We 1 (10-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 7, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 40 September 28 - October 4, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Early freezes struck the Midwest on October 2 and 3, helping to hold weekly temperatures 5 to 15 degrees F below normal. The growing season-ending freezes arrived more than 2 weeks ahead of schedule in parts of central and southern Illinois and several days earlier than normal from Iowa eastward to southern Lower Michigan and Ohio. However, nearly all of the corn in the freeze-affected area was denting, while only a few Midwestern soybean fields were not yet turning color. As a result, adverse effects from the freezes were most likely limited to late-developing soybeans in Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Cool air also swept into the South and East, although frosts and freezes were confined to the central and northern Appalachians and adjacent foothills. Widespread precipitation, including some wet snow, preceded and accompanied the cold outbreaks across the Great Lakes and Northeastern States. Rain was especially heavy early in the week across New England, where a strong cold front helped to deflect Hurricane Juan into Nova Scotia but nevertheless interacted with moisture spreading northward from Florida. The front's passage also put an end to persistently heavy rainfall across central and southern Florida. Elsewhere in the South, cool, dry weather favored fieldwork, including corn, soybean, cotton, rice, peanut, and sorghum harvesting, and initial winter wheat planting. Meanwhile on the Plains, cool, mostly dry weather promoted summer crop harvesting and winter wheat planting. Toward week's end, beneficial showers overspread portions of the central and southern Plains. However, extremely dry conditions persisted from the central High Plains northward into Montana, slowing wheat emergence and increasing concerns about a lack of soil moisture for proper autumn establishment. Similar concerns for dryland winter grains existed in the Northwest, where hot, dry weather (temperatures averaged more than 10 degrees F above normal in some locations) favored fieldwork but hampered wheat emergence and establishment. Elsewhere in the West, significant precipitation was confined the Four Corners region, where scattered showers locally boosted topsoil moisture but provided little relief from long-term hydrological drought. Early in the week, heavy rain swept across the Northeast, producing daily-record totals on September 28 in locations such as Windsor Locks, CT (4.04 inches), Bangor, ME (2.93 inches), and Burlington, VT (2.01 inches). In Pennsylvania, Allentown closed September with 11.08 inches (254 percent of normal), second only to a 11.57-inch total in 1999. Farther south, heavy showers lingered for much of the week in central and southern Florida, where daily-record totals included 6.93 inches (on September 29) in Naples and 3.86 inches (on October 1) in Daytona Beach. Late-month downpours propelled Ft. Myers, FL (17.21 inches, or 219 percent of normal), to its wettest September on record, eclipsing the 1969 standard of 16.60 inches. The rain also capped Ft. Myers' wettest June-September period on record (51.53 inches), breaking its 1947 mark of 49.73 inches. Following the heavy rain, snow showers overspread the Northeast in early October. On October 2, Williamsport, PA, received a trace of sleet, 2 days earlier than its previous earliest frozen precipitation (October 4, 1965). Elsewhere on October 2, Binghamton, NY (0.1 inch), and Cleveland, OH (0.3 inch) tied 1974 records for their earliest measurable snowfalls. A day later, Charleston, WV (29 degrees F on October 3), noted its earliest freeze since October 2, 1974, while Pittsburgh, PA (29 degrees F on October 3), experienced its earliest reading below 30 degrees F. Pittsburgh's previous record was established with a low of 27 degrees F on October 6, 1965. Farther west, lows of 15 degrees F (on September 30) in Williston, ND, 19 degrees F (on October 1) in Mason City, IA, and 19 degrees F (on October 2) in Rochester, MN, were among more than 50 daily-record lows. In contrast, daily-record highs were set or tied at more than 100 locations across the West, including Death Valley, CA (114 degrees F on September 29), and Phoenix, AZ (107 degrees F on September 29 and 30). Meanwhile in Montana, Billings completed its driest water year (October 1 - September 30) on record (8.71 inches, or 59 percent of normal), breaking its 1988 record of 8.80 inches. In Alaska, a record-setting warm spell boosted weekly temperatures as much as 18 degrees F above normal. From September 27 - October 1, Annette Island, AK, posted five consecutive daily-record highs (66, 70, 75, 65, and 67 degrees F). After midweek, warmth shifted into the Alaskan interior, where monthly record highs established on October 1 included 72 degrees F in Fairbanks, 70 degrees F in Delta Junction, and 66 degrees F in Tanana. A day later, Delta Junction recorded 74 degrees F, smashing its October 1969 record by 12 degrees F. Other Alaskan interior locations breaking former October records by at least 10 degrees F on October 2 included Nenana (75 degrees F), Fort Yukon (73 degrees F), and Healy (70 degrees F). In addition, Dry Creek (76 degrees F on October 2) set an Alaskan high-temperature record for the month, edging Kodiak's mark of 74 degrees F, set on October 4, 1929. Meanwhile, heavy precipitation overspread parts of southern and western Alaska, resulting in a daily-record total (0.48 inch on October 1) in McGrath and an October 1-5 sum of 6.83 inches in Kodiak. Farther south, Hawaii experienced another relatively quiet week, especially across the eastern islands. Showers and near-normal temperatures were confined to Kauai and Oahu, while mostly dry weather accompanied readings as much as 3 degrees F above normal from Molokai eastward to the Big Island. On Kauai, Wainiha's weekly rainfall totaled 3.99 inches, including a 24-hour sum of 3.29 inches on October 1-2. National Agricultural Summary September 29 - October 5, 2003 Highlights: From the Rocky Mountains to the Pacific Coast, temperatures were above normal, with record highs along the West Coast. All areas east of the Rockies were cooler than normal, and widespread freezes across most areas of the northern Great Plains, Corn Belt, and Ohio Valley terminated crop growth, with mature crops mostly unaffected. Most of the Nation was very dry, promoting harvest of summer crops and planting of winter wheat. However, New England and southern Florida had moderate to heavy rainfall. Corn: Ninety percent of the crop was mature, 1 percentage point behind last year at this time and 3 points behind the normal pace. Twenty-seven percent of the crop had been harvested, the same as last year but 6 points below the 5-year average. Freezing temperatures ended crop growth across the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley, accelerating maturation. During the week, over one-fourth of the crop reached maturity in Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Despite the dry weather, growers made little harvest progress, focusing instead on harvesting soybeans and planting winter wheat. The Ohio Valley had still not recovered from slow progress earlier in the season, and maturation and harvest were 1 week or more behind normal. Soybeans: Eighty-nine percent of the crop was dropping leaves, 1 percentage point behind last year and the 5-year average. Thirty-seven percent of the crop had been harvested, 8 points ahead of last year but 2 points behind the normal pace. Freezing temperatures in the northern Great Plains, Corn Belt, and Ohio Valley accelerated development through the dropping leaves stage. Over one-fourth of the crop dropped leaves in Kentucky during the week, pushing development well ahead of normal. Harvest progressed rapidly across the Nation, aided by dry weather. Corn Belt and northern Great Plains producers made good harvest progress, with one-third or more of the crop harvested during the week in Iowa, Minnesota, and North Dakota. The harvest pace was only slightly slower in Illinois and South Dakota, where nearly one-fourth of the crop was threshed. Winter Wheat: Seeding advanced to 63 percent complete, 1 percentage point ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. Thirty-one percent of the expected acreage had emerged, 5 points behind last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Planting progressed rapidly in the Rocky Mountains and Pacific Northwest, encouraged by warm, dry weather. Planting progressed steadily across the Great Plains but was slow in the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley. Emergence of the crop was hindered in the Corn Belt by low temperatures but progressed steadily in the Great Plains and Rocky Mountains. Emergence remained over 1 week behind the normal pace in Montana and Washington. Cotton: Seventy-six percent of fields had open bolls, 13 percentage points behind last year and the 5-year average. Twenty-one percent of the acreage had been harvested, 2 points behind last year and 10 points below normal for this date. Crop development was nearly 2 weeks behind normal nationwide. Most States were 1 week or more behind their normal bolls opening progress, with Mississippi, Missouri, Tennessee, and Texas over 2 weeks behind. Harvest progress was over 1 week behind the normal nationwide pace. Harvest progressed well across the Mississippi Delta, where Louisiana growers harvested over one-fourth of their crop during the week. However, despite good harvest weather, other regions made little progress due to lack of maturity. Several States were 2 weeks or more behind their normal pace, and Virginia was 3 weeks behind. Sorghum: Ninety percent of the crop had turned color, 4 percentage points behind last year and 8 points behind the average. Sixty-six percent of the crop was mature, compared with 78 percent last year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Forty-two percent of the acreage was harvested, 10 points behind last year and 14 points behind normal. The crop remained around 2 weeks behind normal in all progress stages, mostly due to the Texas crop, which was over 4 weeks behind in all stages. Coloring was also over 2 weeks behind normal in Kansas. Maturation was over 1 week behind in Illinois, Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska. Illinois and Kansas growers were 2 weeks or more behind their normal harvest pace. Rice: Eighty percent of the acreage had been harvested, 1 percentage point behind last year and 2 points behind the 5-year average. Missouri producers again progressed the most, harvesting 19 percent of their crop during the week. Texas and Louisiana growers edged closer to completion, with 99 and 97 percent of their crops harvested, respectively. Though most States were near their normal harvest pace, California was 8 points behind average. Peanuts: Thirty-six percent of the acreage was harvested, 5 percentage points ahead of last year but even with the normal harvest pace. Alabama and Florida growers harvested 20 percent of their crop during the week, followed closely by Georgia producers, with 19 percent. These States were ahead of their 5-year averages, while all other States were behind normal. Virginia growers were 1 week behind their normal harvest pace, while Texas producers were over 3 weeks behind. Other Crops: Forty percent of the sugarbeet crop had been harvested, 10 percentage points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. In Minnesota and North Dakota, harvest was over halfway complete, and progress was 15 points ahead of normal. Harvest was just getting underway in Michigan, where progress was 20 points behind normal due to late planting and warm weather earlier in the season. Seventeen percent of the sunflower crop had been harvested, compared with 10 percent last year and 14 percent for the 5-year average. South Dakota growers led the Nation with 32 percent of their crop harvested. Colorado producers were over 1 week ahead of their normal harvest pace. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 93 85 88 86 IL : 95 87 94 97 IN : 78 62 83 93 IA : 97 91 98 98 KS : 99 97 97 97 KY : 96 94 99 99 MI : 63 37 86 79 MN : 99 94 94 94 MO : 97 94 99 98 NE : 85 73 91 94 NC : 100 98 100 100 ND : 98 90 88 93 OH : 62 35 68 79 PA : 44 26 82 63 SD : 94 82 89 90 TN : 100 99 100 100 TX : 98 96 98 99 WI : 85 55 77 78 : 18 Sts: 90 79 91 93 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 18 12 6 14 IL : 32 17 33 42 IN : 13 8 20 28 IA : 17 10 13 22 KS : 71 56 72 68 KY : 65 52 76 78 MI : 5 2 10 14 MN : 19 10 8 16 MO : 69 55 79 67 NE : 18 11 23 31 NC : 91 85 53 74 ND : 17 7 10 14 OH : 6 3 14 16 PA : 10 5 45 23 SD : 18 10 15 19 TN : 89 75 92 92 TX : 85 79 82 87 WI : 13 7 7 12 : 18 Sts: 27 18 27 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 51 40 56 63 IL : 92 75 90 91 IN : 88 75 91 96 IA : 97 89 97 94 KS : 81 69 88 91 KY : 96 70 84 80 LA : 82 66 72 87 MI : 93 75 96 87 MN : 99 98 99 98 MS : 91 86 89 92 MO : 76 58 75 80 NE : 93 78 94 97 NC : 49 31 38 38 ND : 100 95 100 99 OH : 89 74 96 96 SD : 100 97 98 98 TN : 60 47 74 73 WI : 94 84 91 88 : 18 Sts: 89 78 90 90 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 26 19 23 25 IL : 38 15 32 40 IN : 19 9 27 40 IA : 56 20 25 42 KS : 10 7 32 35 KY : 13 5 17 26 LA : 56 43 43 63 MI : 11 5 30 23 MN : 68 33 32 54 MS : 75 *68 50 61 MO : 13 5 25 25 NE : 32 12 31 38 NC : 2 0 3 4 ND : 60 27 52 55 OH : 16 6 30 41 SD : 47 22 33 38 TN : 15 5 19 20 WI : 23 11 17 23 : 18 Sts: 37 17 29 39 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 12 4 6 5 CA : 5 4 5 5 CO : 95 85 87 87 ID : 66 41 61 54 IL : 13 4 25 15 IN : 12 7 24 24 KS : 62 45 65 57 MI : 38 33 47 42 MO : 14 5 18 17 MT : 80 54 81 66 NE : 93 82 90 90 NC : 10 3 11 12 OH : 12 3 36 35 OK : 70 58 71 54 OR : 46 26 21 25 SD : 84 66 82 82 TX : 68 55 60 55 WA : 76 72 89 81 : 18 Sts: 63 49 62 56 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 4 1 1 1 CA : 1 0 1 0 CO : 52 32 49 58 ID : 23 8 21 18 IL : 2 0 3 2 IN : 3 1 4 4 KS : 25 17 34 28 MI : 10 2 15 12 MO : 2 0 5 4 MT : 10 2 48 29 NE : 71 50 69 65 NC : 1 *1 3 3 OH : 0 0 8 4 OK : 47 29 44 25 OR : 16 8 4 9 SD : 33 17 44 48 TX : 35 21 36 28 WA : 40 36 63 61 : 18 Sts: 31 20 36 29 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 91 89 94 91 AZ : 99 99 100 99 AR : 87 84 97 96 CA : 85 75 90 86 GA : 85 74 90 87 LA : 98 95 98 99 MS : 93 90 96 99 MO : 82 70 94 98 NC : 82 65 95 89 OK : 90 80 78 89 SC : 66 47 78 83 TN : 83 73 97 98 TX : 62 57 83 84 VA : 61 54 90 81 : 14 Sts: 76 70 89 89 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 11 5 20 30 AZ : 11 8 24 19 AR : 22 11 16 36 CA : 5 0 5 5 GA : 15 8 19 18 LA : 60 34 41 64 MS : 45 30 27 51 MO : 12 3 27 43 NC : 2 0 15 11 OK : 10 5 19 17 SC : 5 1 17 20 TN : 12 7 19 41 TX : 23 21 27 32 VA : 1 0 26 17 : 14 Sts: 21 15 23 31 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 86 73 80 86 CA : 40 25 66 48 LA : 97 96 96 98 MS : 85 75 79 85 MO : 68 49 63 70 TX : 99 98 100 99 : 6 Sts : 80 69 81 82 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 64 44 39 44 FL : 65 45 52 53 GA : 45 26 38 42 NC : 10 3 23 19 OK : 20 7 29 21 TX : 6 4 10 21 VA : 21 10 38 45 : 7 Sts : 36 22 31 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 12 NA 9 15 MI : 5 NA 6 25 MN : 54 NA 40 39 ND : 59 NA 47 44 : 4 Sts : 40 NA 30 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 82% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Sunflowers: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 18 NA 15 9 KS : 27 NA 21 33 ND : 11 NA 6 9 SD : 32 NA 16 24 : 4 Sts : 17 NA 10 14 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 91% of last year's sunflowers acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 100 97 81 91 IL : 94 93 99 97 KS : 94 90 95 99 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 98 96 100 100 NE : 98 94 99 99 NM : 85 73 90 89 OK : 93 89 87 94 SD : 100 100 100 99 TX : 80 76 94 97 : 11 Sts: 90 86 94 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 99 99 CO : 74 58 46 52 IL : 67 48 92 84 KS : 61 50 73 85 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 79 69 90 90 NE : 67 51 88 89 NM : 27 7 33 33 OK : 73 60 79 71 SD : 90 71 71 81 TX : 65 61 84 88 : 11 Sts: 66 57 78 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 5, :Sep 28,:Oct 5, : 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 93 86 92 95 CO : 19 5 16 15 IL : 7 5 36 30 KS : 25 17 35 43 LA : 99 97 92 98 MO : 47 36 66 58 NE : 13 7 30 28 NM : 3 2 2 3 OK : 36 30 61 39 SD : 38 16 19 28 TX : 60 58 70 76 : 11 Sts: 42 36 52 56 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 5 11 24 48 12 IL : 2 6 24 52 16 IN : 5 9 23 47 16 IA : 6 15 36 36 7 KS : 20 25 34 18 3 KY : 1 4 21 37 37 MI : 2 7 33 47 11 MN : 8 17 43 30 2 MO : 23 24 29 19 5 NE : 14 13 23 33 17 NC : 1 5 29 45 20 ND : 9 19 35 35 2 OH : 3 6 23 47 21 PA : 5 7 20 38 30 SD : 8 14 26 39 13 TN : 2 3 15 56 24 TX : 17 19 32 28 4 WI : 11 24 34 28 3 : 18 Sts : 8 13 29 38 12 : Prev Wk : 8 14 29 38 11 Prev Yr : 12 17 27 34 10 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 7 26 43 22 IL : 5 12 37 40 6 IN : 7 12 31 42 8 IA : 14 30 40 15 1 KS : 15 32 39 13 1 KY : 0 2 15 52 31 LA : 4 11 24 54 7 MI : 4 15 36 40 5 MN : 10 25 45 19 1 MS : 0 2 17 46 35 MO : 19 27 32 18 4 NE : 13 25 35 21 6 NC : 4 5 28 57 6 ND : 5 12 37 43 3 OH : 3 9 32 41 15 SD : 10 15 36 35 4 TN : 0 1 14 54 31 WI : 17 31 33 17 2 : 18 Sts : 9 18 35 31 7 : Prev Wk : 9 18 34 32 7 Prev Yr : 9 16 30 36 9 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 4 22 57 15 AZ : 0 2 29 21 48 AR : 1 6 24 49 20 CA : 0 0 15 55 30 GA : 1 6 26 52 15 LA : 0 1 15 56 28 MS : 2 6 15 44 33 MO : 3 8 36 45 8 NC : 7 11 37 41 4 OK : 7 14 46 27 6 SC : 0 2 26 70 2 TN : 0 3 18 60 19 TX : 18 23 37 17 5 VA : 0 10 27 49 14 : 14 Sts : 8 13 29 37 13 : Prev Wk : 8 12 31 36 13 Prev Yr : 6 14 30 36 14 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 4 22 54 20 CO : 11 41 37 10 1 IL : 1 19 38 35 7 KS : 24 37 28 10 1 LA : 0 2 34 59 5 MO : 6 22 41 27 4 NE : 19 31 35 14 1 NM : 12 45 27 14 2 OK : 3 30 39 27 1 SD : 30 13 30 25 2 TX : 10 24 34 27 5 : 11 Sts : 16 30 31 20 3 : Prev Wk : 15 28 34 20 3 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 4 22 56 16 FL : 1 1 18 55 25 GA : 0 2 21 57 20 NC : 1 3 30 63 3 OK : 0 9 39 46 6 TX : 1 3 27 46 23 VA : 0 5 32 46 17 : 8 Sts : 1 3 24 54 18 : Prev Wk : 1 4 26 50 19 Prev Yr : 5 13 36 37 9 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 2 5 34 53 6 :: NJ : 0 0 30 70 0 AZ : 16 23 31 20 10 :: NM : 48 28 23 1 0 AR : 1 8 32 54 5 :: NY : 1 8 27 46 18 CA : 35 50 15 0 0 :: NC : 0 3 23 70 4 CO : 22 31 34 13 0 :: ND : 21 37 29 13 0 CT : 0 3 34 57 6 :: OH : 2 4 17 55 22 DE : 4 8 13 65 10 :: OK : 5 18 38 32 7 FL : 0 1 20 64 15 :: OR : 13 36 45 6 0 GA : 1 10 39 46 4 :: PA : 5 12 21 43 19 ID : 11 48 37 4 0 :: RI : 0 0 5 83 12 IL : 3 12 38 41 6 :: SC : 0 11 20 64 5 IN : 2 7 25 56 10 :: SD : 22 35 28 14 1 IA : 30 31 30 9 0 :: TN : 0 4 22 58 16 KS : 21 30 35 12 2 :: TX : 10 17 34 30 9 KY : 1 2 21 61 15 :: UT : 9 23 41 27 0 LA : 1 9 50 38 2 :: VT : 5 18 61 15 1 ME : 0 6 35 44 15 :: VA : 0 2 17 54 27 MD : 2 8 20 50 20 :: WA : 16 36 41 7 0 MA : 0 0 13 87 0 :: WV : 0 2 28 56 14 MI : 11 29 38 21 1 :: WI : 16 33 33 17 1 MN : 20 31 35 14 0 :: WY : 10 23 45 21 1 MS : 1 8 29 54 8 :: : MO : 7 16 41 32 4 :: 48 Sts : 14 22 30 28 6 MT : 39 35 21 5 0 :: : NE : 30 34 27 9 0 :: Prev Wk: 14 22 29 29 6 NV : 10 40 35 15 0 :: Prev Yr: 22 23 31 21 3 NH : 0 3 29 58 10 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on October 15, 2003. 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