We 1 (7-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 27, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 30 July 18 - 24, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: A brief heat wave on the Plains was replaced by much cooler weather and widespread rainfall. Temperatures, which topped 100 degrees F early in the week at many locations from Texas to Montana, averaged as much as 5 degrees F below normal for the week on the central High Plains. Showers and thunderstorms on the central and southern Plains generally benefited summer crops and eased irrigation requirements, but caused local flooding. However, rain largely bypassed the northern Plains, favoring winter wheat harvesting and spring wheat maturation. Farther east, cool weather (temperatures as much as 5 degrees F below normal) and occasional showers maintained mostly favorable conditions for Midwestern corn and soybeans. However, crop developmental delays remained a concern across the northern Corn Belt, especially following a late-week return to well-below-normal temperatures. Meanwhile, most of the South experienced a week of favorably warm, mostly dry weather, with heavy rainfall (4 inches or more) confined to Florida's west coast. Although the Southern conditions increased irrigation demands, dry weather helped to reduce pockets of lingering wetness in the western and central Gulf Coast States. Elsewhere, showers associated with the monsoon (summer rainy season) affected the Intermountain West and the Southwest, boosting topsoil moisture and easing irrigation requirements, but providing only limited relief from a multi-year drought. Farther north, dry weather and record-high temperatures affected parts of California, the Great Basin, and the Pacific Northwest. Northwestern heat (temperatures up to 10 degrees F above normal) favored initial winter wheat harvesting and hastened the maturation of spring-sown small grains. Early in the week, hot weather expanded onto the Plains. Although Miles City, MT, tallied a high of 107 degrees F on July 18, it was far below the monthly and all-time-record high of 113 degrees F, established on July 18, 2003. Hot weather also prevailed in the Southwest, where Imperial, CA, posted a daily record-tying high of 112 degrees F on July 21. Toward week's end, heat shifted into the Northwest, where Portland, OR, closed the week with three consecutive daily records (98, 103, and 100 degrees F from July 22-24). Portland also marked its hottest day since July 20, 1994, when the high was also 103 degrees F, and its first consecutive triple-digit days since July 20-21, 1994). Elsewhere in Oregon, Astoria's high of 96 degrees F (on July 23) tied August 9, 1981, for its second-highest temperature on record behind 100 degrees F on July 11, 1961. In sharp contrast, chilly weather settled across the Plains and Midwest. On July 23, daily-record lows included 39 degrees F in International Falls, MN, 40 degrees F in Williston, ND, and 41 degrees F in Merrill, WI. A day later, Merrill again noted 41 degrees F, while Hibbing, MN, recorded 33 degrees F. In Scottsbluff, NE, maxima of 60 degrees F on July 23 and 24 marked the city's first-ever July observance of consecutive days with high temperatures of 60 degrees F or lower. Similarly, Cheyenne, WY, registered highs of 54 and 55 degrees F on July 23-24, representing the first time its July maxima failed to reach 60 degrees F on consecutive days since July 2-3, 1972. By Sunday, July 25, high temperatures were the lowest on record during July in locations such as Lubbock, TX (64 degrees F), St. Louis, MO (66 degrees F), and Paducah, KY (69 degrees F). Heavy rain preceded and accompanied the arrival of the late-week chill, resulting in daily-record totals in locations such as Omaha, NE (2.66 inches on July 22), Amarillo, TX (1.94 inches on July 22), and Topeka, KS (2.46 inches on July 24). Meanwhile, heavy showers also dotted the Southwest, where Albuquerque, NM (1.19 inches on July 23), collected a daily-record total. North of Tucson, AZ, 24-hour rainfall on July 22-23 reached 1.93 inches on Mount Lemmon and locally topped 3 inches in the Oro Valley. Farther east, thunderstorms helped to set a few Midwestern daily-rainfall records, including 1.82 inches (on July 22) in Indianapolis, IN. Heavy rain also struck portions of the Atlantic Coast States, especially along Florida's west coast prior to midweek and in the Mid-Atlantic region toward week's end. July 17-20 rainfall topped 8 inches in some Florida locations, including Tampa (8.07 inches). A few days later, July 23-24 rainfall exceeded 4 inches at a few northern Mid-Atlantic sites, including Somerville, NJ (5.91 inches). Mostly dry conditions accompanied warm weather (temperatures as much as 3 degrees F above normal) in Hawaii. However, the Big Island noted a few downpours, including a 4.36-inch deluge in Waiaha during a 24-hour period on July 23-24. Elsewhere on the Big Island, Hilo tallied monthly record highs of 91 degrees F on July 17 and 24 (previously, 89 degrees F on July 27, 2003, and many earlier dates). Farther north, Alaska's warm spell continued through another week, with mainland temperatures generally 3 to 7 degrees F above normal. Although showers dotted Alaska, July 1-25 totals were as low as 0.13 inch (10 percent of normal) in Anchorage and 0.51 inch (37 percent) in Fairbanks. By July 26, Alaska's year-to-date wildfire acreage grew to 4.13 million acres, far exceeding its January-July 2002 record of 2.12 million acres, and accounting for more than 80 percent of the Nation's year-to-date total of 5.11 million acres. Alaska's largest group of blazes, the 865,000-acre Taylor Highway Complex, was burning roughly 35 miles northwest of Tok. National Agricultural Summary July 19 - 25, 2004 Highlights: Temperatures in the Corn Belt were above normal around midweek, promoting rapid crop development. However, a cold front brought cooler, wetter weather to the region through the end of the week. This same weather held weekly average temperatures below normal across the Great Plains, despite above-normal temperatures in the northern and central parts of the region early in the week. Rainfall in the region was heaviest in Kansas and neighboring States, but other areas received scattered, light-to-moderate precipitation. Conditions were mostly dry across the Delta and Southeast, increasing irrigation needs for summer crops. Moderate precipitation fell along the Atlantic Coast. Across the central and southern Rocky Mountains, monsoon rains alleviated soil moisture shortages, while temperatures averaged above normal for the week. In the Pacific Northwest, Great Basin, and California, conditions were hot and dry. Corn: Silking reached 72 percent complete, 11 percentage points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Nineteen percent of the acreage was at or beyond the dough stage, compared with 9 percent last year and 12 percent for the 5-year average. Silking was most rapid in the western Corn Belt, advancing 35 points in Iowa, 40 points in Minnesota, and 32 points in Nebraska. However, silking remained well behind normal across the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. The crop was doughing in all areas, except the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains. In the central and eastern Corn Belt, the crop continued to develop ahead of average, especially in Illinois, where 34 percent of the crop entered the dough stage during the week. Soybeans: Blooming advanced to 74 percent complete, 10 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. Thirty-two percent of the crop was at or beyond the pod setting stage, 14 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of the average. The crop developed at or ahead of the normal pace in all areas, except the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Blooming progressed rapidly in North Dakota, advancing 37 points but remaining 9 points behind the normal pace. Pod setting steadily advanced in the central Corn Belt and Ohio Valley. Over one-fifth of the acreage set pods in Illinois, Iowa, Ohio, and Tennessee. Winter Wheat: Harvest was 83 percent complete, compared with 85 percent for last year and the 5-year average. Harvest was complete or nearly complete in all areas, except in Michigan, the northern Great Plains, and Pacific Northwest. With harvest just getting underway in Montana, growers had reaped 1 percent of their acreage, 18 points behind the normal pace. Producers in South Dakota advanced 44 points but were 7 points behind normal. Despite harvesting one-third of their acreage, Michigan producers remained 20 points behind the normal pace. Cotton: Squaring advanced to 93 percent complete, 6 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Sixty-five percent of the crop had set bolls, 15 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. Squaring was complete in Arizona, Arkansas, Missouri, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. Only in the southern Great Plains was squaring below 90 percent complete. Boll setting was most rapid in Oklahoma, where one-fourth of the crop set bolls, and only slightly slower in Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee. Half of Texas's acreage had reached the boll-setting stage, slightly behind the normal pace, while Virginia's crop, at 91 percent complete, was 50 points ahead of normal. Sorghum: Heading reached 38 percent complete, 4 points ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. Twenty percent of the crop had turned color, compared with 19 percent last year and 21 percent for the 5-year average. Heading rapidly advanced in Illinois, progressing 30 points to well ahead of the normal pace. In Kansas and Texas, the crop was 21 and 60 percent headed, respectively, behind the normal pace in both States. Forty-eight percent of the crop was at or beyond the coloring stage in Texas, even with the normal pace. Kansas's crop, at 1 percent turning color, was 2 points behind normal. Rice: Heading was 37 percent complete, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Arkansas's crop advanced 18 points, but remained 5 points behind normal. Despite advancing only 3 points in California, heading was 17 points ahead of normal. The crop was most advanced in Louisiana, where 78 percent of the acreage was headed, the same as the 5-year average. Small Grains: Spring wheat heading advanced to 93 percent complete, compared with 96 percent last year and 94 percent for the 5-year average. Heading reached completion in Washington and neared completion in Idaho and Minnesota. The crop advanced 8 points in North Dakota to 90 percent complete. Ninety-seven percent of the barley crop had headed, the same as last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Washington's crop finished heading, while North Dakota's crop was 95 percent headed, and 98 percent of Idaho's, Minnesota's, and Montana's crop had reached the heading stage. Progress was at or ahead of the normal pace in all States. Oat heading, at 98 percent complete, was the same as last year and the average. Growers had harvested 14 percent of their acreage, 3 points behind last year and 7 points behind normal. Heading was complete in most States, with only Minnesota, North Dakota, and Pennsylvania having unheaded fields. Harvest was behind normal in all States, trailing the normal pace by 18 points in Iowa and Pennsylvania. Producers had begun harvesting in all States, except North Dakota. Other Crops: Peanut pegging advanced to 90 percent complete, compared with 83 percent last year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Pegging neared completion in Georgia and North Carolina, at 96 and 99 percent, respectively. Pegging was ahead of normal in all States, except Oklahoma, and was most active in Virginia, where one-fourth of the crop reached the stage. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 30 10 51 43 IL : 97 83 79 85 IN : 94 82 54 76 IA : 73 38 56 69 KS : 89 77 85 86 KY : 91 89 73 84 MI : 47 19 20 41 MN : 52 12 75 70 MO : 95 91 87 87 NE : 81 49 67 73 NC : 99 96 90 93 ND : 14 1 55 56 OH : 85 67 54 61 PA : 67 58 24 46 SD : 26 1 22 33 TN : 99 95 94 96 TX : 91 85 92 90 WI : 25 10 28 36 : 18 Sts: 72 50 61 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 0 2 3 IL : 49 15 13 21 IN : 24 10 6 13 IA : 4 0 0 2 KS : 28 18 22 26 KY : 27 20 24 31 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 0 0 MO : 52 36 37 40 NE : 5 3 5 9 NC : 79 52 32 59 ND : 0 0 2 2 OH : 15 5 1 6 PA : 14 9 1 13 SD : 0 0 0 2 TN : 75 50 61 58 TX : 69 63 70 68 WI : 0 0 0 1 : 18 Sts: 19 9 9 12 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 99 94 97 96 AZ : 100 100 88 97 AR : 100 100 98 100 CA : 98 97 92 92 GA : 98 95 95 96 LA : 99 99 99 100 MS : 97 94 95 99 MO : 100 100 93 97 NC : 100 98 93 91 OK : 85 80 87 81 SC : 93 87 84 90 TN : 100 99 95 99 TX : 85 80 78 87 VA : 100 100 70 92 : 14 Sts: 93 89 87 92 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 70 50 53 68 AZ : 80 65 71 82 AR : 80 73 81 88 CA : 60 45 44 48 GA : 82 59 71 74 LA : 91 83 90 92 MS : 81 66 75 90 MO : 70 64 55 77 NC : 83 72 51 61 OK : 45 20 34 35 SC : 53 36 28 39 TN : 70 48 40 69 TX : 50 33 34 52 VA : 91 72 9 41 : 14 Sts: 65 49 50 64 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 71 61 52 55 IL : 85 77 64 76 IN : 77 67 50 72 IA : 87 69 75 82 KS : 74 61 60 65 KY : 59 48 30 50 LA : 89 82 71 82 MI : 45 30 57 59 MN : 73 46 80 77 MS : 96 92 89 92 MO : 58 48 48 53 NE : 74 65 67 74 NC : 39 24 15 25 ND : 68 31 77 77 OH : 77 66 63 72 SD : 65 50 74 70 TN : 59 35 33 49 WI : 41 29 47 48 : 18 Sts: 74 59 64 70 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 48 31 28 27 IL : 48 25 13 28 IN : 36 22 11 27 IA : 43 19 24 37 KS : 32 15 20 27 KY : 32 18 8 24 LA : 61 55 57 63 MI : 12 5 8 18 MN : 16 2 18 18 MS : 90 82 76 76 MO : 22 13 12 19 NE : 28 11 9 21 NC : 11 5 0 7 ND : 7 1 32 36 OH : 37 15 15 22 SD : 13 2 19 25 TN : 34 13 14 25 WI : 10 0 6 12 : 18 Sts: 32 16 18 27 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 94 85 92 85 CO : 14 4 13 11 IL : 60 30 17 33 KS : 21 13 19 28 LA : 94 92 96 94 MO : 42 31 38 42 NE : 9 1 9 17 NM : 7 3 3 9 OK : 45 25 25 30 SD : 25 5 33 26 TX : 60 53 52 62 : 11 Sts: 38 30 34 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 40 11 48 38 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 7 0 0 3 KS : 1 1 1 3 LA : 41 28 58 55 MO : 4 1 5 5 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 18 6 6 8 SD : 2 0 8 6 TX : 48 44 46 48 : 11 Sts: 20 17 19 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 99 100 100 CA : 100 99 94 97 CO : 94 77 94 95 ID : 6 2 14 9 IL : 100 96 98 99 IN : 100 99 94 99 KS : 100 99 100 100 MI : 58 25 39 78 MO : 100 99 100 100 MT : 1 0 32 19 NE : 92 65 92 92 NC : 100 99 99 100 OH : 100 97 93 98 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 23 12 46 32 SD : 56 12 73 63 TX : 100 100 99 100 WA : 15 6 16 13 : 18 Sts: 83 76 85 85 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 97 94 98 96 MN : 97 94 99 98 MT : 90 84 97 94 ND : 90 82 94 92 SD : 100 100 100 99 WA : 100 99 100 100 : 6 Sts : 93 87 96 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 98% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 98 93 98 97 MN : 98 93 99 98 MT : 98 89 96 94 ND : 95 85 96 93 WA : 100 99 100 100 : 5 Sts : 97 89 97 95 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 83% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 100 100 100 100 MN : 98 92 99 99 NE : 100 99 100 100 ND : 94 84 95 92 OH : 100 100 100 100 PA : 95 95 97 98 SD : 100 99 100 100 WI : 100 94 99 99 : 8 Sts : 98 93 98 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 53% of last year's oat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 36 10 42 54 MN : 8 3 9 11 NE : 63 24 70 73 ND : 0 0 1 1 OH : 30 14 13 34 PA : 7 0 3 25 SD : 13 1 29 28 WI : 9 6 9 11 : 8 Sts : 14 5 17 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 66% of last year's oat acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 26 8 33 31 CA : 25 22 7 8 LA : 78 74 77 82 MS : 45 30 61 45 MO : 20 16 28 12 TX : 69 58 87 88 : 6 Sts : 37 25 40 38 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Jul 25,:Jul 18,:Jul 25,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 81 60 83 74 FL : 93 90 89 86 GA : 96 84 85 88 NC : 99 97 82 89 OK : 81 75 95 87 TX : 84 78 79 80 VA : 76 51 44 69 : 7 Sts : 90 80 83 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 4 19 40 37 IL : 0 1 14 64 21 IN : 3 4 16 53 24 IA : 2 5 14 52 27 KS : 0 5 15 58 22 KY : 0 3 17 42 38 MI : 5 12 31 36 16 MN : 1 5 27 54 13 MO : 1 4 13 55 27 NE : 1 2 13 50 34 NC : 0 2 16 65 17 ND : 1 5 24 57 13 OH : 4 10 24 45 17 PA : 1 5 15 40 39 SD : 0 2 16 55 27 TN : 1 3 11 50 35 TX : 0 3 10 35 52 WI : 5 14 24 37 20 : 18 Sts : 1 5 17 52 25 : Prev Wk : 2 4 18 51 25 Prev Yr : 3 7 21 48 21 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 7 29 44 17 IL : 0 3 19 63 15 IN : 3 5 20 52 20 IA : 2 5 18 50 25 KS : 0 4 13 64 19 KY : 0 6 15 43 36 LA : 6 21 35 35 3 MI : 3 9 39 37 12 MN : 1 9 35 47 8 MS : 0 6 18 52 24 MO : 2 6 24 52 16 NE : 1 3 19 53 24 NC : 1 3 31 56 9 ND : 0 5 28 55 12 OH : 5 12 29 43 11 SD : 0 2 16 61 21 TN : 2 3 14 54 27 WI : 3 14 22 39 22 : 18 Sts : 2 6 23 51 18 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 52 16 Prev Yr : 2 7 25 50 16 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 4 9 20 59 8 AZ : 0 3 27 42 28 AR : 0 4 29 47 20 CA : 0 0 5 25 70 GA : 1 5 25 51 18 LA : 10 17 34 36 3 MS : 1 7 23 48 21 MO : 0 0 15 73 12 NC : 0 2 23 65 10 OK : 2 2 21 64 11 SC : 0 2 21 70 7 TN : 0 1 14 60 25 TX : 5 9 24 41 21 VA : 0 0 8 38 54 : 14 Sts : 3 7 23 46 21 : Prev Wk : 3 7 22 48 20 Prev Yr : 4 10 31 44 11 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 2 35 51 11 CO : 0 1 38 39 22 IL : 0 0 4 76 20 KS : 1 4 26 54 15 LA : 0 7 41 52 0 MO : 0 2 24 62 12 NE : 1 2 29 49 19 NM : 0 4 67 29 0 OK : 0 1 10 82 7 SD : 1 2 41 46 10 TX : 2 9 15 53 21 : 11 Sts : 1 5 23 54 17 : Prev Wk : 1 5 23 53 18 Prev Yr : 4 16 40 36 4 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 3 25 49 23 CA : 0 5 40 40 15 LA : 0 5 42 47 6 MS : 0 1 12 65 22 MO : 0 2 9 49 40 TX : 0 0 32 53 15 : 6 Sts : 0 3 29 48 20 : Prev Wk : 0 3 29 51 17 Prev Yr : 1 4 27 50 18 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 5 29 50 14 FL : 0 0 20 50 30 GA : 0 3 22 56 19 NC : 0 1 9 86 4 OK : 0 4 16 68 12 TX : 0 1 14 57 28 VA : 0 0 11 44 45 : 8 Sts : 0 2 20 57 21 : Prev Wk : 0 1 18 60 21 Prev Yr : 0 2 17 60 21 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 1 3 15 62 19 MN : 0 4 32 54 10 NE : 11 13 23 42 11 ND : 4 8 24 52 12 OH : 2 4 27 59 8 PA : 1 13 32 43 11 SD : 6 8 23 50 13 WI : 1 5 20 55 19 : 8 Sts : 3 7 24 53 13 : Prev Wk : 5 8 25 48 14 Prev Yr : 1 6 25 54 14 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 1 11 75 13 MN : 1 6 34 41 18 MT : 4 8 26 54 8 ND : 2 6 17 51 24 SD : 4 6 20 50 20 WA : 3 3 33 54 7 : 6 Sts : 2 6 22 52 18 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 52 16 Prev Yr : 3 11 26 46 14 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 3 8 76 13 MN : 1 6 48 39 6 MT : 2 5 33 47 13 ND : 2 4 17 54 23 WA : 2 2 32 52 12 : 5 Sts : 2 4 22 55 17 : Prev Wk : 2 5 23 57 13 Prev Yr : 5 12 24 46 13 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 6 25 57 11 :: NJ : 0 0 21 79 0 AZ : 27 23 16 23 11 :: NM : 20 24 36 20 0 AR : 0 2 26 59 13 :: NY : 0 3 24 49 24 CA : 50 35 15 0 0 :: NC : 2 5 26 54 13 CO : 5 14 44 33 4 :: ND : 15 13 31 35 6 CT : 0 0 18 82 0 :: OH : 2 7 27 53 11 DE : 0 16 28 54 2 :: OK : 1 5 22 52 20 FL : 0 0 25 50 25 :: OR : 0 8 43 43 6 GA : 1 8 34 47 10 :: PA : 0 1 31 68 0 ID : 0 5 27 61 7 :: RI : 0 10 40 50 0 IL : 0 3 16 63 18 :: SC : 1 8 42 44 5 IN : 1 5 20 59 15 :: SD : 11 18 30 33 8 IA : 0 4 19 51 26 :: TN : 0 2 12 66 20 KS : 6 18 34 33 9 :: TX : 7 10 28 41 14 KY : 1 5 20 51 23 :: UT : 8 16 30 38 8 LA : 0 5 30 60 5 :: VT : 5 16 47 27 5 ME : 0 0 2 63 35 :: VA : 0 4 21 55 20 MD : 3 4 20 43 30 :: WA : 7 18 28 47 0 MA : 0 5 10 79 6 :: WV : 0 4 20 63 13 MI : 1 5 31 53 10 :: WI : 2 8 33 44 13 MN : 2 9 36 50 3 :: WY : 31 26 30 10 3 MS : 1 8 25 53 13 :: : MO : 1 2 17 62 18 :: 48 Sts : 8 11 27 42 12 MT : 21 21 30 23 5 :: : NE : 11 16 31 34 8 :: Prev Wk: 7 11 25 44 13 NV : 11 30 40 19 0 :: Prev Yr: 7 15 32 38 8 NH : 0 4 19 59 18 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. 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