We 1 (7-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 13, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 28 July 4 - 10, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. HIGHLIGHTS: Warm weather gradually expanded northeastward across the Corn Belt, preceded and accompanied by the return of locally heavy showers and thunderstorms. By week's end, temperatures reached or exceeded 90 degrees F in the southwestern Corn Belt, a significant rebound from earlier Midwestern highs below 70 degrees F in many locations. Warmer weather and renewed rains provided generally beneficial conditions for Midwestern summer crops, some of which were advancing through the heat- and moisture-sensitive reproductive stage of development. However, crop developmental delays remained a concern across the northern Corn Belt. Since June 1, except for a brief hot spell during the first full week of June, frequent intrusions of cool Canadian air have kept highs below the 90 degrees F mark and temperatures below normal across much of the Corn Belt. Farther south, scattered thundershowers lingered along and near the Gulf Coast, but most cotton- and soybean-producing areas from southern and eastern Texas to the Delta gradually recovered from recent downpours and flooding. Meanwhile, Southeastern pastures and summer crops continued to benefit from recent soil moisture improvements. Across the southern half of the Plains, daily thunderstorms generally benefited pastures and summer crops, but disrupted final winter wheat harvesting and caused local wind, hail, and flash flood damage. On the northern Plains, small grains benefited from early- to mid-week showers, followed by warmer, drier weather. West of the Rockies, the monsoon (summer rainy season) appeared a few days late in Arizona. Mostly dry weather prevailed elsewhere in the West, although a cooling trend eased demands on drought-reduced irrigation reserves. Early in the week, cool, dry conditions lingered across the Southwest. The week opened with consecutive daily-record lows (45 and 48 degrees F on July 4 and 5) in Show Low, AZ. Meanwhile, heat briefly expanded across much of the remainder of the West, resulting in a daily-record high (100 degrees F on July 6) in Reno, NV. In contrast, very chilly conditions overspread the northern Plains and the upper Midwest, accompanied by widespread showers. Marquette, MI, noted highs of 51 degrees F on July 6 and 7, tying its record set on July 1, 1992, for the lowest maximum temperature during July. Other locations reporting high temperatures below 60 degrees F included Fargo, ND (57 degrees F on July 6), and Rhinelander, WI (56 degrees F on July 7). On July 6, daily-record lows in Wyoming included 37 degrees F in Laramie and 41 degrees F in Casper. Laramie posted another record low (37 degrees F) the following day, along with locations such as Grand Forks, ND (44 degrees F), and Kennebec, SD (46 degrees F). On July 8, the Iowa locations of Dubuque (47 degrees F) and Estherville (48 degrees F) notched daily-record lows, while Great Falls, MT (41 degrees F on July 8 and 9), collected its first of two consecutive records. Farther south, warm, mostly dry conditions lingered across southern Florida, where Miami tallied a daily-record high of 95 degrees F on July 7. In Kansas City, MO, the temperature reached 90 degrees F (the high was 91 degrees F) for the first time this year on July 11. It was Kansas City's second-latest occurrence of the year's first 90-degree heat, behind July 15, 1904. During the week, several slow-moving frontal systems tracked across the northern half of the lower 48 States, triggering numerous scattered showers and thunderstorms, many of them severe. Early in the week, thunderstorms produced the wettest Independence Day on record in Washington, DC (2.18 inches), and Buffalo, NY (2.19 inches). It was also Buffalo's wettest day since 2.78 inches fell on June 24, 1994. A day later, Mason City, IA, netted a record sum (3.08 inches) for July 5. Other daily-record totals included 1.96 inches on July 6 at Wichita Falls, TX, 1.87 inches on July 7 at Wilmington, DE, and 0.65 inch on July 8 at Chadron, NE. Wichita Falls' daily amount surpassed its normal July total of 1.58 inches. On Saturday, strong Midwestern thunderstorms dumped a July 10 record 2.45 inches and 2.46 inches on International Falls, MN, and Springfield, IL, respectively. Farther west, the onset of seasonal rains in southeastern Arizona resulted in 12-hour totals reaching 1.50 inches on July 8. Hawaii continued to experience typical dry-season weather, with showers mostly confined to windward locations. Farther north, seven large wildfires were active across east-central Alaska, although fire activity slackened toward week's end due to cooler weather and isolated showers. Nevertheless, the active fires accounted for more than 2 million acres of charred vegetation, including the 536,000-acre Taylor Complex, about 35 miles northwest of Tok, and the 466,000-acre Eagle Complex, just 3 miles northeast of Eagle. For the year to date through July 9, Alaskan wildfires consumed 2.12 million acres of vegetation, less than 2,000 acres shy of the State's January-July 2002 record total. Warmth continued to affect parts of southern and western Alaska, boosting weekly temperatures as much as 10 degrees F above normal and producing daily-record highs in locations such as Kodiak (78 degrees F on July 7) and King Salmon (82 degrees F on July 8). National Agricultural Summary July 5 - 11, 2004 Highlights: Light to moderate rain fell from the Great Plains to the Atlantic Coast, while west of the Rocky Mountains, dry conditions prevailed. Temperatures averaged below normal across most of the Nation. In the Corn Belt, moderate rainfall and below-normal temperatures early in the week gave way to warmer, dryer conditions, encouraging crop development. Similar conditions dominated across the northern and central Great Plains. Scattered thunderstorms occurred across the southern Great Plains. Rainfall was moderate in the Delta and Southeast, although adjacent areas of the Atlantic Coast were mostly dry. Moderate precipitation also fell throughout the middle Atlantic Coast States and Northeast, with mixed results for crop and pasture conditions. The Rocky Mountains were mostly dry, though scattered showers brought some relief to eastern areas of the region. Hot, dry conditions persisted throughout the Great Basin and in most of the Southwest, while the Pacific Northwest was mostly dry, with below-normal temperatures. Corn: Silking progressed to 32 percent complete, 16 percentage points ahead of last year and 11 points ahead of the 5-year average. Five percent of the crop was at the dough stage or beyond, compared with 3 percent for last year and normal. The crop advanced steadily through the silking stage in the central Corn Belt and Ohio Valley, despite cool, wet conditions early in the week. Silking progressed by 29 points in Indiana and 25 points in Illinois. Meanwhile, silking was underway in the northern Corn Belt but had not begun in the northern Great Plains. Doughing was mainly limited to the central Corn Belt, Tennessee Valley, middle Atlantic Coast States, and Texas. Texas's crop was the most advanced, with 58 percent at the dough stage or beyond. Soybeans: Blooming advanced to 39 percent complete, 17 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. Six percent of the acreage had set pods, 3 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of the average. Blooming progressed steadily in most areas ahead of normal but remained behind the normal pace in the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains. Pod setting had not begun across the northern Corn Belt, Ohio Valley, and northern Great Plains, falling behind the normal pace. The crop was most advanced in the Delta, with 76 percent of Mississippi's crop at or beyond the pod-setting stage, over 2 weeks ahead of normal. Winter Wheat: Producers had harvested 69 percent of the Nation's winter wheat crop, 2 points ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. Harvest neared completion in the southern Great Plains, though progress was slowed by persistent wet conditions. Harvest rapidly advanced in Ohio, where growers harvested 43 percent of their acreage and progressed to 77 percent complete, 21 points ahead of normal. Harvest had begun in all States, except Montana, but was behind the normal pace across the northern and central Great Plains. Cotton: Squaring advanced to 83 percent complete, compared with 67 percent last year and 78 percent for the 5-year average. Thirty-six percent of the crop had set bolls, 11 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. Squaring reached completion in Arizona and neared completion in California and most areas from the Delta eastward. Progress was at or ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Mississippi and Missouri. Boll setting rapidly advanced in the Delta and middle Atlantic Coast States, where nearly one-fourth or more of the crop set bolls in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, and Virginia. However, progress remained behind normal in Louisiana and Mississippi. Sorghum: Heading was 24 percent complete, 1 point ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. Coloring, at 15 percent complete, was even with last year and the 5-year average. Heading had begun in all States, except Colorado and Nebraska. Progress was most advanced in the Delta, where slightly more than three-fourths of the crop was headed. Kansas's and Texas's crops, at 4 and 50 percent headed, respectively, were both behind the normal heading pace. Progress through the coloring stage was limited to areas in the Delta and southern Great Plains. Rice: Eighteen percent of the crop was headed, 1 point ahead of last year but even with the 5-year average. In Texas, the crop was 13 points behind average but advanced rapidly, with 27 percent of the acreage entering the heading stage. Progress was slow elsewhere, advancing by no more than 10 points. Louisiana's crop was the most advanced, at 59 percent headed. With the first heads appearing in Arkansas, heading had begun in all States. Small Grains: Spring wheat advanced to 72 percent headed, 7 points behind last year but the same as normal. Heading was nearly complete in South Dakota and Washington and advanced steadily elsewhere, despite below-normal temperatures for the week. The crop advanced by 29 points in Minnesota but lagged behind the normal heading pace. Barley headed, at 73 percent, was 5 points behind last year but 4 points ahead of normal. Heading advanced 31 points in Minnesota but remained well behind the normal pace. Montana's and North Dakota's crops advanced by 27 and 29 points, respectively, pushing ahead of the normal pace. Eighty-five percent of the oat crop was headed, compared with 90 percent last year and 87 percent for the 5-year average. Heading reached completion in Iowa ahead of the normal pace and approached completion in Nebraska and Ohio, although slightly behind normal. The crop progressed rapidly in North Dakota, where 27 percent of the crop reached the heading stage. Other Crops: Peanuts advanced to 63 percent pegged, 10 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. The crop advanced most rapidly in North Carolina, where over one-third of the crop reached the pegging stage. Progress was ahead of normal in all States, except Virginia. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 0 4 7 IL : 72 47 27 33 IN : 61 32 10 24 IA : 9 1 2 13 KS : 53 39 43 45 KY : 80 65 55 66 MI : 2 0 1 3 MN : 1 0 6 6 MO : 82 61 57 58 NE : 18 3 9 14 NC : 93 88 68 74 ND : 0 0 3 6 OH : 28 8 4 8 PA : 23 15 0 8 SD : 0 0 0 1 TN : 91 82 87 84 TX : 80 69 74 74 WI : 1 0 0 1 : 18 Sts: 32 19 16 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 0 1 3 IL : 10 2 1 2 IN : 3 0 0 0 IA : 0 0 0 0 KS : 8 1 4 5 KY : 0 0 6 3 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 0 0 MO : 20 7 9 8 NE : 0 0 0 0 NC : 27 11 6 26 ND : 0 0 0 0 OH : 0 0 0 0 PA : 2 0 0 0 SD : 0 0 0 0 TN : 22 2 16 14 TX : 58 49 61 59 WI : 0 0 0 0 : 18 Sts: 5 2 3 3 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 91 80 87 87 AZ : 100 80 73 93 AR : 99 92 90 97 CA : 95 90 76 75 GA : 90 83 85 86 LA : 95 91 89 95 MS : 89 81 83 92 MO : 82 77 77 90 NC : 95 75 75 79 OK : 65 45 60 57 SC : 79 63 56 68 TN : 98 95 76 91 TX : 70 53 49 66 VA : 97 93 36 76 : 14 Sts: 83 70 67 78 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 30 13 21 28 AZ : 50 30 47 54 AR : 55 25 34 41 CA : 40 35 20 18 GA : 44 26 38 43 LA : 52 28 50 65 MS : 55 30 44 57 MO : 22 11 15 41 NC : 58 *25 7 18 OK : 12 1 7 7 SC : 18 9 4 15 TN : 28 14 13 28 TX : 24 17 21 22 VA : 45 18 0 8 : 14 Sts: 36 21 25 31 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 52 38 30 27 IL : 60 31 20 34 IN : 43 26 18 34 IA : 46 22 25 44 KS : 42 23 28 32 KY : 26 15 7 22 LA : 69 45 53 63 MI : 14 0 15 23 MN : 24 6 29 28 MS : 89 80 77 74 MO : 32 16 11 22 NE : 44 20 11 25 NC : 9 3 1 10 ND : 7 1 22 18 OH : 35 23 19 35 SD : 27 11 33 28 TN : 22 9 11 20 WI : 13 0 10 7 : 18 Sts: 39 20 22 31 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 16 NA 7 8 IL : 12 NA 2 4 IN : 8 NA 1 5 IA : 3 NA 1 5 KS : 4 NA 4 4 KY : 0 NA 1 4 LA : 45 NA 26 34 MI : 0 NA 0 1 MN : 0 NA 1 1 MS : 76 NA 54 49 MO : 3 NA 1 4 NE : 3 NA 0 3 NC : 3 NA 0 0 ND : 0 NA 2 2 OH : 0 NA 0 3 SD : 0 NA 1 4 TN : 1 NA 1 5 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 6 NA 3 5 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 78 46 72 58 CO : 0 0 1 1 IL : 17 4 1 5 KS : 4 1 5 6 LA : 76 59 78 77 MO : 15 6 16 15 NE : 0 0 1 2 NM : 2 0 0 1 OK : 16 7 7 10 SD : 4 0 11 5 TX : 50 49 48 53 : 11 Sts: 24 20 23 25 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 0 7 6 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 0 0 0 0 KS : 0 0 0 0 LA : 6 3 14 15 MO : 0 0 0 0 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 3 0 1 1 SD : 0 0 0 0 TX : 41 37 41 41 : 11 Sts: 15 13 15 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 96 99 99 CA : 98 90 82 85 CO : 39 17 49 59 ID : 1 0 1 0 IL : 93 91 89 92 IN : 96 78 59 80 KS : 95 83 97 98 MI : 6 0 0 18 MO : 98 91 96 96 MT : 0 0 0 1 NE : 45 25 38 53 NC : 97 89 86 95 OH : 77 34 10 56 OK : 99 97 99 99 OR : 4 0 5 5 SD : 2 1 7 8 TX : 98 94 93 95 WA : 3 0 2 2 : 18 Sts: 69 60 67 71 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 100 99 99 99 MN : 78 63 97 91 NE : 97 96 99 99 ND : 70 43 75 67 OH : 96 95 99 98 PA : 92 87 87 92 SD : 94 86 97 93 WI : 87 79 91 89 : 8 Sts : 85 73 90 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 82 63 84 72 MN : 71 42 96 85 MT : 62 40 65 62 ND : 68 43 73 66 SD : 99 96 99 95 WA : 99 99 100 98 : 6 Sts : 72 51 79 72 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 80 62 80 73 MN : 67 36 96 83 MT : 70 43 69 63 ND : 68 39 78 65 WA : 99 99 99 98 : 5 Sts : 73 48 78 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 83% of last year's barley acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 0 4 6 CA : 20 17 0 1 LA : 59 50 62 65 MS : 19 9 20 14 MO : 9 4 13 3 TX : 54 27 55 67 : 6 Sts : 18 13 17 18 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 11,:Jul 4, :Jul 11,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 48 34 47 47 FL : 80 70 79 70 GA : 69 45 58 65 NC : 80 45 56 59 OK : 64 44 77 53 TX : 50 35 34 50 VA : 39 28 25 42 : 7 Sts : 63 43 53 58 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 0 7 43 50 IL : 1 3 10 58 28 IN : 3 5 17 52 23 IA : 2 5 17 53 23 KS : 1 3 20 56 20 KY : 0 5 17 42 36 MI : 5 14 39 32 10 MN : 1 6 33 51 9 MO : 1 4 14 57 24 NE : 0 2 14 51 33 NC : 0 3 16 62 19 ND : 1 6 32 56 5 OH : 3 10 25 45 17 PA : 1 5 18 33 43 SD : 1 2 19 62 16 TN : 1 3 13 47 36 TX : 1 1 11 40 47 WI : 5 13 28 43 11 : 18 Sts : 2 5 19 51 23 : Prev Wk : 2 5 20 52 21 Prev Yr : 2 5 19 52 22 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 7 28 46 17 IL : 1 4 18 58 19 IN : 3 6 22 51 18 IA : 2 5 19 55 19 KS : 0 2 16 69 13 KY : 0 3 15 49 33 LA : 7 19 31 38 5 MI : 3 11 43 34 9 MN : 2 12 33 48 5 MS : 0 5 19 52 24 MO : 3 7 25 53 12 NE : 1 3 19 58 19 NC : 0 2 23 65 10 ND : 1 4 32 57 6 OH : 4 12 30 41 13 SD : 0 4 21 62 13 TN : 1 3 12 60 24 WI : 3 11 31 42 13 : 18 Sts : 2 6 24 53 15 : Prev Wk : 2 6 25 53 14 Prev Yr : 2 5 23 54 16 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 4 17 63 13 AZ : 0 4 27 41 28 AR : 1 6 30 45 18 CA : 0 0 5 35 60 GA : 0 2 19 58 21 LA : 7 14 35 40 4 MS : 2 6 21 52 19 MO : 0 0 17 73 10 NC : 0 1 15 70 14 OK : 4 3 27 58 8 SC : 0 2 23 70 5 TN : 0 2 11 57 30 TX : 6 11 25 37 21 VA : 0 0 9 42 49 : 14 Sts : 3 7 22 47 21 : Prev Wk : 4 7 24 45 20 Prev Yr : 6 10 31 41 12 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 4 33 51 12 CO : 0 1 46 37 16 IL : 0 1 20 68 11 KS : 1 3 27 57 12 LA : 0 11 41 45 3 MO : 0 3 24 64 9 NE : 1 3 34 49 13 NM : 12 12 60 16 0 OK : 0 1 39 54 6 SD : 0 2 29 67 2 TX : 2 7 15 50 26 : 11 Sts : 1 5 25 53 16 : Prev Wk : 1 6 31 46 16 Prev Yr : 2 7 33 51 7 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 25 52 19 CA : 0 5 40 40 15 LA : 0 7 39 46 8 MS : 0 1 12 70 17 MO : 1 1 9 58 31 TX : 0 0 24 52 24 : 6 Sts : 1 3 28 50 18 : Prev Wk : 1 4 28 49 18 Prev Yr : 1 4 27 51 17 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 4 15 55 24 FL : 0 1 24 45 30 GA : 0 1 21 59 19 NC : 0 0 5 87 8 OK : 0 3 14 72 11 TX : 1 2 23 53 21 VA : 0 0 11 43 46 : 8 Sts : 1 2 19 57 21 : Prev Wk : 0 2 21 58 19 Prev Yr : 0 2 17 61 20 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 4 18 61 17 MN : 0 4 26 58 12 NE : 12 12 25 37 14 ND : 4 10 30 46 10 OH : 1 15 32 43 9 PA : 4 8 25 52 11 SD : 8 11 21 49 11 WI : 2 6 27 51 14 : 8 Sts : 4 8 26 50 12 : Prev Wk : 5 9 25 50 11 Prev Yr : 1 3 22 58 16 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 0 10 78 12 MN : 1 2 31 55 11 MT : 3 5 25 61 6 ND : 2 6 20 49 23 SD : 4 7 19 49 21 WA : 2 3 28 58 9 : 6 Sts : 2 5 22 54 17 : Prev Wk : 3 7 24 51 15 Prev Yr : 2 5 22 54 17 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 3 7 77 13 MN : 0 7 47 40 6 MT : 1 4 26 57 12 ND : 1 5 19 50 25 WA : 2 2 31 53 12 : 5 Sts : 1 4 21 56 18 : Prev Wk : 2 5 24 56 13 Prev Yr : 2 5 20 56 17 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 0 3 15 53 29 :: NJ : 0 0 58 42 0 AZ : 28 21 19 20 12 :: NM : 22 20 35 22 1 AR : 0 1 17 64 18 :: NY : 0 3 28 56 13 CA : 40 40 20 0 0 :: NC : 1 4 23 58 14 CO : 7 13 43 31 6 :: ND : 14 14 26 39 7 CT : 0 16 31 53 0 :: OH : 2 7 28 49 14 DE : 3 9 43 42 3 :: OK : 0 3 23 51 23 FL : 0 5 20 65 10 :: OR : 1 9 36 48 6 GA : 1 5 23 58 13 :: PA : 4 8 24 57 7 ID : 0 3 21 62 14 :: RI : 0 0 50 50 0 IL : 0 2 14 61 23 :: SC : 1 10 39 46 4 IN : 1 4 19 63 13 :: SD : 12 17 30 33 8 IA : 0 2 16 54 28 :: TN : 0 2 10 66 22 KS : 10 20 29 33 8 :: TX : 4 7 21 42 26 KY : 0 4 19 55 22 :: UT : 5 15 36 41 3 LA : 1 7 33 49 10 :: VT : 2 6 25 67 0 ME : 0 2 2 48 48 :: VA : 0 1 15 67 17 MD : 5 5 22 46 22 :: WA : 15 14 27 44 0 MA : 0 0 13 80 7 :: WV : 0 3 18 63 16 MI : 1 4 30 48 17 :: WI : 1 5 17 57 20 MN : 1 4 25 61 9 :: WY : 33 25 28 11 3 MS : 0 7 23 58 12 :: : MO : 1 2 17 65 15 :: 48 Sts : 7 10 24 45 14 MT : 18 21 31 25 5 :: : NE : 13 17 29 33 8 :: Prev Wk: 7 12 24 43 14 NV : 4 38 35 23 0 :: Prev Yr: 4 11 30 45 10 NH : 0 1 14 62 23 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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