We 1 (9-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 21, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 38 September 12 - 18, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Hurricane Ivan moved ashore during the pre-dawn hours of September 16 near Gulf Shores, AL, with maximum sustained winds near 130 m.p.h., causing major wind and storm-surge damage in coastal areas of Alabama and western Florida. Farther inland, Ivan soaked peanuts and battered open-boll cotton in Alabama and southwestern Georgia for the second time in 10 days. The remnants of Hurricane Frances had moved across southwestern Georgia on September 6, followed by Ivan's passage through Alabama. Ivan triggered widespread flooding, dumping at least 4 inches of rain in areas already saturated by Frances in the central and southern Appalachians, middle and upper Ohio Valley, and northern Mid-Atlantic region. Elsewhere, warm weather prevailed across the Plains and Midwest, promoting summer crop maturation. Weekly temperatures averaged as much as 10 degrees F above normal on the central and southern Plains. Warmth was especially beneficial across the upper Midwest, helping late-developing corn and soybeans struggle toward maturity due. However, early- to mid-week downpours caused local flooding and fieldwork delays in the western Corn Belt, where weekly rainfall topped 4 inches in parts of northern Iowa and southern Minnesota. In contrast, dry weather from the southern Plains to the Delta promoted cotton maturation and harvesting of corn, sorghum, and other summer crops. For much of the week, cool, damp weather in the Northwest contrasted with warm, dry weather in the Southwest. Showers continued to boost moisture reserves for newly planted winter grains in the Northwest, although chilly weather slowed crop emergence. Toward week's end, however, moisture associated with the remnants of eastern Pacific Hurricane Javier was drawn into the Southwest in advance of a cold front, sparking locally heavy showers. The Southwestern rainfall caused local flooding but boosted topsoil moisture and dented multi-year precipitation deficits. September 15-18 rainfall totaled at least 4 inches from Alabama, western Florida, and the northwestern half of Georgia into Pennsylvania and the southern tier of New York. Eglin Air Force Base in Valparaiso, FL, netted 17.76 inches in a 24-hour period on September 15-16. Meanwhile, Birmingham, AL, received 9.75 inches of rain on September 16, breaking its 24-hour record of 8.84 inches on July 6-7, 1916. Birmingham also noted its lowest barometric pressure on record (29.14 inches), edging the standard of 29.16 inches established on January 11, 1918. Farther north, Pittsburgh, PA, experienced its wettest day on record (5.95 inches on September 17), eclipsing the mark of 3.60 inches set on September 8 during the passage of Hurricane Frances' remnants. Prior to this year, Pittsburgh's wettest day was August 21, 1888, when 3.57 inches fell. Elsewhere, daily-record totals included 5.24 inches (on September 16) in Chattanooga, TN, and 5.58 inches (on September 17) in Williamsport, PA. Elsewhere in Pennsylvania, Harrisburg posted consecutive daily-record totals on September 17 and 18 (2.46 and 3.38 inches, respectively). On September 19, the Ohio River at Marietta, OH, crested 8.37 feet above flood stage. Farther downstream, the Ohio River level at Racine Locks and Dam reached 48.8 feet (10.8 feet above flood stage) at 8 a.m. on September 19, breaking record set on February 27, 1979. The high-water mark at Racine, OH, during the last 30 years was 48.2 feet. Ivan was also responsible for high winds, huge waves, a storm surge, and tornadoes. Official wind gusts in Alabama on the night of September 15-16 included 102 m.p.h. on Dauphin Island and 101 m.p.h. in Mobile (Battleship Park on Mobile Bay). Offshore at the Mobile Buoy, about 70 miles south of Dauphin Island, wave heights reached 52 feet on the evening of September 15. From September 15-17, the remnants of Ivan spawned 110 tornadoes from northern Florida to southern Pennsylvania, according to preliminary reports from the National Weather Service. The preliminary count, second only to the 115-tornado total associated with 1967's Hurricane Beulah in Texas, was similar to the 108 tornadoes observed with Frances from September 4-8. Elsewhere in the tropics, Tropical Storm Jeanne made landfall near Yabucoa, PR, on September 15, with maximum sustained winds near 70 m.p.h. Just prior to striking Puerto Rico, wind gusts to 62 and 51 m.p.h. were clocked in the U.S. Virgin Islands at the airports on St. Croix and St. Thomas, respectively. Elsewhere on St. Croix, an unofficial wind gust to 96 m.p.h. was reported on Maria Hill. From September 13-18, rainfall totaled 12.19 inches at the airport on St. Thomas and 6.93 inches in San Juan, PR, where the September 15 peak gust was 71 m.p.h. Nearly all (11.79 inches) of St. Thomas' rain fell on September 15-16. Meanwhile on Puerto Rico, Aibonito netted 15 inches of rain in a 24-hour period on September 15-16. Early in the week, hot weather expanded from the Southwest onto the Plains. On September 12, daily-record highs in Arizona included 98 degrees F in Douglas and 95 degrees F in St. Johns. A day later, record highs were established in locations such as El Paso, TX, and Kearney, NE (both 97 degrees F). Late in the week, heat intensified on the Plains, where records in Kansas for September 17 included 104 degrees F in Ashland and 101 degrees F in Dodge City. It was only Dodge City's third day of triple-digit heat this year, following June 14 and July 15. A day later in Nebraska, McCook's high of 101 degrees F marked its second-latest observance of a maximum temperature of 100 degrees F or higher. Cool weather prevailed, however, in the Northwest, where Redmond, OR, collected a daily-record low (28 degrees F) on September 16. Widespread showers preceded the Northwestern chill, resulting in a daily-record total of 1.49 inches on September 13 at Stampede Pass, WA. Farther east, early- to mid-week downpours set several daily records. On September 14, record totals included 4.04 inches in Rochester, MN, and 0.89 inch in Miles City, MT. On the night of September 18-19, the remnants of Hurricane Javier dissipated less than 200 miles southwest of El Paso, TX. As a result, heavy rain overspread the Southwest, where Grand Canyon, AZ, received a 48-hour total of 3.30 inches, exactly 20 percent of its normal annual amount. Following a record-setting summer of warmth in Alaska, cool weather (as much as 8 degrees F below normal) prevailed across much of the State for a second consecutive week. Daily-record lows were set or tied in several Alaskan locations, including Cold Bay (32 degrees F on September 14), Valdez (34 degrees F on September 15), and McGrath (20 degrees F on September 18). Nome received precipitation totaling only 0.34 inch (19 percent of normal) during the first 20 days of September, while King Salmon netted 3.09 inches (159 percent). Meanwhile in Hawaii, showery weather across the western islands contrasted with mostly dry weather elsewhere. September 1-20 rainfall totaled 0.76 inch (211 percent of normal) in Honolulu, Oahu, and 2.59 inches (42 percent) in Hilo, on the Big Island. Warm weather (up to 3 degrees F above normal) prevailed throughout Hawaii. Hilo posted a daily record-tying high of 88 degrees F on September 13. National Agricultural Summary September 13 - 19, 2004 Highlights: Hurricane Ivan came ashore along the central Gulf Coast Thursday, causing significant damage to cotton and peanut crops in southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. As it moved further inland, Ivan brought heavy rains to the Southeast, Ohio Valley, and middle Atlantic Coast, causing some flooding and fieldwork delays. Elsewhere, moderate to locally heavy precipitation fell in the western Corn Belt, bolstering crop conditions, while light to moderate rainfall in the northern and central Great Plains also benefitted crops. Crop conditions declined in the Southwest, southern Great Plains, and Mississippi Delta, under mostly dry conditions. Precipitation was heavy in coastal areas of the Pacific Northwest, but lighter in the interior part of the region and neighboring areas of the Rocky Mountains. Warm weather prevailed across most of the Nation, aiding crop development, particularly in the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. Only in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies did temperatures average below normal. Corn: Denting reached 85 percent complete, 8 percentage points behind last year and 9 points behind the 5-year average. Forty-three percent of the crop was mature, 11 points behind last year and 17 points behind normal. Growers had harvested 9 percent of their acreage, compared with 10 percent last year and 12 percent for the average. Denting remained well behind normal across the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt, despite steady progress under warm conditions. Maturation was over a week behind the normal pace in 9 of the 18 major corn-producing States, and was over 3 weeks behind in North Dakota and Minnesota. Harvest was 17 points ahead of normal in North Carolina and 12 points ahead in Pennsylvania but was at or behind the normal pace elsewhere. Winter Wheat: Planting advanced to 29 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Emergence, at 7 percent complete, was 1 point ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Planting progressed rapidly under mostly dry conditions in the Rocky Mountains, where Colorado growers planted over one-fourth of their acreage and Montana producers planted 22 percent of their crop. Planting had begun in all States, except Ohio. Emergence was most advanced in Washington, at 24 percent complete, followed by Colorado at 18 percent. Soybeans: Fifty-two percent of the crop had dropped leaves, compared with 53 percent last year and 56 percent for the average. Producers had harvested 8 percent of the crop, 3 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. The crop dropped leaves rapidly in the western Corn Belt and central Great Plains, advancing 33 points in Iowa and 36 points in Nebraska. Harvest was well underway in the Delta, where 73 percent of Mississippi's acreage had been harvested, 29 points ahead of normal. Growers in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains had not begun harvesting. Cotton: Bolls opening advanced to 58 percent complete, 3 points ahead of last year but 11 points behind the normal pace. Harvest, at 8 percent complete, was 2 points behind last year and 5 points behind the average. Bolls opened rapidly in Alabama and Louisiana, advancing 24 and 21 points, respectively, but remaining over a week behind normal. Progress was 2 weeks behind the average pace in Tennessee and Texas but 2 weeks ahead of normal in Virginia. Meanwhile, harvest had begun in all States, except California and Oklahoma, but was behind the normal pace in most States. Sorghum: Seventy-eight percent of the crop had turned color, the same as last year but 10 points behind normal. Maturation reached 41 percent complete, compared with 45 percent last year and 59 percent for the 5-year average. Growers had reaped 29 percent of their acreage, 2 points behind last year and 12 points behind normal. Nationwide, coloring was over a week behind the normal pace, while maturation and harvest were 2 weeks behind. In Texas, where over one-third of the Nation's sorghum is grown, the crop was 3 weeks behind in all stages. Rice: Harvest advanced to 59 percent complete, 7 points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Harvest neared completion in Louisiana and Texas, while growers in Arkansas and Missouri harvested 21 percent of their acreage during the week. Progress was ahead of normal in all States, with California and Mississippi leading the normal pace by 16 and 18 points, respectively. Small Grains: Eighty-one percent of the spring wheat crop had been harvested, compared with 100 percent last year and 94 percent for the 5-year average. Minnesota producers harvested 19 percent of their acreage during the week but remained over 3 weeks behind normal, while progress in North Dakota trailed the normal pace by over 2 weeks. The barley harvest advanced to 93 percent complete, 6 points behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Minnesota growers, with 88 percent of their crop harvested, were 9 points behind normal. Harvest was over 90 percent complete elsewhere. Oat producers had harvested 96 percent of their acreage, compared with 100 percent last year and 99 percent for the average. North Dakota's harvest, at 85 percent complete, was over 2 weeks behind the normal pace. In Minnesota, 99 percent of the crop had been harvested, the same as normal. Harvest was complete in all other States. Other Crops: The peanut harvest reached 8 percent complete, 2 points behind last year and 5 points behind normal. Harvest progressed slowly as rains from Hurricane Ivan hampered fieldwork. Virginia growers harvested 9 percent of their acreage, while progress was limited to 5 percent or less elsewhere. Growers had harvested 3 percent of the sugarbeet crop, compared with 5 percent last year and 4 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was underway in Idaho, Minnesota, and North Dakota, but had not begun in Michigan. Corn: Percent Dented, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 75 59 95 87 IL : 97 95 95 97 IN : 95 92 86 94 IA : 92 81 96 96 KS : 99 93 99 99 KY : 98 95 98 99 MI : 55 38 70 80 MN : 66 40 98 97 MO : 98 95 97 98 NE : 90 78 94 97 NC : 100 100 99 99 ND : 54 34 97 95 OH : 90 85 83 88 PA : 87 83 57 74 SD : 75 55 97 94 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 99 98 99 98 WI : 43 31 82 80 : 18 Sts: 85 75 93 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 17 9 47 38 IL : 72 46 55 71 IN : 64 48 34 59 IA : 38 17 67 71 KS : 76 58 84 81 KY : 82 77 84 91 MI : 10 3 15 32 MN : 1 0 66 49 MO : 85 74 87 88 NE : 32 11 43 57 NC : 97 94 92 93 ND : 3 0 56 43 OH : 31 17 12 35 PA : 55 34 18 29 SD : 19 7 45 44 TN : 95 86 95 97 TX : 84 78 91 92 WI : 5 1 30 29 : 18 Sts: 43 27 54 60 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 0 4 3 IL : 10 3 7 11 IN : 8 3 4 8 IA : 2 0 4 6 KS : 22 13 39 40 KY : 38 27 36 45 MI : 0 0 1 3 MN : 0 0 3 1 MO : 30 20 40 42 NE : 4 1 5 9 NC : 66 56 66 49 ND : 0 0 2 0 OH : 1 0 1 3 PA : 21 10 1 9 SD : 0 0 2 3 TN : 60 32 52 67 TX : 66 62 73 71 WI : 0 0 0 1 : 18 Sts: 9 5 10 12 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 0 1 1 CA : 3 2 2 1 CO : 62 36 53 47 ID : 18 8 22 19 IL : 1 0 2 1 IN : 3 1 3 3 KS : 21 8 18 14 MI : 9 2 9 10 MO : 3 1 0 1 MT : 44 22 19 23 NE : 48 28 55 50 NC : 5 0 0 3 OH : 0 0 1 1 OK : 34 21 32 24 OR : 2 2 11 5 SD : 39 19 37 34 TX : 34 25 35 28 WA : 48 28 52 55 : 18 Sts: 29 16 27 23 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 NA 0 0 CA : 0 NA 0 0 CO : 18 NA 13 12 ID : 2 NA 1 3 IL : 0 NA 0 0 IN : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 3 NA 3 4 MI : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 0 NA 0 0 MT : 3 NA 0 1 NE : 14 NA 21 16 NC : 1 NA 0 0 OH : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 8 NA 9 8 OR : 0 NA 0 0 SD : 6 NA 5 8 TX : 10 NA 9 9 WA : 24 NA 17 26 : 18 Sts: 7 NA 6 7 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 44 34 26 33 IL : 62 37 43 54 IN : 78 60 50 66 IA : 64 31 62 54 KS : 59 35 58 62 KY : 37 20 24 47 LA : 66 59 53 64 MI : 15 6 39 45 MN : 29 10 80 66 MS : 91 85 76 76 MO : 40 24 27 37 NE : 57 21 44 52 NC : 15 8 17 17 ND : 27 8 71 67 OH : 58 38 46 65 SD : 60 38 80 72 TN : 38 28 31 38 WI : 27 10 51 43 : 18 Sts: 52 30 53 56 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 26 NA 12 10 IL : 11 NA 3 5 IN : 14 NA 4 6 IA : 3 NA 4 4 KS : 6 NA 2 11 KY : 1 NA 0 4 LA : 47 NA 31 33 MI : 0 NA 1 2 MN : 0 NA 8 7 MS : 73 NA 56 44 MO : 4 NA 1 3 NE : 6 NA 2 4 NC : 0 NA 0 0 ND : 0 NA 4 5 OH : 6 NA 1 5 SD : 0 NA 2 3 TN : 8 NA 2 4 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 8 NA 5 6 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 64 40 75 76 AZ : 90 83 92 94 AR : 71 52 73 82 CA : 80 65 54 62 GA : 77 64 64 71 LA : 81 60 86 91 MS : 84 78 80 92 MO : 63 51 51 71 NC : 83 73 45 57 OK : 73 60 66 59 SC : 61 48 31 52 TN : 54 42 50 81 TX : 35 26 43 60 VA : 82 78 39 46 : 14 Sts: 58 46 55 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 0 2 7 AZ : 4 0 3 7 AR : 2 0 4 5 CA : 0 0 0 0 GA : 4 2 4 7 LA : 6 2 12 23 MS : 7 2 15 18 MO : 2 0 0 12 NC : 1 1 0 1 OK : 0 0 0 2 SC : 1 0 0 4 TN : 2 1 1 9 TX : 17 16 18 20 VA : 3 0 0 1 : 14 Sts: 8 7 10 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 53 32 51 52 CA : 30 15 12 14 LA : 97 93 92 91 MS : 73 57 61 55 MO : 29 8 18 26 TX : 98 95 93 96 : 6 Sts : 59 43 52 53 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 5 3 16 18 FL : 25 20 26 26 GA : 7 5 10 14 NC : 4 0 1 4 OK : 2 1 2 2 TX : 4 1 2 8 VA : 15 6 4 5 : 7 Sts : 8 5 10 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 97 100 100 CO : 51 43 86 70 IL : 99 98 83 91 KS : 78 65 79 90 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 95 91 89 93 NE : 82 67 81 89 NM : 55 44 64 69 OK : 68 55 80 78 SD : 84 72 95 93 TX : 75 69 70 87 : 11 Sts: 78 68 78 88 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 95 89 98 96 CO : 13 10 46 24 IL : 78 69 16 51 KS : 25 15 33 50 LA : 100 100 99 100 MO : 56 38 48 64 NE : 15 6 25 43 NM : 5 4 5 7 OK : 40 36 45 45 SD : 28 14 33 35 TX : 61 57 59 77 : 11 Sts: 41 34 45 59 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 80 68 74 80 CO : 0 0 1 1 IL : 3 1 0 6 KS : 6 3 11 22 LA : 99 96 92 90 MO : 19 10 21 29 NE : 1 0 1 11 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 21 14 21 26 SD : 3 0 3 6 TX : 56 54 56 69 : 11 Sts: 29 26 31 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 NA 1 2 MI : 0 NA 0 0 MN : 4 NA 7 6 ND : 4 NA 7 6 : 4 Sts : 3 NA 5 4 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 84% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 97 95 99 97 MN : 69 50 99 96 MT : 84 74 100 92 ND : 76 67 100 93 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 99 99 100 100 : 6 Sts : 81 72 100 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 94 90 97 97 MN : 88 77 99 97 MT : 94 90 99 93 ND : 91 86 100 96 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 5 Sts : 93 88 99 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States harvested 85% of last year's barley acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Sep 19,:Sep 12,:Sep 19,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 100 100 100 100 MN : 99 95 99 99 NE : 100 100 100 100 ND : 85 80 100 97 OH : 100 100 100 100 PA : 100 100 100 100 SD : 100 100 100 100 WI : 100 100 100 100 : 8 Sts : 96 94 100 99 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 66% of last year's oat acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 5 14 41 37 IL : 1 2 13 57 27 IN : 3 4 14 48 31 IA : 2 7 17 50 24 KS : 3 7 16 49 25 KY : 1 3 14 40 42 MI : 5 13 34 35 13 MN : 3 9 36 44 8 MO : 1 4 14 53 28 NE : 3 6 20 46 25 NC : 1 2 20 60 17 ND : 6 17 33 37 7 OH : 3 9 26 44 18 PA : 0 1 15 47 37 SD : 4 8 22 46 20 TN : 0 2 9 47 42 TX : 0 2 13 49 36 WI : 6 20 21 40 13 : 18 Sts : 3 7 20 47 23 : Prev Wk : 3 7 21 47 22 Prev Yr : 9 15 30 36 10 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 7 22 45 25 IL : 1 4 18 54 23 IN : 3 5 19 50 23 IA : 3 9 21 49 18 KS : 1 6 18 56 19 KY : 0 3 15 48 34 LA : 5 21 36 32 6 MI : 4 8 36 41 11 MN : 5 12 42 36 5 MS : 0 5 15 45 35 MO : 2 7 26 51 14 NE : 4 12 29 43 12 NC : 1 2 17 70 10 ND : 4 13 35 41 7 OH : 4 11 28 42 15 SD : 2 8 24 50 16 TN : 2 5 13 54 26 WI : 3 11 28 45 13 : 18 Sts : 3 8 25 47 17 : Prev Wk : 3 8 26 48 15 Prev Yr : 9 18 33 33 7 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 10 15 28 44 3 AZ : 1 6 21 46 26 AR : 0 5 24 45 26 CA : 0 0 0 35 65 GA : 10 19 40 26 5 LA : 7 19 39 35 0 MS : 2 6 23 51 18 MO : 0 0 19 62 19 NC : 0 3 26 60 11 OK : 2 2 38 44 14 SC : 0 7 29 60 4 TN : 0 1 12 61 26 TX : 4 5 19 50 22 VA : 0 0 23 56 21 : 14 Sts : 4 7 23 46 20 : Prev Wk : 3 6 23 47 21 Prev Yr : 8 13 30 36 13 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 2 35 51 11 CO : 1 14 34 44 7 IL : 0 1 9 68 22 KS : 3 11 26 46 14 LA : 0 6 52 42 0 MO : 0 3 24 59 14 NE : 4 12 43 35 6 NM : 0 22 44 33 1 OK : 0 3 15 62 20 SD : 16 21 38 17 8 TX : 1 7 24 49 19 : 11 Sts : 2 9 27 47 15 : Prev Wk : 3 9 28 45 15 Prev Yr : 16 30 31 20 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 2 21 45 32 CA : 0 0 35 40 25 LA : 0 7 34 48 11 MS : 0 1 11 59 29 MO : 1 2 10 51 36 TX : 0 2 34 54 10 : 6 Sts : 0 2 25 47 26 : Prev Wk : 0 2 25 47 26 Prev Yr : 1 3 24 47 25 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 10 15 42 30 3 FL : 0 0 25 35 40 GA : 3 10 34 46 7 NC : 0 3 21 72 4 OK : 0 4 13 71 12 TX : 2 2 9 51 36 VA : 0 0 10 65 25 : 8 Sts : 3 7 27 47 16 : Prev Wk : 2 6 26 46 20 Prev Yr : 1 3 24 55 17 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Sep 19, 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 5 10 30 50 5 :: NJ : 0 0 7 93 0 AZ : 23 33 20 18 6 :: NM : 9 17 49 24 1 AR : 6 19 44 25 6 :: NY : 1 6 23 52 18 CA : 55 45 0 0 0 :: NC : 1 2 14 65 18 CO : 5 20 34 37 4 :: ND : 18 19 31 29 3 CT : 0 0 8 92 0 :: OH : 2 5 28 51 14 DE : 0 1 16 63 20 :: OK : 2 7 25 50 16 FL : 5 5 50 25 15 :: OR : 4 15 42 33 6 GA : 0 5 31 56 8 :: PA : 7 11 14 53 15 ID : 1 12 41 44 2 :: RI : 0 0 20 80 0 IL : 1 5 31 53 10 :: SC : 0 3 28 64 5 IN : 1 9 26 53 11 :: SD : 15 20 29 29 7 IA : 3 9 23 44 21 :: TN : 0 4 17 62 17 KS : 7 21 34 32 6 :: TX : 3 11 31 42 13 KY : 1 4 23 52 20 :: UT : 3 10 36 46 5 LA : 12 25 41 21 1 :: VT : 1 22 24 42 11 ME : 0 0 3 50 47 :: VA : 1 2 15 55 27 MD : 0 7 28 44 21 :: WA : 2 9 34 55 0 MA : 0 0 15 79 6 :: WV : 1 9 27 48 15 MI : 7 18 40 29 6 :: WI : 4 12 39 40 5 MN : 2 10 38 43 7 :: WY : 42 27 18 9 4 MS : 5 9 29 52 5 :: : MO : 4 9 27 51 9 :: 48 Sts : 10 15 29 37 9 MT : 21 26 33 16 4 :: : NE : 20 30 31 19 0 :: Prev Wk: 9 14 29 39 9 NV : 23 31 28 17 1 :: Prev Yr: 15 22 31 27 5 NH : 0 1 21 65 13 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. 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