We 1 (8-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 10, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 32 August 1-7, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Midwestern summer crops experienced another week without heat stress, with temperatures averaging as much as 7 degrees F below normal and highs remaining mostly below 90 degrees F. However, another strong push of cool air reached the Corn Belt after midweek, maintaining a sluggish crop development pace in the upper Midwest. Elsewhere in the Midwest, corn and soybeans continued to benefit from abundant soil moisture reserves, although locally excessive rain (4 inches or more) fell in parts of southern Iowa and northern Missouri. Farther south, torrential rain (locally 4 to 8 inches) also soaked Florida's peninsula, while Hurricane Alex brushed North Carolina's Outer Banks with wind gusts as high as 100 m.p.h. Elsewhere in the South, warm weather and isolated showers promoted fieldwork and summer crop maturation. Meanwhile, cooler weather returned to the Plains, following a brief hot spell. Scattered thunderstorms on the central and southern High Plains maintained generally favorable soil moisture for pastures and immature summer crops, but caused local wind and hail damage. On the northern High Plains, scattered showers boosted topsoil moisture but briefly slowed winter and spring wheat harvesting. In the West, warm, dry weather continued to strain drought-reduced irrigation reserves in the Great Basin and parts of the Intermountain region. In the Four Corners States, seasonal showers locally eased irrigation demands but provided little relief from long-term drought. Showers also returned to parts of the Northwest, locally improving topsoil moisture but causing minor small-grain harvest delays. The eye of Hurricane Alex passed within 15 miles of Cape Hatteras, NC, on August 3. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 100 m.p.h. in the storm's eyewall, and an unofficial peak gust to 102 m.p.h. was reported in Hatteras Village. A gust to 87 m.p.h. was clocked in nearby Avon, NC, before the instrument failed. Torrential rainfall was confined to the immediate North Carolina coast, where storm totals reached 7.55 inches in Ocracoke and 5.62 inches in Beaufort. Storm surges in the 4- to 6-foot range were noted on the Pamlico Sound side of the barrier islands from Buxton, NC, southward. Surges to 6 feet were estimated in the North Carolina communities of Buxton and Ocracoke Village. It was reportedly the worst storm-surge flooding on the sound side of Ocracoke Island since Hurricane Gloria grazed the Outer Banks in September 1985. Hot weather prevailed early in the week across the High Plains and interior Northwest, resulting in daily-record highs for August 1 in locations such as Pocatello, ID (99 degrees F), and Sidney, NE (102 degrees F). After midweek, sharply cooler air overspread most areas from the Plains to the East Coast, although hot weather lingered across the South. On Thursday, Shreveport, LA, posted a high of 100 degrees F, marking its first triple-digit heat since July 22, 2001, when the high was 101 degrees F. Meanwhile in Texas, daily-record highs on August 5 included 97 degrees F in Galveston and 99 degrees F in Harlingen. In contrast, nearly 100 daily-record lows were established across the eastern half of the Nation during the second half of the week. On August 5, lows dipped to 37 degrees F in Merrill, WI, and International Falls, MN. A day later, Augusta, GA, notched its first of three consecutive daily-record lows (61, 59, and 52 degrees F from August 6-8). Augusta's August 8 low was also a monthly record low. Other daily-record lows included 46 degrees F (on August 6) in Mason City, IA, and 47 degrees F (on August 7) in Lincoln, IL. Elsewhere in Illinois, Peoria noted only 4 days of 90-degree heat through August 7, tied with 1950 for its second-lowest annual total on record, behind 2 days in 1915. Indianapolis, IN, continued to await its first 90-degree reading of the year (highs reached 89 degrees F on June 8, 9, and 11), approaching its record set on September 1, 1960. Early in the week, heavy rain fell in the East Coast States. Daily-record totals on August 1 included 2.49 inches in Miami, FL, and 2.05 inches in Harrisburg, PA. A day later, heavy showers lingered in Florida, where Naples (1.79 inches) netted a record sum. Meanwhile, locally heavy showers swept across the northern Plains and the Midwest, resulting in daily-record totals in locations such as Muskegon, MI (1.21 inches), and Helena, MT (1.06 inches). Rainfall intensified across the Midwest on August 3, when daily-record amounts reached 2.84 inches in Omaha, NE, 2.70 inches in Rockford, IL, and 2.35 inches Des Moines, IA. After midweek, showers overspread Washington, where daily-record totals for August 6 included 0.99 inch in Spokane and 0.82 inch in Olympia. At week's end, heavy rain returned to parts of Florida. In Tampa, FL, a 4.15-inch deluge on Saturday capped its wettest August 1-7 period on record (10.05 inches). Elsewhere in Florida, 7.00 inches of rain pelted Daytona Beach on August 7, marking its wettest August day on record (previously, 4.02 inches on August 26, 1972). It was Daytona Beach's third-wettest day in any month, behind 9.15 inches on October 8, 1953, and 8.99 inches on November 16, 1994. In Hawaii, extremely heavy rainfall at midweek interrupted an otherwise warm, showery weather pattern. The rain fell courtesy of remnant moisture from former eastern Pacific Hurricane Darby interacting with an upper level trough of low pressure. On Oahu, Honolulu noted its wettest August day on record (2.92 inches on August 4), eclipsing the standard of 2.10 inches established on August 6, 1959. Honolulu also achieved a record-high monthly total (3.19 inches through August 7), shattering its August 1959 mark of 3.08 inches. On August 3-4, 24-hour Hawaiian totals included 8.52 inches at Kaupo Gap, Maui, and 7.59 inches 7.59 inches at Ahuimanu Loop, Oahu. During the ensuing 24-hour period on August 4-5, totals topped 4 inches in several leeward locations on the Big Island. Farther north, weekly temperatures averaged as much as 5 degrees F above normal in Alaska, where three large wildfire complexes remained active on August 8. According to the National Interagency Fire Center, the largest was the 842,000-acre Taylor Highway complex, only 15 percent contained and burning about 35 miles northwest of Tok. In addition, the 508,000-acre Boundary fire (35 percent contained) was 20 miles northeast of Fairbanks, while the 259,000-acre Central complex was burning within 6 miles of Central and surrounding the community. Daily-record highs were reported in several Alaskan locations, including Valdez (80 and 79 degrees F on August 2 and 3) and Anchorage (77 and 78 degrees F on August 5 and 7). In addition, no measurable rain fell in Valdez and Anchorage during the first 7 days of August. National Agricultural Summary August 2 - 8, 2004 Highlights: Temperatures continued to average below normal across the Corn Belt, while showers maintained abundant soil moisture, especially in the central part of the region. Crops progressed rapidly in the northern areas of the region, despite the below-normal temperatures, but remained well behind the normal pace. Precipitation was light in the Great Plains, except in the High Plains, where some areas received moderate rainfall. Dry weather returned to the Southeast and Delta, causing cotton and peanut conditions to decline. However, precipitation was moderate to heavy along the Gulf Coast. The Great Basin and California remained seasonably dry, though temperatures cooled to below normal. In contrast, the Pacific Northwest experienced light to moderate rainfall and near-normal temperatures. Scattered showers fell across some areas of the Rocky Mountains, while other areas remained mostly dry. Along the middle and northern Atlantic Coast, temperatures were mostly below normal, with moderate precipitation. Corn: Silking advanced to 93 percent complete, 1 percentage point ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. Forty-two percent of the crop was at the dough stage or beyond, compared with 30 percent last year and 40 percent for the 5-year average. Denting, at 14 percent complete, was 6 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. Silking was at or near completion in most States but lagged behind normal in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Doughing advanced steadily in the central Great Plains and Ohio Valley, advancing 29 points in Nebraska and 27 points in Ohio. However, progress was slower in other areas and continued to lag behind normal in the northernmost States. Denting was active in all areas, except the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains. In Kentucky and Tennessee, more than one-fifth of the crop entered the denting stage. However, progress was slower elsewhere. Soybeans: Ninety-two percent of the acreage had reached the bloom stage, 5 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of the average. Pod setting advanced to 69 percent complete, compared with 56 percent last year and 65 percent for the normal pace. Blooming reached completion in Mississippi and neared completion across the central and southern Corn Belt but remained behind normal in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Pod setting advanced rapidly in the northern Great Plains, by 31 points in North Dakota and 27 points in South Dakota, but continued to trail the normal pace. Pod setting also remained well behind normal in the northern Corn Belt, despite steady progress during the week. Winter Wheat: Producers had harvested 92 percent of their acreage, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was complete or nearly complete in all areas, except the Pacific Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains, and northern Great Plains. In the northern Rockies, growers harvested over one-fourth of their crop, pulling ahead of the normal pace in Idaho but remaining well behind normal in Montana. Cotton: Boll setting, at 85 percent complete, was 9 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind the 5-year average. Eight percent of the acreage had open bolls, the same as last year but 1 point behind normal. Boll setting reached completion in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Virginia and neared completion across most of the Southeast. In Texas, 71 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the boll setting stage, 7 points behind the normal pace. The crop slowly entered the boll opening stage, except in Virginia, where 30 percent of the crop had open bolls, 28 points ahead of normal. In the Delta, bolls opened behind the normal pace, especially in Louisiana and Mississippi, where progress was 7 and 6 points behind normal, respectively. Sorghum: Heading advanced to 65 percent complete, compared with 56 percent last year and 67 percent for the average. Twenty-five percent of the crop had turned color, the same as last year but 5 points behind normal. Heading reached completion in Louisiana and neared completion in Arkansas, with progress slightly ahead of normal in both States. Despite advancing 30 points in Nebraska, heading remained behind the normal pace. Coloring had begun in all States and was most active in the Delta, where the crop advanced ahead of the 5-year average. Elsewhere, progress was limited and coloring was behind normal, with Kansas's crop 7 points behind normal and Texas trailing its average by 6 points. Rice: Heading, at 74 percent, was 2 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest was 6 percent complete, 1 point behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. Heading progress was slightly behind normal in Louisiana and Texas but ahead of normal elsewhere. California's crop, at 50 percent headed, was 23 points ahead of its normal pace. Harvest had begun in Louisiana and Texas but was behind the average pace in both States. Small Grains: Spring wheat growers had harvested 10 percent of their acreage, 16 points behind last year and 13 points behind normal. South Dakota producers reaped one-fifth of their crop during the week but remained well behind their normal pace. Harvest progress was behind the 5-year average in all States, except Washington, where 42 percent of the crop had been harvested, 17 points ahead of normal. The barley harvest advanced to 14 percent complete, compared with 28 percent last year and 20 percent for the 5-year average. Washington growers harvested 24 percent of their acreage, but progress was limited to 8 points or less elsewhere. In Minnesota, 8 percent of the crop had been harvested, 26 points behind normal. Forty-five percent of the oat crop had been harvested, 9 points behind last year and 12 points behind the normal pace. Iowa growers neared harvest completion slightly ahead of their normal harvest pace, while harvest lagged behind normal in all other States. In Minnesota, harvest was 27 percent complete, 27 points behind the 5-year average. Despite harvesting 28 percent of their acreage during the week, South Dakota producers remained 14 points behind normal. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 70 42 93 84 IL : 100 99 96 98 IN : 99 98 88 96 IA : 97 89 93 96 KS : 99 96 98 99 KY : 99 94 96 97 MI : 71 67 78 86 MN : 91 79 99 98 MO : 99 98 96 97 NE : 97 93 95 97 NC : 100 100 98 99 ND : 75 47 94 95 OH : 99 90 89 93 PA : 82 80 65 77 SD : 81 47 85 86 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 99 96 99 98 WI : 67 38 75 84 : 18 Sts: 93 84 92 95 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 9 2 23 16 IL : 80 64 47 59 IN : 63 38 26 48 IA : 21 12 16 26 KS : 70 46 63 65 KY : 69 46 54 64 MI : 11 4 1 8 MN : 3 1 12 13 MO : 82 72 69 74 NE : 45 16 33 45 NC : 90 86 67 81 ND : 6 0 20 30 OH : 54 27 20 38 PA : 47 26 16 33 SD : 12 2 15 28 TN : 96 88 89 87 TX : 86 70 87 85 WI : 6 0 10 16 : 18 Sts: 42 28 30 40 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dented, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 0 1 0 IL : 31 17 10 18 IN : 17 5 2 12 IA : 0 0 0 3 KS : 22 7 25 25 KY : 45 20 26 32 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 1 1 MO : 43 24 34 38 NE : 4 0 3 9 NC : 68 51 22 49 ND : 0 0 1 4 OH : 4 0 0 4 PA : 13 5 3 5 SD : 0 0 0 5 TN : 75 54 62 56 TX : 72 62 70 66 WI : 0 0 0 0 : 18 Sts: 14 7 8 12 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CA : 100 100 98 99 CO : 100 98 100 99 ID : 43 18 53 37 IL : 100 100 99 100 IN : 100 100 100 100 KS : 100 100 100 100 MI : 97 89 95 99 MO : 100 100 100 100 MT : 38 11 76 66 NE : 99 97 100 100 NC : 100 100 100 100 OH : 100 100 100 100 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 64 50 81 71 SD : 92 85 99 97 TX : 100 100 100 100 WA : 55 35 61 51 : 18 Sts: 92 88 95 93 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 92 84 81 83 IL : 96 93 90 94 IN : 95 90 78 91 IA : 98 95 94 97 KS : 87 78 82 85 KY : 75 63 63 75 LA : 97 95 89 95 MI : 82 60 82 88 MN : 90 81 98 97 MS : 100 99 99 99 MO : 83 74 73 80 NE : 95 85 93 95 NC : 76 58 55 55 ND : 96 83 97 98 OH : 94 85 89 92 SD : 91 81 94 93 TN : 82 72 65 78 WI : 75 58 81 84 : 18 Sts: 92 84 87 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 81 64 58 56 IL : 82 64 51 70 IN : 72 56 39 62 IA : 85 66 67 78 KS : 66 41 53 58 KY : 57 41 32 48 LA : 87 70 72 85 MI : 44 28 42 56 MN : 46 27 76 66 MS : 97 95 93 91 MO : 55 41 37 45 NE : 70 46 60 63 NC : 41 21 19 25 ND : 67 36 76 82 OH : 75 52 47 63 SD : 55 28 63 63 TN : 64 49 35 50 WI : 45 27 48 47 : 18 Sts: 69 49 56 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 95 85 92 91 AZ : 99 90 88 97 AR : 100 89 96 99 CA : 95 85 86 84 GA : 98 91 90 92 LA : 100 99 100 100 MS : 95 91 92 98 MO : 85 79 95 96 NC : 96 90 89 90 OK : 77 56 65 71 SC : 80 65 59 71 TN : 96 92 80 93 TX : 71 63 59 78 VA : 100 98 71 83 : 14 Sts: 85 77 76 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 4 NA 3 3 AZ : 11 NA 11 16 AR : 1 NA 1 3 CA : 10 NA 2 2 GA : 1 NA 1 5 LA : 1 NA 4 8 MS : 0 NA 1 6 MO : 0 NA 0 1 NC : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 0 NA 1 1 SC : 3 NA 1 3 TN : 1 NA 1 2 TX : 15 NA 16 15 VA : 30 NA 0 2 : 14 Sts: 8 NA 8 9 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 97 96 97 96 CO : 50 27 39 33 IL : 91 81 39 72 KS : 57 40 46 61 LA : 100 99 100 99 MO : 80 65 71 74 NE : 58 28 54 61 NM : 31 20 25 37 OK : 66 46 57 57 SD : 65 44 76 60 TX : 72 71 62 75 : 11 Sts: 65 53 56 67 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 77 62 74 67 CO : 2 1 1 1 IL : 23 17 6 25 KS : 6 3 7 13 LA : 89 70 82 82 MO : 17 10 14 20 NE : 1 0 1 5 NM : 1 0 2 3 OK : 25 19 23 24 SD : 3 3 15 18 TX : 50 49 50 56 : 11 Sts: 25 22 25 30 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 75 51 77 73 CA : 50 35 26 27 LA : 90 85 91 94 MS : 85 65 90 80 MO : 63 49 62 51 TX : 95 80 98 97 : 6 Sts : 74 56 72 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 NA 0 0 CA : 0 NA 0 0 LA : 38 NA 41 44 MS : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 0 NA 0 0 TX : 12 NA 21 32 : 6 Sts : 6 NA 7 9 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 11 4 15 12 MN : 4 1 30 24 MT : 2 0 18 16 ND : 5 1 17 16 SD : 49 29 75 70 WA : 42 24 37 25 : 6 Sts : 10 5 26 23 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 18 10 18 13 MN : 8 4 43 34 MT : 9 2 20 21 ND : 10 2 32 20 WA : 44 20 34 21 : 5 Sts : 14 5 28 20 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 85% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Aug 8, :Aug 1, :Aug 8, : 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 97 78 95 96 MN : 27 16 58 54 NE : 91 85 93 94 ND : 17 4 23 22 OH : 66 44 55 77 PA : 46 19 28 50 SD : 65 37 85 79 WI : 37 24 39 53 : 8 Sts : 45 29 54 57 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 66% of last year's oat acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 3 17 40 39 IL : 1 2 14 56 27 IN : 2 4 14 54 26 IA : 1 5 16 48 30 KS : 0 3 14 59 24 KY : 0 5 14 49 32 MI : 6 15 32 31 16 MN : 5 8 23 53 11 MO : 1 4 13 55 27 NE : 1 3 14 49 33 NC : 0 2 17 72 9 ND : 2 10 31 46 11 OH : 3 10 24 43 20 PA : 1 3 12 33 51 SD : 1 4 18 50 27 TN : 1 3 12 48 36 TX : 0 3 13 45 39 WI : 4 17 19 39 21 : 18 Sts : 2 5 17 50 26 : Prev Wk : 2 5 17 49 27 Prev Yr : 4 9 22 45 20 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 5 24 46 22 IL : 1 4 17 56 22 IN : 3 5 17 54 21 IA : 1 4 17 51 27 KS : 0 2 13 65 20 KY : 0 5 18 51 26 LA : 8 19 32 33 8 MI : 4 9 37 34 16 MN : 3 6 27 55 9 MS : 0 5 16 52 27 MO : 3 6 22 52 17 NE : 1 4 19 53 23 NC : 0 1 22 72 5 ND : 0 6 28 51 15 OH : 5 10 26 43 16 SD : 0 3 14 61 22 TN : 2 3 15 54 26 WI : 3 18 19 37 23 : 18 Sts : 2 5 20 53 20 : Prev Wk : 2 6 22 50 20 Prev Yr : 4 9 25 46 16 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 7 11 21 51 10 AZ : 0 0 22 42 36 AR : 0 5 27 45 23 CA : 0 0 5 25 70 GA : 3 12 32 41 12 LA : 8 17 27 42 6 MS : 3 7 25 50 15 MO : 0 0 17 70 13 NC : 0 1 25 66 8 OK : 2 2 39 50 7 SC : 0 2 18 73 7 TN : 0 1 11 55 33 TX : 2 6 19 49 24 VA : 0 0 15 37 48 : 14 Sts : 2 6 21 49 22 : Prev Wk : 2 6 22 48 22 Prev Yr : 5 11 30 42 12 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 2 32 52 14 CO : 1 1 31 41 26 IL : 0 0 11 72 17 KS : 0 2 22 60 16 LA : 0 4 41 55 0 MO : 0 3 21 61 15 NE : 0 3 27 52 18 NM : 0 2 51 46 1 OK : 0 2 12 77 9 SD : 4 7 39 46 4 TX : 2 5 17 56 20 : 11 Sts : 1 3 22 57 17 : Prev Wk : 1 5 22 55 17 Prev Yr : 11 24 35 26 4 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 2 23 50 24 CA : 0 5 40 40 15 LA : 0 8 40 41 11 MS : 0 1 10 63 26 MO : 1 2 8 51 38 TX : 0 3 33 60 4 : 6 Sts : 1 3 27 49 20 : Prev Wk : 0 4 28 49 19 Prev Yr : 1 3 27 49 20 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 6 20 56 15 FL : 0 0 15 50 35 GA : 2 8 34 45 11 NC : 0 0 12 87 1 OK : 0 4 18 66 12 TX : 0 1 18 48 33 VA : 0 0 18 39 43 : 8 Sts : 1 5 24 51 19 : Prev Wk : 1 3 22 53 21 Prev Yr : 0 3 19 57 21 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 21 55 21 MN : 2 5 34 47 12 NE : 11 13 23 42 11 ND : 8 8 29 45 10 OH : 1 10 31 50 8 PA : 2 8 33 51 6 SD : 2 8 22 42 26 WI : 2 7 19 56 16 : 8 Sts : 4 7 26 48 15 : Prev Wk : 3 8 24 51 14 Prev Yr : 1 7 27 49 16 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 1 12 72 15 MN : 2 2 28 55 13 MT : 6 11 32 40 11 ND : 3 6 19 48 24 SD : 10 5 17 40 28 WA : 2 3 30 61 4 : 6 Sts : 4 6 23 48 19 : Prev Wk : 3 7 25 49 16 Prev Yr : 5 13 27 41 14 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 2 9 75 14 MN : 1 5 46 39 9 MT : 4 8 33 45 10 ND : 3 3 19 54 21 WA : 2 8 31 52 7 : 5 Sts : 3 5 23 53 16 : Prev Wk : 1 5 24 56 14 Prev Yr : 6 12 25 44 13 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 1 7 26 49 17 :: NJ : 0 0 25 75 0 AZ : 37 18 17 23 5 :: NM : 13 25 35 20 7 AR : 0 5 26 59 10 :: NY : 0 1 24 61 14 CA : 50 45 5 0 0 :: NC : 2 4 21 62 11 CO : 6 14 34 38 8 :: ND : 17 17 29 32 5 CT : 0 0 28 72 0 :: OH : 3 5 25 52 15 DE : 0 10 20 65 5 :: OK : 2 4 21 47 26 FL : 0 0 15 75 10 :: OR : 1 11 45 39 4 GA : 3 11 39 42 5 :: PA : 2 4 18 60 16 ID : 0 10 39 49 2 :: RI : 0 0 50 50 0 IL : 0 3 22 60 15 :: SC : 1 9 26 58 6 IN : 0 6 19 61 14 :: SD : 11 18 30 34 7 IA : 1 5 19 46 29 :: TN : 0 3 16 63 18 KS : 5 14 34 39 8 :: TX : 4 10 29 46 11 KY : 1 4 16 55 24 :: UT : 11 14 33 39 3 LA : 1 7 37 49 6 :: VT : 2 15 31 45 7 ME : 0 0 2 45 53 :: VA : 0 1 19 62 18 MD : 0 4 15 51 30 :: WA : 5 14 52 29 0 MA : 0 7 13 72 8 :: WV : 0 6 18 61 15 MI : 2 13 34 38 13 :: WI : 2 8 28 47 15 MN : 3 6 32 53 6 :: WY : 27 29 30 11 3 MS : 5 7 20 56 12 :: : MO : 1 3 17 64 15 :: 48 Sts : 8 12 26 43 11 MT : 26 20 30 21 3 :: : NE : 10 17 31 35 7 :: Prev Wk: 8 12 26 42 12 NV : 8 41 37 13 1 :: Prev Yr: 11 20 31 31 7 NH : 0 1 19 59 21 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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