We 1 (5-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released May 18, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 20 May 9 - 15, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Rain soaked much of the Midwest, slowing fieldwork but providing welcomed moisture for emerging corn and soybeans. Moisture was especially beneficial across the northwestern Corn Belt, easing long-term precipitation deficits. Meanwhile, locally heavy showers and thunderstorms across the eastern Plains contrasted with only light precipitation on the High Plains. Excessive rainfall, locally in excess of 4 inches, caused some lowland flooding in southeastern Kansas, northeastern Oklahoma, and the Red River Valley (Minnesota-North Dakota border region). In contrast, exceptionally dry conditions persisted across parts of the northern Plains--especially in southeastern Montana--while long-term drought remained a major concern on the central High Plains. Unfavorably dry conditions also persisted in the southern Atlantic region, despite scattered showers. Farther west, however, torrential rainfall halted fieldwork in the western and central Gulf Coast States. In addition, local totals in excess of 10 inches caused lowland flooding from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. West of the Rockies, seasonably dry weather in southern California and the Southwest contrasted with beneficial rain and snow showers across the interior Northwest. A late-season cool snap held weekly temperatures as much as 15 degrees F below normal on the northern Plains, while consistently warm conditions boosted readings 5 to 10 degrees F above normal in the eastern Corn Belt and more than 10 degrees F above normal in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Farther west, chilly conditions across the interior Northwest contrasted with hot weather in the Desert Southwest. On May 14, frosts and freezes reached unusually far south for this time of year. Generally, temperatures were not low enough to pose a major threat to spring wheat or corn, although the latter crop was 56% emerged (on May 16, according to USDA/NASS) in Minnesota, 37% emerged in South Dakota, and 25% emerged in North Dakota. Farther south, however, May 14 temperatures ranging from 26 to 30 degrees F adversely affected heading winter wheat in northwestern Kansas, where the crop was 75% headed on May 16. Damage to winter wheat was spotty in southwestern Kansas, where wheat was 97% headed and localized readings as low as 28 degrees F were reported. A few heading wheat fields may have also sustained damage in southeastern Colorado, where isolated readings below 30 degrees F were observed. Early in the week, very warm weather prevailed across the upper Midwest, where Mankato, MN, reported a daily-record high (91 degrees F on May 9). Two days later, daily records for May 11 included 89 degrees F in both Sisseton, SD, and Sidney, NE. However, sharply colder air arrived at midweek across the northern Plains, where Miles City, MT, collected consecutive daily-record lows (23 and 17 degrees F on May 12-13). Consecutive record lows were established on May 13-14 in several other Montana locations, including Havre (23 and 28 degrees F) and Great Falls (20 and 26 degrees F). Elsewhere on May 14, lows of 19 degrees F in Alamosa, CO, 22 degrees F in Casper, WY, 24 degrees F in Aberdeen, SD, and 27 degrees F in Goodland, KS, were among nearly two dozen daily-record lows. Cool weather lingered across the upper Midwest at week's end, when record lows for May 15 dipped to 26 degrees F in St. Cloud, MN, and 32 degrees F in Waterloo, IA. In contrast, warm weather persisted throughout the week across much of the Ohio Valley, South, and East. Daily-record highs were set in locations such as South Bend, IN (88 degrees F on May 9), and Little Rock, AR (90 degrees F on May 10). In West Virginia, Bluefield (84, 84, and 82 degrees F) posted three consecutive record highs. During the mid- to late-week period, more than a dozen daily-record highs were established from the lower Great Lakes region into the Northeast. In Connecticut, Windsor Locks notched daily records on May 12 (90 degrees F) and 15 (89 degrees F). Other daily-record highs for May 15 included 89 degrees F in Newark, NJ, and 87 degrees F in Providence, RI. Several rounds of heavy rain struck the western Gulf Coast region. Victoria, TX, netted daily-record totals on May 9 (2.37 inches) and 13 (3.63 inches), boosting its May 1-16 sum to 12.65 inches (514 percent of normal). Other daily-record totals in eastern Texas on May 13 included 5.04 inches in College Station and 2.43 inches in Corpus Christi. In contrast, no measurable rain fell during the first 16 days of May in the western Texas locations of Childress and Midland. Farther east, New Orleans, LA, received 3.92 inches on May 11-12 and 3.48 inches on May 15, lifting its April 1 - May 16 total to 23.22 inches (320 percent of normal). Meanwhile in the north-central United States, daily records included 1.30 inches (on May 10) in East Rapid City, SD, 1.38 inches (on May 11) in Grand Forks, ND, and 1.62 inches (on May 11) in Valentine, NE. In northwestern Minnesota, 24-hour totals on May 11-12 reached 5.00 inches in Roseau and 4.38 inches in Warroad. Later in the week, 24-hour totals in excess of 4 inches were also reported in locations such as Norwich, KS (5.70 inches on May 12-13), and Black Rock, AR (4.95 inches on May 13-14). Nationally, severe thunderstorms resulted in more than 50 tornadoes and at least 800 reports of large hail (three-quarters of an inch or larger) and high winds (58 m.p.h. or greater), according to preliminary information provided by the Storm Prediction Center. The majority of the severe weather occurred from May 9-13. At the same time, a late-season snowfall was reported in parts of the northern Plains and Northwest. On May 11-12, totals in North Dakota included 1.0 inch in Williston and 0.2 inch in Bismarck. Williston's snow pushed its season-to-date total to 64.2 inches, the seventh-highest total in 110 years. Despite some rain and snow, water year-to-date precipitation in Great Falls, MT, remained the lowest on record. Great Falls' October 1 - May 16 total reached 2.42 inches, just 35 percent of normal. Meanwhile, early- to midweek snow totaled more than 1 foot in parts of the northern Rockies, including Mountain Meadows in Idaho's Clearwater Mountains. Farther south, Salt Lake City, UT, clocked a wind gust to 71 m.p.h. on May 10, followed the next day by a peak gust to 54 m.p.h. in Window Rock, AZ. In Hawaii, showers were most widespread across the western islands, although locally torrential rainfall developed statewide at week's end. On Oahu, Honolulu posted a daily-record total of 1.03 inches on May 15. On May 15-16, 24-hour totals reached 3.20 inches in Palisades, Oahu, 3.29 inches in Makapulapai, Molokai, and 9.73 inches at Maui's Hana Airport. Hawaiian temperatures averaged as much as 3 degrees F above normal, aided by a daily-record high (87 degrees F on May 11) in Hilo, on the Big Island. Meanwhile in Alaska, light showers accompanied above-normal temperatures. May 1-15 precipitation totals of 1.49 inches (497 percent of normal) in Nome and 1.05 inches (525 percent) in Fairbanks contrasted with below-normal amounts in Juneau (0.12 inch, or 7 percent) and other southern Alaska locations. National Agricultural Summary May 10 - 16, 2004 Highlights: Above-normal temperatures prevailed across the eastern half of the Nation, as well as in the Southwest and some areas of the central and southern Great Plains. In the Northeast, Middle Atlantic, Ohio Valley, and eastern Corn Belt, temperatures averaged 6 to 12 degrees Fahrenheit above normal, encouraging emergence of summer crops. Minimum temperatures fell below freezing across the northern Rockies and northern Great Plains, as well as in parts of the central and southern Rockies, central Great Plains, and Intermountain Region, raising concerns of frost damage to heading winter wheat and emerging corn. Snow was reported in the northernmost areas of the Great Plains, with as much as 8 inches in parts of North Dakota. Heavy rainfall in the Mississippi Delta and western Gulf Coast hampered fieldwork and flooded fields and pastures, with some locations in Louisiana receiving up to 12 inches of precipitation. Dry conditions persisted in the southern Atlantic Coast States, with only light precipitation. Precipitation was moderate in the Corn Belt and eastern Great Plains, causing minor fieldwork delays. Light to moderate, widely scattered precipitation fell across the High Plains, northern and central Rockies, and Pacific Northwest, providing relief from dry conditions in some areas. The Southwest remained mostly dry. Corn: Planting advanced to 92 percent complete, 19 percentage points ahead of last year and 15 points ahead of normal. Emergence, at 63 percent, was 26 points ahead of last year and 19 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting neared completion across the central and southern Great Plains and western Corn Belt. Colorado growers progressed the most, planting 32 percent of their crop. The planting pace was ahead of normal in all States. Meanwhile, emergence progressed rapidly in the western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains, with 42 percent of the crop emerging in Minnesota and over 35 percent emerging in Iowa and Nebraska. Soybeans: Growers had planted 54 percent of the Nation's soybean crop, compared with 23 percent last year and 36 percent for the 5-year average. Emergence, at 19 percent, was 12 points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Planting continued to progress rapidly as growers completed corn seedings. One-fourth or more of the crop was planted during the week in Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio, with the pace only slightly slower in Illinois and South Dakota. Emergence was ahead of normal in most States, particularly in the central Corn Belt and Mississippi Delta. Winter Wheat: Sixty-nine percent of the crop had advanced to the heading stage or beyond, 6 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. Heading was nearly complete in Arkansas, California, and Oklahoma. The crop showed rapid development from the central Corn Belt westward through the central Great Plains, with over one-third of Indiana's and Nebraska's crop reaching the heading stage. Heading had not begun in the northern Rocky Mountain Region. Cotton: Planting advanced to 60 percent complete, compared with 53 percent last year and 59 percent for the 5-year average. Planting was completed in California, 2 weeks ahead of the normal pace. In Texas, 43 percent of the crop had been planted, 4 points ahead of normal. Planting advanced rapidly under warm, dry conditions in the southern and middle Atlantic Coast States. North Carolina producers planted 34 percent of their crop, while growers in Georgia, South Carolina, and Virginia planted 20 percent or more of their acreage. Rice: Growers had planted 89 percent of the Nation's rice crop, 8 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Emergence, at 77 percent, was 8 points ahead of normal and 9 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting had reached 99 percent complete in Texas and 95 percent complete in Louisiana and Mississippi. California growers steadily progressed, planting 25 percent of their crop. Emergence was most rapid in Missouri, where one-fourth of the crop emerged. Crop condition declined in Louisiana as heavy rainfall flooded fields and washed out levees. Sorghum: Planting advanced to 36 percent complete, compared with 30 percent last year and 33 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was slow, advancing by only 7 points Nationwide. However, planting was ahead of the normal pace in most States, with only Arkansas and Kansas behind their 5-year averages. Texas growers had planted 58 percent of their crop, 6 points ahead of normal. Despite heavy rainfall, Louisiana, with 85 percent of its acreage planted, was 6 points ahead of normal. Small Grains: Ninety percent of the spring wheat crop had been planted, 15 points ahead of last year and 21 points ahead of normal. The crop was 62 percent emerged, compared with 52 percent for last year and 44 percent for the 5-year average. Planting neared completion in Idaho and Minnesota. Emergence was most advanced in South Dakota and Washington, where 96 percent of the crop had emerged. Both planting and emergence were ahead of normal in all States, with Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota far ahead of normal. Barley planting advanced to 88 percent complete, 18 points ahead of last year and 21 points ahead of normal. Emergence, at 62 percent, was 16 points ahead of last year and 21 points ahead of the average. Planting progress was ahead of normal in all States, but nowhere more so than in North Dakota, where growers were 32 points ahead of their normal planting pace. Emergence advanced 17 points Nationwide, with Idaho and North Dakota showing 19-point gains. Oat growers had planted 94 percent of their crop, compared with 85 percent last year and 81 percent for the 5-year average. Seventy-six percent of the crop had emerged, 10 points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of normal. Planting was completed in Nebraska and South Dakota and neared completion in Wisconsin. Outside of the Ohio Valley, all States were ahead of their normal planting pace. The crop steadily emerged in the northern Great Plains and adjacent areas of the northern Corn Belt, with emergence most advanced in Iowa and Nebraska at 98 percent. Other Crops: The Nation's sunflower crop was 8 percent planted, 3 points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. In Kansas and North Dakota, planting progress, at 10 percent, was 3 and 4 points ahead of normal, respectively. Four percent of the crop was planted in Colorado and South Dakota. Peanut planting advanced to 47 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year but 4 points behind normal. Planting rapidly advanced, as growers in all States, except Texas, planted 20 percent or more of their crop. In North Carolina, producers planted 41 percent of their crop under warm, dry conditions. Despite this rapid pace, progress continued to trail the 5-year average throughout the Southeast. Corn: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 79 47 62 69 IL : 98 95 77 80 IN : 93 87 60 70 IA : 98 94 75 85 KS : 95 84 87 88 KY : 92 89 75 80 MI : 65 60 38 59 MN : 98 90 89 82 MO : 96 95 78 79 NE : 95 85 68 81 NC : 97 96 89 94 ND : 83 73 65 56 OH : 82 62 86 77 PA : 67 54 51 61 SD : 88 71 63 58 TN : 98 95 89 94 TX : 96 94 96 95 WI : 69 56 56 64 : 18 Sts: 92 84 73 77 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 30 8 12 21 IL : 85 67 55 58 IN : 71 44 41 45 IA : 73 36 31 43 KS : 60 36 56 60 KY : 80 68 66 68 MI : 36 10 9 23 MN : 56 14 26 33 MO : 85 78 65 64 NE : 65 29 26 39 NC : 91 84 69 82 ND : 25 7 17 18 OH : 50 22 61 48 PA : 32 12 24 27 SD : 37 8 8 16 TN : 93 86 86 86 TX : 80 73 85 82 WI : 20 3 12 25 : 18 Sts: 63 36 37 44 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Rice: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 91 88 92 90 CA : 70 45 31 65 LA : 95 93 95 96 MS : 95 93 88 88 MO : 92 83 73 79 TX : 99 98 98 98 : 6 Sts : 89 82 81 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Rice: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 83 72 84 75 CA : 30 15 1 20 LA : 92 87 89 91 MS : 91 79 76 74 MO : 82 57 54 53 TX : 95 92 95 94 : 6 Sts : 77 66 69 68 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Soybeans: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 47 38 34 32 IL : 57 33 18 40 IN : 66 48 24 46 IA : 76 51 15 39 KS : 31 16 22 31 KY : 20 15 10 21 LA : 60 54 38 52 MI : 33 22 10 29 MN : 72 47 35 40 MS : 93 89 77 72 MO : 39 29 16 27 NE : 51 25 17 32 NC : 21 13 15 19 ND : 41 27 16 19 OH : 54 28 46 53 SD : 36 15 13 19 TN : 17 12 8 17 WI : 22 13 17 29 : 18 Sts: 54 35 23 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 38 NA 25 20 IL : 24 NA 4 16 IN : 31 NA 9 20 IA : 22 NA 1 11 KS : 9 NA 9 15 KY : 6 NA 0 11 LA : 50 NA 30 40 MI : 16 NA 2 7 MN : 7 NA 1 7 MS : 87 NA 67 57 MO : 16 NA 4 12 NE : 14 NA 2 9 NC : 9 NA 13 10 ND : 2 NA 2 2 OH : 20 NA 25 23 SD : 4 NA 1 3 TN : 5 NA 1 7 WI : 2 NA 0 6 : 18 Sts: 19 NA 7 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Sorghum: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 79 69 90 87 CO : 16 5 11 11 IL : 34 21 3 16 KS : 18 9 14 19 LA : 85 81 71 79 MO : 43 32 33 39 NE : 17 7 6 15 NM : 11 0 6 4 OK : 26 21 20 21 SD : 16 7 13 8 TX : 58 55 53 52 : 11 Sts: 36 29 30 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sunflowers: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 4 NA 0 0 KS : 10 NA 4 7 ND : 10 NA 7 6 SD : 4 NA 3 4 : 4 Sts : 8 NA 5 5 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States planted 87% of last year's sunflowers acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 98 96 98 99 CA : 99 98 98 99 CO : 45 23 24 23 ID : 0 0 0 0 IL : 89 64 80 78 IN : 65 29 54 57 KS : 90 63 81 76 MI : 3 0 0 2 MO : 88 69 83 78 MT : 0 0 1 0 NE : 38 3 7 13 NC : 96 88 89 96 OH : 12 3 13 20 OK : 99 97 99 98 OR : 28 11 6 10 SD : 3 0 1 0 TX : 91 82 91 89 WA : 10 7 10 8 : 18 Sts: 69 55 63 61 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Cotton: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 80 61 70 77 AZ : 83 72 77 89 AR : 69 46 57 72 CA : 100 99 86 95 GA : 56 33 56 58 LA : 85 77 75 85 MS : 87 79 77 82 MO : 69 59 44 79 NC : 75 41 59 69 OK : 50 34 55 45 SC : 64 38 38 55 TN : 48 22 34 61 TX : 43 30 41 39 VA : 87 67 79 88 : 14 Sts: 60 45 53 59 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Peanuts: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 37 10 50 56 FL : 40 20 43 47 GA : 46 20 38 49 NC : 58 17 59 59 OK : 63 39 63 51 TX : 50 44 49 47 VA : 53 24 51 71 : 7 Sts : 47 24 45 51 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 99 96 88 93 MN : 97 90 93 70 MT : 93 83 70 76 ND : 84 78 65 57 SD : 100 100 98 93 WA : 100 100 99 98 : 6 Sts : 90 84 75 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 81 71 69 74 MN : 59 46 62 46 MT : 51 43 34 36 ND : 57 39 45 33 SD : 96 84 90 77 WA : 96 91 88 88 : 6 Sts : 62 49 52 44 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 94 92 85 89 MN : 90 80 94 65 MT : 95 90 71 79 ND : 80 70 57 48 WA : 100 100 99 98 : 5 Sts : 88 81 70 67 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 83% of last year's barley acreage. Barley: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 70 51 66 65 MN : 43 30 55 42 MT : 74 59 41 41 ND : 49 30 34 24 WA : 97 92 91 87 : 5 Sts : 62 45 46 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 83% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 100 100 100 100 MN : 95 91 93 83 NE : 100 99 98 98 ND : 84 74 58 55 OH : 92 84 100 96 PA : 89 82 88 91 SD : 100 97 96 89 WI : 99 92 86 88 : 8 Sts : 94 89 85 81 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Oats: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:May 16,:May 9, :May 16,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 98 93 89 94 MN : 76 62 68 59 NE : 98 82 91 91 ND : 58 36 37 28 OH : 60 56 93 88 PA : 56 48 72 72 SD : 91 71 84 69 WI : 77 59 55 65 : 8 Sts: 76 60 66 62 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Winter Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 6 31 53 9 CA : 0 5 15 45 35 CO : 17 29 32 18 4 ID : 0 3 17 74 6 IL : 0 2 15 57 26 IN : 0 2 14 65 19 KS : 14 21 30 30 5 MI : 0 1 29 54 16 MO : 1 5 27 55 12 MT : 7 33 44 15 1 NE : 13 21 35 28 3 NC : 0 2 27 62 9 OH : 1 3 18 56 22 OK : 5 11 33 44 7 OR : 1 16 39 36 8 SD : 21 25 33 19 2 TX : 5 18 34 37 6 WA : 2 7 31 55 5 : 18 Sts : 8 16 31 38 7 : Prev Wk : 8 16 31 37 8 Prev Yr : 7 12 28 41 12 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 4 19 61 16 MN : 4 6 31 50 9 NE : 5 9 49 31 6 ND : 1 11 41 44 3 OH : 1 2 27 61 9 PA : 1 3 30 56 10 SD : 3 10 39 41 7 WI : 0 1 17 59 23 : 8 Sts : 2 7 33 48 10 : Prev Wk : NA NA NA NA NA Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 5 27 50 16 CA : 0 0 55 35 10 LA : 0 7 32 52 9 MS : 0 0 28 66 6 MO : 0 1 13 78 8 TX : 0 0 21 72 7 : 6 Sts : 1 4 31 52 12 : Prev Wk : 1 3 31 53 12 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 2 7 28 57 6 :: NJ : 0 0 4 96 0 AZ : 25 18 20 20 17 :: NM : 21 26 40 12 1 AR : 0 2 20 64 14 :: NY : 0 1 11 48 40 CA : 10 30 25 35 0 :: NC : 0 5 23 59 13 CO : 13 30 36 19 2 :: ND : 10 33 34 22 1 CT : 0 0 23 77 0 :: OH : 1 2 19 63 15 DE : 0 3 10 80 7 :: OK : 2 9 30 46 13 FL : 5 10 40 45 0 :: OR : 4 11 43 34 8 GA : 4 20 45 28 3 :: PA : 1 3 18 54 24 ID : 0 4 28 51 17 :: RI : 0 0 0 9 91 IL : 0 1 13 68 18 :: SC : 0 12 44 42 2 IN : 0 3 18 66 13 :: SD : 17 29 33 19 2 IA : 1 8 29 49 13 :: TN : 0 4 18 62 16 KS : 15 22 27 30 6 :: TX : 6 9 26 43 16 KY : 1 2 18 56 23 :: UT : 2 17 40 38 3 LA : 1 5 42 45 7 :: VT : 0 0 22 62 16 ME : 1 1 25 64 9 :: VA : 0 4 22 59 15 MD : 0 3 17 47 33 :: WA : 18 19 35 28 0 MA : 0 0 0 60 40 :: WV : 0 3 25 64 8 MI : 2 5 30 46 17 :: WI : 1 7 23 57 12 MN : 6 21 41 30 2 :: WY : 23 26 33 18 0 MS : 1 7 27 55 10 :: : MO : 2 6 18 54 20 :: 48 Sts : 7 14 28 41 10 MT : 23 34 26 16 1 :: : NE : 16 26 31 25 2 :: Prev Wk: 6 13 31 41 9 NV : 1 12 32 52 3 :: Prev Yr: 5 12 29 42 12 NH : 0 1 11 62 26 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin report will be released after 12 p.m. ET on May 25, 2004. 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