We 1 (10-03) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 90, No. 43 October 19 - 25, 2003 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Unprecedented late-season warmth covered the western half of the Nation, boosting weekly temperatures as much as 12 degrees F above normal. Significant Western precipitation was confined to western Washington, where another round of heavy rain caused flooding west of the Cascades. Beneficial showers reached eastern Washington but bypassed the remainder of the Northwest, leaving most of the region's winter wheat in need of additional moisture for proper autumn development. Toward week's end, record warmth persisted in southern California, accompanied by a Santa Ana wind event and several wind-driven wildfires. Meanwhile, extremely dry conditions also persisted on the majority of the Plains, promoting summer crop maturation and autumn fieldwork, but leaving recently planted wheat with little moisture for establishment. Soil moisture shortages were most critical from eastern Colorado and western Kansas northward into Montana, although dryness also remained a concern in much of southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. Farther east, late-week showers slowed Midwestern corn and soybean harvesting. Prior to the rain's arrival, however, fieldwork advanced with few delays. Cool weather lingered for much of the week from the Ohio Valley into the lower Great Lakes region, hampering winter wheat emergence. Chilly conditions were even more persistent in the Northeast, where temperatures averaged as much as 10 degrees F below normal and some accumulating snow was reported. In contrast, warm, dry weather prevailed across the South for much of the week, favoring winter wheat planting and other fieldwork, including cotton, soybean, and peanut harvesting. At week's end, however, locally heavy showers caused temporary fieldwork delays, especially in the Delta. From the Plains westward to the Pacific Coast, the late-season heat wave set or tied a multitude of daily-record highs, totaling more than one hundred each day from October 19-23. Record warmth also briefly overspread the Midwest early in the week, but receded into the West Coast States by week's end. Phoenix, AZ, experienced triple-digit heat on 7 consecutive days from October 17-23, including highs of 103 degrees F on October 18, 20, and 21. In addition, Phoenix set a record for its latest autumn high temperature of 100 degrees F or higher, previously set with a high of 100 degrees F on October 20, 1921. Farther north, Rawlins, WY, noted daily-record highs on 7 consecutive days from October 17-23, paced by a maximum temperature of 76 degrees F on October 22. On the Colorado Plains, Pueblo's high of 92 degrees F on October 23 came nearly a week later than its previous high of 90 degrees F or greater (93 degrees F on October 17, 1991). Meanwhile in Arkansas, Little Rock (92 and 90 degrees F on October 23-24) also registered its latest 90-degree heat (previously, 92 degrees F on October 23, 1939). In contrast, chilly weather lingered in the Northeast, accompanied by occasional precipitation. Daily-record snowfall totals were observed on October 23 in locations such as Caribou, ME (3.8 inches), St. Johnsbury, VT (1.7 inches), and Binghamton, NY (0.6 inch). A day later, record lows for October 24 included 25 degrees F in Salisbury, MD, and 31 degrees F in Islip, NY. Islip noted a second consecutive record low (30 degrees F) the following day, while cool air also overspread the Northwest. On October 25, a daily-record low of 18 degrees F in Idaho Falls, ID, contrasted with numerous record highs in California, including 99 degrees F in Salinas and 98 degrees F in Chatsworth. By October 26, more than a dozen large, southern California wildfires, in various stages of containment, were responsible for nearly 250,000 acres of charred vegetation and the loss of more than 500 structures. Farther north, the week ended on a dry note in western Washington, following Monday's deluge. In fact, October 20 was the wettest day on record in Seattle, WA, featuring 5.02 inches of rain. Seattle's previous daily record of 3.41 inches was established on November 20, 1959. Elsewhere in western Washington, Olympia (4.12 inches) noted its second-wettest day, behind 4.33 inches on November 19, 1962, while other October 20 totals included 7.20 inches in Shelton and 5.39 inches in Hoquiam. Record flooding resulted along the Skagit River at Concrete, WA, where the crest (14.2 feet above flood stage on October 21) edged the November 1995 record by just over 0.6 foot. Warm, uncharacteristically dry weather prevailed in Hawaii, although scattered showers dampened Kauai on October 21-22 and again toward week's end. During a 24-hour period ending on Wednesday morning, Kalaheo, Kauai, netted 1.77 inches of rain. On the Big Island, Hilo's high of 87 degrees F on October 23 established a record for the date. Meanwhile in Alaska, near- to above-normal temperatures accompanied unsettled weather. During the first 25 days of October, Barrow's precipitation totaled 1.15 inches (348 percent of normal), including 11.8 inches of snow. Pockets of drier-than-normal October weather were mostly confined to southeastern and interior Alaska, where October 1-25 totals included 0.14 inch (19 percent of normal) in Fairbanks and 3.43 inches (50 percent) in Juneau. However, Juneau netted rainfall totaling 0.64 inch on October 25, along with a daily-record high of 54 degrees F. National Agricultural Summary October 20 - 26, 2003 Highlights: Temperatures for the week were above normal across most of the Nation, with daily record highs across much of the Pacific Coast, Rocky Mountains, and Great Plains. However, cold weather late in the week brought freezes to some of these same areas. Dry conditions prevailed across most of the Nation, while locally heavy rain fell in the Pacific Northwest, and scattered, moderate precipitation fell in the Mississippi Delta, western Gulf Coast, Ohio Valley, and New England. The unseasonably warm and persistently dry conditions in the western half of the Nation favored crop maturation and field work for summer crops, but limited winter wheat emergence and discouraged planting. Dry Conditions across the Corn Belt encouraged harvest of summer crops, while the soil retained enough moisture from the previous week's rainfall to aid winter wheat emergence. Corn: Seventy-two percent of the crop was harvested, 8 percentage points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Harvest continued to progress rapidly across the western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, where producers in Iowa, Minnesota, and the Dakotas harvested over 20 percent of their crop during the week. Harvest was only slightly slower in the eastern Corn Belt, as growers focused more on harvesting soybeans and planting winter wheat. Harvest remained over 1 week behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio Valley. Soybeans: Harvest was 85 percent complete, 3 percentage points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Harvest neared completion in the western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains and progressed well in other parts of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Progress was nearly 1 week ahead of normal in Michigan and Wisconsin, but was over 1 week behind in Kansas and Missouri. Winter Wheat: Seeding advanced to 88 percent complete, the same as last year but 3 points ahead of normal. Seventy percent of the crop had emerged, 3 points below last year at this time but 3 points above the 5-year average. Planting neared completion in the northern and central Great Plains and the Rocky Mountains, with Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota growers finished. Planting progressed well in the eastern Corn Belt. Emergence also progressed rapidly in the eastern Corn Belt, with the crop in Michigan and Ohio advancing 28 percent during the week and Indiana's crop advancing 32 percent. But emergence was limited in the Great Plains, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest by persistent dry conditions. Cotton: Ninety-four percent of fields had open bolls, 3 percentage points behind last year and 4 points behind normal. Acreage harvested advanced to 46 percent, the same as a year ago but 11 points behind the 5-year average. Despite the warm, dry weather, development continued to progress slowly across the Nation and was over 1 week behind normal. Development in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee was the farthest behind and lagged 3 weeks or more behind normal. Harvest progress gained some momentum across the Nation, but remained over 1 week behind normal nationwide. Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas producers were over 2 weeks behind normal. However, Louisiana and Mississippi pulled slightly ahead of their normal harvest pace and led the Nation with 93 and 85 percent of their crop harvested, respectively. Sorghum: Eighty-five percent of the crop was mature, compared with 92 percent last year and 97 percent for the 5-year average. Acreage harvested reached 61 percent complete, 7 points behind last year and 20 points behind normal. Both maturation and harvest remained over 2 weeks behind normal nationwide, with Texas 6 weeks behind normal in both stages. The crop advanced to 100 percent mature in Colorado and Nebraska but was over 3 weeks behind in Kansas. Harvest progressed steadily in most States but remained over 2 weeks behind in Illinois and Kansas. Rice: Ninety-six percent of the crop was harvested, the same as last year but 1 percentage point below normal. California producers harvested 15 percent of their crop during the week and progressed to 85 percent complete, 6 points behind their normal pace. In the Mississippi Delta, harvest neared completion. Peanuts: Acreage harvested advanced to 73 percent, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but 2 points behind the 5-year average. North Carolina producers, taking advantage of warm, dry weather through most of the week, harvested 30 percent of their crop to bring their total to 77 percent. Oklahoma and Virginia growers also made good progress, harvesting 23 and 25 percent of their crop, respectively, during the week. Other Crops: Eighty-six percent of the sugarbeet crop was harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of a year ago and 3 points ahead of normal for this date. Michigan growers finally saw consistently cool overnight temperatures, and harvested over half their acreage during the week. North Dakota growers completed their harvest with Minnesota growers close behind at 99 percent. The sunflower crop advanced to 83 percent harvested, 33 percentage points ahead of last year and 20 points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progressed rapidly in Colorado and North Dakota and was over 25 points ahead of normal in those States, but remained 1 week behind normal in Kansas. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 81 54 53 61 IL : 81 65 82 81 IN : 52 35 63 68 IA : 78 55 58 72 KS : 93 87 91 93 KY : 89 82 92 94 MI : 27 18 52 49 MN : 91 70 49 72 MO : 88 83 94 88 NE : 59 42 56 72 NC : 98 97 82 92 ND : 86 65 52 63 OH : 36 20 54 51 PA : 38 30 64 51 SD : 70 44 43 56 TN : 98 95 99 99 TX : 96 92 98 98 WI : 52 35 34 50 : 18 Sts: 72 56 64 72 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 63 43 49 62 IL : 90 79 91 88 IN : 84 64 87 85 IA : 98 94 95 94 KS : 55 33 77 82 KY : 60 33 55 68 LA : 83 69 64 88 MI : 88 69 88 74 MN : 99 98 85 94 MS : 92 89 74 87 MO : 58 39 75 73 NE : 95 85 85 91 NC : 14 8 12 19 ND : 100 97 90 94 OH : 82 64 84 85 SD : 97 92 86 91 TN : 47 32 40 54 WI : 92 77 67 79 : 18 Sts: 85 74 82 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 98 95 100 99 AZ : 100 100 100 100 AR : 96 92 100 100 CA : 100 100 100 100 GA : 95 93 97 95 LA : 100 100 100 100 MS : 100 100 100 100 MO : 93 91 100 100 NC : 96 92 100 99 OK : 98 97 100 98 SC : 88 81 92 97 TN : 96 95 100 100 TX : 89 80 95 96 VA : 89 81 100 97 : 14 Sts: 94 89 97 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 53 39 44 61 AZ : 31 21 51 47 AR : 63 46 54 77 CA : 40 20 63 45 GA : 41 30 45 48 LA : 93 81 62 87 MS : 85 71 51 81 MO : 52 37 60 75 NC : 28 12 42 42 OK : 42 22 34 51 SC : 28 17 40 49 TN : 47 32 46 78 TX : 34 28 39 48 VA : 29 11 58 47 : 14 Sts: 46 35 46 57 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 54 33 31 42 CA : 20 10 28 17 CO : 100 100 100 100 ID : 99 95 98 95 IL : 79 57 92 85 IN : 88 59 87 81 KS : 92 85 94 94 MI : 94 77 97 91 MO : 66 53 72 65 MT : 99 98 98 96 NE : 100 99 100 100 NC : 28 22 22 30 OH : 87 72 94 91 OK : 93 87 91 83 OR : 76 65 66 77 SD : 100 97 100 98 TX : 84 80 82 77 WA : 99 98 99 98 : 18 Sts: 88 82 88 85 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 30 16 18 20 CA : 6 3 9 7 CO : 87 84 92 91 ID : 58 49 55 60 IL : 47 26 67 56 IN : 56 24 60 55 KS : 71 63 79 76 MI : 63 35 72 68 MO : 43 31 49 40 MT : 80 64 80 72 NE : 96 91 95 96 NC : 13 11 16 16 OH : 52 24 70 70 OK : 81 73 81 63 OR : 40 32 21 43 SD : 75 62 88 84 TX : 67 60 69 54 WA : 85 82 89 90 : 18 Sts: 70 61 73 67 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 98 96 96 98 CA : 85 70 94 91 LA : 99 99 99 100 MS : 99 97 93 96 MO : 97 92 86 92 TX : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 96 92 96 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 90 82 81 82 FL : 95 90 94 93 GA : 86 73 80 84 NC : 77 47 73 71 OK : 71 48 70 69 TX : 29 17 35 46 VA : 85 60 80 91 : 7 Sts : 73 59 70 75 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 100 94 93 96 IL : 97 95 99 98 KS : 84 74 90 97 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 96 94 100 99 NE : 100 98 100 99 NM : 58 54 79 87 OK : 89 86 89 93 SD : 100 100 99 99 TX : 78 73 92 96 : 11 Sts: 85 78 92 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 99 99 99 CO : 51 41 50 52 IL : 51 33 87 78 KS : 51 37 55 79 LA : 100 100 97 99 MO : 76 67 87 84 NE : 64 49 70 76 NM : 19 12 25 30 OK : 64 54 76 68 SD : 90 82 63 72 TX : 65 62 78 85 : 11 Sts: 61 52 68 81 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 49 35 52 62 MI : 77 26 44 50 MN : 99 98 94 97 ND : 100 99 100 99 : 4 Sts : 86 75 80 83 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 82% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Sunflowers: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Oct 26,:Oct 19,:Oct 26,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 66 40 46 37 KS : 65 46 59 78 ND : 87 63 42 60 SD : 81 67 72 72 : 4 Sts : 83 61 50 63 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 91% of last year's sunflowers acreage. Winter Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 2 21 63 14 CA : 0 0 15 70 15 CO : 7 20 40 30 3 ID : 1 8 46 43 2 IL : 0 0 11 78 11 IN : 1 1 23 69 6 KS : 2 14 25 48 11 MI : 5 3 35 47 10 MO : 0 0 25 70 5 MT : 6 19 56 19 0 NE : 3 11 33 46 7 NC : 0 1 29 66 4 OH : 1 5 26 57 11 OK : 7 11 19 51 12 OR : 0 30 49 21 0 SD : 14 24 35 23 4 TX : 12 10 33 34 11 WA : 2 5 41 50 2 : 18 Sts : 5 12 30 44 9 : Prev Wk : NA NA NA NA NA Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 1 6 24 58 11 AZ : 1 8 24 21 46 AR : 1 5 22 47 25 CA : 0 0 10 60 30 GA : 1 7 26 49 17 LA : 0 1 15 56 28 MS : 4 6 13 47 30 MO : 2 6 32 43 17 NC : 3 5 36 53 3 OK : 9 16 37 31 7 SC : 0 4 25 67 4 TN : 0 2 15 63 20 TX : 17 21 35 20 7 VA : 1 8 31 46 14 : 14 Sts : 8 12 28 37 15 : Prev Wk : 8 13 29 36 14 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 3 9 38 48 2 :: NJ : 0 0 53 47 0 AZ : 21 22 23 23 11 :: NM : 51 27 21 1 0 AR : 1 10 30 51 8 :: NY : 1 11 28 49 11 CA : 45 50 5 0 0 :: NC : 0 4 24 62 10 CO : 33 24 30 13 0 :: ND : 29 39 25 7 0 CT : 0 2 55 39 4 :: OH : 1 4 25 54 16 DE : 0 0 13 75 12 :: OK : 8 17 37 33 5 FL : 0 5 35 50 10 :: OR : 14 41 39 6 0 GA : 2 15 44 36 3 :: PA : 6 14 21 52 7 ID : 14 48 35 3 0 :: RI : 0 1 8 81 10 IL : 4 16 38 37 5 :: SC : 0 12 19 65 4 IN : 2 6 29 55 8 :: SD : 24 34 27 14 1 IA : 30 29 32 8 1 :: TN : 0 5 23 61 11 KS : 20 27 34 16 3 :: TX : 10 16 32 30 12 KY : 2 4 21 60 13 :: UT : 12 31 40 17 0 LA : 2 12 49 35 2 :: VT : 5 32 50 12 1 ME : 0 12 25 45 18 :: VA : 0 3 18 58 21 MD : 3 6 20 56 15 :: WA : 14 33 40 13 0 MA : 0 4 23 73 0 :: WV : 0 3 34 55 8 MI : 11 31 37 20 1 :: WI : 20 36 28 16 0 MN : 23 35 33 9 0 :: WY : 14 26 42 18 0 MS : 3 15 33 43 6 :: : MO : 5 17 36 37 5 :: 48 Sts : 16 23 29 27 5 MT : 45 34 17 4 0 :: : NE : 33 31 28 8 0 :: Prev Wk: 15 22 29 28 6 NV : 15 29 37 19 0 :: Prev Yr: 20 21 30 25 4 NH : 0 3 24 38 35 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on November 4, 2003. 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