We 1 (7-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 7, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 27 June 27 - July 3, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Heavy showers persisted across the South, eliminating concerns about dryness in the southern Atlantic States but causing additional flooding from southern and eastern Texas to the Delta. In addition, standing water and warm, soggy conditions maintained concerns about crop quality in the western and central Gulf Coast States. Stormy weather also prevailed across the southern half of the Plains, slowing final winter wheat harvesting and causing local wind, hail, and flood damage, but providing generally beneficial moisture for pastures and summer crops. The Nation's coolest weather, relative to normal, affected the central and southern Plains, where weekly temperatures ranged from 3 to 7 degrees F below normal. Farther north, scattered showers provided limited relief from long-term drought on the High Plains from southeastern Montana to western Nebraska. Meanwhile, wet weather gradually returned to the southern and western Corn Belt, maintaining adequate to locally excessive soil moisture for summer crops. Elsewhere in the Midwest, mostly dry weather in the Ohio Valley favored winter wheat harvesting, while local wetness and crop developmental delays remained a concern in the northern Corn Belt. Farther west, scattered showers boosted topsoil moisture but provided little relief from a multiyear drought across the Intermountain West. Seasonably dry weather prevailed in the Pacific Coast States, while the Southwest awaited the onset of its summer rainy season. Unusual warmth was confined to the Northwest, where readings averaged as much as 7 degrees F above normal. Chilly weather lingered early in the week across the Plains and Midwest, resulting in more than a dozen daily-record lows. On June 27, record lows included 36 degrees F in Merrill, WI, and 39 degrees F in Dickinson, ND. A day later in Nebraska, lows of 39 degrees F in Chadron, North Platte, and Valentine were records for the date. St. Joseph, MO (50, 55, 50, and 54 degrees F), set or tied record lows on June 26 and 28-30. Cool weather was also observed in the Southwest, where Show Low, AZ (42 and 42 degrees F), notched daily-record lows on June 29 and 30. Elsewhere in Arizona, July 1 featured daily-record lows in locations such as Flagstaff (33 degrees F) and Greer (35 degrees F). With a 65-day average temperature of 52.8 degrees F (5.1 degrees F below normal), Great Falls, MT, experienced its coldest May 1 - July 4 period on record (previously, 53.5 degrees F in 1995). Meanwhile, scattered record highs were confined to southern Florida, where Miami posted a record-tying high of 93 degrees F on June 28. Early in the week, heavy rain continued to pummel the western and central Gulf Coast States. On June 28, daily-record totals were observed in locations such as Lufkin, TX (3.55 inches), and El Dorado, AR (3.42 inches). The following day, additional daily records in Texas included 3.13 inches in Austin-Bergstrom and 2.64 inches in Dallas-Ft. Worth. Somewhat drier air arrived across Texas in early July, but local downpours persisted farther east. On July 1, Monroe, LA, collected a daily-record total of 3.81 inches. According to preliminary climate information, Mississippi experienced its wettest June on record (9.83 inches), edging the 1989 standard of 9.81 inches. It was the third-wettest June on record in Texas (6.23 inches) and Louisiana (11.34 inches). Rainfall from two tropical storms, both named Allison, helped to fuel Louisiana's excessive wetness in June 1989 (13.64 inches) and June 2001 (12.44 inches). Texas' wettest June was also observed in 1989, when an average of 6.72 inches of rain fell across the State. For the month, it was the wettest June on record in locations such as Augusta, GA (10.59 inches, or 253 percent of normal), and Victoria, TX (13.50 inches, or 272 percent). Elsewhere in Texas, it was the second-wettest June behind 2001 in Houston (18.33 inches, or 343 percent of normal), behind 1981 in Austin-Bergstrom (14.18 inches, or 415 percent), and behind 1928 in Dallas-Ft. Worth (10.49 inches, or 325 percent). It was also the second-wettest June on record in Jacksonville, FL, where 17.15 inches (319 percent of normal) fell. Farther west, some locally excessive rainfall persisted on the central and southern Plains. In Kansas, WaKeeney netted 4.20 inches in a 24-hour period on June 30 - July 1. Hit-or-miss showers in the Northwest produced daily-record totals in Oregon locations such as Klamath Falls (0.85 inch on June 28) and Prineville (1.04 inches on June 29). In Wyoming, daily-record totals on June 30 included 0.61 inch in Cheyenne and 0.55 inch in Rawlins. Rain also overspread the Black Hills and the High Plains, producing daily records in Chadron, NE (0.87 inch on June 30), and East Rapid City, SD (1.45 inches on July 3). At week's end, wet weather returned to parts of the Midwest, where Milwaukee, WI (1.58 inches on July 3), netted a daily-record total. Typical weather prevailed in Hawaii, featuring locally heavy showers in windward locations. Among the highest weekly amounts was the 4.04-inch total at Oahu's Manoa Lyon Arboretum. Most of the arboretum's rain, 2.90 inches, fell in a 72-hour period from June 28 - July 1. Farther north, warm, mostly dry weather blanketed Alaska. Temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F above normal in southeastern Alaska and generally ranged from 4 to 16 degrees F above normal on the Alaskan mainland. By July 5, seven large, active wildfires in east-central Alaska were responsible for more than 1.9 million acres of charred vegetation, approximately 70 percent of the Nation's year-to-date total. The largest fires were the Taylor Complex (nearly 490,000 acres about 35 miles northwest of Tok), Eagle Complex (more than 450,000 acres just 3 miles northeast of Eagle), Solstice Complex (about 320,000 acres more than 55 miles northwest of Fort Yukon), Boundary fire (312,000 acres only 20 miles northeast of Fairbanks), and Wolf Creek fire (200,000 acres about 80 miles northeast of Fairbanks). No measurable precipitation fell in Fairbanks during the first 5 days of July, following its second-warmest, fifth-driest June on record. National Agricultural Summary June 28 - July 4, 2004 Highlights: Below-normal temperatures continued to dominate across most of the Nation. The only areas in which temperatures were above normal were the Pacific Northwest and parts of the northern Rocky Mountains, northern Great Plains, and Florida. Moderate precipitation fell across the western Corn Belt and central and southern Great Plains, improving crop conditions. In the eastern Corn Belt, conditions were mostly dry, encouraging winter wheat harvest. Light precipitation and above-normal temperatures in parts of the northern Great Plains and northern Rockies were beneficial to small grain development. Heavy rainfall limited fieldwork in the Delta and parts of the Southeast as crop conditions deteriorated in some areas due to diseases and the inability to apply pesticides. Precipitation was light in the central and southern Rocky Mountains, with widely scattered pockets of moderate rainfall. The Southwest and Pacific Northwest remained mostly dry. Corn: Nineteen percent of the Nation's corn acreage was at the silking stage or beyond, 12 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of normal. Though weekly average temperatures were below normal across most corn-producing areas, periods of warm weather allowed silking to advance rapidly in Illinois, Kentucky, and Missouri. Silking progress in Illinois, at 47 percent complete, was 36 points ahead of the normal pace, while North Carolina's crop, at 88 percent silked, was 31 points ahead of normal. Nearly half of Texas's crop had reached the dough stage, but for most other States, doughing had not yet begun. Soybeans: Blooming advanced to 20 percent complete, compared with 8 percent last year and 15 percent for the 5-year average. Eighty percent of Mississippi's crop had reached the blooming stage, 18 points ahead of normal, while Arkansas's progress, at 38 percent, was 23 points ahead of normal. The most rapid progress was in the Corn Belt, where 22 percent of Iowa's crop and 23 percent of Ohio's crop entered the stage. Blooming was behind the normal pace across the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt but ahead of normal in most other areas. Winter Wheat: Growers had harvested 60 percent of the crop, 3 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. Harvest progressed rapidly under mostly dry conditions in the eastern Corn Belt, where producers harvested 27 percent of Indiana's crop and 34 percent of Ohio's crop. Meanwhile, harvest neared completion in Arkansas and Oklahoma but had not yet begun in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains. Cotton: Seventy percent of the crop was squaring, compared with 53 percent last year and 67 percent for the 5-year average. Setting bolls reached 20 percent complete, 4 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Squaring progressed by 20 points or more in Alabama, Arizona, North Carolina, and Texas. The crop was ahead of the normal squaring pace in most States, trailing behind the average only in Arizona, Mississippi, and Missouri. The crop set bolls rapidly in Mississippi, advancing 23 points, but remained behind normal. Sorghum: Planting was 95 percent complete, 1 point ahead of last year but 1 point behind the 5-year average. Heading, at 20 percent complete, was also 1 point ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. Thirteen percent of the crop was turning color, the same as both last year and the 5-year average. Planting was complete in Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Missouri, and Nebraska and 95 percent or more complete in all States, except New Mexico and Texas. Heading progressed rapidly in Louisiana to 59 percent complete, though progress was limited in most other States. Coloring had begun only in Louisiana and Texas, where 3 percent and 37 percent of the crop had turned color, respectively. Rice: Heading advanced to 13 percent complete, 1 point ahead of last year but the same as normal. Louisiana's crop advanced by 29 points, to 50 percent complete, but remained behind the normal pace. Progress was limited to 6 points or less in all other States. Heading was 28 points behind the normal pace in Texas but 20 points ahead of normal in California. Small Grains: Spring wheat headed, at 51 percent complete, was 10 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Heading progressed rapidly across the major producing areas under warm, dry conditions. The crop advanced by 31 points in Idaho and Montana, pulling ahead of the normal pace in both States. Despite over one-fourth of its crop entering the headed stage, North Dakota remained behind normal. Forty-eight percent of the barley crop was headed, compared with 58 percent last year and 49 percent for the 5-year average. One-fourth of Minnesota's and Montana's crop and 24 percent of North Dakota's crop entered the heading stage, but progress remained behind normal in these three States. Oat heading advanced to 73 percent complete, 5 points behind last year but even with the normal pace. Progress was most rapid in Minnesota, advancing by 30 points, but remained 14 points behind the 5-year average. Heading was ahead of the normal pace in all other States. Other Crops: Peanut pegging reached 43 percent complete, 5 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. The crop advanced by 28 points in Texas and 25 points in North Carolina. Pegging was 4 points behind the normal pace in Georgia but at or ahead of normal elsewhere. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 0 1 3 IL : 47 16 6 11 IN : 32 11 3 6 IA : 1 0 0 2 KS : 39 19 26 22 KY : 65 36 39 49 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 1 0 MO : 61 32 36 38 NE : 3 1 1 3 NC : 88 79 46 57 ND : 0 0 1 1 OH : 8 0 0 1 PA : 15 6 0 2 SD : 0 0 0 0 TN : 82 71 73 71 TX : 69 64 68 67 WI : 0 0 0 0 : 18 Sts: 19 9 7 9 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 2 NA 0 0 IN : 0 NA 0 0 IA : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 1 NA 2 1 KY : 0 NA 0 0 MI : 0 NA 0 0 MN : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 7 NA 0 0 NE : 0 NA 0 0 NC : 11 NA 0 9 ND : 0 NA 0 0 OH : 0 NA 0 0 PA : 0 NA 0 0 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TN : 2 NA 4 2 TX : 49 NA 56 56 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 2 NA 2 2 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 80 60 77 72 AZ : 80 58 64 86 AR : 92 85 77 91 CA : 90 85 59 64 GA : 83 68 76 75 LA : 91 79 80 90 MS : 81 66 73 86 MO : 77 68 64 81 NC : 75 55 59 69 OK : 45 30 43 42 SC : 63 51 41 57 TN : 95 81 54 81 TX : 53 32 33 53 VA : 93 83 10 61 : 14 Sts: 70 54 53 67 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 13 4 11 13 AZ : 30 15 22 36 AR : 25 13 10 15 CA : 35 30 7 10 GA : 26 13 24 29 LA : 28 13 29 44 MS : 30 7 28 35 MO : 11 7 5 22 NC : 15 5 1 7 OK : 1 0 2 2 SC : 9 2 1 10 TN : 14 3 5 11 TX : 17 12 19 17 VA : 18 5 0 1 : 14 Sts: 20 11 16 19 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 96 95 95 96 CA : 90 75 73 75 CO : 17 2 23 29 ID : 0 0 0 0 IL : 91 76 77 79 IN : 78 51 50 54 KS : 83 69 82 81 MI : 0 0 0 1 MO : 91 74 83 81 MT : 0 0 0 0 NE : 25 8 11 27 NC : 89 79 78 89 OH : 34 0 4 16 OK : 97 96 97 95 OR : 0 0 0 1 SD : 1 0 0 1 TX : 94 86 87 88 WA : 0 0 1 1 : 18 Sts: 60 51 57 58 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 38 28 10 15 IL : 31 14 6 17 IN : 26 10 5 16 IA : 22 0 10 21 KS : 23 4 12 18 KY : 15 5 4 14 LA : 45 38 35 49 MI : 0 0 2 8 MN : 6 0 9 8 MS : 80 68 66 62 MO : 16 4 4 11 NE : 20 3 1 8 NC : 3 2 0 6 ND : 1 0 5 3 OH : 23 0 7 16 SD : 11 0 16 14 TN : 9 0 4 9 WI : 0 0 1 1 : 18 Sts: 20 7 8 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 34 19 31 34 FL : 70 60 68 57 GA : 45 30 42 49 NC : 45 20 29 38 OK : 44 33 67 41 TX : 35 7 24 34 VA : 28 25 14 26 : 7 Sts : 43 26 38 43 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 0 1 3 CA : 20 15 0 0 LA : 50 21 54 54 MS : 9 3 9 7 MO : 4 1 6 1 TX : 27 22 47 55 : 6 Sts : 13 7 12 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Sorghum: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 98 100 100 CO : 100 97 98 96 IL : 99 97 96 98 KS : 95 93 97 98 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 98 99 99 NE : 100 100 100 100 NM : 81 68 83 85 OK : 95 91 94 93 SD : 99 96 100 99 TX : 92 91 89 94 : 11 Sts: 95 93 94 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 46 31 52 37 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 4 3 0 3 KS : 1 1 1 2 LA : 59 30 56 63 MO : 6 2 8 5 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 7 3 2 5 SD : 0 0 6 2 TX : 49 44 46 50 : 11 Sts: 20 17 19 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 NA 0 0 CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 0 NA 0 0 LA : 3 NA 5 3 MO : 0 NA 0 0 NE : 0 NA 0 0 NM : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 0 NA 0 0 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TX : 37 NA 37 38 : 11 Sts: 13 NA 13 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 63 32 68 55 MN : 42 23 87 66 MT : 40 9 36 38 ND : 43 17 55 45 SD : 96 83 93 85 WA : 99 89 96 89 : 6 Sts : 51 26 61 53 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 62 41 62 54 MN : 36 11 86 62 MT : 43 18 42 45 ND : 39 15 58 41 WA : 99 85 93 88 : 5 Sts : 48 25 58 49 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 83% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 4, :Jun 27,:Jul 4, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 99 93 96 97 MN : 63 33 85 77 NE : 96 92 97 95 ND : 43 17 51 42 OH : 95 77 93 93 PA : 87 70 77 85 SD : 86 69 90 81 WI : 79 57 77 75 : 8 Sts : 73 53 78 73 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 0 6 53 41 IL : 1 3 13 59 24 IN : 3 5 18 51 23 IA : 2 6 17 52 23 KS : 1 8 24 51 16 KY : 1 8 17 50 24 MI : 5 16 39 34 6 MN : 2 6 32 51 9 MO : 1 4 16 57 22 NE : 0 3 17 51 29 NC : 0 2 17 58 23 ND : 3 7 32 55 3 OH : 3 10 24 46 17 PA : 1 3 14 43 39 SD : 1 2 17 62 18 TN : 1 3 13 50 33 TX : 0 2 14 42 42 WI : 4 12 25 44 15 : 18 Sts : 2 5 20 52 21 : Prev Wk : 2 6 21 52 19 Prev Yr : 1 5 21 54 19 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 7 27 47 17 IL : 2 5 22 54 17 IN : 3 7 23 50 17 IA : 2 7 20 53 18 KS : 0 3 23 64 10 KY : 1 3 21 54 21 LA : 6 18 30 43 3 MI : 3 13 44 34 6 MN : 2 8 39 45 6 MS : 1 4 15 54 26 MO : 3 6 26 54 11 NE : 0 3 21 59 17 NC : 0 2 19 66 13 ND : 1 5 29 58 7 OH : 5 11 31 43 10 SD : 0 3 19 61 17 TN : 1 2 12 64 21 WI : 3 12 23 49 13 : 18 Sts : 2 6 25 53 14 : Prev Wk : 2 6 26 53 13 Prev Yr : 1 5 24 55 15 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 3 16 68 11 AZ : 0 4 26 37 33 AR : 0 6 25 48 21 CA : 0 0 5 20 75 GA : 0 2 20 60 18 LA : 6 13 38 39 4 MS : 2 8 22 48 20 MO : 0 1 17 71 11 NC : 0 3 13 71 13 OK : 2 0 36 62 0 SC : 0 3 26 66 5 TN : 0 2 13 56 29 TX : 8 11 30 35 16 VA : 0 0 7 48 45 : 14 Sts : 4 7 24 45 20 : Prev Wk : 5 7 23 46 19 Prev Yr : 9 10 30 42 9 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 8 37 48 7 CO : 1 18 39 25 17 IL : 0 1 24 60 15 KS : 1 4 34 49 12 LA : 1 10 46 43 0 MO : 0 3 25 63 9 NE : 1 5 34 50 10 NM : 0 12 73 13 2 OK : 1 1 51 44 3 SD : 0 0 25 73 2 TX : 2 8 22 42 26 : 11 Sts : 1 6 31 46 16 : Prev Wk : 2 7 28 51 12 Prev Yr : 1 6 28 56 9 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 24 53 19 CA : 0 5 40 30 25 LA : 0 7 39 49 5 MS : 0 1 13 67 19 MO : 1 2 11 48 38 TX : 0 0 28 62 10 : 6 Sts : 1 4 28 49 18 : Prev Wk : 0 4 28 49 19 Prev Yr : 1 5 28 49 17 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 4 21 48 25 FL : 0 1 24 50 25 GA : 0 1 18 64 17 NC : 0 2 12 77 9 OK : 0 0 10 79 11 TX : 0 2 30 48 20 VA : 0 0 13 47 40 : 8 Sts : 0 2 21 58 19 : Prev Wk : 0 2 22 60 16 Prev Yr : 0 2 19 58 21 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 21 59 17 MN : 1 7 32 53 7 NE : 11 11 22 38 18 ND : 6 11 29 49 5 OH : 3 13 26 49 9 PA : 2 9 29 49 11 SD : 8 7 21 51 13 WI : 2 9 20 56 13 : 8 Sts : 5 9 25 50 11 : Prev Wk : 3 9 27 50 11 Prev Yr : 0 3 20 63 14 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 1 9 78 12 MN : 3 6 36 43 12 MT : 3 10 23 58 6 ND : 3 8 22 48 19 SD : 5 5 19 49 22 WA : 2 3 31 56 8 : 6 Sts : 3 7 24 51 15 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 52 16 Prev Yr : 1 4 20 56 19 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 2 8 77 13 MN : 2 14 50 27 7 MT : 1 5 32 50 12 ND : 3 6 22 55 14 WA : 1 2 32 52 13 : 5 Sts : 2 5 24 56 13 : Prev Wk : 1 4 24 54 17 Prev Yr : 1 5 18 56 20 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 3 16 60 20 :: NJ : 0 0 45 55 0 AZ : 27 22 21 18 12 :: NM : 23 35 26 15 1 AR : 0 2 18 61 19 :: NY : 0 7 27 45 21 CA : 35 45 20 0 0 :: NC : 0 3 18 63 16 CO : 5 17 37 24 17 :: ND : 16 18 30 32 4 CT : 0 12 26 58 4 :: OH : 1 6 27 52 14 DE : 2 6 43 46 3 :: OK : 2 6 25 51 16 FL : 0 5 30 60 5 :: OR : 1 7 37 47 8 GA : 1 5 23 57 14 :: PA : 4 6 23 45 22 ID : 0 3 19 61 17 :: RI : 0 0 1 94 5 IL : 0 2 15 60 23 :: SC : 1 10 37 46 6 IN : 1 4 20 59 16 :: SD : 7 15 33 34 11 IA : 1 3 21 51 24 :: TN : 0 2 12 65 21 KS : 13 24 24 32 7 :: TX : 5 7 20 42 26 KY : 0 3 18 61 18 :: UT : 7 14 33 42 4 LA : 2 10 37 42 9 :: VT : 0 7 27 62 4 ME : 0 2 2 44 52 :: VA : 0 2 15 62 21 MD : 2 4 20 51 23 :: WA : 17 18 29 36 0 MA : 0 0 9 86 5 :: WV : 0 3 16 62 19 MI : 0 5 30 53 12 :: WI : 2 4 26 51 17 MN : 2 7 31 54 6 :: WY : 31 27 29 10 3 MS : 0 8 23 54 15 :: : MO : 1 3 17 61 18 :: 48 Sts : 7 12 24 43 14 MT : 19 25 31 23 2 :: : NE : 13 18 31 31 7 :: Prev Wk: 8 12 24 42 14 NV : 7 30 41 21 1 :: Prev Yr: 4 11 30 45 10 NH : 0 0 23 61 16 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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