We 1 (9-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 14, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 37 September 5 - 11, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: The remnants of Hurricane Frances slowly tracked northward across the eastern United States, producing heavy rain and causing widespread flooding. Southeastern producers monitored the effects of the heavy rain from Frances and earlier tropical storms on open-boll cotton and other unharvested summer crops. Meanwhile, humid, showery weather occasionally hampered hurricane recovery efforts in Florida. Elsewhere, warm, mostly dry weather prevailed nearly nationwide, although showers lingered early in the week from eastern Texas to the upper Midwest. Warm, dry conditions promoted summer crop maturation and fieldwork, including winter wheat planting across the Northwest and the southern half of the Plains, and initial corn harvesting as far north as the southern Corn Belt. Late-season warmth was especially beneficial in the upper Midwest, where significantly delayed corn and soybeans have experienced generally favorable weather since frosts and light freezes struck the region on August 20-21. Recently planted winter wheat benefited from generally favorable soil moisture reserves across the Northwest and the southern half of the Plains. However, long-term drought and sub-soil moisture shortages remained a concern on the High Plains from northwestern Kansas and northeastern Colorado northward into Montana. The remnants of Hurricane Frances were responsible for 107 tornadoes in the southern and middle Atlantic States from September 4-8, according to preliminary reports from the National Weather Service. If the number stands, Frances will become the Nation's most prolific tornado-producing tropical system since September 1967, when the remnants of Hurricane Beulah spawned 115 tornadoes in Texas. Frances was also a remarkable rain producer, dumping more than 1 foot of rain in several Eastern locations and triggering significant flooding. Heavy rain continued in Florida on September 5, when West Palm Beach's 6.26-inch total boosted its month-to-date sum to 14.86 inches. West Palm Beach also clocked its highest wind gust associated with Frances, 82 m.p.h., on September 5. Other daily-record totals in Florida on September 5 included 8.50 inches in Daytona Beach and 4.50 inches in Melbourne. The following day, record totals for September 6 reached 4.04 inches in St. Petersburg, FL, and 4.18 inches in Alma, GA. Records continued to fall in the East as the week progressed. September 7 featured totals of 4.00 inches in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC, and 3.78 inches in Asheville, NC. A day later, rainfall included 4.40 inches in Roanoke, VA, 3.85 inches at New York's LaGuardia Airport, and 3.60 inches in Pittsburgh, PA. Pittsburgh's sum represented its wettest September day (previously, 3.38 inches on September 17, 1876) and wettest day on record (previously, 3.57 inches on August 21, 1888). In New York, Buffalo received 3.93 inches in a 24-hour span ending at noon on September 9, becoming the city's fourth-wettest 24-hour period on record. Unofficial storm-total rainfall associated with Frances topped 10 inches in several locations, including 10.09 inches in Goshen (Rockbridge County), VA, 15.44 inches near Suwannee (Levy County), FL, and 16.63 inches in Edgemont (Avery County), NC. Elsewhere, heavy rain subsided early in the week across the northern Plains and upper Midwest, but not before daily-record totals were established on September 5 in locations such as Chadron, NE (2.92 inches), and Sisseton, SD (2.23 inches). Chadron's total represented its fifth-wettest day on record and wettest day since September 18, 1986, when 4.40 inches fell. Despite the rain across the northern half of the High Plains, year-to-date precipitation remained significantly below normal. For example, January-August precipitation totaled 6.50 inches in Scottsbluff, NE, and 5.36 inches in Miles City, MT, just 51 percent of normal in both locations. Farther west, monsoon showers spread as far north as California's Central Valley, where a trace of rain dampened Bakersfield, CA, on September 9. Late in the week, more widespread showers reached the Northwest, where daily-record totals in Washington included 0.64 inch (on September 10) in Seattle and 0.38 inch (on September 11) in Olympia. Hot weather along the West Coast early in the week contrasted with a lingering chill across the Intermountain West. On September 5, daily-record highs in California included 101 degrees F in Los Angeles (LAX) and 100 degrees F in Napa. Meanwhile, record lows in Utah dipped to 32 degrees F in Cedar City and 27 degrees F at the Bryce Canyon Airport. On September 7, California highs of 105 degrees F in Chatsworth and San Luis Obispo were among a final flurry of daily-record highs. By midweek, cool air shifted onto the southern Plains. In Texas, San Angelo (48 and 46 degrees F) notched consecutive daily-record lows on September 8-9. Gage, OK (44 degrees F on September 9), also collected a daily record. At week's end, Hurricane Ivan--while centered over the Caribbean Sea southeast of Grand Cayman on September 11--became the sixth most powerful tropical system in Atlantic basin history. Ivan's central pressure fell to 910 millibars (26.87 inches of mercury), behind only Gilbert (888 mb in 1988), the Labor Day hurricane (892 mb in 1935), Allen (899 mb in 1980), Camille (905 mb in 1969), and Mitch (905 mb in 1998). Cool weather overspread interior and southeastern Alaska, holding temperatures as much as 6 degrees F below normal. Kodiak noted a daily-record low of 36 degrees F on September 7, followed 2 days later by a record low of 30 degrees F in Juneau. However, little rain preceded the cold air's arrival, keeping September 1-12 precipitation well below normal in locations such as Anchorage (0.60 inch, or 50 percent of normal) and McGrath (0.37 inch, or 35 percent). Meanwhile, generally light showers accompanied warm weather (1 to 3 degrees F above normal) in Hawaii. On the Big Island, Hilo (87, 89, and 89 degrees F) netted daily-record highs on September 6, 8, and 9. Daily records were also set or tied in Honolulu, Oahu (92 degrees F on September 8), and Kahului, Maui (94 and 93 degrees F on September 7 and 9). September 1-12 rainfall ranged from 0.01 inch (8 percent of normal) in Kahului to 1.31 inches (144 percent) in Lihue, Kauai. National Agricultural Summary September 6 - 12, 2004 Highlights: Hurricane Frances caused additional wind damage to the Florida's citrus crop. As it weakened to a tropical storm and moved inland, Frances dumped heavy rain and spawned numerous tornadoes across the southern and middle Atlantic Coast States. Fields and pastures were flooded and crop conditions, particularly cotton, suffered. To the west of the storm's path, however, the associated moderate precipitation benefited crops without causing flooding. Elsewhere, warm weather returned to the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, aiding crop development, but progress remained well behind normal. Although moderate precipitation fell across the Great Plains early in the week, the region remained mostly dry thereafter. In the Delta, crop development and harvest progressed steadily as dry conditions prevailed. Across the western third of the Nation, mostly dry conditions spurred crop development and fieldwork but increased irrigation demands. Temperatures were above normal along the Pacific Coast and in the central Rocky Mountains but below normal in the northern and southern Rockies. Corn: Doughing advanced to 95 percent complete, 2 percentage points behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Seventy-five percent of the crop was at or beyond the dent stage, compared with 83 percent last year and 87 percent for the 5-year average. Maturity, at 27 percent, was 8 points behind last year and 14 points behind normal. Growers had harvested 5 percent of their acreage, 1 point behind last year and 2 points behind the average. Denting progressed behind normal in most areas outside the Ohio Valley but was furthest behind in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, where Minnesota's and North Dakota's crops were over 2 weeks behind the 5-year average. Maturity was behind normal in all States, except Indiana, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. Harvest progress was most advanced in Texas, at 62 percent, followed by North Carolina, with 56 percent. Winter Wheat: Planting reached 16 percent complete, 3 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. Adequate soil moisture allowed planting to progress ahead of the normal pace in the Great Plains. Colorado growers had sowed 36 percent of their acreage, 15 points ahead of normal. Meanwhile, producers in Washington, with 28 percent of their acreage planted, were 15 points behind normal, hindered by wet field conditions. Planting had not begun in Arkansas, Illinois, North Carolina, and Ohio. Soybeans: Thirty percent of the crop was dropping leaves, the same as last year but 3 points behind normal. The crop developed rapidly in the central Corn Belt, advancing 20 points in Illinois, 31 points in Indiana, and 23 points in Iowa. In the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, however, progress was well behind normal, with Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin trailing their normal pace by a week or more. The crop remained well ahead of normal in the Delta. Cotton: Forty-six percent of the crop had open bolls, 3 points ahead of last year but 11 points behind the 5-year average. Growers had harvested 7 percent of their acreage, the same as last year but 2 points behind normal. Bolls opened a week behind the normal pace in Alabama, Arkansas, and Tennessee and 2 weeks behind in Louisiana and Texas. Along the Atlantic Coast, however, progress was ahead of normal by 42 points in Virginia and 35 points in North Carolina. Harvest at 16 percent complete in Texas, was also just underway in the lower Delta and parts of the Southeast, where progress was limited to 2 percent or less. Sorghum: Heading advanced to 95 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. Turning color, at 68 percent, was 1 point ahead of last year but 14 points behind normal. Thirty-four percent of the crop was mature, compared with 37 percent last year and 50 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was 26 percent complete, 2 points behind last year and 10 points behind the normal pace. All stages, except harvest, were a week or more behind normal Nationwide. Kansas's crop was a week or more behind normal in all stages, while Texas's crop was 2 weeks behind its normal pace for turning color, maturity, and harvest. Rice: Forty-three percent of the acreage had been harvested, 7 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. Harvest progressed rapidly in the Delta under dry conditions, advancing 21 points in Arkansas and 29 points in Mississippi. Texas's crop was 95 percent harvested, with Louisiana's pace only slightly slower at 93 percent. Progress was ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Missouri. Small Grains: Growers had harvested 72 percent of the spring wheat crop, 27 points behind last year and 18 points behind normal. With crop development delayed by a cooler-than-normal summer, harvest progress remained well behind normal in Minnesota and North Dakota. Harvest was complete in South Dakota and near completion in Idaho and Washington. Eighty-eight percent of the barley crop had been harvested, 10 points behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Harvest reached completion in Washington, slightly ahead of the normal pace. Minnesota growers harvested 12 percent of their acreage but slipped to nearly 3 weeks behind normal. The oat harvest advanced to 94 percent complete, compared with 100 percent for last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was complete in all States, except Minnesota and North Dakota, where progress was nearly 2 weeks behind normal. Other Crops: Producers had harvested 5 percent of the Nation's peanut crop, 2 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. In Florida, harvest was 20 percent complete, 8 points ahead of normal, as growers rushed to harvest as much as they could ahead of Hurricane Ivan. Virginia growers, with 6 percent of their acreage harvested, were 5 points ahead of the 5-year average. Progress was at or behind the normal pace elsewhere. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 88 64 99 96 IL : 100 99 98 99 IN : 100 99 97 99 IA : 97 90 99 98 KS : 100 98 100 100 KY : 100 100 99 100 MI : 84 68 84 85 MN : 86 74 99 99 MO : 100 100 100 100 NE : 97 94 98 99 NC : 100 100 100 100 ND : 72 57 100 100 OH : 100 96 97 97 PA : 97 91 80 88 SD : 92 84 99 98 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 100 99 100 100 WI : 73 56 90 89 : 18 Sts: 95 89 97 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dented, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 59 26 86 70 IL : 95 87 86 92 IN : 92 82 71 88 IA : 81 63 89 90 KS : 93 82 97 96 KY : 95 91 91 97 MI : 38 25 46 60 MN : 40 20 93 88 MO : 95 91 95 97 NE : 78 64 86 92 NC : 100 99 94 97 ND : 34 13 91 86 OH : 85 69 65 76 PA : 83 71 48 64 SD : 55 35 87 83 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 98 92 97 97 WI : 31 14 64 63 : 18 Sts: 75 61 83 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 9 2 31 20 IL : 46 27 34 49 IN : 48 27 18 40 IA : 17 9 43 47 KS : 58 36 76 71 KY : 77 60 66 78 MI : 3 0 1 15 MN : 0 0 33 22 MO : 74 60 78 78 NE : 11 3 22 36 NC : 94 91 83 87 ND : 0 0 30 24 OH : 17 5 5 19 PA : 34 25 10 21 SD : 7 3 28 26 TN : 86 72 88 92 TX : 78 75 86 86 WI : 1 0 12 13 : 18 Sts: 27 17 35 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 3 NA 2 5 IN : 3 NA 2 4 IA : 0 NA 2 2 KS : 13 NA 30 27 KY : 27 NA 20 33 MI : 0 NA 0 1 MN : 0 NA 1 0 MO : 20 NA 26 30 NE : 1 NA 1 4 NC : 56 NA 42 32 ND : 0 NA 1 0 OH : 0 NA 0 1 PA : 10 NA 1 6 SD : 0 NA 1 1 TN : 32 NA 30 51 TX : 62 NA 67 63 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 5 NA 6 7 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 0 0 0 CA : 2 1 1 0 CO : 36 14 26 21 ID : 8 1 8 9 IL : 0 0 0 0 IN : 1 0 1 1 KS : 8 1 6 6 MI : 2 0 4 4 MO : 1 0 0 0 MT : 22 3 7 7 NE : 28 8 26 21 NC : 0 0 0 1 OH : 0 0 0 0 OK : 21 7 14 13 OR : 2 0 4 1 SD : 19 7 18 16 TX : 25 16 19 16 WA : 28 21 42 43 : 18 Sts: 16 7 13 12 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 34 26 19 23 IL : 37 17 19 30 IN : 60 29 27 44 IA : 31 8 32 28 KS : 35 16 43 47 KY : 20 10 7 26 LA : 59 52 41 50 MI : 6 0 7 21 MN : 10 2 52 36 MS : 85 73 65 65 MO : 24 10 15 21 NE : 21 7 16 26 NC : 8 4 7 10 ND : 8 1 47 39 OH : 38 21 21 41 SD : 38 29 61 51 TN : 28 17 19 26 WI : 10 0 28 20 : 18 Sts: 30 15 30 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 40 28 60 65 AZ : 83 70 80 87 AR : 52 29 58 67 CA : 65 50 37 43 GA : 64 51 51 60 LA : 60 47 71 84 MS : 78 57 69 84 MO : 51 32 32 59 NC : 73 56 24 38 OK : 60 41 56 42 SC : 48 34 21 39 TN : 42 25 34 69 TX : 26 22 33 49 VA : 78 68 31 36 : 14 Sts: 46 35 43 57 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 NA 0 3 AZ : 0 NA 1 4 AR : 0 NA 0 2 CA : 0 NA 0 0 GA : 2 NA 1 5 LA : 2 NA 5 11 MS : 2 NA 7 8 MO : 0 NA 0 1 NC : 1 NA 0 0 OK : 0 NA 0 1 SC : 0 NA 0 2 TN : 1 NA 0 4 TX : 16 NA 17 17 VA : 0 NA 0 0 : 14 Sts: 7 NA 7 9 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 95 88 94 94 IL : 100 99 97 99 KS : 97 91 94 99 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 99 100 100 NE : 99 98 97 99 NM : 81 72 89 92 OK : 96 85 94 94 SD : 100 100 100 100 TX : 92 91 89 96 : 11 Sts: 95 92 93 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 97 95 100 99 CO : 43 29 69 55 IL : 98 84 72 84 KS : 65 46 66 83 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 91 84 80 87 NE : 67 37 60 76 NM : 44 15 40 55 OK : 55 45 73 70 SD : 72 70 88 83 TX : 69 66 63 83 : 11 Sts: 68 56 67 82 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 89 80 95 92 CO : 10 6 33 14 IL : 69 37 5 36 KS : 15 9 23 38 LA : 100 99 97 99 MO : 38 26 33 51 NE : 6 2 9 22 NM : 4 2 2 2 OK : 36 28 37 36 SD : 14 4 15 20 TX : 57 56 57 74 : 11 Sts: 34 29 37 50 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 68 46 60 65 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 1 1 0 2 KS : 3 2 9 16 LA : 96 88 84 83 MO : 10 4 9 17 NE : 0 0 0 4 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 14 11 16 19 SD : 0 0 1 3 TX : 54 53 54 65 : 11 Sts: 26 24 28 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 32 11 27 32 CA : 15 8 3 5 LA : 93 88 87 87 MS : 57 28 47 35 MO : 8 5 6 11 TX : 95 84 88 93 : 6 Sts : 43 27 36 38 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 NA 0 6 FL : 20 NA 12 12 GA : 5 NA 4 6 NC : 0 NA 0 2 OK : 1 NA 1 1 TX : 1 NA 0 4 VA : 6 NA 1 1 : 7 Sts : 5 NA 3 6 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 95 82 97 93 MN : 50 40 99 95 MT : 74 70 99 87 ND : 67 53 99 86 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 99 98 100 98 : 6 Sts : 72 62 99 90 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 90 77 93 92 MN : 77 65 99 97 MT : 90 81 98 88 ND : 86 73 100 91 WA : 100 97 100 99 : 5 Sts : 88 77 98 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 85% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 12,:Sep 5, :Sep 12,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 100 100 100 100 MN : 95 90 99 99 NE : 100 100 100 100 ND : 80 79 99 92 OH : 100 100 100 100 PA : 100 99 100 99 SD : 100 100 100 100 WI : 100 98 100 100 : 8 Sts : 94 93 100 98 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 66% of last year's oat acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 4 5 11 44 36 IL : 1 3 14 56 26 IN : 2 5 14 50 29 IA : 3 8 19 48 22 KS : 4 7 17 50 22 KY : 0 4 12 45 39 MI : 6 14 32 36 12 MN : 3 12 37 39 9 MO : 1 4 16 53 26 NE : 4 7 22 44 23 NC : 1 3 26 59 11 ND : 6 19 32 37 6 OH : 3 9 24 47 17 PA : 1 3 5 40 51 SD : 2 9 23 48 18 TN : 0 1 10 50 39 TX : 0 2 13 49 36 WI : 6 15 30 37 12 : 18 Sts : 3 7 21 47 22 : Prev Wk : 3 7 21 49 20 Prev Yr : 10 16 30 35 9 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 6 22 46 25 IL : 1 4 19 56 20 IN : 4 5 19 50 22 IA : 3 9 22 49 17 KS : 1 5 18 60 16 KY : 0 3 13 51 33 LA : 2 19 34 36 9 MI : 5 12 39 33 11 MN : 4 13 42 36 5 MS : 0 5 15 45 35 MO : 3 7 27 50 13 NE : 5 12 31 40 12 NC : 1 4 24 60 11 ND : 5 15 36 40 4 OH : 5 10 28 44 13 SD : 1 9 25 52 13 TN : 2 4 14 56 24 WI : 5 13 31 38 13 : 18 Sts : 3 8 26 48 15 : Prev Wk : 3 9 26 47 15 Prev Yr : 9 17 33 33 8 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 5 27 60 6 AZ : 1 3 27 42 27 AR : 0 5 24 45 26 CA : 0 0 0 30 70 GA : 8 17 37 33 5 LA : 5 16 31 43 5 MS : 2 7 24 49 18 MO : 0 1 21 63 15 NC : 1 4 36 51 8 OK : 1 1 38 49 11 SC : 0 6 35 53 6 TN : 0 1 12 61 26 TX : 4 6 19 48 23 VA : 0 0 19 46 35 : 14 Sts : 3 6 23 47 21 : Prev Wk : 3 5 22 48 22 Prev Yr : 8 13 30 37 12 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 2 35 51 11 CO : 1 12 34 43 10 IL : 0 1 9 72 18 KS : 4 10 26 45 15 LA : 0 6 52 42 0 MO : 0 4 26 60 10 NE : 6 14 42 32 6 NM : 0 25 38 34 3 OK : 0 1 10 59 30 SD : 10 19 48 20 3 TX : 1 7 24 49 19 : 11 Sts : 3 9 28 45 15 : Prev Wk : 2 9 25 48 16 Prev Yr : 15 30 32 20 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 2 22 46 30 CA : 0 0 35 35 30 LA : 0 7 34 48 11 MS : 0 1 11 59 29 MO : 0 3 11 51 35 TX : 0 2 34 54 10 : 6 Sts : 0 2 25 47 26 : Prev Wk : 0 2 25 47 26 Prev Yr : 1 3 23 50 23 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 7 41 41 9 FL : 0 0 21 25 54 GA : 3 9 32 47 9 NC : 0 4 25 62 9 OK : 0 3 15 70 12 TX : 2 2 11 47 38 VA : 0 0 18 56 26 : 8 Sts : 2 6 26 46 20 : Prev Wk : 2 4 29 48 17 Prev Yr : 0 4 21 55 20 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 12, 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 2 7 37 49 5 :: NJ : 0 0 0 100 0 AZ : 23 34 17 20 6 :: NM : 5 10 41 36 8 AR : 2 11 44 35 8 :: NY : 0 3 20 53 24 CA : 55 45 0 0 0 :: NC : 1 2 16 70 11 CO : 4 18 33 38 7 :: ND : 21 16 30 30 3 CT : 0 0 14 86 0 :: OH : 1 5 26 56 12 DE : 0 2 17 69 12 :: OK : 1 3 19 56 21 FL : 5 20 60 10 5 :: OR : 2 18 42 32 6 GA : 1 6 36 48 9 :: PA : 3 2 19 61 15 ID : 1 14 36 47 2 :: RI : 0 0 20 80 0 IL : 1 4 29 53 13 :: SC : 0 5 27 62 6 IN : 1 8 23 54 14 :: SD : 16 22 33 25 4 IA : 4 8 23 48 17 :: TN : 0 4 17 64 15 KS : 7 19 33 36 5 :: TX : 3 10 33 42 12 KY : 1 4 20 54 21 :: UT : 5 13 44 37 1 LA : 5 15 43 36 1 :: VT : 1 18 29 40 12 ME : 0 0 2 46 52 :: VA : 0 2 20 54 24 MD : 4 7 37 37 15 :: WA : 2 18 35 45 0 MA : 0 0 13 79 8 :: WV : 0 7 35 49 9 MI : 6 18 46 24 6 :: WI : 2 8 30 51 9 MN : 4 12 35 44 5 :: WY : 41 27 20 8 4 MS : 4 8 32 49 7 :: : MO : 2 7 26 54 11 :: 48 Sts : 9 14 29 39 9 MT : 22 25 34 16 3 :: : NE : 21 27 31 21 0 :: Prev Wk: 9 14 27 40 10 NV : 30 24 35 11 0 :: Prev Yr: 17 22 31 25 5 NH : 0 1 15 48 36 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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