 1 2 18 49 30 LA : 10 20 33 34 3 MI : 1 4 19 57 19 MN : 2 6 26 55 11 MS : 0 1 16 47 36 MO : 14 24 34 25 3 NE : 9 17 33 32 9 NC : 1 3 28 62 6 ND : 2 5 20 55 18 OH : 3 8 30 43 16 SD : 1 4 20 54 21 TN : 1 2 17 61 19 WI : 2 5 18 55 20 : 18 Sts : 4 9 25 46 16 : Prev Wk : 3 8 26 47 16 Prev Yr : 9 17 32 35 7 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 1 5 24 46 24 AZ : 0 4 14 41 41 AR : 0 4 27 55 14 CA : 0 0 15 75 10 GA : 0 3 22 56 19 LA : 1 3 28 48 20 MS : 1 4 12 54 29 MO : 2 18 29 47 4 NC : 3 7 32 53 5 OK : 7 14 46 29 4 SC : 0 2 25 67 6 TN : 0 5 22 63 10 TX : 10 20 39 26 5 VA : 0 8 35 43 14 : 14 Sts : 5 11 30 42 12 : Prev Wk : 5 11 31 41 12 Prev Yr : 4 11 31 40 14 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 23 50 23 CO : 8 22 38 29 3 IL : 0 7 56 32 5 KS : 15 35 34 16 0 LA : 0 3 27 60 10 MO : 5 18 46 28 3 NE : 13 26 42 18 1 NM : 12 37 43 8 0 OK : 2 19 51 28 0 SD : 15 17 23 41 4 TX : 9 16 33 34 8 : 11 Sts : 11 24 35 26 4 : Prev Wk : 11 22 37 26 4 Prev Yr : 18 24 32 23 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 14 23 51 12 MN : 0 4 21 52 23 MT : 14 31 35 18 2 ND : 2 6 22 51 19 SD : 5 8 34 37 16 WA : 7 22 40 31 0 : 6 Sts : 5 13 27 41 14 : Prev Wk : 4 12 27 42 15 Prev Yr : 13 19 35 30 3 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 28 47 20 CA : 0 5 50 35 10 LA : 0 1 19 57 23 MS : 0 1 10 57 32 MO : 2 4 21 36 37 TX : 0 0 15 74 11 : 6 Sts : 1 3 27 49 20 : Prev Wk : 1 3 27 49 20 Prev Yr : 1 3 32 49 15 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 12 57 28 MN : 0 3 21 55 21 NE : 1 3 20 57 19 ND : 2 11 31 46 10 OH : 2 6 41 44 7 PA : 2 12 44 34 8 SD : 2 8 31 42 17 WI : 0 6 25 54 15 : 8 Sts : 1 7 27 49 16 : Prev Wk : 1 6 28 50 15 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 3 18 55 24 FL : 1 1 5 63 30 GA : 0 3 18 57 22 NC : 0 1 25 71 3 OK : 0 7 37 49 7 TX : 0 2 20 53 25 VA : 0 6 26 53 15 : 8 Sts : 0 3 19 57 21 : Prev Wk : 0 2 20 56 22 Prev Yr : 2 8 31 46 13 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 11 25 49 13 MN : 0 2 15 60 23 MT : 17 22 26 28 7 ND : 1 4 20 55 20 WA : 7 23 45 24 1 : 5 Sts : 6 12 25 44 13 : Prev Wk : 7 11 24 44 14 Prev Yr : 6 16 36 38 4 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 1 15 50 33 :: NJ : 0 0 35 65 0 AZ : 19 40 20 18 3 :: NM : 39 29 25 7 0 AR : 1 8 32 51 8 :: NY : 0 4 21 59 16 CA : 20 40 30 10 0 :: NC : 0 1 12 73 14 CO : 22 28 33 16 1 :: ND : 5 21 37 34 3 CT : 0 0 31 59 10 :: OH : 1 4 24 57 14 DE : 0 5 19 63 13 :: OK : 7 26 40 24 3 FL : 5 5 15 55 20 :: OR : 12 20 49 16 3 GA : 0 1 14 62 23 :: PA : 3 10 23 52 12 ID : 4 23 46 20 7 :: RI : 0 0 10 60 30 IL : 1 10 35 45 9 :: SC : 0 0 18 53 29 IN : 1 4 21 56 18 :: SD : 14 16 34 31 5 IA : 11 27 34 25 3 :: TN : 0 2 14 64 20 KS : 24 36 32 8 0 :: TX : 14 23 36 23 4 KY : 0 2 17 61 20 :: UT : 9 21 35 33 2 LA : 1 8 42 43 6 :: VT : 0 22 30 48 0 ME : 0 7 24 51 18 :: VA : 0 4 15 48 33 MD : 0 4 24 49 23 :: WA : 7 19 52 22 0 MA : 0 0 40 50 10 :: WV : 0 2 25 51 22 MI : 2 12 32 45 9 :: WI : 13 24 39 22 2 MN : 6 17 39 36 2 :: WY : 8 16 53 22 1 MS : 0 2 17 60 21 :: : MO : 24 31 27 16 2 :: 48 Sts : 11 20 31 31 7 MT : 26 33 28 12 1 :: : NE : 19 29 29 22 1 :: Prev Wk: 9 18 31 34 8 NV : 4 25 44 25 2 :: Prev Yr: 23 25 28 21 3 NH : 0 2 24 61 13 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on August 19, 2003. 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